
Advertise on podcast: How India's Economy Works
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51 episodes
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Date created
2024/02/22
Latest episode
2026/02/04
Average duration
34 min.
Release period
13 days
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Join journalist Puja Mehra as she breaks down one story to give you all the context you need to understand how it fits into the larger picture of India's economy.
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Check latest episodes from How India's Economy Works podcast
Coal Still Powers Much Of India’s Industry. Why Does It Remain A Troubled Sector?
2026/02/04
In this episode, journalist Puja Mehra speaks with Subhomoy Bhattacharjee, Journalist and Contributing Editor at Business Standard, about the paradox at the heart of India’s coal economy—why the country is sitting on large coal stocks even as it continues to import coal for power generation. They discuss how India’s transition from coal shortages to apparent surplus masks deeper structural problems in production, transportation, pricing, and quality.
Drawing on recent data and policy decisions, Bhattacharjee explains why domestically mined coal often fails to reach power plants economically, how high rail freight costs and geographic mismatches distort supply, and why many plants prefer imported coal despite higher headline prices. The conversation also examines the opening up of coal mining to private players, the weakening of Coal India’s monopoly, and the push towards market-driven coal pricing through proposed coal exchanges.
The discussion concludes by looking ahead to India’s energy future, assessing whether coal consumption has peaked, how rising electricity demand from data centres and the AI economy could reshape power needs, and why coal is likely to remain central to India’s power mix for years to come. Tune in for insights on what India’s coal surplus reveals about infrastructure bottlenecks, market design, and energy policy.
CHAPTERS
(00:00) Introduction to India’s Coal Economy
(02:00) The Coal Surplus Puzzle
(04:00) Why Coal Isn’t Reaching Plants
(06:30) Transport Costs and Rail Bottlenecks
(09:00) Imported Coal vs Domestic Coal
(11:30) Why Plants Aren’t Near Mines
(14:00) Pollution and Poor Plant Location
(16:30) Private Miners and Rising Production
(18:30) Can Coal India Adapt
(21:00) Coal India’s Financial Health
(23:30) Employees and Market Transition
(26:00) Coal Pricing and Linkages
(28:00) Has India’s Coal Use Peaked
(30:30) AI, Data Centres and Power Demand
(33:00) Global Coal Demand Outlook
(35:30) Nuclear Power and the Future
Register for India Finance and Innovation Forum 2026
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Capital Markets: The Missing Piece in India’s Growth Story
2026/01/21
In this episode, journalist and author Puja Mehra speaks with economist Dr. Jahangir Aziz, Economist (Head Emerging Market Economics) at JPMorgan and a former finance ministry official, about what India’s upcoming Union Budget can realistically achieve amid slowing nominal growth and weak private investment. They discuss how the government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation shapes budget choices, even as tax revenues soften and demand remains constrained. Drawing on recent fiscal outcomes, inflation trends, capital market dynamics, and historical episodes such as the global financial crisis, Aziz explains why India’s investment slowdown is no longer cyclical but structural. He unpacks the widening disconnect between strong headline growth and persistently low core inflation, arguing that sustained disinflation signals excess capacity, weak pricing power, and a chronic shortfall of demand. The conversation examines why corporate investment has stagnated for over a decade, how rising industry concentration and limited sectoral churn are dampening incentives to invest, and the role underdeveloped corporate bond and private credit markets play in constraining medium-term financing for firms. Aziz also assesses the limits of budgetary action, the risks of an increasingly intrusive regulatory approach to capital markets, and the implications of slowing nominal GDP for earnings, debt dynamics, and fiscal space. The discussion concludes with reflections on why focusing narrowly on fiscal prudence and “Goldilocks” narratives risks overlooking deeper structural constraints to growth. Tune in for insights on what India’s macroeconomic signals reveal about demand, investment, market concentration, and the policy challenges that lie beyond budget day.
(00:00) Introduction
(00:27) Fiscal deficit and budget strategy
(02:57) Customs duties and tariff constraints
(05:10) Deregulation beyond the budget
(07:30) Capital markets and lack of reform
(11:52) Lessons from the 2008 crisis
(14:57) Corporate credit and market failures
(19:57) Nominal GDP growth concerns
(23:11) Explaining economic slack simply
(26:22) Investment slowdown and policy limits
(29:10) Structural causes of weak investment
(33:14) Industry concentration and ministries’ role
(34:40) Closing remarks
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What India’s Impressive GDP Growth Numbers Are Hiding
2026/01/14
In this episode, journalist and author Puja Mehra speaks with economist Partha Chatterjee and Dean of Academics at Shiv Nadar University. They talk about how the Indian economy is really performing beneath the headline numbers and what recent data signals about growth prospects through 2026. Drawing on the latest GDP estimates, inflation readings, labour market indicators, and credit trends, Chatterjee explains why strong real GDP growth and low inflation—hailed by the Reserve Bank of India as a “Goldilocks” phase—mask growing imbalances across sectors. He unpacks the widening gap between real and nominal GDP growth, the emergence of deflationary pressures in agriculture and parts of manufacturing, and why subdued price growth has serious implications for incomes, profitability, and government finances. The conversation examines the sources of current demand, including public capital expenditure, rising household credit, and the expanding role of cash transfers, and questions how sustainable this mix is over the medium term. Chatterjee also assesses the limits of industrial policy tools such as PLI schemes, their weak employment impact, and the risks posed by slowing job creation, stagnant rural wages, and rising import dependence. The discussion concludes with reflections on the policy trade-offs facing the government and the RBI, and why characterising the economy as “Goldilocks” risks complacency at a time of heightened global volatility. Tune in for insights on what India’s growth numbers reveal—and conceal—about jobs, incomes, fiscal space, and economic resilience.
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What the Data Reveals about India–US Trade Under 50% Tariffs
2025/12/31
In this episode, journalist and author Puja Mehra speaks with trade policy expert Ajay Srivastava, founder of the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI), about the impact of steep US tariffs on India’s exports and what the latest data reveals about the state of India–US trade negotiations. Drawing on sector-wise export trends, Srivastava explains the puzzling two-step trajectory in India’s exports to the US—a sharp initial fall followed by a partial recovery even as tariffs climbed to 50%—and outlines why this resilience may be driven by temporary adjustments.
He also examines whether India can realistically diversify away from the US market, why such shifts are slow and constrained by India’s export basket, and how global competition—particularly from China—limits alternative options. The conversation also touches on India’s recent spurt of free trade agreements, arguing that they reflect a revival of stalled negotiations rather than a fundamental shift in trade strategy. The discussion highlights why the India–US talks go far beyond a conventional trade agreement, touching on agriculture, domestic policy autonomy, and strategic concerns that India has consistently treated as red lines. Tune in for insights on what the trade data signals about India’s negotiating space, the costs of prolonged uncertainty, and the limits of compromise in a high-stakes economic relationship.
(00:00) Setting the India–US trade context
(00:42) Sharp export decline and partial rebound
(02:44) Why exports revived despite higher tariffs
(03:06) How exporters are sharing tariff losses
(05:33) Why the recovery may not last
(06:44) Is export diversification really happening
(09:27) Why tariffs won’t speed negotiations
(10:12) Trade deal versus strategic demands
(12:34) Employment risks from prolonged tariffs
(13:13) India’s non-negotiable red lines
(14:21) What India can realistically offer
(15:57) Country-specific versus MFN concessions
(16:45) Are India’s FTAs a strategy shift
(18:35) Why FTAs are being fast-tracked
(19:16) Using data to read trade signals
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Cash Transfers For Women Is Sound Economics
2025/12/17
In this episode, journalist and author Puja Mehra speaks with economist N. R. Bhanumurthy about the rise of women-focused cash transfer schemes and what they reveal about India’s social policy priorities. Drawing on his evaluations of early pilots in Madhya Pradesh that shaped the Ladli Behna programme, Bhanumurthy explains why cash outperforms kind transfers, how implementation improved with better beneficiary identification and payment systems, and what the evidence shows about nutrition gains for women and children.
He also addresses concerns that these schemes are becoming political tools or crowding out spending on health and education, arguing instead that the real issue is the lack of rationalisation across hundreds of overlapping state schemes. The conversation highlights why mobility remains a major barrier for women, why free bus travel could have long-term economic benefits, and how India’s current gender budgeting framework must shift from accounting to outcomes. Tune in for insights on how welfare can be redesigned to advance gender equity.
SHOW NOTES
(00:00) Introduction
(00:14) How Cash Transfer Ideas Began
(01:00) Early Schemes in Madhya Pradesh
(04:04) Lessons from Ground Evaluations
(04:47) What Worked and What Didn’t
(06:40) Cash vs Kind: Key Findings
(07:54) Misuse Concerns and Realities
(09:24) Are Schemes Becoming Political?
(10:16) Welfare, Politics, and Gender Gaps
(12:44) Cash Transfers vs Public Services
(13:28) Do Transfers Reduce State Effort?
(15:03) Fiscal Risks and Scheme Overlap
(15:32) Why States Must Rationalise
(17:16) Free Bus Travel for Women
(19:05) Short-Term vs Long-Term Impact
(20:36) Mobility, Culture, and Labour Gaps
(21:32) Women’s Work and Growth Potential
(23:59) Rethinking India’s Gender Budgeting
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Is India’s Demographic Dividend Over?
2025/12/03
In this episode, journalist and author Puja Mehra speaks with economist Arjun Jayadev, Director at the Centre for the Study of the Indian Economy (CSIE) at Azim Premji University and co-author of a major new study on how India’s demographic dividend has actually contributed to economic growth across states. Jayadev explains why India’s per-capita growth has diverged sharply across regions, how GDP per capita can be decomposed into productivity, employment, and demographic effects, and what this reveals about the three distinct phases of India’s post-liberalisation growth story. He outlines why the 2004–2017 period saw East Asian–level productivity surges in states such as Tamil Nadu, Gujarat and Karnataka, why employment ratios simultaneously collapsed, and how the years since 2017 have been defined by a worrying fall in labour productivity despite a rise in employment.
Jayadev also highlights the structural risks ahead: young states like Bihar and Uttar Pradesh that are unable to generate high-productivity jobs; ageing states like Kerala and Himachal Pradesh that are losing demographic tailwinds; and the national challenge of absorbing millions into productive work before the demographic dividend fully fades. Drawing on granular state-level data and labour force trends, he argues that India is at risk of “growing old before it grows rich,” and that the next decade must focus on expanding high-productivity employment, enabling migration, and designing state-specific strategies rather than uniform national prescriptions. Tune in for insights on what India must prioritise now to convert its demographic window into sustained and inclusive economic growth.
(00:00) Introduction
(00:14) What the demographic dividend really means
(01:36) How the study decomposes GDP per capita
(01:58) The three components of growth explained
(05:55) Why early job absorption lagged
(07:14) Phase 2 (2004–2017): jobless growth and soaring productivity
(10:47) Phase 3 (post-2017): collapsing labour productivity
(11:02) Rise of low-productivity, agriculture-heavy employment
(12:21) What the findings mean for policymakers
(13:55) Young vs ageing states: diverging economic futures
(15:38) India vs Japan: productivity and demographics
(17:26) East Asian–level productivity in Indian states
(19:52) What states must do now to create productive jobs
(22:04) How India squandered its demographic dividend
(23:22) Why lagging states must urgently generate high-productivity work
(24:01) The warning signs ahead
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The Economics Behind a Viksit Bihar and Real Implications of Cash Transfers and Emigration
2025/11/19
In this episode, journalist and author Puja Mehra speaks with economist Prachi Mishra, Professor at the Department of Economics, and Director and Head of Isaac Center for Public Policy at Ashoka University and lead author of a forthcoming report on how the Bihar can accelerate its path to Viksit Bihar. Mishra explains why Bihar must aim for sustained double-digit growth to close its large per-capita income gap with the rest of India, and why doing so requires more than traditional agriculture or services-led expansion. She outlines how Bihar can unlock growth by pursuing targeted agro-industrialisation around crops such as maize, makhana and litchi, scaling tourism through distributed cultural circuits and diaspora engagement, developing GCC and special economic and logistics zones, and improving the quality and allocation of public capital spending. Mishra also highlights the need for stronger state capacity — from law and order to skilling and logistics — better revenue mobilisation including property taxes, and clearer fiscal rules to balance transfers and investment. Drawing on empirical analysis and a granular, district-level roadmap, she argues that Bihar’s greatest opportunity lies in strategic industrial policy that links geography, value addition and employment. Tune in for insights on what the new government must prioritise to turn Bihar’s potential into sustained prosperity.
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We Assume India Can’t Export to China, But There’s a $161 Billion Market Waiting
2025/11/05
In this episode, journalist and author Puja Mehra speaks with economist Dr. Nisha Taneja, Professor at ICRIER and author of a comprehensive study on India–China trade, about how India can recalibrate its economic relationship with China. Taneja explains why India’s imports from China continue to rise despite policy tightening and geopolitical tensions, and why efforts to restrict trade have not reduced dependence. She outlines how India can expand its export base by targeting a $161 billion opportunity in pharmaceuticals, machinery, shrimp, gems, and tourism, while building competitiveness in medium and high-tech sectors. Taneja also highlights the need for a clearer institutional framework to separate politics from trade, encourage investment in manufacturing, and deepen business-to-business dialogue. Drawing on decades of research, she argues that India’s real leverage lies in its human capital and its ability to diversify. Tune in for insights on how India can seize an opportunity with China that it has too long overlooked.
RESOURCE LINKS
https://icrier.org/pdf/Calibrating_India_s_Economic.pdf
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The Shift from Trade to Public Spending as the New Engine of Growth--and its Bad Timing
2025/10/22
In this episode, Puja Mehra speaks with economist Dr. Anoop Singh, author of Managing Public Finances in a New Global Era: India’s Experiences and Challenges, about how India can strengthen fiscal discipline in an age of slowing trade and rising public debt. Singh explains why the world is shifting from trade-driven to fiscal-driven growth and how India must confront the challenges of opaque accounting, off-budget borrowing, and mounting subsidies. He highlights the urgent need for common definitions across states, transparent reporting, and institutional reform to ensure that every rupee spent is visible and accountable. Drawing on lessons from global peers, Singh argues that sustainable growth depends on seeing and managing what governments spend. “You cannot manage what you can’t see,” he warns. Tune in for insights on how India can build a more transparent and resilient fiscal framework for the years ahead.
PDF - The State of State Finances in India: Bridging the Data Gaps: https://www.thecore.in/h-library/is-3aanoops.pdf
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The Give and Take Needed to Bring the India–US Trade Deal Back on Track
2025/10/08
In this episode, Puja Mehra speaks with economist Dr. Rajat Kathuria about the evolving landscape of India-US trade relations and the broader challenges of global economic engagement. Kathuria explains how India must balance political sensitivities in sectors like agriculture while ensuring competitive access to the US market. He highlights the importance of tariff reductions, strategic concessions, and diversification in trade and energy imports to attract investment and strengthen economic resilience. The discussion also delves into the role of media in shaping economic narratives and the lessons India can learn from China’s measured rise. Kathuria emphasizes India’s intrinsic entrepreneurial talent, frugal innovation, and the need to engage in global trade frameworks like CPTPP and RCEP. Tune in for insights on how India can leverage its strengths to become a leading global economic power.
(00:00) Introduction
(01:15) The Politics Behind India–US Trade Relations
(04:40) Why Agriculture Is Always a Sticking Point
(08:05) The Role of Tariffs and Market Access
(11:20) What India Can Offer the United States
(14:35) Mini Deals vs. Comprehensive Trade Agreements
(17:10) How Global Trust Has Broken Down Since the Pandemic
(20:25) India’s Strategy for Building Economic Resilience
(23:45) The Importance of Diversifying Energy and Trade Partners
(26:30) Media Narratives and Policy Misunderstandings
(29:10) Learning from China’s Measured Global Strategy
(31:45) Redefining India’s Red Lines in Trade Negotiations
(33:00) Why Rajat Kathuria Remains Optimistic About India’s Future
(34:56) Conclusion
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India’s Outsized Efforts for Outsized Growth Ambitions with Aurélien Kruse
2025/09/23
In this episode, economic journalist and author Puja Mehra speaks to Aurélien Kruse, Lead Economist of the Economic Policy team in India at the World Bank and lead author of its recent report on India. The conversation unpacks how India can break out of the middle-income trap, why small firms struggle to scale up, and what stalled reforms on land, labour, and credit mean for the country’s competitiveness.
They also discuss whether India’s large domestic market is enough to drive growth, the limits of tariff-led industrial policy, and why inclusive development—not just fiscal incentives—will ultimately determine the size of India’s consumer class and its ability to attract sustained private capital.
Tune in for insights on what it will take to reignite private investment, implement reforms that actually deliver, and unlock India’s long-awaited growth potential. This episode offers both a reality check on India’s reform story and a roadmap for policymakers to create a more predictable, investment-friendly future.
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The GST Reform India Needs but Didn’t Get with Arbind Modi
2025/09/10
In this episode, economic journalist and author Puja Mehra speaks to Arbind Modi, retired IRS officer and Senior Economist at the IMF and one of the chief architects of India’s Goods and Services Tax (GST), about what India’s broken tax system means for its growth ambitions. The conversation explores how GST’s design flaws have hurt competitiveness, why exempting large sections of income undermines fairness, and how Centre–State revenue sharing has created new fiscal strains.
The discussion connects India’s tax choices to global shifts, from the Trump-era trade wars to the reordering of supply chains, making clear that without serious reform, India risks missing yet another growth opportunity.
Tune in for insights on what it will take to reset India’s tax system, revive competitiveness, and lay the foundation for sustained 8% growth. This episode is both a masterclass in India’s tax system and a call for bold, evidence-driven policymaking.
(00:00) Introduction
(02:15) Why GST Hasn’t Delivered on Its Promise
(07:42) Fixing GST Design and Efficiency
(12:30) The Problem with GST Rates and Complexity
(16:58) Corporate Tax Cuts and Their Consequences
(21:47) Why Income Tax Exemptions Are a Mistake
(27:15) The Centre–State Revenue Sharing Dilemma
(32:44) The Case for Comprehensive Tax Reform
(38:52) How GST Reform Could Unlock Higher Growth
(46:10) Why Political Will Matters More Than Bureaucratic Hesitation
(51:21) Decluttering GST and Fixing Excise Duties
(55:23) Why Taxing Gold Jewellery Hurts the Poor
(59:26) Conclusion
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Why India’s Russian Oil Imports are Suddenly Bugging Trump with Suhasini Haidar
2025/08/28
In this episode, journalist Puja Mehra speaks to Suhasini Haidar, Diplomatic Affairs Editor of The Hindu, about what India’s failed trade deal with Donald Trump reveals about the country’s foreign policy. The discussion unpacks how India balances principles with pragmatism in global negotiations, the costs of missed opportunities in its own neighbourhood, and the deeper shifts from globalisation to populism that are reshaping trade worldwide. Suhasini also explains why India’s diplomatic space depends not only on economic choices but also on the strength of its democratic and pluralistic values.
Tune in for insights on how India can navigate uncertainty, define its red lines, and reset its strategy for the future.
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Trump Has Reset India and the World for at Least the Next 15 Years
2025/08/14
In this episode, author and journalist Puja Mehra speaks to Neelkanth Mishra, Chief Economist at Axis Bank, about the lessons India can draw from past currency wars to navigate the turbulent years ahead. They discuss how, in the decade after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, countries devalued their currencies to gain trade advantages—and how similar pressures are resurfacing today as major economies look to depreciate their exchange rates. Drawing on global historical patterns, Mishra explains why India’s medium-term balance of payments outlook is relatively stable, but also why access to foreign capital and careful currency calibration will be crucial for sustaining growth.
He argues that the current period of global economic flux is a rare opportunity for India to take difficult but necessary reform decisions—removing barriers for entrepreneurs and farmers, improving access to technology, and building resilience against a more protectionist world order. Without such reforms, sustaining current growth rates could become a challenge.
Tune in for insights on how India can use a moment of global turbulence to drive structural change, sustain economic momentum, and emerge stronger in an era of competitive currency moves.
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Global Upheaval, National Ambition: India’s Policy Shifts in a Time of Flux
2025/08/11
In this episode, author and journalist Puja Mehra speaks to economist Dr. Rajiv Kumar about his new book “Everything All At Once: India and the Six Simultaneous Global Transitions” co-authored with Ishan Joshi. The book argues that at a time the world is in a geoeconomic and technological flux, India’s development goals cannot be met through “business as usual.” Drawing on decades of experience, Dr. Kumar explains that India is perhaps the only country in world history that must develop while reducing its carbon footprint at the same time.
This too at a time the US is abandoning its universalist approach, China is rising, and there is a widespread sense of unease in major capitals at the emergent fragmented world order. The sense of optimism at the end of the Cold War, despite lingering issues of power asymmetry and inequitable growth, has dissipated.
Dr. Kumar argues that Indian policymakers must ensure they are not seduced into tackling the ongoing transitions in either a piecemeal fashion or within a linear framework. The six global transitions demand a rethink of policy priorities. In the absence of such a construct, India faces the unsavoury prospect of being caught in the middle-income trap, and not achieving its aspirations of becoming a developed economy (Viksit Bharat) by 2047, he cautions.
Tune in for insights on how India needs to go about developing a new policy framework to successfully address the multiple simultaneous global challenges.
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