The Real Investment Show Podcast

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Rating
4.8
from
38 reviews
This podcast has
1960 episodes
Language
Publisher
Explicit
No
Date created
2017/08/14
Average duration
29 min.
Release period
2 days

Description

It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

Podcast episodes

Check latest episodes from The Real Investment Show Podcast podcast


Small Cap Stocks May Be at Risk (2/26/24)
2024/02/26
Stretching February to the absolute limit this week, as earnings season winds down. Next up: Economic activity metrics. Why are economists giving up on Recession, now expecting 2% growth? The difference between what's happening in the economy and the stock market. Recession may be off the table for this year, but it's still coming. There is still no reason to be overly bearish about the market. Why small cap stocks may now be at risk; are all things equal? The case for (or against) small cap stocks: We're not beyond the risk of economic slowdown; be cautious of narratives. Why now is a good time to trim risk. SEG-1: Wrapping up Reporting Season & February SEG-2: Why Small Cap Stocks May Be at Risk SEG-3: We're Not Beyond the Risk of Economic Slowdown SEG-4: Pre-market Commentary: Why It's a Good Time to Trim Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cvcv-PgF2Yg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/ "Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Happens If We Take Out the 20-DMA?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tU8I7FSiYOk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What to Do When You Regret Retirement?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H73b2Frkhs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #MagnificentSevenStocks #SmallCapStocks #RiskOfRecession #EconomicSlowdown #Markets #Money #Investing
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What Happens If We Take Out the 20-DMA? (2/26/24)
2024/02/26
Nvidia earnings did extremely well, jolting the entire market higher by 2% on Thursday, and momentum carried the S&P higher on Friday, closing at an all-time high. So how does a company like Nvidia guarantee growth in a company like VISA? Call options on stocks are reaching very high levels, investor sentiment and exuberance are also at very high levels; positioning by portfolio managers is very long on equities. This is not a bad thing within this momentum-driven cycle, there is nothing wrong with markets, so no reason to be overly-bearish. Until we violate the trend line at the 20-DMA, there is not much with which to be concerned. Markets remain over bought, and additional upside is going to be a challenge. The key thing for risk management is what happens if we take out the 20-DMA, which potentially sets up for a bigger contraction. Have we been here before? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tU8I7FSiYOk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MagnificentSevenStocks #NVIDIA #VISA #SP5000 #BullishMarketTrend #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #20DMA #Markets #Money #Investing 
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What to Do When You Regret Retirement (2/23/24)
2024/02/23
Is Nvidia more than a market darling, and has it entered the "tulip stage?" (We don't know when the tulip will die.) How to invest with the maddening crowd without going mad. Candid Coffee preview (registration link is below!) Couples, Money, & Communication: Make it fun (Amazon shots?) Pensions vs Social Security: the confounding Windfall Elimination Provision (WEP) and Government Pension Offset (GPO) rules. Why you cannot (fully) take both SS and Pensions. What to do when you regret retiring; even transition to retirement is a regret. Why small business owners sabotage their transition. Failing to prioritize health in retirement; the new Score dating app. Why retirees have regrets; How to leave a legacy without heirs. The importance of physical excercise for mental health & wellness. The increasing role of grandparents in family dynamics. SEG-1: Is Nvidia in the Tulip Stage?  SEG-2: Couples, Money, & Communication; Social Security, WEP, & GPO Rules SEG-3: What to Do When You Regret Retiring SEG-4: How to Remain Healthy, Happy...and Married in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H73b2Frkhs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ "Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bull Rally Remains Intact," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH-n2TiaxgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are the Magnificent Seven Stocks in a Bubble?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpXr_ftZR_U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #MagnificentSevenStocks #TulipStage  #CouplesMoney #MoneyTalk #MoneyCommunication #RetirementPlanning #RetirementRegrets #TransitionPlanning #WindfallEliminationProvision #GovernmentPensionOffset #Markets #Money #Investing
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Are the Magnificent Seven Stocks in a Bubble? (2/22/24)
2024/02/22
Has Nvidia become the world's most-valuable company? The S&P is aiming at more all-time highs, but can they hold? Fed minutes reveal no rush to cut rates. The disconnect with markets' expecting more cuts. Will the Fed reduce QT as money flows into markets?  Meanwhile, markets continue to test rising trendline at 20-DMA, as consolidation continues. No reason to be bearish on markets...yet. What markets missed from Fed Minutes: the quantity of rate cuts to come. An unexpected risk: Effects of balance sheet run-off as Fed adjusts QT to manage liquidity. The unstoppable market: What is happening to Fed's repo program; the Fed Liquidity Index. Have we returned to a bubble in Magnificent Seven stocks (and are they worthy of current valuations)? The hard part about managing portfolios: How does the Japanese Nikkei hit an all-time high for the first time in 34-years, even as Japan's economy is in recession? How bubbles start: When Prices and Valuations rise faster than the economy. SEG-1: Nvidia: The World's Most-valuable Company SEG-2: No Reason to Be Bearish on Markets...yet SEG-3: The Can't Stop/Won't Stop Market SEG-4: Japanese Nikkei Hits All-time High...finally Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpXr_ftZR_U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ "Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bull Rally Remains Intact," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH-n2TiaxgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Nvidia Break the Market?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPzraJEgjfg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MagnificentSevenStocks #NvidiaEarnings #MarketTrendLine #NegativeDivergence #FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #FederalReserveLiquidityIndex #JapanNikkeiHitsAllTimeHigh #Markets #Money #Investing
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Bull Rally Remains Intact (2/23/24)
2024/02/22
Markets sold off Wednesday to test the primary trendline of the bull rally at the 20-DMA. This behavior confirms, for the moment, that the bull rally remains intact. Thanks to Nvidia's big earnings report yesterday, we're expecting a big jump at the open this morning. There are two key things to watch: We still have this consolidation going on, as markets really haven't gone anywhere for the past couple of weeks. The over-bought condition in relative strength, however, has been declining, creating a negative divergence between markets and relative strength. If, in the short term, relative strength can improve, the sell-signal will flip to "buy," and markets will continue to move higher. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF --------  Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH-n2TiaxgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MagnificentSevenStocks #SP5000 #BullishMarketTrend #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #20DMA #Markets #Money #Investing 
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Will Nvidia Break the Market? (2/21/24)
2024/02/21
It's Nvidia earnings reporting day, and as tech companies have driven markets of late, the results, and the company's forward guidance, could have a huge effect. Earnings expectations are extremely high; risk of disappointment is high. The S&P is testing a rising trendline at the 20-DMA, against a negative divergence in relative strength. The dichotomy is unsustainable. The Conference Board releases latest survey of leading economic indicators, down for a 23rd consecutive month (but no one is expecting Recession!) What is keeping us out of Recession is remaining liquidity from government cash injections. No Recession because of "strong consumer spending," but is it, really? Spending more at the store, but buying the same or less. WSJ survey shows grocery spending as % of income at a 30-year high. The economic surge of 2021-22 is reversing. New student loan forgiveness schemes = more liquidity to spend. Palo Alto Networks' performance: Know the percentages. An over-valuation correction is coming: why forward guidance matters. SEG-1: Nvidia Day & Risk Evaluation SEG-2: What's Keeping Us Out of Recession? SEG-3: Why Food Spending is at 30-year High SEG-4: Why an Over-valuation Correction is Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPzraJEgjfg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ "Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Protect from the Coming Correction," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0p2G5Y7jcfY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Don't Fear the All-time Highs" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VYXS-Ed4Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #NvdiaForwardGuidance #WhatsKeepingUsOutOfRecession #MarketTrendLine #NegativeDivergence #GroceryPriceInflation #FoodPriceInflation #ConferenceBoardLeadingIndicators #SpendingMoreBuyingLess #PaloAltoNetworksPerformance #KnowThePercentages #Markets #Money #Investing
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Protect from the Coming Correction (2/21/24)
2024/02/21
The big tech names were a drag on the overall market on Tuesday, with the S&P slipping to test the 20-DMA once again, which has been a rising trend line for the past few months. If the market against tests today, and fails, look for the S&P at 4800-ish, at about the 50-DMA. Note, too, along with that rising trend line, a negative divergence in relative strength. When prices are rising as momentum deteriorates, this suggests the need for a correction; what the catalyst might be for that event, no one knows.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF --------  Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0p2G5Y7jcfY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #BullishMarketTrend #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #MomentumDeterioration #MarketCorrection #ReducePortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #Markets #Money #Investing 
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Don't Fear the All-time Highs (2/20/24)
2024/02/20
There are "Dow Days" and "NASDAQ Days;" CPI inflation is still transitory; emerging influence of presidential election on Congress' ability to manage debt & spending, M-2 as % of GDP. There is little expectation for earnings growth this year. Markets remain in bullish trend, but a negative day today could trigger MACD Sell-signal. Time to reduce portfolio risk and wait until correction to put capital back to work. Instead of fearing market exuberance, understanding what drives it can provide you with insight and opportunity. A look at Employment data and the frustration of college grads unable to find jobs. The Immigration connection to it all: Why we need (merit-based) immigration: Demography is destiny. SEG-1: Dow Days vs NASDAQ Days: Correction Coming SEG-2: Understanding All-time Highs SEG-3: Employment Data & The Immigration Connection SEG-4: Why We Need to Have (Merit-based) Immigration Today Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VYXS-Ed4Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ "Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain in Bullish Trend," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aype3sudCwk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Should I Delay Social Security?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_oLzjApvS0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #TransitoryInflation #DowDays #NASDAQDays #ReducingPortfolioRisk #MarketCorrection  #UnderstandingAllTimeHigh #EmploymentDynamics #MeritBasedImmigration DemographicsAreDestiny #Markets #Money #Investing
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Markets Remain in Bullish Trend (2/20/24)
2024/02/20
Markets were closed on Monday, after ending negative on Friday; the market rallied back to previous, all-time highs after touching the 20-DMA for a healthy intra-day correction. The result was a negative week overall, but just barley. Still, the market remains in a bullish trend, but very close to triggering a Sell-signal. With markets being down at the open, if we do have a negative day, we will likely cross into a MACD Sell-signal. That doesn't mean we'll have a big, major correction (we've been here before);  but eventually, we are going to get a bigger sell-off. The key is to be prepared for that lower entry point. Now is the time to trim risk from your portfolio and Be Patient.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF --------  Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aype3sudCwk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #BullishMarketTrend #ReducePortfolioRisk #20DMA #MACDsellSignal #Markets #Money #Investing 
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Should I Delay Social Security? (2/16/24)
2024/02/16
 The Fed is in no rush to lower rates, based on the latest economic data; we've gone from transitory to permatory inflation; rents are not going to fall, but rates are not going to go up. Fed Gov. Bostick: Rates are not going down until later, based on Labor data. Candid Coffee preview: The problem with Financial Infidelity; does it pay to delay taking Social Security? (It depends...) What's the best claiming strategy? Rich & Danny critique AI-generated Candy Hearts; why RMD's are going to be trickier; the benefits of delay; impact of Roth conversions. What happened to the stretch-IRA? SEG-1: No Rush for Fed to Lower Rates SEG-2: The Problem of Financial Infidelity; Does it Pay to Delay taking SS? SEG-3: AI-generated Candy Hearts; Why RMD's are Going to be Trickier SEG-4: Best Strategies for Company Stock & NUA's Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_oLzjApvS0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Toyota The Next Tesla?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-toyota-the-next-tesla/ "Divergences And Other Technical Warnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/ "This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ "Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/ "Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Retail Sales Dip .8%," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q8TkxPAzGVw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Toyota the Next Tesla?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bcTBUuxKO8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=502s -------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #LoweringInterestRates #FederalReserveBostick #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #FinancialInfidelityProblem #DelayingSocialSecurity #TakingSocialSecurity #AIGeneratedCandyHaerts #RMDStrategies #CompanyStockSales #CouplesMoneyHabits  #Markets #Money #Investing
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Is Toyota the Next Tesla? (2/15/24)
2024/02/15
The post-Valentine's Day afterglow; Markets are not behaving like it's February (typically a weaker month), so far. The NFIB Small Business Survey belies weaker conditions and negative sentiment; there is a correlation between the NFIB  and Small Cap Index. Markets continue to do well, despite weaker economic activity; bonds showing promise; NVIDIA captures 3rd place in S&P 500, unseating Amazon & Google. Commentary on pending legislation to reclassify Homelessness as a Healthcare issue; economic data preview: Retail Sales could be weaker; PPI and weaker regional manufacturing reports; the impact of Government Debt is a drag on economic growth; the continuing effects of fiscal stimulus. The Components of CPI: Homeowners Equivalent Rent/Shelter vs PCU (what the Fed looks at); the flaws in sampling data: Focus on trends, not monthly data. The consequences of too much debt, with Japan as an example, now in recession. China, Germany, and Japan are all in recession, yet the US remains immune? Toyota vs Tesla: 9% of US car sales are hybrid. The next advance in battery technology: Solid state Lithium batteries. Toyota is in the lead; Tesla is working on version 2.0 of current battery (no pun intended). SEG-1: Markets Aren't Behaving Like it's February SEG-2: Reclassification of Homelessness; the Impact of Government Debt SEG-3: Looking at the Components of CPI SEG-4: Is Toyota the Next Tesla? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bcTBUuxKO8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=502s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Toyota The Next Tesla?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-toyota-the-next-tesla/ "Divergences And Other Technical Warnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/ "This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ "Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/ "Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Retail Sales Dip .8%," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q8TkxPAzGVw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's CPI Day! - the impact that gas prices may have" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XG-pTiLGkks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=195s -------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #RetailSalesDisapploint #WeakerEconomicActivity #ReclassificationOfHomelessness #ToyotaVsTesla #HyrbridAutomobileTechnology #SolidStateLithiumBattery #Markets #Money #Investing
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Retail Sales Dip .8% (2/15/24)
2024/02/15
Retail Sales were expected to be weaker than expected (sure enough, January Retail sales were down .8%) which could potentially affect today's activity. On a short-term basis, markets are doing fine, bounding off the 20-DMA, and the bullish trend remains intact. The real challenge is the gap between the S&P and the underlying 200-DMA, and the further we move away from that, the harder it will be for prices to continue to move up. At some point, some type of corrective action will occur. Bonds continue to do well after a nice pullback. Bond prices are holding support as we become more oversold. We're looking for additional rotations out of stocks into bonds as markets begin to work off a bit of over-exuberance. NVDIA continues to have a very strong run, surpassing Amazon and Google in terms of market cap, securing its place as the number-three stock in the S&P Index. NVIDIA is up almost 30% this year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P Index Set To Hit 5000 As Bull Run Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-index-set-to-hit-5000-as-bull-run-continues/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF --------  Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q8TkxPAzGVw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #RetailSales #BullishTrend #RetailSalesDisappoint #BullishMarketTrend #20DMA #BondYield #BondPrices #Markets #Money #Investing 
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