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Know Your Risk Podcast

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Rating
★★★★☆
4.4
from
112 reviews
This podcast has
540 episodes
Language
English
Explicit
Yes
Date created
2016/06/07
Latest episode
2026/10/23
Average duration
49 min.
Release period
2 days

Description

Do you know how much risk your retirement portfolio is actually exposed to? Whether it’s preservation of capital or an aggressive growth strategy, every investor needs a clearly defined RISK PROFILE. Host Zach Abraham, Chief Investment Officer at Bulwark Capital Management, will cover all types of investment vehicles and you’ll learn what investing looks like when portfolios aren’t influenced by the corporate objectives of the big banks and Wall Street brokerage houses. Subscribe to the podcast here. The opinions expressed in this program are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. Any past performance discussed during this program is no guarantee of future results. Any indices referenced for comparison are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Any references to performance of securities are thought to be materially accurate and actual performance may differ. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital; please seek advice from a licensed professional. Investment advice cannot be given without a client service agreement. Bulwark Capital Management is an Investment Adviser Representative of Trek Financial, LLC., an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. bulwarkcapitalmgmt.com/disclosures/

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Podcast episodes

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What If We’re Still Early in the AI Boom?
2026/10/23
October 23, 2026 - AI stocks have already delivered enormous gains. That doesn’t mean the best evidence points to a top. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor explain their reluctant bullish case: demand could have much further to run, and some of the companies supplying the buildout look surprisingly inexpensive if projected earnings materialize. Zach makes the case that widespread adoption of personal AI agents could require vastly more computing power than exists today. Chase explains how using agents in his own work has influenced his outlook—and why he sees a buildout chasing existing demand rather than simply hoping customers arrive. But their optimism comes with a distinction: growing demand doesn’t protect profit margins. They examine Nvidia, Micron and other potential opportunities while weighing competition, financing pressures and breakthroughs that could make today’s hardware less valuable. Plus, why they suspect forced selling helped drive this week’s turbulence, the disconnect between uranium prices and mining stocks, and how computing on phones and other devices could change the next phase of AI. Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
The AI Boom’s Next Bill Could Land on Shareholders
2026/10/22
October 22, 2026 - The AI buildout can keep going while shareholders pay a growing price. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor examine Meta’s financing plans and the risk that issuing more stock to fund enormous spending commitments dilutes the investors already holding shares . The tension runs through a confusing market session: AI stocks and gold miners fall, Apple rallies, oil climbs and bond yields drop. Is this an economic warning, investors unwinding crowded trades, or a combination of both? Zach and Chase explain why they’re questioning the signals without declaring the AI investment cycle over. They also debate the opportunity and rising costs in gold miners, assess the market implications of renewed escalation with Iran, and discuss why getting one big call right doesn’t make any commentator worth following blindly—including themselves. Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
Would Tesla Shareholders Be Funding SpaceX?
2026/10/21
October 21, 2026 - A Tesla–SpaceX combination could give investors a bigger growth story. But who would actually be funding it? Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor unpack the merger talk and question whether Tesla shareholders would be financing SpaceX’s capital demands while still paying a growth-stock valuation. They separate admiration for Elon Musk’s achievements from the price they’re willing to pay for his companies—and explain why rising revenue doesn’t automatically make an expensive stock a better investment. Chase also examines the upside and risk of renting AI computing capacity through short-term deals instead of locking customers into multiyear contracts. Later, Zach and Chase question whether stronger Gulf oil shipments represent a lasting recovery, explain why upcoming big-tech earnings matter for the broader market, and investigate an unexpected pocket of strength in hotel REITs. Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
Could Falling Oil Prices Unleash the Next AI Rally?
2026/10/20
October 20, 2026 - The next catalyst for AI stocks might come from the oil market. Chase Taylor explains why an end to the Iran war—and the relief it could bring to energy prices, inflation and borrowing costs—could change the outlook for companies financing the AI buildout. Flying solo, Chase lays out why AI exposure could serve as a hedge for an energy-heavy portfolio, even after he questioned the trade at higher prices. He digs into both sides of CoreWeave: debt costs that threaten shareholder returns, and customer contracts, continued demand for computing power and potential support from Nvidia that complicate the bearish case. Plus, why weak housing activity hasn’t produced a nationwide collapse in home prices, and what a broader stock-market rally could mean for companies squeezed by expensive financing. Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
AI Can Win. Your AI Stocks Can Still Lose.
2026/10/19
October 19, 2026 - Believing AI will change the world is one thing. Knowing which stocks will reward investors is another. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor explain why they can be enthusiastic about the technology while questioning whether today’s AI infrastructure winners belong in a buy-and-hold portfolio. CoreWeave brings that tension into focus: strong demand for computing power can coexist with expensive borrowing and a fragile business model. Zach and Chase discuss why they favor trading parts of the AI buildout, what makes biotech a different long-term proposition, and the danger of buying the next Cisco while expecting the next Microsoft. They also debate billionaire stock gifts, corporate taxes and government spending before examining why longer-dated oil prices are putting more pressure on an Iran resolution. Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
They Cut Half Their VIX Hedge—Then VIX Spiked
2026/10/16
October 16, 2026 - Zach and Chase unpack a market that seemed to ignore mounting risks—until volatility finally jumped. Zach makes a candid confession: they cut their VIX exposure in half the day before the surge. They discuss oil pushing toward $100, rates and options positioning, then look ahead to Big Tech earnings and the question hanging over the AI buildout: can the returns justify the enormous capital it requires? Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
AI Demand Is Booming. Why Are Token Prices Falling?
2026/10/15
October 15, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the tension inside the AI boom: demand for compute is rising, but token prices are falling as the industry keeps investing in more capacity. They examine what that could mean for hyperscalers, leveraged neoclouds, and the economics of the buildout. They also discuss the bond market’s response to hot inflation data and the risks of shorter-term Treasury borrowing.
AI Tokens Are Getting Cheaper. Is That Good News?
2026/10/14
October 14, 2026 — AI-token prices are falling even as volume grows. Is that evidence the technology is getting cheaper to use—or a warning for businesses carrying huge infrastructure costs? Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor weigh the pressure on AI economics against the possibility that, if demand and forecasts hold, the AI trade is still underpriced. They also discuss the hot CPI print, the bond market’s unexpected move, and war-related oil and shipping risks. Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com.
Rudy Havenstein: Trump Says Inflation Will Pay the Debt. Who Pays?
2026/10/14
October 14, 2026 — President Trump says inflation can pay down the national debt. Rudy Havenstein calls inflation “a super regressive default,” arguing that it shifts the cost onto ordinary households while the wealthy are better positioned to benefit. Zach Abraham and Rudy discuss what official inflation measures miss, the Fed’s role in supporting asset prices, rising wealth inequality, and why Rudy sees “too big to fail” and “too big to jail” as connected problems. Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
The Market Is Splitting in Two—and AI Is Driving the Divide
2026/10/13
October 13, 2026 — The biggest technology stocks continue to dominate the market, while small caps, rate-sensitive businesses and parts of the real economy are telling a very different story. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor break down an increasingly divided market: the Magnificent Seven reaching another record while small caps lag, crowded positioning between the Nasdaq and Russell 2000, and why Chase says he’s becoming more bullish on parts of the AI trade after months of valuation concerns. They also debate the enormous spending behind the AI buildout, what investors may be overlooking in hyperscaler economics, whether chip earnings can continue justifying current prices, and why an economy increasingly divided between AI-linked businesses and rate-sensitive sectors may make the major indexes harder to read. Plus: energy risks, diesel prices, inflation, interest rates and what the bond market may be signaling next. Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
Apple Is Worth $4.5 Trillion. Can the Fundamentals Catch Up?
2026/10/12
October 12, 2026 — Apple is now worth roughly $4.5 trillion and trading around 44 times earnings. Zach Abraham says he’s struggling to make the fundamental math work.Zach and Chase Taylor break down the disconnect between Apple’s enormous valuation, its recent revenue growth, buybacks and capital spending — and debate why investors continue treating the company almost like a safe-haven asset despite a valuation that would historically have been associated with much faster growth. They also examine continued disruptions in global energy markets, shrinking oil flows through the Strait, pressure on strategic petroleum reserves, why oil remains a major driver of rates and inflation, and the increasingly awkward divide between mega-cap technology stocks and the rest of the market.Later, Zach and Chase return to the concentration problem in U.S. equities and discuss whether today’s largest companies can continue growing into their valuations — or whether time, earnings growth and eventually price will have to close the gap. Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
The “Debasement Trade” Is Coming Back. Here’s What That Means
2026/10/09
October 9, 2026 — Gold, miners and other real-asset trades are beginning to behave differently, even on days when the U.S. dollar is holding up. Zach Abraham says the pattern is starting to resemble a return of the “debasement trade.” Zach and Chase Taylor explain what that actually means: assets that can benefit when investors become increasingly concerned about inflation, government spending and the long-term purchasing power of fiat currencies. They also discuss why today’s cycle looks unusually distorted by massive AI investment, why capital is flowing into parts of Asia at extraordinary rates, and whether investors should be looking more seriously at international markets and real assets. Later, Zach and Chase examine the latest diesel-policy response, continued disruptions around the Strait and Saudi energy infrastructure, and why Chase — after years of being bearish on long-duration bonds — is getting surprisingly close to becoming tactically bullish. Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
AI Spending Is Starting to Move Interest Rates
2026/10/08
October 8, 2026 — Artificial-intelligence spending has become so enormous that Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor believe it increasingly belongs in the macroeconomic conversation — not just the technology conversation. Back together in the studio, Zach and Chase examine how massive AI capital spending may be contributing to economic growth and inflation, and why any meaningful slowdown in that spending could eventually matter for bond yields. They also dig into new questions surrounding OpenAI’s revenue trajectory and financing needs, the widening gap between enormous AI investment and the revenue required to support it, and why the eventual economics of the hyperscalers may look very different from today’s headline growth rates. Their discussion includes significant uncertainty around reported private-company numbers and what those figures do — and do not — tell investors. Later, Zach and Chase discuss the financialization of everyday life, the explosion of sports betting and prediction markets, and why increasingly speculative financial products are forcing them to reconsider where personal freedom ends and predatory incentives begin. Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
Inflation Can Shrink the Debt. What Does That Mean for Your Money?
2026/10/07
October 7, 2026 — Inflation can reduce the real burden of government debt. But that doesn't make the debt disappear — it changes who bears the cost. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor are finally back together, and they begin by unpacking the idea that inflation can effectively help governments manage enormous debt loads by reducing the future purchasing power of the currency used to repay them. That discussion expands into what Zach and Chase see as the next phase of the monetary and fiscal cycle: persistently high borrowing costs, fiscal dominance, the possibility of increasingly unconventional policy responses, and why investors may need to think differently about cash and real assets over the next decade. They also examine the extreme concentration in U.S. equities, the economic cost of reindustrialization, the extraordinary scale of the AI capital-spending boom, and why today's economy is becoming increasingly difficult to compare with previous investment cycles. Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
Oil Is Under $90. Why Is 2027 Pricing Still Climbing?
2026/10/06
October 6, 2026 — WTI crude is back below $90, but farther-out oil contracts are still pushing higher. Chase Taylor explains why the futures curve may be telling a different story from the headline price — and what persistent supply and geopolitical risk could mean for the market further down the road. Chase breaks down why May and December 2027 oil pricing remains firm even as front-month crude has cooled, then updates the situation in the Strait, where tanker disruptions and changing flows continue to complicate the energy picture. He also looks at the renewed nuclear-power trade following the Google–Constellation deal, washouts in European financials and emerging-market bonds, and why one of the market’s most crowded small-cap trades may now have a very different risk-reward profile. Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

Podcast reviews

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4.4 out of 5
112 reviews
★★★★★
eam218 2026/09/01
Zach and Chase have skin in the game
I like this podcast because it seems the most real thing going right now. Both these guys handle millions of dollars on a daily basis and you can tell...
★★★★★
DeepThinkerVT 2026/05/22
Only honest financial podcast
I’ve been trading for 15 years. These guys offer honest financial advise and non-partisan reviews of politics that impact financials.
★★★★★
MarketWiz101 2026/04/07
Finally a good podcast about the market
One of the few podcasts that actually thinks. Most shows either chase headlines or push a narrative. This one takes a step back and tries to understa...
★★★★☆
mcrundoc 2026/01/22
Bloviators
The speakers reiterate the same themes incessantly. Zack is repeatedly self-congratulatory. We hear a lot about their successes but never about their...
★★★★★
Decibel Dozer 2025/12/20
Great Market Commentary
This was a 2nd string podcast for me a year ago. Now i place KYRP in the top 5 for market podcasts. P.S. CD Books from the 90s! 🤘
★★★★☆
luke1136 2025/11/06
Please go back
I listen to you guys almost daily. I loved the show when it was almost exclusively about markets. And while I agree with most of your political/social...
★★★★☆
SK_Credo25 2025/09/25
Balanced & Objective
Hosts focus on 1-2 topics each episode and offer a good list of things to think about. Not overly bearish or bullish, they think and speak in decisio...
★★★★★
Jashleyren 2025/09/22
Really personal podcast A+++
Great job to the folks who run this show. So many shows seem canned or predictable, but this one feels like a conversation with no motive or agenda. ...
★★★★★
SMPyo 2025/04/24
Leave Chase off the Podcast.
Leave this guy off the podcast.
★☆☆☆☆
Henry VL 2025/03/08
Trumpy DB
Abraham sanewashes this stupidest of presidents and his idiocracy, the man who provides aid and comfort to our enemies. Spasibo, tovarishch, for help...
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