
Advertise on podcast: Courtside Financial Podcast
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This podcast has
632 episodes
Language
EnglishPublisher
Courtside FinancialExplicit
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Date created
2020/11/23
Latest episode
2026/11/11
Average duration
12 min.
Release period
12 days
Description
Welcome to Courtside Financial, your ultimate destination for quick, insightful snapshots at the intersection of business and technology! Hosted by Obi, our channel delivers short-form podcast episodes packed with essential highlights and trending topics in the world of commerce and innovation. Whether you're on the move or prefer condensed content, Courtside Financial provides you with bite-sized doses of insights that fit perfectly into your busy schedule. From market updates to tech breakthroughs, we've got you covered with concise and engaging content.
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Check latest episodes from Courtside Financial Podcast podcast
Hype vs. Receipts: Nvidia, Anthropic's IPO, And CoreWeave's Interest Bill
2026/11/11
Everybody's selling a story. Obi sorts the hype from the receipts: Nvidia's CEO review (confirmed vs. alleged), the reported Anthropic IPO, CoreWeave's Q3 and its $846M interest bill, hot CPI and the Fed, Mayweather vs. Ryan Garcia, and why China's car buyers are getting older. Not financial advice.
Nvidia Opens Investigation Into CEO Jensen Huang: What's Confirmed vs Alleged
2026/11/10
Nvidia's board opened an independent investigation into CEO Jensen Huang after he admitted infidelity in a memo and after reports that US officials believe a businesswoman he was involved with was gathering information for Beijing. Those claims are alleged and unproven, and the board says it has no reason to believe national security or company secrets were compromised.
On this episode: what's confirmed vs alleged, why Nvidia fell while AMD and Micron rallied, reported Anthropic IPO talk, the Waymo safety review, Cybertruck winding down, and CATL's battery-swap push vs NIO.
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Not financial advice. Stay courtside.
The Election Rally Just Reversed: Nasdaq -5%, Waymo Leaves Uber, China Cars Collapse
2026/11/05
The post-election rally reversed fast. After the Dow's best post-midterm day in decades, the Nasdaq fell about 5% intraday on Thursday and chip stocks dropped around 11%, as investors reportedly reassessed what a Democratic Congress means for AI infrastructure. Market figures were recorded around 1 pm ET, before the close.
Also: Waymo reportedly ends Uber exclusivity in Austin and Atlanta from January 2028, China's car market keeps shrinking (Volvo, Nissan, Honda), and NIO's ES8 special edition and Nov 25 Tech Day.
Dial Tone, my debut novel, is out now: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0H1VRFS5RNordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/aff_c?offer_id=15&aff_id=143053&url_id=902NordPass: https://go.nordpass.io/aff_c?offer_id=488&aff_id=143053&url_id=9356Discord: https://discord.gg/GSbp4wR
Not financial advice. Stay courtside.
Dow Rips 1,500 Points After Midterms. China's Car Market Is Down 25%. NIO's Problem.
2026/11/05
Democrats took Congress and the Dow surged 3.03%, its best post-midterm day in 44 years. Oil fell nearly 8% and yields dropped. Meanwhile China's October car sales reportedly fell about 25%, and NIO's swap network, now past 130 million swaps, is busy but not yet paying for itself.
On this episode: what the market is betting on, why China's car market is contracting, the swap economics (about 24-26 a day vs a reported 60-70 to break even), the Geely deal, and NIO Tech Day on November 25.
Dial Tone, my debut novel, is out now: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0H1VRFS5RNordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/aff_c?offer_id=15&aff_id=143053&url_id=902NordPass: https://go.nordpass.io/aff_c?offer_id=488&aff_id=143053&url_id=9356Discord: https://discord.gg/GSbp4wR
Not financial advice. Stay courtside.
Will Your EV Battery Die Young? NIO Says No
2026/11/04
NIO passed 130 million cumulative battery swaps today, 88 days after 120 million. The network now has 4,236 swap stations in China, and 84.5% of users live within about 2 miles of one.
On this episode: why that matters after NIO's first YoY delivery decline in 31 months, the battery design problem that can turn a chassis scrape into a six-figure repair quote, how PetroChina is posting record profit while fuel sales fall, and how US markets are trading election day.
Dial Tone, my debut novel, is out now: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0H1VRFS5RNordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/aff_c?offer_id=15&aff_id=143053&url_id=902NordPass: https://go.nordpass.io/aff_c?offer_id=488&aff_id=143053&url_id=9356Discord: https://discord.gg/GSbp4wR
Not financial advice. Stay courtside.
NIO Just Broke Its 31-Month Streak. Is This the Start of the End?
2026/11/03
NIO's 31-month growth streak is over. October deliveries came in at 34,246, down 15.2% from last year. The NIO brand grew 5.7% and Firefly hit a record 7,738, but Onvo fell 51.7% for its fifth straight monthly decline.
On this episode: is NIO retreating or focusing, what the Geely deal for 30% of NIO Power really means, and the Q4 math (about 42,900 a month needed in November and December to hit the 40,000+ target).
Plus: the Nasdaq's worst month since March 2025, Apple's first call under CEO John Ternus, Palantir's US commercial surge, and the week ahead with the Fed, Friday's jobs report and the midterms.
Dial Tone, my debut novel, is out now: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0H1VRFS5RNordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/aff_c?offer_id=15&aff_id=143053&url_id=902NordPass: https://go.nordpass.io/aff_c?offer_id=488&aff_id=143053&url_id=9356Discord: https://discord.gg/GSbp4wR
Not financial advice. Stay courtside.
NIO Jumps 4% On Software Upgrade, Transformer Co-Inventor Joins OpenAI & Gas Drops Below $4
2026/06/19
Four stories today — all connected to your portfolio.
NIO's US-listed shares jumped nearly 4% in overnight
trading after the company rolled out a major upgrade
to its NIO World Model driver-assist platform — reaching
over 700,000 vehicles, including cars sold up to four
years ago. The update runs across both Nvidia Orin-X
chips and NIO's own in-house Shenji chips simultaneously.
NIO claims lower latency, smoother vehicle control, and
industry-leading route selection without HD maps.
Driver-assist usage has doubled since January and the
AI compiler boosted inference performance by 20%.
NIO's head of autonomous driving R&D, Ren Shaoqing, said
this week that NIO has caught up on its "smart driving
lesson" and that technology innovation in this space is
about to restructure the entire competitive landscape.
William Li separately warned of a potential 20% contraction
in China's auto market this year — yet NIO maintains its
50% delivery growth target regardless.
Noam Shazeer, co-inventor of the transformer architecture
that powers every modern large language model including
GPT, Claude, and Gemini, just left Google for OpenAI.
Shazeer previously left Google to found Character.AI,
returned in a multi-billion dollar deal in 2024, and is
now switching labs again less than two years later.
The AI talent war has reached the point where the
literal inventor of the foundational technology is being
recruited between every major lab simultaneously.
Gas prices dropped below $4 per gallon today for the
first time since March — a direct result of Brent crude
falling to $79 as markets price in tomorrow's formal
Iran deal signing ceremony in Switzerland. The sequence
is playing out as forecast: oil down, consumer prices
down, inflation pressure easing. Shippers are already
reporting a slow recovery through Hormuz shipping routes.
Chinese EVs now represent 6 of every 10 electric vehicles
sold globally. Nearly 75% of all EVs produced worldwide
are made in China. Export growth to markets without
import controls has been staggering — up 130% in
Southeast Asia, 60% in the Middle East, 55% in Latin
America year over year. Canada alone sold 940,000
Chinese-made electric cars last year, up roughly 50%.
📖 Dial Tone: A Modern Salesman's Story — my debut novel.
A novel for everyone quietly wondering if there's more.
E-Book and Paperback available NOW on Amazon.
🔗 https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0H1VRFS5R
---
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💬 Discord: https://discord.gg/GSbp4wR
Courtside Financial. Hosted by Obi.
NIO Delivers Saturday. Chinese EVs Enter Via Mexico. SpaceX Is Cooling Off. Fed Hikes Coming.
2026/06/18
Six stories today — NIO leads and the China EV global
expansion story is the one your portfolio needs to hear.
NIO Champion Edition deliveries start Saturday June 20th
— ET5, ET5 Touring, and EC6 all launching simultaneously.
Starting at 313,000 yuan, better equipped and cheaper than
last year's versions. The 5566 lineup has been struggling —
down 56.3% year over year in May — and the Champion Editions
are NIO's answer. William Li said making EV models lighter
takes courage. In May pure EVs outsold combustion cars in
China for the first time ever. He expects 70% NEV
penetration by Q3 2026.
Chinese automakers can't enter the US because of 102.5%
tariffs. So they're flanking. Geely acquired Ford's factory
in Valencia Spain. BYD is in talks with Stellantis for idle
European factories. Xpeng is talking to Volkswagen about
a European plant. BYD's Brazil factory holds 12.8% of
Brazil's auto market, outselling Volkswagen and Fiat.
And several Chinese automakers are exploring Mexico as
the route into North America under USMCA preferential
trade access. China's auto exports are up 61.5% year
over year in the first four months of 2026. The tariff
wall didn't stop Chinese EVs. It redirected them.
Kevin Warsh held his first Fed press conference and
repeatedly stressed "price stability" as his guiding
principle. Money markets immediately priced in a rate
hike by October. S&P 500 fell 1.2%. Two-year Treasury
yields climbed 16 basis points. The most hawkish Fed
signal since the Iran war started.
But the Iran deal signs this Friday in Switzerland.
The 14-point memorandum covers a permanent ceasefire,
Hormuz reopening, and immediate Iranian oil export
waivers. Brent crude is already at $79. Oil futures
are pricing $72 by February. When oil falls inflation
follows. When inflation falls rate cuts return. When
rate cuts return growth stocks re-rate upward.
Friday's signing is the real signal for your portfolio.
BMW cut its 2026 profit guidance citing China demand
weakness that "cannot be compensated" by Europe and US
gains. State Farm's new agent contracts face massive
backlash as AI looms over the insurance industry.
SpaceX shares are losing post-IPO steam. And the USA
World Cup opener smashed every US soccer broadcast
record — the business story behind the headline.
📖 Dial Tone: A Modern Salesman's Story — my debut novel.
A novel for everyone quietly wondering if there's more.
E-Book and Paperback available NOW on Amazon.
🔗 https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0H1VRFS5R
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Promo 8.1% APY is for new users only. Cash Sweep Required.
Rates may change. Actual APY may vary. Moomoo is not a bank.
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💬 Discord: https://discord.gg/GSbp4wR
Courtside Financial. Hosted by Obi.
SpaceX Buys Cursor For $60B, 80% Of Enterprise AI Produces Nothing & Pizza Hut Sells For Irrelevance
2026/06/17
Five stories today — one of the most stacked news days
of the year.
SpaceX confirmed Tuesday it is acquiring Cursor —
the AI coding tool developed by Anysphere — for $60
billion in an all-stock deal closing Q3 2026. Cursor
generates $2.6 billion in annualized B2B revenue and
is used by Fortune 500 developers globally. SpaceX's
stock gained 16% on Tuesday, surpassing Amazon in
market cap. Elon Musk now controls SpaceX, xAI, Grok,
Tesla, X, and the world's most used AI coding tool.
SpaceX has also signed $26 billion per year in compute
deals with Anthropic and Google combined.
NIO Day 2026 preparations just started — advisory
group applications are open now with a June 18 deadline.
Deutsche Bank expects NIO's Q2 non-GAAP net profit to
reach approximately 180 million yuan — a second
consecutive profitable quarter driven by high-margin
ES8 and ES9 SUV performance. NIO AGM is June 24th.
Deloitte surveyed 3,235 business and IT leaders across
24 countries: 74% want AI to grow revenue, only 20%
have seen it happen — a 54-point gap between ambition
and reality. 80-85% of enterprises miss their AI budget
forecasts by more than 25%. Uber blew its entire 2026
AI coding budget by April. One company racked up a
$500 million Claude bill from forgetting to set usage
limits. The era of AI accountability has started.
Yum Brands is selling Pizza Hut for $2.7 billion.
Brand recognition without innovation is nostalgia with
a price tag. BlackRock is laying off for the third time
in 18 months as AI replaces financial services roles
faster than anyone predicted publicly.
The US confirmed it will lift Iran oil sanctions the
moment the accord is formally signed. Accord signed.
Sanctions lifted. Iranian oil returns. Oil drops.
Inflation eases. Rate cuts return. Growth stocks
re-rate upward. Watch for the signature.
📖 Dial Tone: A Modern Salesman's Story — my debut novel.
A novel for everyone quietly wondering if there's more.
E-Book and Paperback available NOW on Amazon.
🔗 https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0H1VRFS5R
---
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+ limited time 8.1% APY
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Terms and Conditions apply. Securities offered through MFI,
Member FINRA/SIPC. See Full Disclosures:
https://invest.us.moomoo.com/_disclosure
Promo 8.1% APY is for new users only. Cash Sweep Required.
Rates may change. Actual APY may vary. Moomoo is not a bank.
Click the link for Bank List and Program Terms.
🔐 Nord Security:
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💬 Discord: https://discord.gg/GSbp4wR
Courtside Financial. Hosted by Obi.
William Li: China Auto Down 20%, NIO Growing 50% & Are American Automakers Isolating The World?
2026/06/16
Four stories today — all connected to your NIO position
and the broader Chinese EV investment thesis.
William Li spoke at the China Auto Chongqing Summit on
June 13th and said something most CEOs would never say
publicly. China's domestic auto retail sales declined
19.5% year over year in the first five months of 2026.
Early June accelerated to down 22%. The full year could
fall 15-20%. He called this the most brutal competitive
environment he's faced since entering the industry.
Then he reaffirmed NIO will grow 40-50% this year anyway.
That's not a contradiction. China's passenger vehicle
ownership has reached 370 million units — the market has
shifted from growth to replacement demand. Saturated
markets reward brands with real differentiation and
punish brands that competed on price alone. NIO spent
68.8 billion yuan on R&D and 20 billion yuan on charging
and battery swap infrastructure. The ES8 is number one
large SUV in China for six consecutive months. The ES9
has a 17-week queue. The Firefly outsells Mini and Smart
combined. NIO designed itself for this exact moment.
From the Chinese internet — are American automakers
isolating themselves from the world? Chinese EVs face
102.5% tariffs in the US but are winning Canada, Europe,
Southeast Asia, and the Middle East simultaneously.
China and Canada just agreed to allow 49,000 Chinese
vehicles in at reduced tariffs. The US consumer is being
priced out of the world's most competitively priced EVs.
The security arguments are real — but so is the market
outcome. US auto faces higher costs and fewer global
opportunities while Chinese brands expand everywhere else.
The Pentagon added NIO to its Chinese military companies
list on June 9th. NIO called it unjustified and threatened
legal action. This is not a sanctions list and does not
restrict trading of NIO securities. Some institutional
mandates force selling — that's real but finite pressure.
18 analysts have buy ratings. The average price target
implies 27% upside. NIO's AGM is June 24th — nine days
from now. That's the meeting that actually matters.
China's NEV penetration rate hit 62.9% in May. Pure
battery electric vehicles were 42.2% of all new car sales.
William Li said the transition is irreversible. Six out
of ten new cars sold in China are electric or hybrid.
That's not a trend anymore. That's a completed transition.
NIO is built for the world that already exists.
📖 Dial Tone: A Modern Salesman's Story — my debut novel.
A novel for everyone quietly wondering if there's more.
E-Book and Paperback available NOW on Amazon.
🔗 https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0H1VRFS5R
---
📊 Moomoo US: Up to $1000 in NVDA shares with deposit
+ limited time 8.1% APY
🔗 https://start.moomoo.com/0AY120
Terms and Conditions apply. Securities offered through MFI,
Member FINRA/SIPC. See Full Disclosures:
https://invest.us.moomoo.com/_disclosure
Promo 8.1% APY is for new users only. Cash Sweep Required.
Rates may change. Actual APY may vary. Moomoo is not a bank.
Click the link for Bank List and Program Terms.
🔐 Nord Security:
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💬 Discord: https://discord.gg/GSbp4wR
Courtside Financial. Hosted by Obi.
Li Auto Deleted The ES9 Video, NIO Hits Two June Milestones & The Bear Case Questions Worth Asking
2026/06/08
Four stories today — starting with the controversy
dominating Chinese automotive social media right now.
Li Auto posted a chassis comparison video on their
official platform comparing the Li L9 Livis to the
NIO ES9. The video was designed to make the ES9 look
inferior. NIO's VP of Branding Ma Lin went public on
Weibo and challenged the video's authenticity — stating
that what it showed was physically impossible given the
ES9's suspension specifications. Li Auto deleted the
video without responding. This is not the first time.
The pattern is a company under sales pressure reaching
for competitive tactics that keep backfiring. Li Auto's
year-over-year sales have been falling for most of the
past 12 months. A company that is winning doesn't need
to manufacture evidence against a competitor.
NIO president Qin Lihong confirmed the All-New ES8 will
complete its 120,000th delivery in June. At the same time
the ES9 hits its 10,000th delivery — in its very first
full month of production. Two milestones. Same month.
The barbell is working. NIO June total deliveries are
expected to top 40,000 units.
My Discord raised the honest bear case questions this
week. NIO is running on a few demand engines. If those
slow down without new ones behind them Q3 and Q4 gets
complicated. The R&D restructuring concern — subsidiaries
absorbing innovation spend off the consolidated books —
is a real question. Is profitability being achieved by
weakening the long-term innovation engine? I don't want
that trade. NIO's approach is more conservative than
Xpeng's physical AI moonshot. Conservative can be right.
Conservative can also mean getting outflanked. The jury
is still out and these questions deserve honest answers.
NIO fell 5.8% on the week because the May jobs report
doubled consensus at 172,000 added. The 10-year yield
spiked to 4.54%. "Good news is bad news" — strong jobs
means the Fed doesn't cut. Kevin Warsh walks into a rate
hike environment nobody expected. This is a macro story
not a NIO thesis story. Watch oil. Watch the Iran deal.
That's your real signal.
📖 Dial Tone: A Modern Salesman's Story — my debut novel.
A novel for everyone quietly wondering if there's more.
E-Book pre-order available now. Hard copy June 12th.
🔗 https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0H1VRFS5R
---
📊 Moomoo US: Up to $1000 in NVDA shares with deposit
+ limited time 8.1% APY
🔗 https://start.moomoo.com/0AY120
Terms and Conditions apply. Securities offered through MFI,
Member FINRA/SIPC. See Full Disclosures:
https://invest.us.moomoo.com/_disclosure
Promo 8.1% APY is for new users only. Cash Sweep Required.
Rates may change. Actual APY may vary. Moomoo is not a bank.
Click the link for Bank List and Program Terms.
🔐 Nord Security:
- NordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/aff_c?offer_id=15&aff_id=143053&url_id=902
- NordPass: https://go.nordpass.io/aff_c?offer_id=488&aff_id=143053&url_id=9356
💬 Discord: https://discord.gg/GSbp4wR
Courtside Financial. Hosted by Obi.
NIO Zigging While Rivals Zag — Motley Fool Validates + Uber AI Budget Explosion & VC Horror Stories
2026/06/06
NIO is playing a different game — and Motley Fool just called it out. While competitors chase export volume and watch margins collapse, NIO focuses on winning the domestic market with brand, tech, and community.
William Li’s warning that China’s automotive golden era is over actually strengthens NIO’s positioning in a mature, saturated market.
Plus: Uber burned through its full 2026 AI budget by April, one company hit a $500 million Claude bill, enterprise AI costs are exploding, and founders are finally naming names on VC horror stories (including Sequoia passing on today’s $87B Cloudflare). May jobs report (+172k) adds macro pressure for the new Fed chair.
Real talk from Obi: NIO’s strategy looks increasingly smart, the AI spending narrative is getting stress-tested, and capital allocation biases have real consequences.
Dial Tone: A Modern Salesman's Story — my debut novel. Pre-order now on Amazon (E-book ready, hard copy June 12th).
🔗 https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0H1VRFS5R
Moomoo, Nord Security, and Discord links in the full show notes.
Courtside Financial. Hosted by Obi. NIO bull. Objective lens.
NIO ES9 Ramping to 10K Deliveries, GigaDevice Chip Partnership, Mirattery Win — XPENG Drama & Tech Updates
2026/06/05
NIO is executing. The ES9 flagship is already on pace for 10,000 deliveries this month with strong waitlists on higher trims. Fresh today: partnership with GigaDevice on next-gen automotive chips and another smart financing move through Mirattery at ultra-low rates.
We also check XPENG — strong demand on the GX SUV but a notable loss in their robotics team. Plus the hot US jobs report, Supabase hitting $10B valuation, Mira Murati speaking out, GM’s battery push, and a quick SpaceX/NASA moment.
Real talk: NIO’s steady progress in the premium segment stands out while competition stays intense and macro throws some short-term pressure. The affluent buyer thesis and tech integration moves are what matter long-term.
Dial Tone: A Modern Salesman's Story — my debut novel is now available for pre-order on Amazon. E-book ready now, hard copy June 12th.
🔗 https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0H1VRFS5R
Moomoo, NordVPN/NordPass, and Discord links in the full show notes.
Courtside Financial. Hosted by Obi. NIO bull. Objective lens.
NIO's Buyer Isn't A Ferrari Customer | Rolls-Royce Roasted, Broadcom Misses & Iran Updates
2026/06/04
Four stories today — starting with the luxury car
conversation that connects directly to your NIO thesis.
Rolls-Royce unveiled the new Spectre electric car and
the Chinese internet destroyed it immediately — too
conservative, no technology story, just an expensive
car with a plug. A Chinese financial analysis summed it
up: domestic luxury brands still have a lot to learn
about what luxury means in 2026. Ferrari got the same
treatment with the Luce last week but the follow-up
analysis argues Ferrari prepared for it and doesn't care
— their target is the tech nouveau riche globally,
not Chinese internet approval.
Here's the nuance everyone is missing. The NIO buyer
is neither of these people. Ferrari and Rolls-Royce
buyers have exorbitant disposable income — these are
toys, discretionary purchases alongside yachts and
private jets. The NIO ES9 buyer at 498,000 yuan is a
wealthy professional making a serious primary vehicle
decision. That market is enormous. Ferrari's is
deliberately tiny. Western luxury brands struggling
to connect with Chinese consumers is a gift to NIO —
which has spent 8 years studying exactly what the
Chinese affluent professional buyer wants.
Bloomberg published "How the Iran War Is Boosting
Clean Energy in Asia and Europe" today — the same
thesis this channel has been making since February.
The energy price shock from Hormuz is accelerating
EV adoption globally. Chinese companies supply the
alternatives. NIO exports are already reflecting it.
Broadcom reported earnings and missed — stock plunged
double digits. CrowdStrike also dropped sharply. The
Nasdaq fell 0.76% while the Dow gained over 1% as
investors rotated out of chip stocks. First real
crack in the AI chip trade. Speed bump not collapse —
the underlying AI infrastructure spending is real
and continues regardless of any single earnings miss.
The House passed a war powers resolution limiting
Trump on Iran — he called it meaningless. Israel and
Lebanon agreed to a ceasefire today — oil and yields
slipped. The direction is toward resolution. Jobs
report Friday morning sets the tone for June.
📖 Dial Tone: A Modern Salesman's Story — my debut novel.
A novel for everyone quietly wondering if there's more.
E-Book pre-order available now. Hard copy June 12th.
🔗 https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0H1VRFS5R
---
📊 Moomoo US: Up to $1000 in NVDA shares with deposit
+ limited time 8.1% APY
🔗 https://start.moomoo.com/0AY120
Terms and Conditions apply. Securities offered through MFI,
Member FINRA/SIPC. See Full Disclosures:
https://invest.us.moomoo.com/_disclosure
Promo 8.1% APY is for new users only. Cash Sweep Required.
Rates may change. Actual APY may vary. Moomoo is not a bank.
Click the link for Bank List and Program Terms.
🔐 Nord Security:
- NordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/aff_c?offer_id=15&aff_id=143053&url_id=902
- NordPass: https://go.nordpass.io/aff_c?offer_id=488&aff_id=143053&url_id=9356
💬 Discord: https://discord.gg/GSbp4wR
Courtside Financial. Hosted by Obi.
NIO Burned 100B Yuan In 8 Years, June Is The Verdict & Lotus Just Quit Pure EV After 8 Years
2026/06/04
Four stories today — all connected to the biggest month
in NIO's history.
NIO has burned approximately 100 billion yuan — $14.6
billion — over 8 years since William Li founded the company
in 2014. June is the verdict month. NIO delivered 67,061
vehicles in April and May combined. To hit Q2 guidance of
110,000-115,000 vehicles it needs 42,939 to 47,939 in June
alone. The ES9 is in its first full production month with
over 50,000 pre-orders. Onvo L60 deliveries begin June 11.
Gen 5 swap stations arrive mid to late June. NIO's short
interest just hit a 32-month low — the bears are leaving.
The setup has never been better.
A major Chinese analysis this week asks why Chinese cars
are getting bigger. The answer: margin pressure is forcing
every automaker upmarket into flagship territory where
profits still exist. But the article makes a critical point —
most brands launching flagships above 400,000 yuan are
bystanders. Only brands with years of authentic premium
investment can actually convert those buyers. NIO has spent
8 years building that identity. Most competitors have not.
Lotus — the iconic British sports car brand owned by Geely —
just walked back 8 years of all-electric commitment and
is reintroducing hybrid powertrains. Pure EV was correct
as a direction. But for a performance brand whose customers
track their cars, range anxiety and charging limitations
made the all-electric bet commercially unworkable. The
Chinese internet put it perfectly: "Going fully electric
was correct. Retreating from fully electric is rational."
NIO's battery swap network was built specifically to solve
the problem that just forced Lotus to retreat.
Trump confirmed in a Wednesday interview that Iran has
already agreed not to pursue nuclear weapons — and that
the Strait of Hormuz could reopen as soon as this month.
That triggers a sequence: oil drops, inflation falls,
rate cut expectations return, growth stocks re-rate upward.
Watch oil tonight. Watch Treasury yields. June could be
historic for your portfolio in more ways than one.
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A novel for everyone quietly wondering if there's more.
E-Book pre-order available now. Hard copy June 12th.
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