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Aaron and Mike use DVOA, Post-Game Win Expectancy, advanced NFL analytics and playoff context to look beyond the final scores and explain what Week 9 actually told us. Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis from Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier, including DVOA rankings, NFL predictions, playoff projections, advanced stats and matchup breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. 🏈 Packers 41, Patriots 25 Quite easily “the worst day of Christian Gonzalez’s life,” per Aaron Schatz. 🏈 The Awful Late Window Not a particularly competitive bunch of games between GB-NE, LV-SF, ARZ-SEA, and HOU-LAC in the 4 p.m. slate, but the Houston Texans did emerge looking pretty strong. 🏈 Bengals 34, Falcons 17 Joe Burrow and company went off in Madrid, Spain to defeat a Falcons squad now without safety Jessie Bates III following today’s trade to the Jacksonville Jaguars. 🏈 Bears 27, Buccaneers 24 Chicago eked out this one on the strength of QB Caleb Williams’ early offensive surges; otherwise, the Tampa Bay defense continues to be one of the NFL’s stoutest units. 📈 DVOA Top 12 Preview Aaron breaks down the latest movement at the top of the NFL and which teams are rising or falling after nine weeks. 🏈 Monday Night Football: Bills at Vikings A duo of 6-1 squads battling for top seeding in their respective conference. Who comes out on top? Plenty is going to come down to Josh Allen’s ability to overcome Minnesota’s fearsome defense, and whether or not Carson Wentz can suitably function in primetime in place of Kyler Murray. Plus: the biggest playoff implications, contenders vs. pretenders and Week 9 takeaways from around the NFL. Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis from Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier, including DVOA rankings, NFL predictions, playoff projections, advanced stats and matchup breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz and guest Dan Pizzuta preview Week 9 in the 2026 NFL season, including Patriots-Packers, Buccaneers-Bears, and Bengals-Falcons. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron and Mike use DVOA, Post-Game Win Expectancy, advanced NFL analytics and playoff context to look beyond the final scores and explain what Week 6 actually told us. 🏈 Lions 19, Vikings 15 - The 1972 Miami Dolphins rejoice; no more undefeated teams in the NFL. 🏈 Cardinals 33, Cowboys 30 (OT) - A little bit of 'Gardner Minshew Magic' takes over in the NFC West. 🏈 Unpacking the Baltimore Ravens' future at QB with Lamar Jackson (thumb) headed to injured reserve. 📈 DVOA Top 12 Preview - Aaron breaks down the latest movement at the top of the NFL and which teams are rising or falling after eight weeks. 🏈 Monday Night Football: Chicago Bears at the Seattle Seahawks in the battle of the newly-traded players between Jeffrey Simmons and Quenton Nelson — which team comes out on top in primetime? Plus: the biggest playoff implications, contenders vs. pretenders and Week 8 takeaways from around the NFL. Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis from Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier, including DVOA rankings, NFL predictions, playoff projections, advanced stats and matchup breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

This week, Aaron Schatz and guest Bryan Knowles break down the Jeffrey SImmons trade before getting into Week 8 matchups including Packers-Panthers, Lions-Vikings, Ravens-Bills, and Chiefs-Broncos. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview Week 7's biggest games: Patriots-Bears, Bengals-Ravens, Buccaneers-Panthers, Packers-Lions, and Seahawks-Chiefs. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron and Mike use DVOA, Post-Game Win Expectancy, advanced NFL analytics and playoff context to look beyond the final scores and explain what Week 6 actually told us. 🏈 Texans 34, Jaguars 31 Houston gets a much-needed win over Jacksonville in a tight AFC matchup. 🏈 Cardinals 18, Rams 16 Another frustrating result for Los Angeles puts the Rams directly into the 2-4 conversation. 🏈 Panthers 25, Eagles 14 Carolina pulls off one of the weekend’s biggest wins while Philadelphia’s early-season problems continue. 🏈 Browns 13, Ravens 10 Cleveland wins a low-scoring AFC North battle as Baltimore comes away with more questions. 📊 Reverse PGWE Games Which Week 6 final scores were misleading based on how the teams actually performed? 📈 DVOA Top 12 Preview Aaron breaks down the latest movement at the top of the NFL and which teams are rising or falling after six weeks. 🏈 Monday Night Football: Commanders at 49ers San Francisco enters Monday night 5-0 and No. 1 in DVOA, while Washington looks to pull off the upset and change the direction of its season. Plus: the biggest playoff implications, contenders vs. pretenders and Week 6 takeaways from around the NFL. Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis from Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier, including DVOA rankings, NFL predictions, playoff projections, advanced stats and matchup breakdowns throughout the 2026 season.   #NFL #NFLWeek6 #Week6Recap #DVOA #Rams #Eagles #Texans #Jaguars #Panthers #Ravens #49ers #AaronSchatz #MikeTanier Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview Week 6 in the NFL including Packers-Cowboys, Seahawks-Broncos, and Bears-Falcons. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 5 is here, and Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier are breaking down the biggest matchups, injuries, DVOA trends and playoff implications across the weekend. The spotlight is on the huge NFC West showdown between the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks. San Francisco enters Week 5 ranked No. 1 overall in DVOA, while Seattle owns the No. 1 defense in DVOA. With major division-title implications and key injuries on both sides, this could be one of the most important games of the week. Aaron and Mike also dive into: 🏈 Eagles vs. Jaguars in London Jacksonville enters at No. 2 in DVOA, while Philadelphia looks to overcome offensive-line issues and improve a struggling rushing attack. 🏈 Raiders at Patriots A matchup featuring Las Vegas’ surprising pass protection against a New England defense that has been much stronger against the pass than the run. 🏈 Colts at Steelers Indianapolis brings one of the NFL’s better rushing attacks into Pittsburgh, but the Colts have major concerns in both pass rush and run defense. 🏈 49ers at Seahawks The biggest game of the show. San Francisco’s top-ranked offense faces Seattle’s No. 1 defense, with major NFC West and playoff implications on the line. 🏈 Ravens at Falcons Baltimore enters as a top-five DVOA team, while Atlanta’s offense has surged over the last two weeks. Lamar Jackson’s ankle situation is also one of the biggest injury stories to monitor. The guys also cover the latest Week 5 NFL injury report, playoff odds, offensive and defensive efficiency, blocking matchups, red-zone performance and the betting lines for each featured game. Plus, Aaron breaks down one of DVOA’s favorite Week 5 bets and explains where the numbers see value heading into the weekend. Games covered: Eagles-Jaguars Raiders-Patriots Colts-Steelers 49ers-Seahawks Ravens-Falcons Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Week 4 gave us statement wins, close calls, major injuries and another shakeup in the NFL hierarchy. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier recap the biggest games from the weekend using DVOA, Post-Game Win Expectancy, playoff simulations and matchup data to separate what actually happened from what the final scores might suggest. 🏈 Rams 24, Eagles 20 Los Angeles controlled the efficiency battle despite the close score, finishing with a 96% PGWE. The Eagles went 0-for-12 on third down, averaged just 3.0 yards per play, and lost Saquon Barkley and Quinyon Mitchell during the game. The result also reshapes the NFC East picture, with Dallas now leading FTN’s division simulations. 🏈 Patriots 29, Bills 26 Was this the upset everyone saw coming? Buffalo blitzed Drake Maye 21 times but recorded only one sack, while New England finished with a 60% PGWE. The Bills still lead the AFC East in most simulations and remain the conference favorite. 🏈 Chiefs 30, Raiders 27 Las Vegas kept settling for field goals and paid for it late. A Dareke Young kick-return fumble helped Kansas City create separation, while Brock Bowers and Michael Mayer both produced strong receiving lines. Despite the win, the Chiefs finished with only a 62% PGWE. 🏈 49ers 24, Broncos 14 San Francisco remains on top of the DVOA rankings and still has not allowed a sack through four games. The 49ers’ offense exploded in the fourth quarter after Denver lost Pat Surtain II and Riley Moss, while questions continue about Denver’s slow starts offensively. 📊 Reverse PGWE Games Aaron and Mike examine the games where the result didn’t match the underlying performance, including Packers-Buccaneers, plus three near 50/50 outcomes: Browns-Steelers, Giants-Cardinals and Cowboys-Texans. That also leads into a bigger discussion about Houston and Tampa Bay as two of the strongest 0-4 teams by DVOA since 1978. 📈 DVOA Top 12 After Week 4 San Francisco stays No. 1, Jacksonville sits No. 2, and Kansas City, Buffalo and Baltimore round out the top five. The guys also discuss Minnesota’s extreme offense/defense split and Carolina posting the best offensive DVOA of the week. 🏈 Monday Night Football Preview: Falcons at Saints The show closes with Atlanta-New Orleans, including DVOA rankings, playoff odds and the Saints -1.5 / 47.5 total. Topics include: Rams-Eagles fallout, Patriots-Bills upset, Chiefs-Raiders, 49ers-Broncos, injury updates, reverse PGWE games, the best 0-4 teams by DVOA, updated DVOA Top 12 and Falcons-Saints on Monday night. What was your biggest takeaway from Week 4? Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier are back to break down the biggest matchups of NFL Week 4, starting with the latest league news as Dallas acquires Joey Porter Jr. for a 2028 second-round pick. Then it’s a full slate of matchup analysis using FTN DVOA, playoff probabilities, personnel tendencies, blocking metrics, injury reports and betting lines. The show opens with Rams-Eagles, where Matthew Stafford and the Rams’ passing game face a Philadelphia defense that has struggled against the pass, while Puka Nacua is expected to return. Next, Patriots-Bills brings one of the week’s biggest Super Bowl-odds swings. Buffalo enters 3-0 with the No. 2 offense in DVOA, while New England’s defense has been much stronger against the pass than the run. In Jaguars-Bengals, Jacksonville enters No. 2 overall in DVOA, but Joe Burrow’s success attacking the middle of the field could test one of the Jaguars’ biggest defensive weaknesses. The guys also preview Broncos-49ers, including why blitzing Brock Purdy could be a dangerous idea, before turning to the undefeated Chiefs-Raiders AFC West showdown. Finally, Lions-Panthers closes the show, with Carolina dealing with major secondary and offensive injuries while Detroit brings one of the NFL’s better pass-protection units into Charlotte. Games covered: Rams at Eagles, Patriots at Bills, Jaguars at Bengals, Broncos at 49ers, Chiefs at Raiders and Lions at Panthers. Plus: Week 4 injury updates, DVOA matchup splits, red-zone efficiency, pass and run blocking trends, playoff implications and the betting lines that shape the weekend. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Week 3 is in the books, and the results didn’t always match what the underlying numbers say should have happened. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the biggest takeaways from NFL Week 3, using DVOA, DAVE and Post-Game Win Expectancy (PGWE) to separate the final scores from how teams actually performed. 🏈 Broncos 30, Rams 26 Los Angeles finished with an 86% Post-Game Win Expectancy despite losing in Denver. Aaron and Mike examine the Rams’ 15 penalties, the Broncos’ five penalties and the controversial late defensive pass interference call involving Josh Wallace and Pat Bryant. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… 🏈 Ravens 34, Cowboys 31 Baltimore escaped Dallas in one of Week 3’s biggest games as both teams continue to establish where they belong in the early-season NFL hierarchy. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… 🏈 Jaguars 35, Patriots 6 Jacksonville delivered one of the weekend’s strongest statements with a dominant win over New England. The Jaguars now sit No. 2 in DVOA through Week 3, trailing only San Francisco. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… 🔥 THE REVERSE PGWE FESTIVAL Sometimes the team that played the better game doesn’t get the win. • Panthers had 68% PGWE in a 21-18 loss to Cleveland • Texans had 66% PGWE in a 19-17 loss to Indianapolis • Seahawks had 55% PGWE in a 33-31 loss to Washington • Buffalo’s 24-16 win over the Chargers was not a reverse-PGWE game — Bills finished at 55% The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… 📊 DVOA & DAVE TOP 10 Aaron and Mike reveal the updated league hierarchy after three weeks. San Francisco sits No. 1 in both DVOA and DAVE, while Jacksonville has surged to No. 2 in DVOA. The Rams remain No. 3 in DAVE despite ranking No. 10 in DVOA, creating an interesting early-season debate between performance and projection. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… 🏈 MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Eagles at Bears The show closes by previewing Philadelphia-Chicago. The Eagles enter 13th in DVOA, while the Bears rank 14th, with Chicago set to start Case Keenum at quarterback. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… What was your biggest takeaway from Week 3? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis from Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier, featuring DVOA, DAVE, playoff projections, Post-Game Win Expectancy and deeper analysis of what the final score doesn't always tell you. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Week 3 could tell us a lot about which NFL teams are actually contenders — and which early-season starts we shouldn't believe just yet. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down five of the biggest games of NFL Week 3, using FTN DVOA, playoff probabilities and early-season performance data to identify the matchups that could have the biggest impact on the playoff picture. 🏈 Texans at Colts Two 0-2 AFC South teams enter a game with major playoff implications. Houston and Indianapolis are both searching for their first win, making this one of the biggest early-season swing games on the schedule. 🏈 Patriots at Jaguars Drake Maye and New England are coming off their first win of the season, while Jacksonville tries to respond after letting a double-digit lead get away in Denver. Which 1-1 team takes the next step? 🏈 Ravens at Cowboys Two of the NFL's highest-rated offenses by DVOA meet in Dallas. Can Baltimore rebound from a fourth-quarter collapse, or will Dak Prescott and the Cowboys build off a four-touchdown Week 2 performance? 🏈 Raiders at Saints — The “For Real” Bowl Las Vegas enters 2-0 behind Kirk Cousins and a defense making plays in every phase. New Orleans just pulled off a dramatic comeback in Baltimore. It's time to find out how much of these early-season starts we should believe. 🏈 Rams at Broncos — Sunday Night Football Matthew Stafford and the Rams bounced back in a big way in Week 2, while Denver erased a double-digit deficit to earn its first victory. FTN's numbers see these teams very similarly entering a major prime-time matchup. Aaron and Mike break down DVOA, playoff swings, matchup advantages, Week 2 trends and the numbers that matter most heading into Week 3. Games covered: Texans at Colts Patriots at Jaguars Ravens at Cowboys Raiders at Saints Rams at Broncos Which Week 3 matchup tells us the most about who is actually for real? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis from Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier, including DVOA, playoff odds, projections and data-driven breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Week 2 is here, and several of the biggest games on the schedule could already have major playoff and Super Bowl implications. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the most important matchups of NFL Week 2, using FTN DVOA, DAVE, playoff odds and matchup data to explain what matters most heading into the weekend. 🏈 Lions at Bills Two 1-0 teams meet Thursday night in one of the biggest early-season games for Super Bowl odds. Buffalo enters Week 2 with the No. 2 offense in DVOA, while Detroit looks to keep pace in a loaded NFC race. 🏈 Vikings at Bears Chicago’s offense enters the week No. 1 in DVOA, but Minnesota brings one of the league’s most aggressive defenses and a Week 1 pressure rate over 50%. Which side controls this NFC North matchup? 🏈 Bengals at Texans Cincinnati starts 1-0, while Houston is already facing pressure after an 0-1 start. The Texans remain highly rated by FTN DAVE despite ranking near the bottom of the league in defensive DVOA after Week 1. 🏈 Commanders at Cowboys Both teams enter at 0-1 with an early divisional game carrying major playoff implications. Dallas showed a strong offensive profile in Week 1, but its defense remains one of the biggest questions heading into this matchup. 🏈 Colts at Chiefs Kansas City enters with one of the NFL’s highest-ranked defenses by DVOA, while Indianapolis is trying to rebound after a rough Week 1 showing on both sides of the ball. 🏈 Giants at Rams — Monday Night Football New York’s offense impressed in Week 1, while Los Angeles struggled badly by DVOA. But FTN’s DAVE model still sees the Rams as one of the league’s stronger teams going forward. Aaron and Mike break down the numbers, matchup advantages, playoff swings and biggest Week 2 storylines across the NFL. Games covered: Lions at Bills Vikings at Bears Bengals at Texans Commanders at Cowboys Colts at Chiefs Giants at Rams Which Week 2 game are you watching closest? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis, DVOA, projections, playoff odds and data-driven breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Week 1 is in the books — now it’s time to figure out what actually matters. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the biggest takeaways from the opening week of the 2026 NFL season, separating real trends from Week 1 overreactions. One of the biggest questions: Are the Arizona Cardinals for real? Kyler Murray and Arizona are under the microscope as Aaron and Mike evaluate what Week 1 tells us about their outlook moving forward. They also dive into the performances, teams and results that changed their expectations after the first full week of NFL action, using advanced metrics, projections and matchup analysis to determine what deserves our attention — and what should be ignored. 🏈 Topics include: • Arizona’s Week 1 performance and outlook • Kyler Murray and the Cardinals offense • Biggest Week 1 winners and losers • Teams that changed our expectations • Early playoff and contender takeaways • What’s real vs. what’s an overreaction • Key trends to watch heading into Week 2 Which Week 1 result changed your opinion the most? Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.