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RenMac

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Rating
★★★★☆
4.4
from
79 reviews
This podcast has
290 episodes
Language
English
Date created
2019/06/14
Latest episode
2026/04/17
Average duration
48 min.
Release period
7 days

Description

Stock market commentary from Wall St thought leaders in strategy, economics, technical analysis and policy. Disclaimer .......... This Podcast Audio Show has been prepared by Renaissance Macro Research, LLC (“RenMac”), an affiliate of Renaissance Macro Securities, LLC. This Podcast Audio Show is for distribution only as may be permitted by law. It is published solely for information purposes; it is not an advertisement nor is it a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments or to participate in any particular trading strategy. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained in this document. The information is not intended to be a complete statement or summary of the markets, economy or other developments referred to in the Podcast Audio Show. Any opinions expressed in this Podcast Audio Show may change without notice. Any statements contained in this Podcast Audio Show attributed to a third party represent RenMac's interpretation of the data, information and/or opinions provided by that third party either publicly or through a subscription service, and such use and interpretation have not been reviewed by the third party. Nothing in this Podcast Audio Show constitutes a representation that any investment strategy or recommendation is suitable or appropriate to an investor’s individual circumstances or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation. Investments involve risks, and investors should exercise prudence and their own judgment in making their investment decisions. The value of any investment may decline due to factors affecting the securities markets generally or particular industries. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither RenMac nor any of its directors, employees or agents accepts any liability for any loss (including investment loss) or damage arising out of the use of all or any of the information. Any information stated in this Podcast Audio Show is for information purposes only and does not represent valuations for individual securities or other financial instruments. Different assumptions by RenMac or any other source may yield substantially different results. The analysis contained in this document is based on numerous assumptions and are not all inclusive. Copyright © Renaissance Macro Research, LLC. 2019. All rights reserved. All material presented in this Podcast Audio Show, unless specifically indicated otherwise, is under copyright to Renaissance Macro Research, LLC. None of the material, nor its content, nor any copy of it, may be altered in any way, or transmitted to or distributed to any other party, without the prior express written permission of Renaissance Marco Research, LLC.

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RenMac Off-Script: Can't Spell Allbirds w/o AI
2026/04/17
RenMac unpacks a market at new highs despite slowing growth, softening real consumption, and rising real rates acting as a drag beneath the surface. The team debates AI-driven speculative behavior, a fragile consumer distorted by nominal spending and gas prices, housing that likely needs job losses to reset, and why markets are dismissing oil, policy, and Fed risks that haven’t hit earnings yet. We also welcome you to access “deGraaf: Fading the Fads” report: https://start.renmac.com/4-17-2026-fading-the-fads
RenMac Off-Script: Clarida Gives RenMac Clarity
2026/04/10
Former Fed Vice Chair Rich Clarida joins the RenMac Off-Script team to discuss the evolving Fed reaction function amid a potential transition to a Warsh-led regime and why markets are struggling to price policy. The team breaks down how Middle East developments and energy prices complicate rate cuts, why underlying inflation may be softer than headline data suggests, and how AI-driven productivity could create conflicting pressures on growth, inflation, and rates. They also explore rising fragility in equities, the role of real rates as the key market driver, and why the current rally lacks the breadth and conviction needed for a durable move higher. Here is the link to Richard Clarida's Spotify : https://open.spotify.com/album/51lgCHoPn3Os1PiCirwidr
RenMac Off-Script: Good Friday & Dark Crosses
2026/04/03
RenMac breaks down a noisy March payrolls report that’s sending the wrong signal to the Fed, why markets may be misreading a slowing nominal economy, and how rising real rates—not inflation fears—are driving the recent repricing in risk assets. The team explores the growing disconnect between resilient equities and weakening growth, the role of the Iran-driven oil shock in pushing inflation expectations higher, and why markets keep pushing out the timeline for resolution in the Strait of Hormuz. They also discuss why sentiment hasn’t fully cracked yet, what could trigger a sharper earnings reset in Q2, and why the real opportunity may come after positioning turns more bearish.
RenMac Off-Script: Strait Talk*
2026/03/27
Former U.S. National Security official Michael Allen joins the RenMac Off-Script team to discuss escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and why reestablishing control is critical to global energy markets and U.S. strategic credibility. The team breaks down how geopolitical decisions are increasingly driving market outcomes, why oil shocks constrain the Fed’s ability to ease, and how inflation dynamics are taking precedence over growth. They also explore cracks forming in credit and private markets, resilience in U.S. assets versus global stress, and how positioning, sentiment, and gamma dynamics could amplify volatility as markets navigate a fragile late-cycle environment.
RenMac Off-Script: Fear Factor(s)
2026/03/20
RenMac breaks down how quadruple witching and gamma dynamics could amplify near-term volatility as markets reprice a fragile macro environment. The team unpacks an oil-driven supply shock colliding with sticky inflation and softening growth, why central banks don’t look through energy shocks, and the cracks forming in credit and leveraged financials.
RenMac Off-Script: Escort No Shows & Stripper Wells*
2026/03/12
Commodity Context founder Rory Johnston joins the RenMac Off-Script team to discuss escalating attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and why a prolonged disruption could remove up to 20% of global oil supply and push oil to $200. The team breaks down why markets may be underpricing the duration of the conflict, how refinery shortages in Asia could ripple through global energy markets, and why Russia may ultimately benefit from the crisis. They also discuss the limits of SPR releases and U.S. shale responses, cracks forming beneath the surface in equities, why gold and defensive sectors aren’t behaving like a typical risk-off environment, and how geopolitics could collide with Fed policy, inflation data, and consumer spending in the weeks ahead.
RenMac Off-Script: Crude Awakening
2026/03/06
RenMac breaks down how the Iran conflict and rising oil prices are colliding with an already softening labor market and late-cycle market dynamics. The team discusses the “Hamilton Trigger” for energy, February’s weak jobs report, why the Fed may struggle to cut rates amid supply shocks, and how inflation pressures are shifting the RenMac Market Cycle Clock. The team also explore cracks forming in credit, the vulnerability of crowded momentum trades in tech, housing gridlock as mortgage rates rise, and the political backdrop heading into the midterms.
RenMac Off-Script: Is The Bull Case &@#% !?
2026/02/27
RenMac breaks down why light tax refunds and narrow consumption growth are challenging the bullish economic narrative, even as AI capex continues to carry investment. The team explores falling Treasury yields despite “good” data, extreme tech momentum reminiscent of 2000, and cracks forming beneath the surface in software and breadth. They also cover late-cycle sector rotation into energy and defensives, housing and AI power politics in Washington, and what next week’s ISM, jobs, and retail sales could mean for growth expectations and market leadership.
RenMac Off-Script: Credit Concerns
2026/02/20
RenMac breaks down a market that’s still trending higher but losing momentum, as 2-year yields flirt with cycle lows and leadership rotates between cyclicals and defensives. The team discusses why GDP and inflation prints are being distorted by the shutdown, why slowing wage growth could become the real 2026 risk, and what Trump’s State of the Union, tariffs, and Iran could mean for energy markets. They also tackle whether high yield credit is the canary in the coal mine—and why private equity and private credit may be the bigger vulnerability.
RenMac Off-Script: AI Bifurcation
2026/02/13
RenMac unpacks cooler inflation that keeps Fed cuts in play just as rising job anxiety and narrow hiring trends point to softer labor conditions beneath the surface. The team debates the growing AI vs. non-AI market bifurcation, fragile tech momentum, tight credit spreads versus private credit stress, tariff maneuvering around chips and Taiwan, and what housing, manufacturing, and D.C. drama signal for markets ahead.
RenMac Off-Script: Big Tech Faces Capex Conundrum
2026/02/06
CNBC’s Sara Eisen joins the RenMac Off-Script team to unpack why Big Tech’s AI spend is suddenly spooking markets, cracking momentum trades, and pressuring software stocks. The team breaks down softening labor signals beneath solid GDP growth, Bitcoin’s risk warning, FX stress abroad, the views of the Davos elite and what a potential Kevin Warsh Fed chair could mean for markets.
RenMac Off-Script: Warsh Your Hands
2026/01/30
RenMac unpacks the market fallout from Kevin Warsh emerging as the leading Fed chair candidate, the risks building in parabolic trades like gold and crypto and why sentiment extremes and “hair-trigger” psychology make these trades vulnerable to sharp reversals. The team also breaks down “momentum tech” and sector rotation risks, rising trade and shutdown risks, China-Taiwan tensions and why February seasonality could amplify market crosscurrents.
RenMac Off-Script: Mysterious Market Reactions
2026/01/23
RenMac digs into the growing political stakes around the Fed chair decision, why global yields—especially in Japan—are reshaping risk appetite, and how improving breadth, regional banks, and small caps point to healthier market internals. The team also breaks down Davos takeaways on trade, rare earths, and China strategy, why good news for the economy doesn’t always translate into good news for the markets, and what to watch next as yields, seasonality, and leadership trends evolve.
RenMac Off-Script: Live From The Edge
2026/01/16
RenMac recaps key takeaways from the firm’s 2026 Investor Forum, where stronger near-term data clashes with persistent weakness in housing and labor. Dutta argues inflation pressures continue to ease and deGraaf explains why that cooling inflation, improving breadth, and early strength in consumer discretionary point to a more constructive equity backdrop. Pavlick outlines why affordability is shaping energy, housing, and trade policy in a midterm year, while geopolitical tensions around China, Taiwan, and Venezuela remain underpriced. And the team dives into the Fed chair sweepstakes, debating Powell’s staying power, the risks of politicized dissents, and what true Fed independence means for markets in 2026.
RenMac Off-Script: Big Oil: Pump for Trump
2026/01/09
RenMac digs into a complicated January jobs report that dampens near-term rate-cut expectations as Dutta warns that unemployment risks are rising beneath stable headlines, while deGraaf points to an updated Market Cycle Clock, falling yields and trend signals that still support equities. Pavlick outlines growing policy uncertainty around tariffs, housing affordability, and Venezuela, and the team explores why markets continue to shrug off geopolitical risk, how healthcare and biotech are emerging as contrarian opportunities, and what investors should watch for as earnings season and inflation data take center stage. Our Outlook call is now available. Watch it here:https://start.renmac.com/2026outlook_lp

Podcast reviews

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4.4 out of 5
79 reviews
★★★★☆
iusedtobe cool 2025/07/14
recent format change a no
i like when jeff moderated
★☆☆☆☆
maybdihjlz 2026/01/31
Lost a listener
Not cool making a “joke” about the man that was shot to death by ICE agents in Minneapolis.
★★☆☆☆
concertedeffort 2026/01/24
Big Dip In Quality
Notable fall off in quality since Trump returned to the White House and Dutta has been in full time audition mode for a role at the Fed and / or Treas...
★★★★★
Rustynyc 2025/11/24
Love this pod
These guys are money. Neil gives great nuanced view of economic data, and Jeff’s decades of experience provides insight into how Wall St works and wh...
★★★★★
BDruhot 2025/11/14
A+
This is the real All In podcast
★★★★★
Seattle_99 2025/09/07
What a douche
High school was great
★★★★★
McKinstryJr 2025/06/28
Always a Good Way to Cap Off Week
Love this show as a good way to recap the week on Friday night or Saturday morning. I appreciate the range of views between the three hosts. I am bias...
★★★★★
Mars Ultima 2025/03/15
Excellent!
Terrific insights from smart people who analyze and follow the data, they don’t twist the data to fit a narrative.
★★★☆☆
JanaintheUS 2025/03/15
Please improve your audio
Content is great but the audio is awful and sometimes I choose not to listen because the audio is bad. Please fix it.
★★★★★
sp312_IOMT 2024/08/30
Good stuff
Last star missing only because they could have better audio quality. Good recap of macro, markets and market news in less than 15 minute. The beefs in...
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