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ECNFIN is about Economics, Finance, and Investments. You will learn about the health of the economy, monetary and fiscal policies, valuations of the stock market, investment strategies, and geopolitical risk. Original articles and more information are published on ecnfin.com

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Winners and Losers for the Week of May 26–May 30, 2025

2025/06/02

During the week of May 26–May 30, 2025, the best-performing asset classes were (see Table 1): The worst-performing asset classes for the week were: This week also marked the end of the second quarter of 2025. For the quarter, Bitcoin... Read More ›

Winners and Losers for the Week of May 12 – May 16, 2025

2025/05/18

During the week of May 12 – May 16, 2025, technology stocks experienced significant positive appreciation, driven in part by relaxed export restrictions and deal-making initiatives by President Trump (see Table 1). Top-Performing Asset Classes: The biggest loser for the... Read More ›

Winners and Losers for the Week of May 5 – May 9, 2025

2025/05/10

During the week of May 5 – May 9, 2025, the major economic news was that the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rate range between 4.25% and 4.5%. The Fed emphasized that while the current economy appears stable, the future... Read More ›

The Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady: What Does It Mean for Investors?

2025/05/08

The Federal Reserve announced today that it will maintain its short-term interest rate within the range of 4.25% to 4.5%. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell described the economic outlook as “highly uncertain” but also noted that the economy remains stable.... Read More ›

Asset Allocation Based on 20 Years of Market Data

2025/05/07

Is there a preferred asset allocation that can consistently deliver positive risk-adjusted returns across all market environments? This paper analyzes 20 years of market data to answer that question. In this research paper, I analyze 20 years of stock market... Read More ›

Investing Principle #14: The stock markets are informationally efficient and may provide opportunities for long-term investors.

2025/05/02

The stock market is informationally efficient. It reflects nearly all available public information in stock prices. You have an opportunity to know about the company and the stock price as much as anybody else can legally. For beginner investors, selecting... Read More ›

Is the S&P 500 Fairly Valued as of April 30, 2025?

2025/05/01

The stock market has been highly volatile. As of April 30, 2025, the S&P 500 Index has recovered 62% of its losses from the year’s low, yet remains approximately 9% below its year’s high. With new Gross Domestic Product (GDP)... Read More ›

Investing Principle #13: Information travels near the speed of light. Do not try to overrun it.

2025/05/01

The financial markets are pretty efficient. High-frequency traders have fiber-optic cables in close proximity to major US stock exchanges. Many trades are done using computer algorithms. These trades are executed near the speed of light. Whenever you hear or see... Read More ›

Investing Principle #12: There are no shortcuts. If it is too good to be true, it probably is.

2025/04/30

You may remember a hype around GameStop and stories of investors turning $500 into $200,000. Stories like this can cause the investor to fall victim to the cognitive bias – bandwagon effect. Just because more and more people are buying... Read More ›

Investing Principal # 11: Select the right financial advisor who will represent your best interest

2025/04/28

At some point, you may want to seek the help of a financial advisor. A financial advisor can provide education, guidance, and personalized strategies to help you reach your financial goals. They can also conduct research, manage your investments, and... Read More ›

Winners and Losers for the week April 17-25, 2025.

2025/04/26

From the market close on April 17th to the close on April 25th, the best-performing asset classes and sectors were: The lagging sectors during the same period were: Year-to-Date (YTD) Performance Highlights: On the downside (YTD): Disclosures:The analysis is based... Read More ›

Investing Principal #10: Be aware of individual company risk and do your homework

2025/04/25

Investing in individual company stocks may provide an attractive potential return, but it comes with both company-specific and market risk combined. Most investors like to brag about the high-performing stock picks they made during cocktail parties; it is very exciting... Read More ›

Investing Principal 9: Diversification may lower volatility and help you achieve your financial goals.

2025/04/24

A diversified portfolio can create a more comfortable environment for investors to weather the ups and downs of the stock market. A well-diversified portfolio typically carries lower risk while maintaining potential upside. Investors are more likely to stay the course... Read More ›

Investing Principal #8: Understand your risk tolerance before you invest.

2025/04/23

The first step in building an investment portfolio is to understand your true risk tolerance before investing. How much risk can you tolerate both in theory and in practice? It is easy to fall a victim of being a risk... Read More ›

Investing Principle #7: How investment returns may improve your quality of life?

2025/04/22

By now, you understand what it takes to build a sizable investment portfolio over time. John began investing $100 per month, with an assumed 12.5% annual return, he was able to accumulate $510,000 by the age of 50. But what... Read More ›