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NFL Week 6 takeaways from the numbers. Atlanta had the best run game in the week on a per carry basis and called 12 rushes, the fewest in the week, while Michael Penix got blitzed and sacked at the second worst rates of any quarterback. The Cowboys slipped, literally, and ran the worst early down run game of any first half in the week. 2026 is the second most penalized start to a season since 2000 and delay of game flags are at an all time high. The Steelers went from first and goal with 1:38 left to fourth and goal with 1:23 left and needed overtime to beat Tampa Bay. The Giants collapsed against the Saints, and Jalen Hurts' London numbers fell off a cliff after halftime on 36 hours without sleep, before the news that he is out for the season. Plus a best bet for Monday Night Football with Curtis. Get the free newsletter: every article we write, plus free bets and player props, sent straight to your inbox. Sign up in 30 seconds at https://sharp.football Players and coaches discussed: Michael Penix, Bijan Robinson, Kevin Stefanski, Tommy Rees, Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Mike Tomlin, Cam Skattebo, Najee Harris, Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels. What you'll learn • Atlanta's first half drives: two three and outs, a turnover on downs, one touchdown, one punt, and a 21 to 7 halftime deficit• The Falcons ran it 12 times, the fewest in the week, with a 16.7 percent explosive rush rate, the best in the week• Michael Penix was blitzed on 52.6 percent of dropbacks and sacked on 13.2 percent, both second worst, with a 31.6 percent bust rate, the worst• Bijan Robinson averaged 12.8 yards on 4 first half carries and the Falcons kept throwing• The Cowboys' first half early down runs averaged -0.37 EPA, the worst first half mark in the week, and Dallas threw 78 percent of its passes at 10 air yards or less, the most in the week• 97 delay of game penalties through six weeks, the previous high was 75, and offenses have committed 690 flags, the most through Week 6 since at least 2000• Offensive holding is up 58 percent since 2022• The Steelers threw on first and goal and third and goal with 1:38 left and two Tampa Bay timeouts on the board• Pittsburgh's first half was the worst in the week by EPA per play and EPA per dropback• The Giants' catastrophe against New Orleans• Jalen Hurts is out for the season, and what 36 hours without sleep did to his London numbers: 69 to 42 percent completions, +0.38 to -0.32 EPA per attempt, 7.6 to 4.1 yards per attempt• Monday Night Football: Commanders at 49ers, with Curtis on the matchup he likes Chapters 00:00 Intro00:45 Atlanta's failure to launch08:43 Cowboys issues12:58 Penalties are out of control18:16 Subscribe18:42 Steelers end of game clock management23:44 Giant catastrophe27:57 Jalen Hurts, 36 hours with no sleep32:21 Free newsletter32:53 Monday Night Football: Commanders at 49ers, with Curtis44:26 Wrap-up and a look at Week 7 Free NFL stats tools: Pass Rate Over Expected and more, free on the new stats page: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/stats-nfl/ Get the full slate: weekly, monthly and full season packages at https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/ Guests: Curtis Hirsch Follow UsYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysisX: @SharpFootballSite: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 6 best bets, player props and picks for Cowboys at Packers, Bears at Falcons, Texans at Jaguars in London, Cardinals at Rams and Steelers at Buccaneers, plus the Week 6 referee report and three big college football games. Warren Sharp opens with three keys to the Week 6 betting board: the Green Bay defense facing Dallas, the first half angle on short road favorites, and Houston in London. Ryan McCrystal breaks down Alabama at Tennessee, Notre Dame at BYU and Ohio State at Indiana. Rich Hribar brings three props, two from Cardinals at Rams and one from Steelers at Buccaneers. Joe Gibbs runs the referee report for Ravens at Browns and Cowboys at Packers on Sunday Night Football. Warren closes with his best bet of the week, 39-15 lifetime on this show. Free week of OddsJam with code WARREN, then 40% off your first month: oddsjam.com What You'll Learn• Why Green Bay's defensive numbers need context, and the schedule behind them• The first half angle on short road favorites• How Houston should attack Jacksonville in London• What decides Alabama at Tennessee, Notre Dame at BYU and Ohio State at Indiana• How the Week 6 referee crews call games, and which teams it helps• Warren's best bet of the week and the matchup behind it• The free pass rate over expected and stats tools on the Sharp site Chapters00:00 Week 6 best bets and player props: the preview01:07 Cowboys at Packers: Green Bay's backup QB schedule06:05 Short road favorites: the first half angle07:26 Texans at Jaguars in London11:56 College football with Ryan McCrystal12:19 Alabama at Tennessee14:42 Notre Dame at BYU18:22 Ohio State at Indiana22:50 Rich Hribar prop 1: Cardinals at Rams25:58 Rich Hribar prop 2: Cardinals at Rams30:02 Rich Hribar prop 3: Steelers at Buccaneers32:44 Pass rate over expected and the free stats tools34:50 The Week 6 referee report with Joe Gibbs35:25 Ravens at Browns: the referee crew38:07 Cowboys at Packers on Sunday night: the referee crew41:51 Warren's best bet of the week: Bears at Falcons GuestsRich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal, Joe Gibbs More ResourcesFree Sharp Football newsletter with our written analysis and best bets: sharp.footballWatch the show on YouTube: Warren Sharp Follow UsX: @SharpFootball, @SharpFBAnalysis, @LordReebs Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 6 preview and matchups: Cowboys at Packers on Sunday Night Football, Bears at Falcons, Texans vs Jaguars in London and Steelers at Buccaneers. The pressure rates, personnel splits, run game numbers and coverages that decide each game, plus two sneaky matchups: 49ers at Commanders and Saints at Giants. Jordan Love, Matt LaFleur, Tucker Kraft, Dak Prescott, Bijan Robinson, Montez Sweat, Caleb Williams, Ben Johnson, C.J. Stroud, Woody Marks, Aaron Rodgers, Todd Bowles, Brock Purdy, Cam Skattebo. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN • How Green Bay stopped getting Jordan Love hit, and the personnel and play action change behind it• Why the way Dallas defends heavy sets plays right into the Packers' hands• Why the Cowboys offense is the biggest test the Green Bay defense has seen all year• How bad the Bears run defense really is once you look at who it has faced, and what Bijan Robinson does on outside zone• What happens to Chicago's run defense when Montez Sweat is off the field• Caleb Williams inside the pocket vs outside it, and why Atlanta wants him to drop back• The run game mismatch in London: Houston's ground game against a Jacksonville front that has not been tested• Why the Jaguars are a pass funnel, and what that opens up for C.J. Stroud• Aaron Rodgers against Todd Bowles: the quick game, the blitz and the coverage he has struggled with• Brock Purdy against base defense, and why Washington plays so much of it• The one run concept the Saints shut down, and why the Giants run it so often CHAPTERS 00:00 Week 6: what you need to know00:46 MATCHUP 1: Jordan Love vs the Cowboys defense03:49 How Green Bay fixed the protection07:27 The Cowboys offense vs Green Bay08:57 Subscribe09:19 MATCHUP 2: Bijan Robinson vs the Bears run defense14:20 Montez Sweat on and off the field16:03 Caleb Williams and the Bears offense19:17 MATCHUP 3: Texans run game vs the Jaguars, London26:39 Rich's Worksheets27:34 MATCHUP 4: Aaron Rodgers vs Todd Bowles31:12 Tampa Bay's Cover 3 and Rodgers33:11 SNEAKY: Brock Purdy vs Washington's base defense35:27 SNEAKY: Giants run game vs the Saints38:22 Wrap Watch the show on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2vGRyoc6V2A Rich writes a full Worksheet preview for every game, every week: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/the-worksheet/ Hosted by Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) and Rich Hribar (@LordReebs). New shows every week: Matchups on Thursday, Best Bets on Friday, the recap on Monday. Follow UsX: @SharpFootball • @LordReebs • @SharpFBAnalysisWeb: sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 5 takeaways from the numbers. The Seahawks handed the 49ers all three touchdowns on turnovers and still finished last in the week in EPA per play, the Commanders led 12 to 3 at the half and let the Giants run the best second half of any offense, the Chargers offense broke in Denver and the Broncos won anyway, the Browns ran one shotgun look into the blitz for four quarters, and LaFleur finally threw over the loaded box. Plus a best bet for Monday Night Football, Rams at Bills, with Curtis. Get the free newsletter, every article plus free bets and player props: sharp.football What You'll Learn • Seattle gave up three touchdowns off turnovers and ranked last in EPA per play, series conversion and plays per drive• The Seahawks' early down runs produced -0.66 EPA per rush, the worst in the week, with a 13.8 percent drop rate, the highest• The Giants went from a 20 percent first half success rate, worst in the week, to 61.5 percent in the second half, the best• Washington's coverage flipped at halftime: man coverage from 22 to 43 percent, two high from 50 to 18 percent, and Jameis Winston went +0.67 EPA per attempt with three touchdowns• Jayden Daniels was blitzed on 73.3 percent of dropbacks, the highest rate any quarterback faced• Harbaugh's Chargers used two back sets on 41.3 percent of snaps, the most in the week, and Justin Herbert's sack plus interception rate was 21.4 percent, the highest• Denver ranked last in third down conversion and pass success rate and won• Cleveland lined up in shotgun on 96.9 percent of snaps against a 56.1 percent blitz rate and took 8 sacks• Green Bay saw 7 or more in the box on 89.8 percent of snaps and Jordan Love averaged 11.8 yards per attempt over it• Chicago turned it over on 41.7 percent of drives with backup quarterbacks, and what the last three weeks say about Caleb Williams• The Steelers put 8 in the box on 75 percent of Colts runs against a 39 percent league average• Monday Night Football: Rams at Bills, with Curtis on the matchup he likes Chapters 00:00 Intro00:20 Seahawks gave away the game05:19 Commanders defense let down again11:13 Herbert and a broken Chargers offense15:57 The Broncos won with the worst offense of the week18:43 Browns ran one shotgun look into the blitz21:43 Subscribe22:22 LaFleur finally gets it24:57 The Bears gave it away, and need Caleb Williams back28:58 Texans step up in London31:20 Steelers did not respect Daniel Jones33:24 The free newsletter34:28 Monday Night Football: Rams at Bills, with Curtis46:44 Wrap-up Watch the show on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bahxb0Z9IZ4 More Resources Free NFL stats tools, Pass Rate Over Expected and more: sharpfootballanalysis.com/stats-nflWeekly, monthly and full season packages: sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages Follow UsX: @SharpFootball and @SharpFBAnalysisYouTube: Sharp Football Analysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 5 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus three of the biggest college football games of the weekend. It starts with three keys that decide how you bet the weekend: Sam Darnold against a 49ers defense that takes away the middle of the field, the Bengals possibly without Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins and why that might help Chase Brown against a Dolphins run defense with a split, and the Bears running outside zone at a Packers defense that cannot stop it. Then Ryan McCrystal on Alabama at Georgia, Oklahoma vs Texas and UCLA at Oregon, Rich Hribar with three props including Monday night, Joe Gibbs on the referees for Lions at Cardinals, Ravens at Falcons and Bills at Rams, and the best bet of the week to close. $5 for all of our Week 5 NFL picks with code WEEK5: https://sharp.footballFree week of OddsJam with code WARREN.Watch the show: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DlVpbB-tBa0 00:00 What is on the show this week01:17 Who wins the middle of the field05:41 Could losing the receivers help Chase Brown?09:12 Outside zone against Green Bay12:58 Ryan McCrystal on three college games23:50 $5 for Week 5 with code WEEK524:45 Rich Hribar's three props31:55 Joe Gibbs on the Week 5 referees41:57 OddsJam42:37 Best bet of the week50:05 Good luck this weekend Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 5 matchups, stats and betting angles: 49ers at Seahawks, Eagles vs Jaguars in London, Colts at Steelers, Raiders at Patriots. The coverages, pressure rates and personnel splits that decide each game, plus two sneaky games: Bears at Packers and Vikings at Saints. This week only: every pick, every prop and every Worksheet for $5 with code WEEK5: https://sharp.football Brock Purdy, Mike Macdonald, Sam Darnold, Nick Bosa, Raheem Morris, Jalen Hurts, Aaron Rodgers, Drake Maye, TreVeyon Henderson, Jordan Love, Tyler Shough, Brian Flores. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN • Why Mike Macdonald's defense is the one Brock Purdy has never solved, and the two coverages it comes down to• What the 49ers pass rush turns into without Nick Bosa, and how Raheem Morris is coaching around it• Why Sam Darnold is about to see exactly what he is worst against• The reason the Eagles do not want to throw, and why they cannot run either• What Jacksonville does to teams in the first half, and what Philadelphia does in the second• The coverage every defense is now playing against Aaron Rodgers, and whether Indianapolis will follow• Where the Colts pass defense is open, and the Steelers receiver who lives there• What Drake Maye cleaned up last week, and the problem that did not go away• Why nobody in New England is making yards for him• How Green Bay fixed Jordan Love, and why Chicago is built the same way• What Brian Flores does to rookie quarterbacks, and what Tyler Shough does when blitzed CHAPTERS 00:00 Cold open: Week 5, what you need to know01:24 MATCHUP 1: Brock Purdy vs Mike Macdonald's defense05:44 Sam Darnold vs the 49ers defense without Bosa11:32 Subscribe12:14 MATCHUP 2: Eagles offense vs Jaguars defense, London20:36 $5 for every pick and every Worksheet, code WEEK521:46 MATCHUP 3: Aaron Rodgers vs the Colts defense27:15 The Worksheet27:41 MATCHUP 4: Drake Maye vs the Raiders defense33:36 SNEAKY: the Packers' fix, and the Bears37:04 SNEAKY: Tyler Shough vs Brian Flores40:51 Wrap Watch the show on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@WarrenSharp Rich writes a full Worksheet preview for every game, every week: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/ Hosted by Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) and Rich Hribar (@LordReebs). New shows every week: Matchups on Thursday, Best Bets on Friday, the recap on Monday. Follow UsX: @SharpFootball • @LordReebs • @SharpFBAnalysisWeb: sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 4 takeaways from the numbers. The most penalties in any NFL week since 2015 and record offensive flags in the red zone, the Texans blew a 10 point lead because they cannot run, the Eagles went three and out five times in the second half, the Rams won while playing left handed, and the Bengals offense fell apart without Ja'Marr Chase. Plus a best bet for tonight's Monday Night Football with Curtis. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN 17 penalties per game in Week 4, the most in any week since 2015 and the most after September since 2005Offenses flagged 6.18 times per 100 snaps, the most through four weeks since 2000, with record red zone penaltiesHow Houston built a 16-6 lead from under center, then went 72% shotgun and ran six times in the second halfDallas in the second half: 56% success, +0.50 EPA per play, a first down on 41% of snaps, all number oneJalen Hurts on third down: 8.4 yards to go, 90% of throws short of the sticks, one completionRams by personnel: -0.14 EPA per play in 11, +0.87 in 12, +0.98 in 13, and the second half run game that won itThe Bengals with and without Chase: +0.40 to +0.04 EPA per attempt, 89% to 69% completionsBo Nix: 24 first half attempts at 3.9 yards each, 41% of throws at or behind the lineThe new free stats page and the Pass Rate Over Expected toolMonday Night Football: Falcons at Saints, with Curtis on the matchup he likesCHAPTERS00:00 Intro00:32 The refs: 17 penalties per game and record offensive flags08:27 Subscribe09:04 Texans can't run and it cost them12:32 The Cowboys second half offense15:00 Strength of schedule: Texans and Jaguars15:53 Eagles offense still broken18:14 Rams played left handed and won20:32 Ja'Marr Chase injury was massive for Cincy23:57 What is the Broncos offense doing?28:57 Monday Night Football: Falcons at Saints, with Curtis31:48 The new free stats page and Pass Rate Over Expected tool38:23 Wrap-up GET THE FREE NEWSLETTEREvery article we write, plus free bets and player props, sent straight to your inbox. Sign up in 30 seconds at https://sharp.football FREE NFL STATS TOOLSPass Rate Over Expected and more, free on the new stats page: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/stats-nfl/ GET THE FULL SLATEWeekly, monthly and full season packages are available now at https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/ Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 4 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus three of the biggest college football games of the weekend. Warren Sharp opens with three matchups that decide how you bet the weekend, then Ryan McCrystal on the Saturday college slate, Rich Hribar with three favorite props including the first London game of the year, Joe Gibbs on the Week 4 referee crews, and the best bet of the week to close. 50% off any season long or monthly package with code SHOW50: https://sharp.football Covered in this episode: Brian Flores, Kirk Cousins, Trevor Lawrence, Joe Burrow, Daniel Jones, Brad Allen, Craig Wrolstad, Land Clark. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN• Why the number one blitz rate in the NFL on early downs is a problem for a quarterback who has not faced an above average blitz yet• The play action split that makes one offense look like two different teams, and the defense that is elite without it and bottom five against it• Why a pass rush that gets home on 59% of third downs only gets there on 25% of early downs, and what that means for a quarterback who is barely pressured• Three college games where a coordinator change, a missed tackle rate and a quarterback holding the ball decide the number• How three referee crews are calling penalties this season and which teams it helps CHAPTERS00:00 What is on the show this week01:39 Why this show is more than the bets02:52 Brian Flores gets the team that fired him05:36 The play action lever Las Vegas is not pulling11:04 Trevor versus time14:20 Ryan McCrystal on three college games23:14 50% off with code SHOW5024:20 Rich Hribar's three props34:01 Joe Gibbs on the Week 4 referees42:50 OddsJam43:19 Best bet of the week52:14 Back on Monday  Watch the full show on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7s695JYfdg PROMO CODESSHOW50 for 50% off any season long or monthly betting package at https://sharp.footballWARREN at OddsJam for a free week trial and 40% off the first month: https://oddsjam.com/nfl/screen/moneyline?promo=warren GUESTSRyan McCrystal, college football betting analyst, Sharp Football AnalysisRich Hribar, Sharp Football AnalysisJoe Gibbs, referee analyst, Sharp Football Analysis MORE RESOURCESSharp Football Analysis: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.comBetting packages: https://sharp.football Follow UsWarren Sharp on X: @SharpFootballRich Hribar on X: @LordReebsSharp Football Analysis on X: @SharpFBAnalysisYouTube: @SharpFootballAnalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Warren Sharp and Rich Hribar break down the four matchups that decide Week 4, plus two under-the-radar games nobody is talking about. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN Why the Eagles pass defense ranking is a mirage, and the three quarterbacks it was built onThe coverage Vic Fangio has quietly taken away from Matthew Stafford in every meetingWhere Sean McVay gets Kyren Williams the box count he never sees anywhere elseThe one formation split that explains the entire Joe Burrow vs Jacksonville matchupWhat happens to the Jaguars pass defense when the pass rush does not get homeThe Buffalo coverage call that broke Drake Maye last season, and whether a new coordinator goes back to itWhat Drake Maye actually does well, and the exact moment in a dropback when it falls apartThe change D'Amico Ryans has made in Houston, and why Dallas is built to attack itWhat Nico Collins is worth to C.J. StroudThe play action split that should decide Chiefs at RaidersWhy the Chargers offensive line is walking into the worst possible building50% off monthly and full season packages with code SHOW50 at sharp.football CHAPTERS00:00 Cold open00:30 Welcome, and the week ahead00:59 MATCHUP 1: Rams offense vs the Eagles defense10:27 The schedule Jalen Hurts has actually faced13:53 Subscribe14:32 MATCHUP 2: Joe Burrow vs the Jaguars defense19:40 The pass protections Jacksonville has faced22:09 50% off monthly and full season packages, code SHOW5023:37 MATCHUP 3: Drake Maye vs the Bills pass defense25:06 The Cover 6 blueprint30:25 The Worksheet31:00 MATCHUP 4: the Texans defense vs Dak Prescott35:43 What Nico Collins is worth to C.J. Stroud37:46 SNEAKY: Raiders play action vs the Chiefs40:13 SNEAKY: Seahawks pass rush vs Justin Herbert42:36 Wrap Rich writes a full Worksheet preview for every game, every week at sharpfootballanalysis.com New shows every week: Matchups on Thursday, Best Bets on Friday, the recap on Monday. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 3 takeaways from the numbers. Dallas mismanaged the clock at the Baltimore 7, the Chargers got 5 Buffalo turnovers and did not even cover, and halftime adjustments decided several games. Plus a few best bets for Monday Night Football, Eagles at Bears, with Curtis. What You'll Learn • Why the Cowboys' timeout with 15 seconds left, the throwaway and the touchback handed Baltimore a chance• Derrick Henry's short yardage numbers: 53% first down rate on 75 runs, ranked 70th of 73 backs• How teams plus 4 in turnovers with 3 or fewer punts were 151-3 straight up since 1990, and the Chargers still lost• The four Chargers drives inside the Bills 30 that produced three field goals, a miss and an interception• Mike McCarthy's halftime change: shotgun from 73% to 52%, third downs from 7.2 to 4.3 yards to go• Why Cincinnati saw the lightest boxes of the week and still ran only 16 times• Jacksonville's run game against the Patriots, and why New England's early down runs against light boxes had a 0% success rate• Drake Maye holding the ball 3.3 seconds and the lowest third down passer rating of the week• How Seattle threw for 393 yards, outgained Washington 6.8 to 4.0 yards per play, and lost• Marcus Mariota pressured on 54% of dropbacks with 0 interceptions and 3 touchdowns• Bryce Young against man coverage versus zone• Monday Night Football: Eagles at Bears, with Curtis on the angles he is watching Chapters 00:00 Intro00:44 The Cowboys botched the end of the game in Baltimore03:53 Derrick Henry in short yardage07:06 How did the Chargers not even cover?12:25 Subscribe and the Best Bet record13:17 Steelers offensive tweaks at halftime13:39 Cincinnati saw light boxes and still rarely ran15:56 What happened to the Patriots offense?20:25 The Commanders unlikely win over Seattle23:37 Bryce Young was fine against man coverage25:08 Monday Night Football: Eagles at Bears, with Curtis33:59 Subscribe to the free newsletter34:39 Wrap-up Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cTi_Vlrn9kI Get the free newsletter: every article we write, plus free bets and player props, sent straight to your inbox. Sign up at sharp.football Get the full slate: weekly, monthly and full season packages at sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages Guests: Curtis Hirsch Follow UsTwitter/X: @SharpFBAnalysisYouTube: Sharp Football AnalysisWebsite: sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 3 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus three of the biggest college football games of the weekend. Warren Sharp is 38-13 (75%) lifetime on podcast best bets, and this is the full Week 3 card: his best bet of the week plus a second bet, three props from Rich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal on three Saturday games and Joe Gibbs on the Week 3 referees. It starts with four NFL matchups. The Chargers defense, stout against the run and falling apart against the pass, going to Buffalo to face Josh Allen. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who has every Seattle touchdown this season, against a Washington defense that blitzes. The Cleveland Browns, who have played the two toughest run defenses in the league and now get one of the softest. And Drake Maye going to Jacksonville, into the coverage that keeps finding him. 45% off the season: the computer totals are back, and code SHOW45 takes 45% off any full season betting package. 70% on computer total recommendations historically over the last six seasons, and 739-431 since 2006, a 63% win rate. sharp.football Games covered: Ole Miss at Florida, USC at Oregon, Texas at Tennessee, Chargers at Bills, Seahawks at Commanders, Browns at Panthers, Patriots at Jaguars, Jets at Lions, Titans at Giants, Chiefs at Dolphins, Texans at Colts, Rams at Broncos on Sunday Night Football and Eagles at Bears on Monday Night Football. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN • Why the Chargers are number two in the NFL against early down runs and still in trouble in Buffalo• The play action and two high mismatch that Buffalo does not have to work to create• Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s blitz usage and what Washington’s blitz rate does to it• Why Cleveland’s whole offensive profile has been a strength of schedule story, and what changes this week• The coverage Drake Maye keeps seeing, and who plays it most in the NFL• Ryan McCrystal on three Saturday games, including the one data point he trusts this early in the season• Rich Hribar’s three Week 3 props and the numbers behind each one, including where he ladders• The referee trends behind Joe Gibbs’ three picks, including a crew the Broncos are 1-6 with at home• Warren’s Week 3 best bet, plus one more bet on a second game CHAPTERS 00:00 Warren’s best bets record and today’s show01:33 Chargers at Bills05:11 Seahawks at Commanders08:21 Browns at Panthers13:26 Patriots at Jaguars16:06 College football with Ryan McCrystal16:24 Ole Miss at Florida18:53 USC at Oregon20:42 Texas at Tennessee24:46 45% off the season with code SHOW4525:57 Rich Hribar prop 1: Jets at Lions29:35 Prop 2: Titans at Giants33:04 Prop 3: Chiefs at Dolphins36:38 The ref report with Joe Gibbs37:10 Texans at Colts38:51 Rams at Broncos, Sunday Night Football41:00 Eagles at Bears, Monday Night Football42:41 OddsJam, code WARREN43:11 Warren’s best bet of the week47:43 One more bet50:04 Wrap-up Watch the video version on YouTube: Sharp Football Analysis PROMO CODESSHOW45: 45% off any full season betting package at sharp.footballOddsJam code WARREN: free week trial and 40% off your first month, oddsjam.com GUESTSRich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis, @LordReebsRyan McCrystal, Sharp Football Analysis, college footballJoe Gibbs, Sharp Football Analysis, referee analysisHosted by Warren Sharp, @SharpFootball MORE RESOURCESThe WorksheetThe 2026 Football Preview bookAll packages Follow UsYouTube • X • sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Four matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 3: the Bills offense against the Chargers defense, Joe Burrow against the Steelers pass rush, the Ravens offense against the Cowboys defense in Brazil, and the Rams offense against the Broncos defense on Sunday night. 45% off the rest of the season. The computer totals start this week, a 70% win rate over the last six seasons. Use code SHOW45 at sharp.football, which comes out around 50 dollars a week for props, sides, totals, teasers, derivatives and the computer totals. Players discussed: Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, Omarion Hampton, Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, Drake Maye, Aaron Rodgers, Lamar Jackson, Zay Flowers, Ronnie Stanley, Caleb Downs, Malik Hooker, Davante Adams, Puka Nacua, Patrick Surtain II, Terrance Ferguson, Bryce Young, Baker Mayfield. What you will learn • Why the Chargers schedule gets far harder starting this week• What Buffalo changed on offense and why the numbers say it is real• How Pittsburgh's pass rush attacks a quick passing game• Why Joe Burrow has barely played the Steelers in three seasons• What the Cowboys injuries in the secondary mean against Lamar Jackson• How the Saints slowed Baltimore in the second half, and whether Dallas can copy it• What the Rams do without Puka Nacua, and why it points at the run game• Two under the radar matchups for Sunday Chapters 00:00 Welcome to the Matchup Show00:29 Four matchups this week01:06 Matchup 1: Bills offense vs Chargers defense04:09 Josh Allen is pushing it downfield05:06 The Chargers defense through two weeks07:45 Are you subscribed?08:19 Matchup 2: Joe Burrow vs the Steelers defense10:13 Burrow's quick game vs Pittsburgh's pass rush13:52 Burrow has barely played the Steelers14:49 The computer totals are back16:09 Matchup 3: Ravens offense vs Cowboys defense18:39 Who the Cowboys are missing20:55 Lamar Jackson with a clean pocket23:54 How the Saints slowed Lamar26:07 The Worksheet: every game, every week26:49 Matchup 4: Rams offense vs Broncos defense28:22 Davante Adams without Puka Nacua30:54 The Rams run game vs Denver32:39 Sneaky matchup: Panthers at Browns36:00 Sneaky matchup: Baker Mayfield vs Brian Flores38:16 See you next week The Worksheet, a full preview of every single game every week written by Rich Hribar, is included with the fantasy packages: the worksheet. All packages: sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/l7rPe4OwrS4 Follow UsX: @SharpFootballX: @LordReebs Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 2 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus the biggest college football game of the weekend. Warren Sharp is 37-13 (74%) lifetime on podcast best bets, and this is the full Week 2 card: his best bet of the week, three props from Rich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal on LSU at Ole Miss and Joe Gibbs on the Week 2 referees. It starts with three things from Week 1 that change how you bet Week 2. Houston's revamped offense and what it does to opponent play volume against the Bengals. Tampa's blitz rate against a Cleveland offense that cannot get the ball out. And the Eagles, a league low on first down and a win anyway, now on the road in Tennessee. Two weeks free: code SHOW35 on the NFL Plus monthly package gets you a full month of Warren's NFL recommendations plus Rich Hribar's breakdown of every game for the price of two weeks. https://sharp.football Games covered: LSU at Ole Miss, Bengals at Texans, Jaguars at Broncos, Saints at Ravens, Browns at Buccaneers and Giants at Rams on Monday Night Football. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN How Houston's offense changed its intent in Week 1 and why opponent play volume is the number to watch Why Tampa's blitz rate against a slow time to throw is the mismatch of the week Why the Eagles offense is a problem even in a win, and what the first down and play action numbers say Ryan McCrystal on LSU at Ole Miss, the doubtful quarterback, and why the line has barely moved Rich Hribar's three Week 2 props and the numbers behind each one, including where he ladders The referee trends behind Joe Gibbs' three picks, including the best home field referee in the league Warren's Week 2 best bet and a scheduling angle that has only happened four times since 1990 CHAPTERS 00:00 Warren's best bets record and today's show 01:10 Houston's revamped offense and opponent play volume 04:02 Tampa's pressure against Cleveland 08:31 What is going on with the Eagles offense 11:39 College football with Ryan McCrystal 12:06 LSU at Ole Miss 20:51 Two weeks free with code SHOW35 22:12 Rich Hribar prop 1: Saints at Ravens 25:04 Prop 2: Jaguars at Broncos 30:44 Prop 3: Jaguars at Broncos 32:43 The ref report with Joe Gibbs 33:20 Bengals at Texans 35:21 Jaguars at Broncos 37:05 Giants at Rams, Monday Night Football 39:29 OddsJam, code WARREN 40:10 Warren's best bet of the week 47:59 Wrap-up PROMO CODES SHOW35: two weeks free on the NFL Plus monthly package at https://sharp.football OddsJam code WARREN: free week trial and 40% off your first month, https://oddsjam.com/nfl/screen/moneyline?promo=warren GUESTS Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis, @LordReebs Ryan McCrystal, Sharp Football Analysis, college football Joe Gibbs, Sharp Football Analysis, referee analysis Hosted by Warren Sharp, @SharpFootball MORE RESOURCES The Worksheet: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/the-worksheet/ The 2026 Football Preview book: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/ All packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/ Follow us: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis and https://x.com/SharpFootball Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Three matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 2: the Bears offense against Brian Flores and the Vikings defense, the Steelers offense against the Patriots defense, and Dak Prescott against the Commanders pass defense. Buy two weeks, get two weeks free. A full month of NFL betting recommendations plus Rich Hribar's breakdown of every game for the price of two weeks. Use code SHOW35 on the NFL Plus Monthly package at sharp.football. Players discussed: Caleb Williams, Jordan Love, Carson Wentz, Justin Jefferson, Aaron Rodgers, Jaylen Warren, Rico Dowdle, Jadarian Price, Drew Lock, Dak Prescott, Jalen Hurts, CeeDee Lamb, Jayden Daniels, Derrick Henry, Jahmyr Gibbs, Cam Ward. What you will learn • How Brian Flores has blitzed Caleb Williams in all four meetings• The shotgun vs under center split that could decide Bears at Vikings• What the Vikings offense looks like with Carson Wentz• How much the Steelers offense changed with Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy• Why the Steelers backfield split could tighten toward Jaylen Warren• Why Dak Prescott's Week 1 was not all on Dak, and what he does against the blitz• Two under the radar matchups for Sunday Chapters 00:00 Welcome to the Matchup Show00:36 Matchup 1: Bears offense vs Vikings defense05:08 Shotgun or under center: how the Bears beat Flores09:25 Three shows every week10:03 The Vikings offense with Carson Wentz12:48 Matchup 2: Steelers offense vs Patriots defense15:09 Aaron Rodgers and the new Steelers offense17:26 Can Pittsburgh run on New England19:43 Jaylen Warren vs Rico Dowdle21:37 Matchup 3: Dak Prescott vs Commanders pass defense23:32 Dak vs the blitz and Dan Quinn26:39 The Cowboys defense problem30:24 The Worksheet: every game, every week31:05 Sneaky important matchups31:40 Rich's pick: Ravens run game vs the Saints34:14 Warren's pick: Eagles defense vs Titans offense36:52 See you next week The Worksheet, a full preview of every single game every week written by Rich Hribar, is included with the fantasy packages: the worksheet. All packages: sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages Follow UsX: @SharpFootballX: @LordReebs Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 1 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus two college football sides for Saturday. Warren Sharp is 36-13 (73%) lifetime on podcast best bets, and this is the full Week 1 card: his best bet of the week, three props from Rich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal's college football picks and Joe Gibbs on the Week 1 referees. Week 1 sale: code SHOW85 takes 85% off any weekly betting package, every Week 1 recommendation plus early Week 2 action for $15. Code SHOW25 takes 25% off a monthly or season-long package. sharp.football Players and teams discussed: Jayden Daniels, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Rhamondre Stevenson, Arch Manning and Bryce Underwood. Seahawks at Patriots, Ohio State at Texas, Oklahoma at Michigan, Bengals vs Buccaneers, Bears vs Panthers, Saints at Lions, Packers at Vikings, Cowboys at Giants and Broncos at Chiefs. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN • Which teams moved to under center the most this preseason, and why it matters for Daniels, Lamar and Burrow• Why Week 1 is the week to be careful with your bankroll, and why Week 2 is overreaction week• How to use alt ladders on player props• Ryan McCrystal's picks for Ohio State at Texas and Oklahoma at Michigan• Rich Hribar's three Week 1 props and the numbers behind each one• The referee trends behind Joe Gibbs' three picks• Warren's Week 1 best bet and the numbers behind it CHAPTERS 00:00 Warren's best bets record and today's show01:06 Seahawks over Patriots: the opener02:33 Quarterbacks going under center more in 202609:08 New coaches, new roles, new prices13:21 How we bet props (and the Stevenson ladder)17:30 College football picks with Ryan McCrystal18:16 Ohio State at Texas pick21:44 Oklahoma at Michigan pick25:31 85% off the Week 1 betting package26:58 Rich Hribar prop 1: Bengals vs Bucs29:35 Prop 2: Bears vs Panthers32:23 Prop 3: Saints at Lions35:38 The ref report with Joe Gibbs36:29 Packers at Vikings38:34 Cowboys at Giants, Sunday Night Football40:55 Broncos at Chiefs, Monday Night Football43:46 Warren's best bet of the week51:34 Wrap-up Watch the video version on YouTube: https://youtu.be/KEB0lOgXzl8 PROMO CODESSHOW85: 85% off any weekly betting package at sharp.footballSHOW25: 25% off a monthly or season-long packageOddsJam code WARREN: free trial and 40% off your first month, oddsjam.com GUESTSRich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis, @LordReebsRyan McCrystal, Sharp Football Analysis, college footballJoe Gibbs, Sharp Football Analysis, referee analysisHosted by Warren Sharp, @SharpFootball MORE RESOURCESThe WorksheetThe 2026 Football Preview bookAll packages Follow UsYouTube • X • sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.