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ITPM Podcast

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Rating
★★★★★
4.6
from
9 reviews
This podcast has
178 episodes
Language
English
Date created
2018/10/09
Latest episode
2026/04/23
Average duration
10 min.
Release period
11 days

Description

The Institute of Trading and Portfolio Management (ITPM) provides industry-leading financial education. Listeners will have access to some of the best minds in the Investment Management industry talking through current and relevant ideas in the financial markets. Expect to expand your investment knowledge and improve your trading performance.

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ITPM Flash Ep110 Game Changer? $TTWO
2026/04/23
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Consumer sentiment is collapsing… yet one sector may be perfectly positioned to benefit.   In this week's ITPM Flash, Dieter breaks down why a weak consumer backdrop doesn't necessarily mean weak spending — and how the "substitution effect" could drive demand toward lower-cost, high-engagement entertainment.   That leads us to a compelling opportunity in Take-Two Interactive — the company behind one of the most successful franchises in history, Grand Theft Auto V.   With Grand Theft Auto VI set for release and hype already building, Dieter explores why this could be a powerful catalyst — and how to structure a limited-risk options trade to capture the upside.
ITPM Flash Ep109 Cracks in the Foundation $ABNB
2026/04/10
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Markets may be underestimating a growing structural shift — and one high-profile stock could be caught in the middle.   In this week's ITPM Flash, Ben Berggreen breaks down the fundamental setup behind Airbnb (ABNB) and why the current macro environment could trigger a significant re-rating. With mortgage rates rising, regulatory pressure increasing across Europe, and consumer demand potentially weakening, the Airbnb growth story may be transitioning into something far more cyclical.   Ben explores how higher financing costs are squeezing hosts, why supply dynamics could shift, and how new EU regulations may create structural headwinds for the platform. He then walks through valuation compression scenarios and outlines a defined-risk options strategy designed to capitalise on a potential downside move — while maintaining asymmetric reward potential.
ITPM Flash Ep108 Tail Risk Inflation Hedge $TLT
2026/03/30
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!    Markets continue to show surprising resilience despite escalating geopolitical tensions — but are investors underestimating the risks?   In this week's ITPM Flash, Jason McDonald examines the muted reaction in equities following the Iran conflict, with the S&P 500 only modestly off its highs. He explores why this apparent complacency may reflect a broader belief that geopolitics "doesn't matter" — and why that assumption could be dangerous.   We then dive into the shifting role of traditional safe haven assets. U.S. Treasuries, once the cornerstone of global capital preservation, have delivered poor performance through recent macro shocks. Meanwhile, gold — often viewed as the ultimate hedge — has also struggled during the current crisis, raising important questions about portfolio construction in today's environment.   Finally, Jason outlines a tail-risk trade idea centered on rising inflation expectations and structurally higher bond yields. If energy prices remain elevated and inflation proves sticky, long-duration bonds could face significant downside — creating asymmetric opportunities for those positioned correctly.
ITPM Flash Ep107 Space Race 2.0: The Orbital Cloud
2026/03/23
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   The next phase of the AI boom may not happen on Earth.   In this week's ITPM Flash, Alessandro Ameli explores a major shift in AI infrastructure — as data centres begin to reach physical limits in power, water usage, and grid capacity. With projections suggesting AI could consume up to 50% of U.S. electricity demand by 2030, traditional data centre expansion is facing increasing constraints.   This is driving the emergence of a new concept: space-based data centres, also known as the orbital cloud.   Alessandro breaks down why companies are exploring AI data centres in space, including the advantages of continuous solar power, faster data transmission, and in-orbit computing — and why this could become a key part of the future space economy.   He then analyses Rocket Lab (RKLB), a leading space company with exposure across launch services, satellite manufacturing, and space systems. With increasing government contracts and growing demand for satellite infrastructure, Rocket Lab may be uniquely positioned within this developing trend.   Finally, he outlines an Option's structure with defined risk and large upside to take full advanatge on his fundamental view on the stock.
ITPM Flash Ep106 A Rare Find? $MP
2026/03/17
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Markets remain surprisingly resilient despite geopolitical tensions and rising volatility.   In this week's ITPM Flash, Ben Berggreen breaks down the latest macro developments, including the impact of Middle East tensions on energy markets and equities. Despite the noise, the S&P 500 remains range-bound — suggesting markets may not yet be pricing in worst-case scenarios.   We then dive into ISM Manufacturing PMI, which continues to show strong momentum in key industrial sectors. This macro backdrop leads into a deeper look at MP Materials (MP) — the only large-scale rare earth mining and processing facility in the United States.   With China controlling the majority of global rare earth production and tightening export controls, MP could play a critical strategic role in U.S. supply chains. Ben explains the fundamental setup and walks through a limited-risk options strategy designed to capture upside while managing risk.
ITPM Flash Ep105 Dispersion is Back $ROKU
2026/03/06
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Markets may look calm at the index level, but beneath the surface the stock market environment is becoming increasingly chaotic.   In this episode of ITPM Flash, Edward Shek looks at the growing dispersion across equities as capital rotates out of technology stocks and into other sectors. Hedge funds and long-only managers have been selling US equities at the fastest pace since last year's tariff shock, with much of that money leaving tech while some flows into cyclicals, treasuries and international markets.   At the same time, the debate around AI disruption continues to intensify. Software stocks have already suffered significant damage, and research from companies like Anthropic is raising serious questions about the long-term impact of AI on professional industries including finance, consulting, law and accounting.   Yet while the market debates the future of software, another opportunity may be emerging elsewhere.   Ed outlines the case for Roku (ROKU) — a streaming platform business that monetises user engagement through advertising, subscriptions and content distribution. The company sells low-margin streaming devices to build its ecosystem, but the real value lies in its platform economics and advertising inventory.   With around 90 million active accounts and users streaming more than four hours per day on average, Roku may be approaching the point where platform scale begins to drive meaningful operational leverage and earnings growth.   In a market defined by uncertainty, sector rotation and stock dispersion, trade opportunities increasingly come from individual stock ideas rather than broad index direction.   Enjoy the Chaos.
ITPM Flash Ep104 When Trillions Move $FCX
2026/02/20
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Mega-cap tech has dominated markets in recent times. But what if that era is starting to shift?   In this episode of ITPM Flash, Raj Malhotra lays out the case for a meaningful capital rotation away from large-cap software — specifically into industrial metals. Hedge funds and mutual funds have not fully repositioned yet, but even a small reallocation out of trillion-dollar mega caps into much smaller commodity-focused stocks could create outsized moves.   Copper sits at the centre of this shift. Electric vehicles use multiples more copper than traditional cars. Power grid upgrades require it. Wind, solar and charging infrastructure depend on it. And AI data centres — now absorbing hundreds of billions in capital expenditure — are deeply copper intensive.   On the supply side, the picture is tight. New mines take nearly two decades to develop. Ore grades are declining. Major producers face disruption. All the while, even Wall Street may be underestimating how price-insensitive hyperscalers are as supply tightens further.   Raj explains why this may be the early stages of a structural leadership change in markets — and outlines an options structure designed to capture potential upside in Freeport-McMoRan if copper prices accelerate.   The rotation may just be beginning.
ITPM Flash Ep103 Leveraging the Offshore Supercycle $RIG
2026/02/13
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Industrial data is beginning to re-accelerate, and energy markets are taking notice.   In this ITPM Flash, Philip Klien examines the early signs of a potential offshore supercycle. The ISM Manufacturing index has moved back into expansion, with new orders leading the move higher — a signal that industrial demand may be turning. Crude has already strengthened year to date, but the more important shift may be happening in offshore supply.   Ultra-deepwater drillships are expensive, time-consuming to build, and new capacity is limited. As day rates rise through key thresholds, operating leverage increases sharply. At the same time, Transocean's all-stock acquisition of Valaris tightens industry supply further while improving balance sheet quality.   This episode breaks down the macro inflection, the structural supply constraints, and why consolidation may amplify pricing power — alongside the execution and regulatory risks traders need to consider.   If industrial momentum holds, offshore could move from recovery to repricing and $RIG is the leveraged play.
ITPM Flash Ep102 The Golden Egg? $VITL
2026/02/06
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Precious metals and AI may be dominating headlines, but this week's asymmetrical opportunity sits somewhere very different.   In this ITPM Flash, Anthony Iser looks at an unexpected corner of the market: US egg producers. Wholesale egg prices have fallen sharply, production has rebounded, and the sector has been hit with heavy de-ratings. But beneath the surface, not all egg businesses are exposed in the same way.   This episode contrasts a highly cyclical, price-taking commodity producer with a branded, premium growth business that is far less sensitive to wholesale price swings. A combination of falling egg prices, negative headlines, and a one-off margin issue has driven a sharp sell-off, pushing valuations to levels not seen in years — despite very little change to the underlying earnings outlook.   With results approaching, the market may be mispricing earnings resilience and longer-term structural growth. Anthony explains why this setup represents a non-tech, asymmetric opportunity, and outlines an options structure designed to capture the upcoming catalyst with an attractive risk-reward profile.
ITPM Flash Ep101 The US Electricity Squeeze $ITRI
2026/01/30
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Precious metals have started 2026 with explosive momentum. Gold, platinum, and silver are all surging — but stretched valuations and increasingly parabolic price action raise important questions about what comes next.   At the same time, a different pressure is quietly building in the US economy: electricity. Rising power costs, driven in part by the rapid expansion of AI data centers, are becoming a political issue — with potential consequences for how the AI trade evolves from here.   In this episode, Jason McDonald explains why power grid infrastructure may offer a cleaner and more durable way to express the AI theme than chips or data centers themselves.
ITPM Flash Ep100 AI Resilience: Blue-Collar SaaS $TTAN
2026/01/23
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   The market is selling SaaS indiscriminately — and AI fear is driving the narrative.   In this episode of ITPM Flash, Dieter breaks down why not all SaaS is exposed to AI in the same way, and how the current selloff is confusing white-collar software with software built for the physical economy.   He focuses on ServiceTitan, a SaaS platform serving the trades industry, and explains why its customers can't simply replace it with AI agents or in-house tools. When software is embedded in dispatch, payroll, inventory, and payments, switching isn't trivial — and AI doesn't change that.   The result? A business with high switching costs, sticky demand, and a long growth runway that's being sold off alongside far more vulnerable SaaS models.
ITPM Flash Ep99 Maduro Shockwave $AVAV
2026/01/16
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Rising geopolitical tensions are reshaping the macro environment and creating new tradeable opportunities across global markets. In this episode, Ben Berggreen outlines a top-down trading approach, starting with macro and geopolitical developments, filtering into sector rotation, and identifying where capital is likely to move as narratives shift. Following the capture of Venezuela's president, markets have reacted unevenly, but for traders the focus is on how geopolitical risk, defense spending, and global instability translate into medium-term positioning rather than political debate.   Ben explains why defense stocks moved immediately into focus and why smaller, innovation-driven defense companies can offer more asymmetric setups than large-cap incumbents. He then breaks down a bullish options trade in AeroVironment ($AVAV), discussing how military contracts, Department of Defense spending, earnings timing, and volatility shape the risk-reward. The episode focuses on defined-risk options strategies, flexibility around earnings, and managing outcomes as price action develops.
ITPM Flash Ep98 Trading the K-Shaped Economy
2026/01/08
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   The K-shaped economy is widening — and markets are still pricing only the winners. In this episode, Ed breaks down why the AI-driven data-center supercycle has become a macro force, propping up growth, earnings, and asset prices while masking deepening stress in the real economy. With the top 10% now driving half of all discretionary spending, the system is increasingly dependent on rising asset values rather than wage growth.   Ed argues the real risk isn't inflation — it's consumer spending. As AI boosts productivity without job growth, anxiety around employment could tip the lower arm of the K into contraction, triggering credit stress, falling discretionary demand, and a negative wealth effect that eventually hits equities. He outlines how traders should position for volatility, where patience matters most, and which macro triggers would signal when the K-shaped economy finally breaks.
ITPM Flash Ep97 A Change of Clothes $VFC
2025/12/18
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Apparel stocks have been left behind as consumer preferences shift and discretionary spending remains under pressure. Philip Klein turns to VF Corporation ($VFC), a former market leader whose shares collapsed from triple digits as brand missteps, rising debt, and weakening demand hit the business.   He walks through what went wrong — from the overpaid Supreme acquisition to Vans losing relevance — and what has started to change under new CEO Bracken Darrell. With costs coming down, debt being reduced, insider buying signalling confidence, and early signs of stabilisation across key brands, the episode explores this turnaround story and presents a high reward options structure for 2026.
ITPM Flash Ep96 Ugly Duckling
2025/11/25
ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Volatility is rising, speculative names have already been hit, and Ben Berggreen shifts the focus to a new weak spot: consumer discretionary. With sentiment collapsing, unemployment ticking higher, and holiday spending under pressure, several stocks look exposed.   Ben highlights Ulta Beauty ($ULTA) — a company facing slowing growth, margin pressure, and its first loss of market share — yet still trading near the top of its multi-year range. With earnings in early December, he walks through a bearish calendar ratio put spread offering asymmetric reward if the stock rolls over.  

Podcast reviews

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4.6 out of 5
9 reviews
★★★★★
Harry Stuckler 2018/12/03
If you know Anton Kreil and ITPM
then this is a must listen podcast. Educate yourself and make some money. Only for serious students of course.
check all reviews on apple podcasts

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