Run the Numbers is a twice-weekly podcast about financial metrics and business models, designed for ambitious people operating tech startups. It's a collection of things host CJ Gustafson (CFO at Partstech and writer of Mostly Metrics) has learned and thought about in the trenches as a tech CFO.
This show is meant to serve as a playbook of sorts for the stuff CJ wishes he knew earlier in his career, both from experience and from copying people smarter than himself.
Topics frequently touch upon Startup SaaS Metrics, Annual Budgeting, Financial Forecasting, Headcount, Equity, Dilution, and Fundraising – and how all of these drive business performance and growth.
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Check latest episodes from Run the Numbers podcast
Zombie companies, ARR, and broken SaaS economics | Brett Queener
2026/02/05
In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Brett Queener, Managing Director at Bonfire Ventures, to trace the origins of ARR and examine how new revenue models are reshaping B2B software. Drawing on Brett’s time at Salesforce and SmartRecruiters, they explore the shift from annual contracts to outcome-based pricing, what it means for forecasting and gtm strategy, and where the next major inflection points in SaaS are likely to emerge.
—
SPONSORS:
RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
—
LINKS:
Brett on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/brettqueener/
Brett’s Substack: https://queener.substack.com/
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
The Staffing Ratios Salesforce Used, with Brett Queener of Bonfire VC
https://youtu.be/lJVgstAXjJs
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:02:54 Welcome Brett & episode setup
00:03:51 On-prem software to SaaS
00:05:54 Salesforce & recurring revenue
00:07:15 On-prem costs & partner bloat
00:09:58 Contracts, control & comp shifts
00:14:15 Lock-in, renewals & SaaS drift
00:16:20 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs
00:19:48 From buying to hiring software
00:21:59 Agents change pricing & planning
00:25:59 Forecasting without ARR
00:28:03 Talent models break
00:29:45 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome
00:33:01 Rethinking sales & comp
00:36:47 Selling by doing the job
00:40:50 The future role of sales
00:46:10 Zombie SaaS & category collapse
00:51:07 Context as the moat
00:56:07 Where AI hits next
00:58:44 Vertical AI & hidden TAMs
01:02:12 $1B startups vs mega rounds
01:05:48 Dilution, fund math & pressure
01:08:03 Choosing your founder path
A CFO Explains the History of EBITDA
2026/02/02
In this special CFO Explains episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson sits down with executive producer Ben Hillman to unpack the real history of EBITDA. From John Malone and cable TV to private equity, SaaS, and today’s AI boom, CJ explains how a metric invented out of desperation became the default language of valuation—and how adjusted EBITDA can both clarify and distort the truth about a business.
—
SPONSORS:
Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
—
LINKS:
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
Slacker Stuff: https://www.slackerstuff.com/
Ben on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/slackerstuff/
—
RELATED EPISODES:
How Much Revenue Do You Need to IPO in 2025?
https://youtu.be/7ajWVCNVDmI
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Intro
00:01:17 The Origins of EBITDA
00:06:48 Sponsors — Metronome | RightRev | Rillet
00:10:12 The Mechanics of EBITDA
00:13:46 Impact on Other Industries
00:15:38 The Many Faces of EBITDA
00:19:09 Sponsors — Tabs | Abacum | Brex00:22:30 EBITDA’s AI Encore
00:24:56 Wrap Up
00:28:19 Credits
#RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFOExplains #EBITDA #FinancePodcast #BusinessMetrics
“It’s Not Zero”: The CFO Rule for AI Forecasting | Dan Griggs
2026/01/29
In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Intercom CFO Dan Griggs to discuss pricing and forecasting in the AI era. Dan shares the “it’s not zero” rule, the logic behind Fin’s $0.99 pricing, and how to bet on AI without blowing up the core business.
—
SPONSORS:
Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
—
LINKS:
Dan on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dan-griggs-0970181/
Intercom: https://www.intercom.com/
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
—
RELATED EPISODES:
Inside Rocket Companies: M&A, Metrics, and Mortgage Moats | Brian Brown
https://youtu.be/ttedn4AULt8
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Cold Open
00:01:03 Dan Griggs and Intercom’s AI Pivot
00:02:45 Ice Cream to SaaS
00:04:19 Learning the Business
00:06:26 Operational Reality and Forecasts
00:08:00 “It’s Not Zero” Forecasting
00:10:09 Scenario Planning and Ambiguity
00:11:23 Sponsors — Brex | Metronome | RightRev
00:14:43 Mental Models for Metrics
00:16:15 Mental Math for Forecasts
00:17:28 Core CFO Ratios
00:19:13 Intercom’s Burn-the-Boats Moment
00:20:53 AI as an Existential Bet
00:22:21 SaaS Categories AI Can Replace
00:23:04 Why Finance Lags on AI
00:23:39 Sponsors — Rillet | Tabs | Abacum
00:27:05 Why Fin Uses Outcome Pricing
00:28:59 The $0.99 Resolution Tradeoff
00:30:46 Why Support Work Varies
00:32:01 AI Resolution Unit Economics
00:33:08 Model Choice as Costs Fall
00:35:19 Domain-Specific vs Generic LLMs
00:36:08 Selling Against the Core
00:38:50 Founder vs Professional CEOs
00:41:47 Hiring Mistakes and Instincts
00:44:28 Intercom’s Finance Stack
00:45:49 Craziest Expense Request
How finance shows its value beyond being the “no” department | Maria Izurieta
2026/01/26
In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Maria Izurieta, CFO of Huntress, to unpack what it really means to lead finance as a connective tissue across the organization. Drawing on experience across VC-backed, PE-owned, and public companies, Maria shares how she balances impact versus perfection, builds trust through small wins, and helps teams move from transactional finance to insight-driven decision making. They dig into data transparency, centralized BI, partnering with sales and marketing on revenue, and why the best CFOs unblock friction instead of becoming the “no” department — all while bringing a deeply people-first lens to scale.
—
SPONSORS:
Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
—
LINKS:
Maria on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/maria-izurieta-909a3b/
Company: https://www.huntress.com/
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
—
RELATED EPISODES:
How the Best CFOs Lead Without Being the CEO | Ken Stillwell
https://youtu.be/O4cx9NBqQso
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Preview and Intro
00:01:01 Maria’s Background
00:03:09 People-First Team Building
00:05:16 People, Process, Systems at Scale
00:07:13 Removing Friction Outside Finance
00:09:15 Data Transparency & Decision-Making
00:11:06 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome
00:14:22 Forward-Deployed Data
00:16:21 Centralized Data vs. Silos
00:19:23 Finance as Data Steward
00:21:08 Cost-to-Price Feedback Loop
00:22:35 Curiosity Builds Credibility
00:23:43 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs
00:27:12 Trust First, Then Impact
00:30:27 Celebrating Small Wins
00:31:21 From Transactions to Insights
00:33:00 CFO at the Revenue Table
00:34:32 Educating the Org on Metrics
00:36:21 Customer-Level Margin Reality
00:37:13 Using Facts to Change Decisions
00:38:27 Ownership Mindset in Growth Companies
00:39:10 VC vs. PE vs. Public CFO Tradeoffs
00:41:02 Operating Inside Constraints
00:42:18 Finding Your Stage Fit
00:44:17 Building a Personal Advisor Network
00:46:43 Visibility and Women in Leadership
00:47:44 Work–Life Integration, Not Balance
00:48:45 Lightning Round: Biggest Mistake
00:50:10 Advice to Younger Self
00:51:36 Finance Tech Stack
00:52:01 Craziest Expense Story
00:52:44 Credits
#RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFOLeadership #ScalingCompanies #DataDrivenDecisions #ExecutiveLeadership
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
How the Best CFOs Lead Without Being the CEO | Ken Stillwell
2026/01/22
In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Ken Stillwell, CFO and COO of Pegasystems, to explore the realities of leading from the second seat. Ken shares hard-earned lessons from guiding Pega through the shift from term licenses to ARR and ACV, including how to rework sales compensation without losing trust or momentum. They discuss the limits of KPI obsession, the importance of directional clarity over false precision, and why private equity often drives sharper execution than public markets—and how to apply that discipline while still playing the long game.
—
SPONSORS:
Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
—
LINKS:
Ken on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ken-stillwell-83a499a/
Pegasystems: https://www.pega.com/
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
—
RELATED EPISODES:
How Finance Becomes a GTM Partner, Not a Bottleneck | Chris Brubaker
https://youtu.be/T2YjdoiJtFA
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Preview and Intro
00:02:57 Sponsors — Tabs | Abacum | Brex
00:07:26 The Strategic Value of Being Number Two
00:08:46 Earnings Calls, Messaging, and Real-Time Judgment
00:10:41 Using Feedback to Sharpen Executive Communication
00:11:38 CFOs as Storytellers & Message Repetition
00:12:31 Managing Up: Reading the Room
00:13:59 Learning the Hard Way: Misreading Dynamics
00:15:18 Confidence, Aggression, and Early CFO Mistakes
00:15:58 Sponsors — Metronome | RightRev | Rillet
00:19:45 When to Email vs Pick Up the Phone
00:22:48 Tailoring Communication to Different Functions
00:23:23 Audience-Specific Messaging: “Why Me?”
00:25:24 Values vs Behaviors in Leadership
00:28:13 Why Big Changes Need Anchoring
00:31:14 Moving Pega to the Cloud
00:32:43 Rewiring Sales Comp for ARR & ACV
00:34:56 Sales Credibility Breakdowns with Customers
00:36:20 Economics vs Trust in Sales Teams
00:37:48 Balancing Field Feedback with Company Goals
00:39:17 De-Emphasizing New Logos to Fix the Sales Model
00:41:12 The Danger of Over-Obsessing on KPIs
00:42:51 Public vs Private: Incentives and Operating Discipline
00:45:57 Why Companies Go Private: Motivation Over Patience
00:47:29 The Shrinking Public Markets
00:47:57 Private vs Public CFO Mindsets
00:49:39 Meeting Investors Where They Are
00:50:16 A Risky Decision That Paid Off: Going All-In on the Cloud
00:51:29 Long-Ass Lightning Round
00:53:24 Ken’s Finance Tech Stack & Craziest Expense
00:54:39 Credits
#RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFOLeadership #ExecutiveCommunication #SalesStrategy #PublicVsPrivate
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
How Finance Becomes a GTM Partner, Not a Bottleneck | Chris Brubaker
2026/01/19
In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Chris Brubaker, SVP of Finance at Postscript, who’s helped build the finance function from the ground up. Chris shares how he partners with sales through deal desks, sets pricing guardrails, and makes sure finance helps close deals instead of slowing them down. They dig into his hands-on approach to automation using AI with limited engineering resources, how Postscript’s metrics evolved as the company scaled, when to trust internal data over benchmarks, and where teams get tripped up. Plus, a private jet accounting story—because of course.
—
SPONSORS:
Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
—
LINKS:
Chris on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/wchrisbrubaker/
Postscript: https://postscript.io/
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
—
RELATED EPISODES:
So You’re Looking for a “Strategic” CFO? Bloomerang’s Steve Isom on What That Really Means
https://youtu.be/cgHOtvG1Ces
The IPO Playbook: Expert Advice from Lee Kirkpatrick, Twilio’s Former CFO
https://youtu.be/PTKAUD7PSWU
The CFO Case for Probabilistic Forecasting With AI | Bruno Annicq
https://youtu.be/Dl8nDZPJMpE
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Preview and Intro
00:02:22 Sponsors — Rillet | Tabs | Abacum
00:06:55 Interview Begins
00:07:36 First Finance Hire and Early Scale at Postscript
00:09:02 Usage-Based Margins, COGS, and the Twilio Parallel
00:10:31 Partnering With Sales and Building Deal Desk
00:13:16 Pricing Guardrails, Payback, and Deal Economics
00:15:35 How Deal Desk Evolves Over Time
00:16:01 Sponsors — Brex | Metronome | RightRev
00:19:44 Making Finance a Deal-Closing Partner
00:20:44 Automating Deal Desk With a Slack Bot
00:23:48 How Technical Finance Leaders Need to Be
00:25:17 Automating Without Engineering Help
00:27:12 Why Human Touch Still Matters in SaaS
00:27:53 Postscript’s Finance Tech Stack
00:28:30 ERP Migration and Month-End Efficiency
00:29:42 The Reality of Continuous Close
00:30:34 First Real AI Wins in Accounting
00:31:18 Experimenting With AI Forecasting
00:33:32 Metrics That Matter: Usage as a Leading Indicator
00:35:49 How Metrics Evolve as the Company Scales
00:37:41 Understanding the Product in a Usage-Based Model
00:39:27 Micro-Seasonality and Forecasting Volatility
00:42:21 How to Use Benchmarks Without Misusing Them
00:43:50 Long-Ass Lightning Round: A Costly Modeling Mistake
00:45:45 Advice to a Younger Finance Leader
00:47:05 The Private Jet Accounting Story
00:49:11 Credits
#RunTheNumbersPodcast #FinanceLeadership #DealDesk #UsageBasedSaaS #AIinFinance
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
The CFO Case for Probabilistic Forecasting With AI | Bruno Annicq
2026/01/15
In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Bruno Annicq, CFO of Wellhub (formerly Gympass), to unpack a practical finance playbook built around cash discipline, sustainable growth, and simplicity. Bruno explains how he rebuilt forecasting using an AI-driven, probabilistic ensemble model, moving teams beyond single-scenario planning. They also dig into his EMPOWER planning framework, usable OKRs, and why tighter alignment between finance, HR, and wellbeing is becoming a durable lever for long-term performance.
—
SPONSORS:
RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
—
LINKS:
Bruno on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/bannicq/
Wellhub: https://wellhub.com/
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
—
RELATED EPISODES:
“Run Toward a Tough Market” — Developing the Hard and Soft Skills To Be a Great Finance Leader
https://youtu.be/iNHbkcG7YEo
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Preview and Intro
00:02:19 Sponsors — RightRev, Rillet, Tabs
00:06:43 Accidental CFO Origin Story
00:07:34 Consulting to Operations Pivot
00:08:12 Why Finance Clicked for Bruno
00:09:28 McKinsey Prioritization in Real World
00:10:02 Eisenhower Matrix and Prioritization
00:11:08 Investing in Non-Urgent Work
00:13:30 Lessons From AOL Reinvention
00:16:10 Sponsors — Abacum, Brex, Metronome
00:20:01 Career Growth Through Hard Problems
00:20:52 Broadening Skills Through Change
00:23:12 Five Core Finance Principles
00:24:02 Cash Is King
00:25:14 Driving Sustainable Growth
00:26:01 No Surprises and Forecasting
00:26:07 Finance as Business Enabler
00:27:22 Less Is More Philosophy
00:28:47 Hardest Principle: Less Is More
00:29:46 Deterministic vs Probabilistic Forecasting
00:31:11 Marketplace Volatility and Forecast Error
00:32:10 Ensemble Models Explained
00:33:37 Forecast Accuracy Gains
00:34:53 Building Models In-House
00:36:46 Why Explainability Matters
00:37:48 Empower Framework Introduction
00:47:47 Urgency, Compounding, Long-Term Thinking
00:48:10 Advice to Younger Self
00:50:06 Finance Stack and Expense Stories
00:52:51 Credits
#RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFO #FinanceLeadership #Forecasting #AIinFinance
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
Automation Outside the Tech Bubble | Jason Kong
2026/01/12
In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Jason Kong, General Partner at Base10 Ventures, to unpack the firm’s focus on “automation for the real economy” — software built for industries most tech investors overlook, but the world depends on. Jason breaks down what makes Series B investing uniquely hard, how he evaluates back-office and vertical SaaS opportunities, and where markets tip from niche to overcrowded. They also discuss Base10’s decision to donate 50% of profits to fund scholarships, plus a lightning round spanning fantasy football, shorting SaaS in 2022, and a venture take that might spark debate.
—
SPONSORS:
Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
—
LINKS:
Jason on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasonykong/
Base10 Partners: https://base10.vc/
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
—
RELATED EPISODES:
Scaling to $1B+ Revenue: From ServiceNow to Samsara | Dominic Phillips
https://youtu.be/vBY6WZBMljw
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Preview and Intro
00:02:20 Sponsors — Metronome, RightRev, Rillet
00:06:02 Base10 Background
00:06:41 Automation for the Real Economy
00:09:27 Vertical vs. Horizontal Software
00:10:38 Cash Flow and Durability
00:11:19 Product-Market Fit and ROI
00:12:56 Growth Limits Selling to Tech
00:13:19 The Size of the Real Economy
00:14:16 Sponsors — Tabs, Abacum, Brex
00:18:50 Base10’s Giving Model
00:20:30 Access, Education, and Tech
00:21:53 Purpose and Founder Alignment
00:22:51 Radical Transparency
00:23:56 Portfolio Focus and Strategy
00:24:05 Investing Ahead of Consensus
00:26:29 ERP Adjacency as Alpha
00:28:58 Lessons From Hedge Funds
00:32:29 Public Markets Reality
00:34:05 Public vs. Private Investing
00:34:48 The Series B Sweet Spot
00:36:49 A Bifurcated Series B Market
00:38:56 Fast Series Bs and 2021 Vibes
00:42:16 What Series B Looks Like Now
00:44:36 Back Office Automation
00:46:02 ERP-Centric Workflows
00:48:33 Long-Ass Lightning Round
00:49:36 Shorting SaaS in 2022
00:50:16 Fantasy Football and Investing
00:52:57 Career Advice That Surprises
00:55:03 A Contrarian Venture Take
00:56:22 Credits
#RunTheNumbersPodcast #SeriesB #RealEconomy #VerticalSaaS #BackOfficeAutomation
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
Scaling to $1B+ Revenue: From ServiceNow to Samsara | Dominic Phillips
2026/01/08
In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Dominic Phillips, CFO of Samsara, to unpack what it takes to scale a capital-intensive SaaS business from startup to public company in under a decade. Dominic reflects on his six-plus years at Samsara through hypergrowth, COVID disruption, supply chain constraints, a down-round survival raise, and an IPO at the very end of the 2021 tech window. Drawing on his earlier career at ServiceNow under Mike Scarpelli, he shares how experience across FP&A, IR, corp dev, and treasury shaped his approach to capital allocation, investor education, and analyst management. The conversation dives into asset-based pricing, selling into non-discretionary operations budgets, balancing hardware and software economics, and building credibility with a broad analyst base while scaling past $1B in ARR.
—
SPONSORS:
Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
—
LINKS:
Dominic on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dominicphillips/
Company: https://www.samsara.com/
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
—
RELATED EPISODES:
“Steal Your Boss’s Job”: Calendly CFO John McCauley on Leadership, Ownership & Growth
https://youtu.be/VRpTNDIfzPY
From SMB to Enterprise: The CFO Scaling Playbook With Andrew Casey | Mostly Classics
https://youtu.be/kMuJ6gAuEpg
Driving revenue without selling | Greg Henry of 1Password
https://youtu.be/f5FsNoG8A3E
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Preview & Intro
00:02:40 Sponsors — Brex | Metronome | RightRev
00:06:18 Interview Begins
00:06:46 Dominic’s Early Career
00:08:47 From ServiceNow to CFO
00:09:47 Joining Samsara
00:10:54 COVID, Burn, and a Down Round
00:12:40 IPO Messaging and Investor Education
00:15:50 Sponsors — Rillet | Tabs | Abacum
00:20:27 Hardware + Software Story
00:21:29 What Samsara Does
00:22:30 Data, AI, and ROI
00:23:23 Horizontal Platform and Verticals
00:24:27 Growth Drivers at Scale
00:26:09 Selling Into Operations
00:28:19 Change Management in Legacy Orgs
00:29:46 Non-Discretionary Budgets
00:33:02 Storytelling Lessons from Scarpelli
00:36:14 Managing Analysts
00:39:23 Earnings Timing Strategy
00:41:06 Metrics and Investor Trust
00:42:38 Investor Communication Channels
00:44:22 Investor Days and Long-Term Vision
00:45:37 Annual Planning Maturity
00:48:24 Forecast Accuracy and Cadence
00:49:28 The 1000-Day Strategy
00:50:40 Top-Line and Margin Targets
00:51:59 Capital Allocation by Function
00:54:46 Becoming a CFO
00:58:21 Lightning Round and a CFO Mistake
01:02:41 End Credits
#RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFO #ScalingCompanies #B2BSaaS #PublicMarkets
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
Hackers and Hidden Risks: Business Insurance Breakdown with Gordon Coyle
2026/01/05
In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson sits down with Gordon Coyle, a 40-year commercial insurance veteran, to demystify one of the most anxiety-inducing topics for founders and CFOs: business insurance. Drawing on decades of experience with startups, scaleups, and regulated industries, Gordon breaks down what leaders need to know about D&O, E&O, cyber, and general liability, why investor pressure is rising, and where “cheap and easy” online policies fail when real risk hits. Through real-world examples, they explore how claims arise, how defense costs erode limits, why cyber insurance is as much about response as reimbursement, and how to balance budget, risk tolerance, and peer benchmarks—treating insurance as a critical layer of protection, not a box-checking exercise.
—
SPONSORS:
Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
—
LINKS:
Gordon on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/gordoncoyle/
The Coyle Group: https://thecoylegroup.com/
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
—
RELATED EPISODES:
The Coyle Group - Business Insurance
https://www.youtube.com/@TheCoyleGroupNY
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Preview and Intro
00:01:53 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome
00:05:39 Interview Begins with Gordon Coyle
00:06:23 Gordon Coyle & The Coyle Group
00:07:21 Explaining Insurance on YouTube
00:08:40 Turning Education into Inbound Leads
00:09:40 Content as a Pull Strategy
00:10:53 Insurance Complexity for Tech Founders
00:13:28 Why Investors Require D&O Insurance
00:14:09 What D&O Covers and Why It Matters
00:15:50 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs
00:20:19 Who D&O Covers and Rising Investor Pressure
00:22:37 D&O Limits and Cost Tradeoffs
00:23:21 Panic Calls and Late D&O Purchases
00:24:39 How Defense Costs Erode Coverage
00:25:31 Common D&O Claims and Employment Risk
00:27:08 D&O vs E&O Explained
00:29:12 Cyber Insurance and Social Engineering
00:31:59 AI’s Impact on Cyber Risk
00:33:50 Real-World Ransomware Stories
00:34:17 Cyber Insurance as Money and Response
00:35:29 Business Email Compromise Scams
00:39:43 Why Tech Still Needs General Liability
00:41:16 What a BOP Covers
00:42:32 Convenience vs Proper Coverage
00:44:29 Surprising General Liability Claims
00:46:45 Insurance Costs for Startups
00:47:36 Higher Costs in High-Risk Industries
00:48:26 Balancing Budget, Risk, and Coverage
00:50:39 PEOs, Workers’ Comp, and EPLI
00:54:39 Choosing the Right Insurance Partner
00:56:42 End Credits
#RunTheNumbersPodcast #StartupFinance #BusinessInsurance #RiskManagement #CyberRisk
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
a16z’s Alex Immerman on How AI Is Redefining the Modern CFO | Mostly Classics
2026/01/01
[Original air date: June 19, 2025]
In this episode, Alex Immerman, partner at Andreessen Horowitz, joins CJ to discuss the CFO role and how it’s changing in the era of AI. He explains what the components of a company’s AI agenda the CFO should own, how and where it should be leveraged in an organization, and why, if you’re preparing to go public, AI needs to be mentioned in your S-1. He breaks down how the financial landscape differs greatly between AI-native SaaS companies and traditional B2B SaaS companies in terms of retention curves and gross margins, and how this relates to the ever-important LTV to CAC metric. As someone who has worked with prominent CFOs and interviewed many for a16z’s portfolio companies, Alex also describes the qualities of a great CFO, and shares his favorite interview question, before discussing CFOs, CEO, and board dynamics.
—
LINKS:
Alex Immerman on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/immerman
Andreessen Horowitz: https://a16z.com
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
—
RELATED EPISODES:
a16z’s Alex Immerman on the Evolving Role of the CFO in the Age of AI
https://youtu.be/JIvHp-mlnzs
So You’re Looking for a “Strategic” CFO? Bloomerang’s Steve Isom on What That Really Means
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgHOtvG1Ces
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Preview and Intro
00:01:46 AI Margins Improve Dramatically
00:02:29 What Separates Great CFOs
00:03:29 Founder Mindset Drives Performance
00:05:31 Founder Intensity and Margin Expansion
00:06:57 Backing Unproven Bets Thoughtfully
00:08:29 Interviewing CFOs for Backbone
00:09:55 When CFOs Push Back on Strategy
00:11:25 CFO Trust With Boards and Investors
00:11:50 How CFOs Engage Investors When Hiring
00:14:44 Building Strong CFO Investor Relationships
00:16:18 Sharing Bad News Early
00:17:21 CEO Vision Versus CFO Validation
00:20:57 How AI Is Changing the CFO Role
00:23:56 Incumbents Versus AI-Native Finance Tools
00:26:24 CFOs Driving Internal AI Adoption
00:28:07 AI Impact on Customer Support Efficiency
00:29:26 Internal Leverage From AI Automation
00:31:29 Why Investors Care About LTV to CAC
00:34:00 LTV to CAC Across Business Models
00:36:26 Retention Curves Matter More Than Growth
00:38:16 Evaluating AI Gross Margins Long Term
00:40:04 Recipe for AI Margin Expansion
00:43:01 What Makes a Public-Ready CFO
00:44:47 Beating Guidance Drives IPO Performance
00:46:56 Growth Versus Profitability Has Rebalanced
#RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFOLeadership #FintechInvesting #AISaaS #VentureCapital
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
The Strategic Power of Investor Relations | Mostly Classics
2025/12/29
[Original air date: May 8, 2025]
When it comes to investor relations, an organization’s communication strategy should be a key instrument to support its business strategy. While this may seem obvious, so often we get this wrong. In this episode, CJ hosts a masterclass on investor relations with Samuel Levenson of the Arbor Advisory Group and Jon Neitzell of Andruil Partners, focusing on the strategic role of IR in driving company valuation. They cover what “audience opportunity” really means and what to do when you’ve attracted the wrong investors. They talk about metrics, KPIs, and OKRs, plus why management credibility and conveying conviction can make or break your IR strategy. They also discuss what has changed in the IR profession over time and what hasn’t (but probably should) before suggesting changes you can make to drive impact immediately.
—
LINKS:
Samuel Levenson on LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/samlevenson/
Jon Neitzell on LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-neitzell/
Arbor Advisory Group: www.arboradvisorygroup.com/
Anduril Partners: https://www.andurilpartners.ai/
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
—
RELATED EPISODES:
Investor Relations as a Strategic Weapon: A Masterclass
https://youtu.be/ac9xmURhAqE
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Preview and Intro
00:02:22 Welcome to Sam and Jon
00:03:12 Linking Business Strategy and Communication
00:05:01 Proactive vs. Reactive Investor Relations
00:06:39 Tailoring the Message by Investor Type
00:08:05 Audience Opportunity and Ideal Shareholders
00:11:05 When the Investor Base No Longer Fits
00:12:21 Shifting Investors as Industries Change
00:13:16 Optionality Comes From Patient Shareholders
00:14:40 Conveying Conviction Through Credibility
00:17:03 Why Investor Days Build Trust
00:18:02 Metrics Versus Storytelling in IR
00:19:10 Choosing Metrics the Market Actually Rewards
00:22:30 Valuation Disconnects and Investor Confusion
00:23:17 Finding Metrics That Truly Drive Value
00:25:33 Avoiding Bad Capital Allocation Decisions
00:26:20 Disclose Versus Guide: Confidence Intervals
00:27:35 Knowing What You Don’t Know
00:29:33 Science Versus Art in Storytelling
00:33:11 When Algorithms Become Your Audience
00:33:56 Passive Investing Now Dominates Markets
00:35:16 Linking OKRs to Value-Driving KPIs
00:36:42 Closing the Strategy-Metrics Feedback Loop
00:38:07 When Investors Sense Operational Confidence
00:39:47 Why IR Becomes Strategy Consulting
00:41:28 Why IR Teams Stay Undersized
00:43:23 Sam’s Accidental Entry Into Investor Relations
00:44:34 Mentorship Over Formal IR Training
00:46:18 How Markets Outpaced IR Practices
00:47:01 Investor Days Go Virtual
00:49:34 Designing a High-Quality Earnings Call
00:50:41 Investor Days as High-ROI Investments
00:51:45 IR Websites as Investor Onramps
00:53:42 World-Class Investor Day Examples
00:54:20 Using AI to Prepare Investor Communications
00:56:19 Building a Proactive IR 2.0 Strategy
00:58:33 Why IR Requires Full Executive Buy-In
01:00:51 Data Transfers Conviction to Investors
01:03:31 Closing Reflections on Trust and Valuation
#RunTheNumbersPodcast #InvestorRelations #CapitalMarkets #ValuationStrategy #CFOInsights
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
Inside the Economics of Independent Creators | Mostly Growth
2025/12/27
Mostly Growth on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@MostlyGrowth
Mostly Growth on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/mostly-growth/id1842238102
Mostly Growth on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3KDtaLaXx1obFp5PUhZ6V3
In this year-end episode of Mostly Growth, CJ Gustafson, Kyle Poyar, and Ben Hillman reflect on what it actually takes to build a modern media business around newsletters and podcasts. They unpack CJ’s first year going full-time, comparing creative intuition versus metric-driven operating styles, and discuss what content truly drives growth. The conversation also covers distribution dynamics, the emotional reality of unsubscribes and burnout, and closes with a candid look at monetization, team building, and the tradeoffs between simplicity and scale.
—
SPONSORS:
Pulley is the cap table management platform built for CFOs and finance leaders who need reliable, audit-ready data and intuitive workflows, without the hidden fees or unreliable support. Switch in as little as 5 days and get 25% off your first year: https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics
Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
—
LINKS:
Mostly Metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Growth Unhinged: https://www.growthunhinged.com/
Kyle on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kyle-poyar/
Slacker Stuff: https://www.slackerstuff.com/
Ben on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/slackerstuff/
https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/deep-research-for-gtm
https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/2025-state-of-b2b-gtm-report
https://www.mostlymetrics.com/p/presenting-the-state-of-the-agentic-financial-stack
https://www.mostlymetrics.com/p/the-great-ai-arr-illusion
https://www.mostlymetrics.com/p/presenting-the-2025-tech-stack-report
https://www.mostlymetrics.com/p/download-the-annual-planning-bible
https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/how-to-sell-annual-plans
https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/get-recommended-by-chatgpt
https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/gtm-vibecoding-ideas
https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/how-to-use-ai-agents-for-marketing
—
RELATED EPISODES:
We get roasted for swag and drop some GTM gold
https://youtu.be/uubf_8al95w
Do vanity plates bring serious business?
https://youtu.be/Cm1rubFb-kg
Pricing in the Real World: Babies, Bots, and Billing
https://youtu.be/T1cjFSZR0k0
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Preview and Intro
00:01:52 Sponsors — Pulley | Metronome
00:04:12 Action Figure Swag and Year-in-Review Setup
00:05:47 Going Full-Time and the First-Year Reality Check
00:07:24 Writing Schedules, Creative Work, and Time Optimization
00:09:16 Writing Speed, Craft, and the Myth That Time Equals Quality
00:10:51 Perfectionism vs. Throughput in Newsletter Writing
00:13:03 Creator Burnout, Motivation, and Engagement Anxiety
00:14:08 Playing the Long Game vs. Obsessing Over Metrics
00:15:42 Best Work of the Year and High-Leverage Content Bets
00:17:55 Big Research Reports as Career-Defining Projects
00:19:19 When Memes Outperform Deep Work
00:19:52 LinkedIn Algorithms vs. Content Quality
00:20:51 Writing for the Feed vs. Writing to Think
00:22:03 Optimizing LinkedIn Profiles for Credibility
00:23:47 Subscriber Growth, Audience Quality, and Churn Reality
00:27:20 Reports and Research as Growth Engines
00:28:37 Tactical “How-To” Content That Actually Converts
00:30:21 Tactical Value Beats Sounding Smart
00:30:40 Building a Team and Scaling Beyond a Solopreneur
00:32:05 Simplicity vs. Scale in Early Business Decisions
00:35:37 Avoiding Boredom and Shiny Object Syndrome
00:37:12 Balancing Writing, Consulting, and Energy
00:37:54 Making the Leap Financially as a Creator
00:39:01 Subscriptions vs. Advertising as the Real Business Model
#MostlyGrowthPodcast #CreatorEconomy #IndependentCreator #NewsletterBusiness #YearInReview
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
Capital Spoilage and Leakage: A CFO’s Guide to Finding What’s Lost | Mostly Classics
2025/12/25
[Original air date: June 5, 2025]
How can finance leaders identify where their capital is silently going to waste and where it can be better used to drive growth? In this episode, CJ interviews Russell Lester, the CFO of Tropic, where capital allocation is both the product and the mission. Russell introduces the concept of “spoilage”, deployed capital that fails to deliver its intended value. He also talks about “levers”, positive actions that force multiply your efforts, and “leakages”, headwinds or detractors that sap momentum. Russell believes it is the job of the CFO (or “Chief Alignment Officer”) to proactively go looking for these levers and leakages. He then explains how he uses his “center of the table” framework to redeploy the freed-up capital to fuel growth. Russell also covers how to address misalignment, what helicopter skills are and why you need them, what a data safari is and why you should take one daily, and why every CFO needs a spend management tool.
—
SPONSORS:
Tipalti automates the entire payables process—from onboarding suppliers to executing global payouts—helping finance teams save time, eliminate costly errors, and scale confidently across 200+ countries and 120 currencies. More than 5,000 businesses already trust Tipalti to manage payments with built-in security and tax compliance. Visit https://www.tipalti.com/runthenumbers to learn more.
Aleph automates 90% of manual, error-prone busywork, so you can focus on the strategic work you were hired to do. Minimize busywork and maximize impact with the power of a web app, the flexibility of spreadsheets, and the magic of AI. Get a personalised demo at https://www.getaleph.com/run
Fidelity Private Shares is the all-in-one equity management platform that keeps your cap table clean, your data room organized, and your equity story clear—so you never risk losing a fundraising round over messy records. Schedule a demo at https://www.fidelityprivateshares.com and mention Mostly Metrics to get 20% off.
Sage Intacct is a cloud financial management platform that replaces spreadsheets, automates workflows, and keeps your books audit-ready as you scale. It unifies accounting, ERP, and real-time reporting for finance, retail, logistics, tech, and professional services. With payback in under six months and up to 250% ROI, and eight years as the customer-satisfaction leader, Sage Intacct helps you take control of your growth: https://bit.ly/3Kn4YHt
Mercury is business banking built for builders, giving founders and finance pros a financial stack that actually works together. From sending wires to tracking balances and approving payments, Mercury makes it simple to scale without friction. Join the 200,000+ entrepreneurs who trust Mercury and apply online in minutes at https://www.mercury.com
RightRev automates the revenue recognition process from end to end, gives you real-time insights, and ensures ASC 606 / IFRS 15 compliance—all while closing books faster. For RevRec that auditors actually trust, visit https://www.rightrev.com and schedule a demo.
—
LINKS:
Russell on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/russell-lester-aa98463/
Tropic: https://www.tropicapp.io/
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
—
RELATED EPISODES:
Wasted Capital and Where to Find It The CFOs Guide to Spoilage Levers Leakages
https://youtu.be/xOby7CcdljI
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Mostly Classics: Russell Lester on Capital and Alignment
00:00:48 Sponsors — Tipalti | Aleph | Fidelity Private Shares
00:04:07 Russell Lester Joins the Show
00:06:45 Capital Spoilage and Wasted Spend
00:08:34 Why Spoilage Goes Unnoticed Inside Companies
00:10:16 Creating Accountability for ROI
00:11:08 Spoilage Beyond Tools and Software
00:13:04 Strategy Drift and the Sunk Cost Trap
00:14:14 Sponsors — Sage Intacct | Mercury | RightRev
00:17:44 Levers and Leakages: A Framework for Momentum
00:19:27 Identifying Levers Across the Funnel
00:21:48 Efficiency Levers Inside the P&L
00:23:31 Common Spend Leakages in Practice
00:24:21 The Center of the Table Framework
00:26:47 Budget Ownership vs Corporate Stewardship
00:28:49 The CFO as Chief Alignment Officer
00:31:31 Trust, Tact, and Executive Leadership
00:33:35 Helicopter Skills for Finance Leaders
00:35:41 Curiosity as a CFO Superpower
00:36:02 Data Safaris and Asking Better Questions
00:38:16 Breaking Down Net Dollar Retention
00:40:32 Navigating Data Overload
00:42:16 Building a Single Source of Truth
00:43:03 Intelligent Spend Management in Action
00:44:44 Capital Allocation as the CFO’s Core Job
00:46:04 How Spend Management Drives Growth
00:49:14 Why Companies Delay Spend Tools
00:50:49 A Career Mistake with Investors
00:52:49 Auto-Renewals: Revenue vs Leakage
00:54:07 Advice to a Younger CFO
#RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFOLeadership #CapitalAllocation #FinancialStrategy #SpendManagement
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
From CFO to Founder: Inside the Making of Mostly Media | Paul Stansik Interviews CJ
2025/12/22
In this special, table-turning episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson steps out of the host’s chair as Paul Stansik—Operating Partner at ParkerGale and author of the Hello Operator newsletter—takes over the interview. What began as a planned discussion on annual planning best practices quickly evolves into a candid deep dive on Mostly Media, CJ’s growing niche B2B media business, and the thinking behind his own operating plan for the year ahead. Fresh off exiting his CFO role in January 2025, CJ walks through the origin story of Mostly Metrics, how it scaled into a broader media platform, and what it’s like being “the boss of me” for the first time. Paul presses on the real questions—growth opportunities, monetization, and strategic tradeoffs—making this episode a transparent look at how a modern, metrics-driven media business is built and run.
—
SPONSORS:
RightRev automates the revenue recognition process from end to end, gives you real-time insights, and ensures ASC 606 / IFRS 15 compliance—all while closing books faster. For RevRec that auditors actually trust, visit https://www.rightrev.com and schedule a demo.
Tipalti automates the entire payables process—from onboarding suppliers to executing global payouts—helping finance teams save time, eliminate costly errors, and scale confidently across 200+ countries and 120 currencies. More than 5,000 businesses already trust Tipalti to manage payments with built-in security and tax compliance. Visit https://www.tipalti.com/runthenumbers to learn more.
Aleph automates 90% of manual, error-prone busywork, so you can focus on the strategic work you were hired to do. Minimize busywork and maximize impact with the power of a web app, the flexibility of spreadsheets, and the magic of AI. Get a personalised demo at https://www.getaleph.com/run
Fidelity Private Shares is the all-in-one equity management platform that keeps your cap table clean, your data room organized, and your equity story clear—so you never risk losing a fundraising round over messy records. Schedule a demo at https://www.fidelityprivateshares.com and mention Mostly Metrics to get 20% off.
Sage Intacct is a cloud financial management platform that replaces spreadsheets, automates workflows, and keeps your books audit-ready as you scale. It unifies accounting, ERP, and real-time reporting for finance, retail, logistics, tech, and professional services. With payback in under six months and up to 250% ROI, and eight years as the customer-satisfaction leader, Sage Intacct helps you take control of your growth: https://bit.ly/3Kn4YHt
Mercury is business banking built for builders, giving founders and finance pros a financial stack that actually works together. From sending wires to tracking balances and approving payments, Mercury makes it simple to scale without friction. Join the 200,000+ entrepreneurs who trust Mercury and apply online in minutes at https://www.mercury.com
—
LINKS:
Paul on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paulstansik/
Hello Operator: https://hellooperator.substack.com/
CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
—
RELATED EPISODES:
Portfolio Operations: This Is What You Actually Have To Do To Make Sure a Company Is Successful
https://youtu.be/pOj4JwGUTSo
Grindr’s $0 CAC Secret from the CFO Who Launched Disney+ | Vanna Krantz
https://youtu.be/ijFIMmtpLNw
Scaling to $1B+ Revenue: From ServiceNow to Samsara | Dominic Phillips
https://youtu.be/vBY6WZBMljw
—
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Preview and Intro
00:02:10 Sponsors — RightRev | Tipalti | Aleph
00:06:23 Episode Setup and Context
00:07:22 Why This Episode Exists
00:08:44 The Origin Story
00:10:03 First Signs of Traction
00:10:26 Memes, Early Growth, and “Big Ballers”
00:12:01 Defining the Brand Feel
00:13:28 Leaving a Job to Write
00:15:07 Writing His Way to CFO
00:16:26 Sponsors — Fidelity Private Shares | Sage Intacct | Mercury
00:19:01 Growth Tactics That Worked
00:21:31 First Monetization Moment
00:22:13 Balancing CFO Life and Media
00:24:06 Going All-In on the Business
00:25:02 A CFO Lens on Media
00:28:09 Asset Businesses vs Cash Flow
00:31:35 How the Business Makes Money
00:32:42 Revenue Compounding Over Time
00:33:29 Scaling to $3M
00:34:08 Partnerships and Buying Cycles
00:36:19 Building the Core Team
00:39:09 Adding Recruiting to the Mix
00:41:01 Strategy for the Next Phase
00:42:03 Boredom, Discipline, and Craft
00:43:08 Defining the Core Audience
00:46:09 Staying in the Game
00:47:22 Advice for Creators
00:49:15 Brand, Fun, and Value
00:52:08 Following the Momentum
00:53:14 Finding Your Unique Edge
00:55:19 Enjoying the Build
00:56:25 Closing and Outro
#RunTheNumbersPodcast #creatoreconomy #mediabusiness #cfoperspective #buildinpublic
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
Podcast reviews
Read Run the Numbers podcast reviews
5 out of 5
60 reviews
★★★★★
mladipo 2025/12/31
Best podcast to actually understand how to run the numbers.
This is the first podcast I’ve rated because CJ is definitely worth it. The only podcast that makes me love my work in finance and the people that do ...
★★★★★
znanakkekkdmckdfkgl 2025/03/12
🐐
CJ is goated. Thanks for all the knowledge bombs
★★★★★
The FP&A Guy 2024/04/08
Awesome
Great host and great podcast. CJ has an amazing way of helping others understand SaaS and tech.
★★★★★
PJ2345 2024/03/22
Solid Gold
My good friends at Virtua Research recommended this podcast to me an I’m addicted. There is usually some nugget, tip or tactic that I learn that I ca...
★★★★★
Niko Koutovides 2024/01/03
Must-listen
CJ does an excellent job communicating insightful financial topics in an easy-to-understand, funny way. You can tell he spends a significant amount of...
★★★★★
Too many pucks to the head 2024/01/03
Applicable to any role in SaaS
If you are trying to have a 360 degree view of how your business is run this podcast is for you. Highly suggest for anyone in any position (this is co...
★★★★★
The_MayorP 2024/01/03
Fantastic content and host
Really insightful content, always learning something and useful tips to apply in my career.