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Five days out and we've got your election night watch list, from Amy Acton in Ohio to Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, plus we dig into why the polls don't agree much at all rn. Brian and Glennis are closing out this INSANE midterm cycle with the races they're watching: Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, James Talarico in Texas, Jon Ossoff in Georgia, the House seats Democrats can flip, and the Wisconsin legislature. Brian explains how one race can poll within one point and ten points at the same time, and why big early-vote turnout makes this electorate so hard to model. Glennis's ask for the final stretch: text everyone you know and confirm they have a voting plan. In Ohio, Vivek Ramaswamy's ad against Amy Acton is still splitting Republicans. Thomas Massie's impeachment resolution against Pete Hegseth comes up when the House returns November 9, and new reporting says Hegseth is eyeing an appointment to Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat if she wins the Tennessee governor's race. Plus a Vanity Fair book excerpt alleging Dutch intelligence watched Jared Kushner's phone (Kushner denies it), and why a GOP leaning on billionaires instead of small donors has a 2028 problem. This week's Oath Candidate of the Week is Oath's Max Impact Slate: last-minute money for campaigns still working to reach every voter before Tuesday. Also: Glennis defends the Cheesecake Factory from Barack Obama, Michigan voters on cost of living, and a Clickbait or Double-Click on the 42 of 46 swing districts where incomes haven't kept pace with costs and a New York Times/Siena poll showing 70% of young voters identify as or lean Democratic. We close with a Good Vibe Goodbye: an appeals court declined the Justice Department's emergency bid to set aside 20,000 California ballots. New political updates, check-ins, and deep dives every Thursday morning. EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS The Oath Candidate of the Week: https://app.oath.vote/donate?p=mx Clickbait or Double-Click: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/6172310-trump-aoc-comments-democrats/ Clickbait or Double-Click: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/10/27/costs-basics-climbed-faster-than-wages-battleground-house-districts/ Clickbait or Double-Click: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/22/upshot/young-voters-polls-midterms.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share Good Vibe Goodbye: https://www.politico.com/news/2026/10/25/doj-appeals-court-california-ballot-fight-01134996 Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

Twelve days out, Harris County just smashed its midterm early-vote record, and Vivek Ramaswamy's Amy Acton ad has Ohio Republicans breaking ranks. Brian and Glennis start in Ohio, where Ramaswamy's campaign is putting $4 million behind an ad featuring Acton's estranged mother, and a PAC tied to MAGA Inc. is mailing voters to boost socialist Greg Levy against Sherrod Brown. Then Jesse Watters tells Fox the GOP needs "fear porn," Trump sinks to 36% in the new Times/Siena poll, a record low for that survey, and Glennis unpacks Trump waiving most of the new Russia sanctions days before they kicked in. Then the hit to your wallet: open enrollment season, what's really inside Elon Musk's pledge to give every American kid a SpaceX share, and how the country got to a $2 trillion deficit. Your Oath Candidate of the Week is the whole Max Impact Slate at oath.vote, because this is the last real window for small-dollar gifts to land in down-ballot races. Also this week for Clickbait or Double-Click: House Democrats lining up to impeach Pete Hegseth after the midterms, Trump's plans for East Potomac Golf Links, Meta's No Kings Instagram suspension, and Abdul El-Sayed's answer when a town hall questioner demanded he disavow the Muslim Brotherhood. Then a Good Vibe Goodbye with hard turnout data: more than 104,000 in-person voters on day one in Harris County against a 63,000 midterm record, a record first day in Georgia, and North Carolina running 38% ahead of 2022. Glennis has one condition: the numbers are not permission to skip it. Go vote, then go get the cinnamon roll. New episodes of Vibes Only are available for download first thing every Thursday morning! Hit that FOLLOW and we'll keep you informed through Election Day. EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS The Oath Candidate of the Week: https://app.oath.vote/donate?p=mx Clickbait or Double-Click: https://punchbowl.news/article/washington/waters-endorsement-hegseth-impeachment/ Clickbait or Double-Click: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/trump-says-hes-building-championship-style-golf-course-despite-what-administration-told-federal-judge/4169184/ Clickbait or Double-Click: https://www.reuters.com/technology/meta-apologizes-after-suspending-no-kings-instagram-account-2026-10-19/ Clickbait or Double-Click: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/21/us/politics/russia-american-prisoner-release-stephen-hubbard-trump.html Clickbait or Double-Click: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/19/us/el-sayed-faith-ad.html Good Vibe Goodbye: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/us/elections/midterm-elections-early-voting-tracker-battleground-states.html Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

An Ohio State tailgate, an Amazon data center run-in, and Brian’s old professor Amy Acton running for Ohio governor. 19 days out, the vibes are up. Glennis is back from Ohio, where the tailgates at The Shoe showed real spirit for Sherrod Brown and creator Eumie Shin caught a MAGA fan blaming Joe Biden, not the war in Iran, for gas prices. Then the Russian diesel deal: Trump wants to buy Russian diesel to bring down prices at the pump, a bipartisan group of senators wants him to reverse course, and Brian explains why it’s a political stunt that wouldn’t cover a single day of U.S. diesel demand. Plus: Jon Ossoff vs. Mike Collins, round two in Georgia (an Olympian vs. a normal guy, per Brian). The New York Times reports Elon Musk has now spent $366 million on the midterms, and Brian makes the case for Everyone vs. Elon. New press secretary Katie Zacharia’s first briefing brings a “my president, excuse me, my husband” slip and the news that the White House asked Kimberly Guilfoyle to resign as ambassador to Greece over a reported request to cover a $100,000 Amex bill. Guilfoyle denies the allegations. Brian explains why Bravo-style corruption is finally breaking through with voters. Also: a masked, shirtless protester at Lula’s São Paulo rally becomes the internet’s crush, and an Indiana city council forum goes very viral. The Oath Candidate of the Week is Amy Acton, running for Ohio governor against Vivek Ramaswamy, and yes, she was Brian’s advisor at Ohio State. Find her at oath.vote. Then a Good Vibe Goodbye from New York City, where Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Council Speaker Julie Menin struck a deal to end horse-drawn carriages by June 2028. Big Horse Lobby, you’ve been warned. New episodes of Vibes Only drop first thing every Thursday morning. Hit FOLLOW and don't forget to leave us a rating and a review! EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS SUPPORT THE OATH CANDIDATE OF THE WEEK: https://app.oath.vote/cart?q=amy+acton Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

Glennis is back from Iowa, where Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks literally ran from her Epstein files questions at a Hawkeyes tailgate and Brian is here to challenge the polls. Four weeks out from Election Day, the vibes are high but not giddy. Brian Derrick breaks down the DCCC adding six more Republican-held seats to its Red to Blue program, some in districts Trump carried by double digits, and why Republican gerrymanders in Texas and Florida, drawn off 2024 turnout, could end up costing them seats. Then the Minority Report: new data on where pollsters are struggling to reach Republicans (Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, Ohio) raises the question of whether the polls are missing Trump voters. The answer is the same either way: make a voting plan and vote early.  SCOTUS is back. Justice Samuel Alito tells CBS News he's weighing retirement every term, and Brian walks through the lame-duck scenario if Democrats flip the Senate. Glennis previews the docket, starting with Suncor v. Boulder County, the climate case over whether communities can sue oil companies. Ken Paxton is already pointing fingers in Texas after telling donors Trump's Dallas convention dropped his numbers. And we roll the tape on Susan Collins and Troy Jackson's first Maine Senate debate, road salt and all.  For Clickbait or Double-Click this week we get into whether Trump should pay taxpayers back for his personal DHS-funded campaign ads, the horror show that is Tennessee's failed execution of Christa Pike, and why we need to double click on the Justice Department refilling its depleted ranks with partisans and conspiracy theorists. Also we’ve got a Good Vibe Goodbye from Kentucky, where Gov. Andy Beshear's executive order erasing $250 million in medical debt for 130,000 Kentuckians begins sending letters of relief to real consituents - no application required. Plus Brian prepares Glennis for her to take her tour to Ohio this weekend. New episodes of Vibes Only are available for download first thing every Thursday morning - hit FOLLOW and we'll keep you informed for the midterms. EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS BRIAN’S STATE-BY-STATE RACE CHEAT SHEET: https://www.instagram.com/p/Dd4ayoImQX-/?img_index=1 CLICKBAIT OR DOUBLE-CLICK 1: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/06/us/politics/trump-taxpayer-funded-ads.html CLICKBAIT OR DOUBLE-CLICK 2: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/06/us/christa-pike-condition.html CLICKBAIT OR DOUBLE-CLICK 3: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/06/us/politics/justice-department-civil-rights-division.html GOOD VIBE GOODBYE: https://www.wdrbwave.com/2026/10/07/kentuckians-receive-letters-saying-medical-debt-has-been-canceled/ THE OATH CANDIDATE OF THE WEEK: https://app.oath.vote/cart?q=Christina+Bohannan Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

Eric Schmitt mixed up the Hawks and the Hawkeyes, Ken Paxton says Trump's convention dropped his numbers, and the Q3 deadline is here. Vibes are up.  It's the last day of Q3 and the final major fundraising deadline of 2026, so Brian Derrick breaks down where your money actually moves the map (state legislatures, not U.S. Senate races) and why late fundraising decides which races get October investment. Then Ken Paxton gets caught on tape telling donors Trump's Dallas midterm convention dropped his numbers, and the Department of Homeland Security commits $20 million in taxpayer money to ads starring Donald Trump, some of them near copies of his 2024 campaign spots.  Glennis Meagher digs into The New York Times report on Meta claiming billions in research tax credits by calling its AI data centers "pilot models." John Fetterman calls himself a "lifelong Republican" at the Texas Tribune Festival, and Sen. Eric Schmitt tries to catch Jack Smith in a perjury trap, until Amy Klobuchar points out he mixed up the Atlanta Hawks and the Iowa Hawkeyes. We roll the tape for you.  For Clickbait or Double-Click this week… the hacking group ShinyHunters claims it stole data on FBI employees and applicants, the World Cup couldn't stop overseas tourism to the U.S. from sliding, and a new coalition of AI companies and private equity firms targets seven states for data center expansion: Texas, Georgia, Ohio, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Indiana, and South Carolina. Plus Palantir's Alex Karp gets into it with CNBC.  Also: The Oath Candidate of the Week is Jacob Weinberg, an Army veteran running for the Arizona House in LD-13, the seat Oath identifies as the tipping point for flipping the chamber and a Good Vibe Goodbye from Nevada, where Gretchen Whitmer, Andy Beshear, Mark Kelly, and a full Avengers lineup of Democrats are converging to push Aaron Ford past Gov. Joe Lombardo. New episodes of Vibes Only are available for download first thing every Thursday morning - hit FOLLOW and we'll keep you informed for the midterms. EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS Oath Candidate of the Week: Jacob Weinberg Clickbait or Double-Click 1: Embarrassing Breach at F.B.I. Fuels Fears of Harm to Its Employees Clickbait or Double-Click 2: Allies Refuse to Visit U.S. in ‘Mind-Boggling’ Collapse Under Trump Clickbait or Double-Click 3: Exclusive: AI giants, unions join forces for data center fight Good Vibe Goodbye: Dems boost their odds in Nevada Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

ProPublica's Susan Collins bombshell, Beau Bayh putting Indiana in play, and every new Sabato rating moving left. 40 days out, the vibes are up. Brian and Glennis dig into ProPublica's report that an FBI anti-corruption squad was examining Sen. Susan Collins over a defense contractor's illegal donations to a super PAC backing her 2020 campaign, until the unit was gutted under Trump. Collins' office denies any wrongdoing, and she has not been charged. Brian breaks down the super PAC "firewall" and why corruption is landing so hard in the Maine Senate race. Then Trump calls MAGA Inc. money his to control. Then the media fight. Trump banned CNN, MS NOW, and Politico from the White House, calling it "my house" before correcting himself… barely. The network pool - including FOX News - have refused to fill in, and the outlets have now sued. Meanwhile, a 12-state attorney general settlement cleared the way for Paramount Skydance's takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery, putting CBS and CNN under the Ellison family. Brian Derrick asks the only question that matters: What Would Lina Khan Do? On the midterms: James Talarico named Alyssa Edwards as his favorite Texas drag queen without missing a beat, Ken Paxton got mad about it, and the Senate GOP super PAC in Texas just pushed past $100 million to rescue Paxton. Plus Sabato's Crystal Ball moved 10 races toward Democrats, including Josh Turek in Iowa, Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, Amy Acton in Ohio, and Aaron Ford in Nevada. Also: The Oath Candidate of the Week is Beau Bayh, running for Indiana Secretary of State in a race rated a Toss-up. It's Democrats' best shot at a statewide win there in more than a decade. Find him at oath.vote. Then a Good Vibe Goodbye from New York City, where DoorDash agreed to a record $131.5 million settlement for more than 260,000 delivery workers who were underpaid or paid late. New episodes of Vibes Only are available for download first thing every Thursday morning - hit FOLLOW and we'll keep you informed for the midterms. EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS Oath Candidate of the Week: Beau Bayh Reporting Referenced: The FBI Anti-Corruption Squad Was Circling Susan Collins — Until Trump Got in the Way - ProPublica Good Vibe Goodbye: DoorDash Agrees to $131.5 Million Settlement for Shortchanging Workers - The New York Times Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

Maxine Waters can't remember if she uses AI, and The Democracy Draft wants your midterm bracket. 47 days out, the vibes are bullish. Primary season is officially over. Brian is bullish on the House and more bearish on the Senate than most forecasters, and Glennis is spending the final 47 days touring Senate battlegrounds. They get into Speaker Mike Johnson's promised plan for Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid next year. They also cover the ProPublica report that a Russian oligarch close to Putin paid for Donald Trump Jr.'s Bahamas wedding celebrations, and the Supreme Court keeping the Postal Service out of mail ballots for November. Then AI. An Anthropic researcher quit with a warning, AI CEOs started asking for a slowdown, and Trump called AI regulation a hoax. Meanwhile, Axios asked Congress whether they actually use AI. Sen. Roger Wicker said "Heavens, no," Rep. Frank Pallone reached for a heroin analogy, and Rep. Maxine Waters couldn't remember. Brian makes the case for generational change on the issues that will define the next decade. Also: Clickbait or Double-Click tackles four headlines: Mitch McConnell back in the Senate after three monthsKash Patel refusing to rule out FBI agents at polling sitesThe $9.5 billion DOGE-era paid leave billRepublicans branding Democrats as communists, where Brian's verdict might surprise youThe Oath Candidate of the Week is you. The Democracy Draft is March Madness for the midterms. Pick the winners of the cycle's top races, from Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan to Troy Jackson in Maine, and the closest bracket wins $4,000. It's free to enter at thedemocracydraft.com, and you can start side leagues. Then a Good Vibe Goodbye from Wisconsin, where the state Supreme Court heard challenges to a congressional map that gives Republicans six of eight seats. That fight could mean fair districts by 2028. New episodes of Vibes Only are available for download first thing every Thursday morning - hit FOLLOW and we'll keep you informed for the midterms. EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS Oath Candidate of the Week: Oath’s Democracy Draft Reporting Referenced: Don Jr’s Wedding Was Paid For By Russians - ProPublica Clickbait or Double-Click 1: Mitch McConnell Returns to Senate After Three Month Absence - The New York Times Clickbait or Double-Click 2: Kash Patel Suggests FBI Agents Could Go to Election Polling Sites - The New York Times Clickbait or Double-Click 3: Thanks to DOGE, Federal Employees Got Paid Billions to Not Work - TIME Clickbait or Double-Click 4: Republicans, Facing Midterm Peril, Try to Brand Democrats as Communists - The New York Times Good Vibe Goodbye: WI State Supreme Court to take up challenge to congressional maps this week Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

Why are Republicans holding a convention in a midterm year? Because it costs $250,000 to sit at a table with Donald Trump. Brian Derrick reads the Dallas price list out loud and explains what the first GOP midterm convention is actually for. The Republican National Committee gathered at the American Airlines Center in Dallas on September 9 and 10 for the first midterm convention in modern American history. Trump speaks both nights. A roundtable with him runs $250,000 per person and a photo is another $88,600. JD Vance's roundtable is $75,000 with a $35,000 photo. Brian explains why holding it in Texas is the entire point, and why Republicans in competitive districts are quietly staying home. Then Rockbridge. AXIOS reported this week that the secretive donor network Vance co-founded in 2019 threw the pre-convention party in Dallas, drawing HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., HUD Secretary Scott Turner, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy, Senator Eric Schmitt and Dallas donor Ray Washburne. Brian reads it as a preview of the 2028 campaign Vance is already building. On the legal side, two courts split on Missouri's congressional map within an hour of each other. Justice Brett Kavanaugh denied the state's emergency application, leaving the 2022 map in place for November, and then a federal judge in Missouri ruled the gerrymandered map must be used. Brian explains why Oath has been anchoring on flipping 11 House seats instead of five, and why the slow churn of the courts is still working in our favor with ballots already moving. North Carolina became the first state in the country to mail them on September 4. Also: New Hampshire picked its nominees. Chris Pappas won the Democratic Senate primary and will face former Senator John E. Sununu in November. Stefany Shaheen edged Maura Sullivan in the First Congressional District. Your Oath Candidate of the Week is Will Lawrence, the Sunrise Movement co-founder running against Representative Tom Barrett in Michigan's Seventh, a Trump-leaning district that just nominated a real progressive. Then a Good Vibe Goodbye from New York City, which is on pace for the fewest murders and shootings in recorded history. Brian has a name for it. New episodes of Vibes Only are available for download first thing every Thursday morning and Glennis is back next week!  Hit FOLLOW and we'll keep you informed for the midterms. EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS Oath Candidate of the Week: Will Lawrence Reporting Referenced: AXIOS on Rockbridge and Vance Good Vibe Goodbye: Violent Crime in NYC Hits Historic Low Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

Your ballot is not cancelled. Sen. Richard Blumenthal released a 20-page complaint describing a rushed September 1 launch, a federal court order standing in the way, and one move that takes you off the list entirely: vote early. An anonymous federal official, represented by Whistleblower Aid, told Congress the Postal Service built its mail ballot verification system in weeks rather than the nine months to a year a project like this normally takes, with internal staff reportedly describing the process in language we cannot print here. Brian Derrick walks through what the system would actually do, why one bad barcode could reject an entire batch, and why the courts have already frozen it. Glennis Meagher makes the case that the panic is fair and the fix is boring: make a voting plan, vote early, and get your name off the turnout lists so campaigns can spend their time on someone who needs the reminder. Then the machinery. Army Secretary Dan Driscoll resigned after months of friction with Pete Hegseth, six months into the Iran war, leaving the Army without Senate-confirmed leadership in uniform or out of it. The White House confirmed the Pentagon's Office of Strategic Capital will take a 35 percent stake in North American Blue Energy Partners, the Venezuelan firm owned by Alejandro Betancourt, in a deal signed by Marco Rubio and Pete Hegseth that Sen. Jack Reed called a blatant abuse of power and taxpayer dollars. New CDC Director Erica Schwartz pulled two Pennsylvania measles deaths out of the federal tally, the first measles deaths in that state in 35 years. And Speaker Mike Johnson (good Christian man, he is - lol jk) told CNN's Manu Raju he still supports Max Miller's re-election and we have the receipts. Ed Markey held off Seth Moulton, which sets up Brian and Glennis on the actual argument underneath the age fight: what a 51-seat Senate majority means when any single absence gives it away. Your Oath Candidate of the Week is Matt Dunlap, running against Paul LePage for Jared Golden's open seat in Maine's 2nd.  Also for Clickbait or Double-Click we cover Kalshi suspending Laurie Buckhout for betting on her own race (and George Santos being back in the news whyyy), the RNC scheduling its first-ever midterm convention against the NFL opener, and the NTSB tracing a Marine One close call back to White House ballroom construction. Your Good Vibe Goodbye is Olivia Rodrigo's Daisy Chain Fields, which raised 20 million dollars for ten women's and girls' organizations after Melinda French Gates matched the total. CORRECTION: We describe the recalled Argentine beef as 300,000 tons of spoiled beef. The August recall was issued because roughly 30,000 pounds entered US commerce without required federal re-inspection, not because spoilage was confirmed. UPDATE: This episode was recorded the morning of Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Later that evening the House voted 413 to 2 to formally censure Chuck Edwards. Edwards denies the allegations and is not seeking re-election. New episodes of Vibes Only are available for download first thing every Thursday morning! Hit that FOLLOW and we'll keep you informed for the midterms. EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS Oath Candidate of the Week: Matt Dunlap Clickbait or Double-Click 1: Kalshi Suspends Republican House Candidate for Betting on Her Own Race - The New York Times Clickbait or Double-Click 2: Influencers Have a Lot to Say About Politics. Many Are Quietly Paid for It. - The New York Times Clickbait or Double-Click 3: GOP convention will battle NFL openers for attention - AXIOS Clickbait or Double-Click 4: White House Construction May Have Contributed to Close Call With Trump’s Helicopter - The New York Times Good Vibe Goodbye: Olivia Rodrigo Raises $20 Million With Daisy Chain Fields Festival Thanks to Matching Commitment From Melinda French Gates - Variety Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

Your feed said the midterms are over. Brian Derrick says take a breath. Plus Rob Sand is the favorite to be Iowa's next governor. The Supreme Court's shadow docket order on Donald Trump's mail-in voting executive order launched a thousand dramatic headlines this week. Brian Derrick walks through what the 6-3 order actually did, which was lift one of two injunctions on standing grounds, and why the slow churn of the courts may be working in our favor before November 3. Glennis Meagher explains why the panic is still a fair feeling with ballots going out in a matter of weeks across 24 jurisdictions, Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin among them. Also, Glennis looked up who cast a mail ballot in Florida's August 18 primary. It was Donald Trump. Then the numbers. Second quarter GDP growth came in at 1.5 percent, down from 2.1. New 50 percent tariffs on Canadian goods took effect over the weekend and Mark Carney's government answered within days. Brian explains the death of deference, which is how a president keeps doing the exact thing the Supreme Court told him he cannot do, by citing a new law every single time. Glennis opens a new weekly corruption beat with the Wall Street Journal's reporting on Live Nation. Michael Rapino sat down with Trump in the Oval Office on February 27 to talk Kennedy Center bookings, and Trump asked why the antitrust case had not settled. Two words to a senior DOJ official, settle it, and a case built over years was resolved days into trial. Brian lays out how far the pattern now runs: four airlines controlling 70 percent of the market, three carriers controlling 98 percent of wireless, two companies controlling every pair of sunglasses you have ever owned. Plus the Joint Economic Committee report on Trump's oil and gas holdings during a war he started. Also this week for Clickbait or Double Click: the Hakeem Jeffries and Jared Kushner meeting that content creator land could not stop talking about, CIA Director John Ratcliffe's unannounced trip to Moscow, and DHS quietly conceding that its 16,000 noncitizen voters in Nevada figure was preliminary, with only 185 confirmed so far. Then your Oath Candidate of the Week doubles as your Good Vibe Goodbye. Rob Sand is running for governor of Iowa, multiple prognosticators now have him as the favorite, and his coattails could put three Iowa House seats in play. We also take a minute for Dolly Parton. UPDATE: This episode was recorded Wednesday morning, August 26, 2026. Later that day the Kremlin confirmed Ratcliffe met with Russian intelligence counterparts in Moscow and said Vladimir Putin was briefed but did not attend. Trump called the trip "semi-routine." New episodes of Vibes Only are available for download first thing every Thursday morning! Hit that FOLLOW and we'll keep you informed for the midterms. EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS The Oath Candidate of the Week: Rob Sands Clickbait or Double-Click 1: Jeffries Defends Kushner Meeting, Vowing Tough Oversight of Trump - The New York Times Clickbait or Double-Click 2: White House Crops Natalie Harp Out of Grand Prix Content - Rolling Stone Clickbait or Double-Click 3: DHS acknowledges the noncitizen numbers it touted on voter rolls were inflated - NPR Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

Angie Nixon was outspent 16 to 1 and won Florida anyway. Brian Derrick breaks down what the establishment missed, and Alaska's Parent Trap problem with two Dan Sullivans on the ballot. Angie Nixon beat Alexander Vindman with 56 percent in the Democratic primary for Florida's Senate special election, the race to finish Marco Rubio's term through 2028. Brian's read is that the prognosticators missed a state legislator who physically showed up for every fight in Florida while a creator ecosystem amplified her all year. Sabato's Crystal Ball moved the race to safe Republican the next morning. Oath has not. She faces Ashley Moody in November. In Alaska, Mary Peltola finished as the top vote-getter ahead of incumbent Dan Sullivan, and there is a second Dan Sullivan on that ballot, a former fifth grade teacher running as a Republican who pulled about 2.5 percent. Republicans tried to strike his name. The courts said no. Then Brian gives the full midterm TLDR. The four Senate seats Democrats need and the order they are likeliest to come in. Why the House is the must-win. The 36 governor's races, from David Crowley in Wisconsin to Amy Acton in Ohio. And the part of the ballot almost nobody talks about: attorneys general, secretaries of state, and state supreme courts. Kris Mayes won Arizona by 280 votes out of 2.5 million. That is the whole point. Also: Comment Crossfire debuts, where Glennis Meagher answers the DSA members who said that criticizing Megan Romer's New Yorker Radio Hour interview was doing Republicans' work for them. Plus Clickbait or Double-Click this week gets into Zohran Mamdani promoting free Broadway tickets in four languages and the MAGA meltdown it created, Nancy Mace showing off her new tats and YouTube show on her way out of Congress, and the $900MIL White House construction bill. Last but not least, of course, we haveg a Good Vibe Goodbye starring the disgusting Cory Mills losing his primary. And The Oath Candidate of the Week is choose your own adventure. Go to oath.vote/states, find a competitive race in your state, and get behind somebody. New episodes of Vibes Only are available for download first thing every Thursday morning! Hit that FOLLOW and we'll keep you informed for the midterms. EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS The Oath Candidate of the Week Primary Results - The New York Times Clickbait or Double-Click 1: Psaki questions Ossoff on White House aide remark - The Hill Clickbait or Double-Click 2: Zohran Mamdani’s viral new campaigns in Mandarin, Bengali and Spanish wins hearts: ‘Bro’s collecting languages like Pokémon’ - The Independent Clickbait or Double-Click 3: Trump administration set to spend at least $900 million on White House construction - The Washington Post Good Vibe Goodbye: Embattled incumbent Cory Mills ousted in Florida primary - POLITICO Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

David Crowley beat Francesca Hong by half a point. Peggy Flanagan won Minnesota by 20. Same night, opposite answers about where the party is going. Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley took the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary over democratic socialist state Rep. Francesca Hong in a nail biter that broke past 2 a.m. Brian had been telling anyone who would listen that Crowley was winning while prediction markets had Hong at 96 percent, and he takes the victory lap. His read on why: no AOC, no Bernie, no Warren, no signature policy that broke through, and a cancel Thanksgiving clip nobody could unsee. Glennis brings in the other variable, Megan Romer, one of the DSA's two national chairs, whose New Yorker Radio Hour sit down with David Remnick got clipped into oblivion days before Wisconsin voted. Also: five of nine Milwaukee flash drives showed up at central count carrying audit logs instead of results, and Steve Kornacki had to fill 90 minutes of live NBC air with nothing. Then the rest of the board. Peggy Flanagan beat Angie Craig by roughly 20 points in Minnesota, and Brian argues that race teaches 2028 more than Wisconsin does. Luke Bronin ended John Larson's 28 year run in Connecticut's 1st, the seventh House incumbent to lose after actually running, five of them over 70. South Carolina's special Senate primary heads to an August 25 runoff between Rep. Ralph Norman and appointed Sen. Darline Graham. Mike Lindell lost Minnesota's Republican gubernatorial primary to House Speaker Lisa Demuth and would not concede. David Crowley is your Oath Candidate of the Week, and he is starting from zero with a general election against Rep. Tom Tiffany in November. Plus AOC telling Jonathan Karl on ABC's This Week that "Woke 1 was crazy," and the real question underneath it: can somebody who was loud during Woke 1 be the 2028 nominee? Brian says the jury is out. Glennis says yes and names her candidate. Then the economy, where July CPI landed at 3.4 percent, the July jobs report came in at negative 23,000 against expectations near 85,000 with another 103,000 knocked off May and June, and workers' share of national income sits at its lowest point since tracking began in 1947.  Also this week for Clickbait or Double-Click: Trump slipping off Air Force One into an airport catering truck in Ankara while the press flew the decoy, Mamdani backing Tiffany Cabán's Delivery Protection Act to force Amazon to directly employ its delivery drivers, and the New York Times piece on Flock cameras that has liberals and conservatives mad at the same thing. Then a Good Vibe Goodbye where a guy on the Brooklyn Museum steps asks Mamdani to find him a date and the mayor's office answers with a borough by borough summer guide for anyone looking for cheap and cheerful dates in NYC. UPDATE: This episode was recorded Wednesday morning, August 12, 2026, while Wisconsin votes were still being counted. Since recording, the Associated Press and Decision Desk HQ officially called the race for David Crowley, who secured the nomination with 39.8% of the vote compared to Francesca Hong's 39.4%. New episodes of Vibes Only are available for download first thing every Thursday morning! Hit that FOLLOW and we'll keep you informed for the midterms. EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS The Oath Candidate of the Week: David Crowley for WI Primary Results - The New York Times How Socialist Is the D.S.A.? Megan Romer Explains | The New Yorker Radio Hour Anything is Possible: AOC on Political Future Iran Insists Strait Will Stay Closed Until U.S. Agrees to Demands - The New York Times Labor Market Shifts Into Reverse as Employers Balk at Hiring - The New York Times Trump Said to Have Secretly Used Military Jet to Leave Turkey Amid Threats From Iran - The New York Times Fight Brews Between Mamdani and Amazon Over Delivery Workers - The New York Times Flock Cameras Can Track Every Car in America. Police Love Them. Citizens Don’t. - The New York Times Fix This Mamdani - Instagram Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

Vibes Only is a weekly political podcast hosted by Brian Derrick and Glennis Meagher, two strategists who have spent their careers inside the machine. Brian is a political strategist and the founder of Oath, a platform that has raised millions for candidates in state and local elections. Glennis is a political and new media strategist and the co-founder of Generator Collective. Election day is November 3. Between now and then you are going to hear a lot of noise engineered to make you feel helpless. Vibes Only with Brian Derrick and Glennis Meagher is the antidote... The news, the races, and the culture, explained the way two people who actually work in this business talk when the cameras and microphones are off. No panic. No jargon. No consultant speak. Just the vibes with receipts attached. New episodes every Thursday. Start here, then follow the show and pick any episode. If you like what you hear, a rating and a review is the single biggest thing you can do to help other people find us. Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

Abdul El-Sayed narrowly won his Michigan primary against Haley Stevens. Brian breaks down what that proves, and the much harder thing progressives have to prove next in the generals. Abdul El-Sayed beat Haley Stevens in the Michigan Senate primary and now faces Republican Mike Rogers for a seat Democrats almost certainly need. Brian had it at two to three points in his pre election briefing while the loud polling said ten plus, and he explains why the margin matters less than what comes next. Michigan is a must win. It is also the first real test of whether the progressive surge that started with Mamdani actually converts in a general. The rest of the map was messier. William Lawrence, who helped found Sunrise Movement, took Michigan's 7th with 43 percent against two moderates who together got more. Donavan McKinney took the 13th. In Missouri, Wesley Bell beat Cori Bush in a race that drew 8.4 million dollars, 7.2 million of it behind Bell. Virginia moderates swept. Brian's read: progressives just bought themselves a put up or shut up November. Glennis makes the case that what moves a general is relational organizing and message discipline, not plane tickets. Then the money. Nike booked a 986 million dollar tariff refund. Ford expects 1.3 billion. Businesses can claim roughly 166 billion total after the Supreme Court threw out the IEEPA tariffs in February, S&P 500 profits are running near 50 percent year over year, and your grocery bill has not moved. Brian's question is the one nobody is asking: the tariffs are gone, so where is the price drop? Also: Oath's new Dirtbag Slate, Chuck Edwards dropping his reelection bid hours after the House Ethics Committee recommended censure, Todd Blanche clearing committee 12 to 10, and Brian teaching Glennis what vibe coding is. Clickbait or Double Click takes on Gen Z and the cost of a first date, California's billionaire tax, and Jeanine Pirro walking back the reflecting pool cases. Then a Good Vibe Goodbye out of Missouri and Kansas, where voters buried two Republican amendments to their state constitutions. UPDATE: This episode was recorded Wednesday morning, August 5, 2026. At time of recording, The Associated Press called Michigan for El-Sayed at 9:56 a.m. that morning and Haley Stevens conceded shortly after and Todd Blanche has cleared the Senate Judiciary Committee but has not received a full floor vote. New episodes drop every Thursday morning! Hit that FOLLOW and we’ll help you stay informed for the midterms. EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS Defeat the Dirtbags with Oath Clickbait or Double-click 1: Gen Z Can’t Afford a First Date - The New York Times Clickbait or Double-click 2: California Democrats Support Billionaire Tax, Infighting Lingers - The New York Times Clickbait or Double-click 3: Prosecutor in D.C. Moves to Dismiss More Reflecting Pool Cases - The New York Times Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG

Jon Ossoff's 2020 interview is going viral again. Brian Derrick says Ossoff could win over median voters and that the internet's response right now is bananas, while Glennis Meagher is watching for a different problem entirely. The clip is from a November 2020 Axios on HBO interview and features a rapid round of yes or no questions: Green New Deal, Medicare for All, defunding the police, abolishing ICE, expanding the Supreme Court. Ossoff answered no to a lot of it. Nearly six years later it is circulating as a gotcha, and Brian's read is the opposite: this is how you win Georgia. Georgia is where the median voter lives, and Brian says Jon's clarity matters more than his answers. Glennis takes on the part of this convo few in the mainstream seem to be talking about, which is what happens to a candidate when a video from six years ago resurfaces mid campaign and they lose control of their own virality. This week we also get into the recently announced voting calendar for 2028. The DNC's Rules and Bylaws Committee signed off on the 2028 primary order: South Carolina January 22, Nevada February 1, New Hampshire February 8, New Mexico February 15, Michigan February 22, Virginia February 29, Super Tuesday March 7. Iowa is out. The full DNC votes on it in Austin next month. Brian explains why one national primary day would be a disaster for anyone who is not already rich, why going first is really about proving viability to donors before you spend down to zero, and what putting South Carolina at the front tells you about which voters the party is betting on. Plus what the Senate is actually trying to move in the two weeks before August recess: the NDAA and Trump's $1.5 trillion military ask, Reconciliation 3.0 and the attempt to bolt the SAVE Act onto it, and Jay Clayton's confirmation as Director of National Intelligence, replacing Trump's temporary pick Bill Pulte. Meanwhile John Cornyn and Thom Tillis have Todd Blanche's attorney general nomination stuck in committee until the Justice Department kills off Trump's $1.776 billion anti weaponization slush fund in writing. Brian Poindexter, the union ironworker and Brook Park councilman running in Ohio's 7th, is your Oath Candidate of the Week, and we explain how you can help him flip a seat that got a lot more competitive the day Max Miller's divorce filings went public. Also this week for Clickbait or Double-Click: the New York Times story about Ken Martin, the DNC's finances and a whole lot of phone throwing, the Campus Guardian Angel drones that spray pepper gel now heading into nine schools this fall, and Trump's Correspondents' Dinner bit about Kaitlan Collins that landed about as well as the plane in LOST. Then we send you off with a Good Vibe Goodbye involving Kathy Hochul, your kid's phone, and the end of the algorithmic feed that has been pumping AI slop into their brains. UPDATE: This episode was recorded Wednesday morning, July 29, 2026. Late that night the Senate Judiciary Committee postponed its vote on Todd Blanche, with Cornyn and Tillis still holding out for written assurances from the Justice Department. New episodes drop every Thursday morning! Hit FOLLOW and we’ll help you stay informed for the midterms. EPISODE LINKS Oath Candidate of the Week: Brian Poindexter Send us a text! Watch us on Youtube Follow us on Instagram  Oh, we're on TikTok too Follow Brian on IG  Follow Glennis on IG