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The two models that you will hear discussed for at least the next two months - Claude Opus 4.6 and GPT 5.3 Codex - just got released within 26 mins or each other. The full breakdown of around 250 pages of reports, with just the most interest moments, from the battle of which is best, Claude personhood, the surprising misbehaviour of Opus 4.6, and much more https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for Pro: https://lmcouncil.ai AI Insiders ($9): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Chapters: 00:00 - Introduction 00:54 - Self-improvement? 02:44 - Knowledge Work 05:30 - Overly agentic behaviour 09:12 - Who Shouldn’t Use Claude Opus 11:39 - Step-change? 15:09 - Claude’s ‘Personhood’ Hassabis Roadmap: https://www.patreon.com/posts/hassabis-roadmap-149750869 Release of Opus 4.6: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-6 212 Page System Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/0dd865075ad3132672ee0ab40b05a53f14cf5288.pdf Claude Code Tip: https://x.com/bcherny/status/2019475897691124107 GPT Codex 5.3: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-3-codex/ System Card: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-3-codex-system-card/ Browse Comp: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.12516v1 Finance Agent: https://www.vals.ai/benchmarks/finance_agent Terminal Bench 2: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.11868 Vending Bench: https://andonlabs.com/blog/opus-4-6-vending-bench My X post: https://x.com/AIExplainedYT/status/2016851303436095647 Anthropic Apology: https://x.com/ch402/status/2014066134194995256/photo/1 Altman rebuttal: https://x.com/sama/status/2019139174339928189 https://x.com/sama/status/2019140276246442089 4% of GitHub: https://x.com/dylan522p/status/2019490550911766763 Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Anthropic's CEO, who has consistently predicted transformative AI will arrive before 2030, recently published a nearly 20,000-word essay outlining his vision of where AI is heading. The video gives you the highlights. The essay argues that scaling and recursion will advance AI from coding automation to full engineering automation, while warning of economic displacement within 1-2 years and China's trajectory toward AI-enabled totalitarianism. Additionally, Dario Amodei predicts that AI models will increasingly be understood as collections of distinct personas rather than monolithic systems. 80,000 Hours: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B54EQiuO1UU Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for Pro: https://lmcouncil.ai AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Chapters: 00:00 - Introduction 01:10 - Scaling to software engineers 06:11 - Permanent Underclass 10:18 - Totalitarian Nightmares 16:38 - Collection of Personas Essay: https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technology Physics Prediction: https://www.quantamagazine.org/is-particle-physics-dead-dying-or-just-hard-20260126/ Axios: https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic World GDP: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2024&start=1961&view=chart Demis Hassabis Counter: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6fq4_uP7aM Karpathy 80%: https://x.com/karpathy/status/2015883857489522876 Machines of Loving Grace: https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/machines-of-loving-grace Anthropic LessWrong: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5aKRshJzhojqfbRyo/unless-its-governance-changes-anthropic-is-untrustworthy#1__In_private__Dario_frequently_said_he_won_t_push_the_frontier_of_AI_capabilities__later__Anthropic_pushed_the_frontier Original Constitution: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claudes-constitution New Constitution: https://www.anthropic.com/constitution Kimi K2.5: https://x.com/Kimi_Moonshot/status/2016024049869324599 Societies of Thought, Google DeepMind Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.10825 https://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks https://www.patreon.com/posts/our-new-age-of-133960279 Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

A new tool, with code written by an AI model, has gone omega-viral: Claude Cowork. But is the hype justified? What do the stats say on productivity? Where is the truth in a sea of noise? What is truth? Can we handle the truth? Where's Nemo? https://matsprogram.org/s26-aie Check out my new app! https://lmcouncil.ai AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Chapters:  00:00 - Introduction 01:12 - Claude Cowork 06:48 - Productivity Speed-up + jobs 09:33 - Comparing Models 12:00 - Brittle AI Paper Cowork Intro: https://x.com/claudeai/thread/2010805682434666759 'All of it': https://x.com/bcherny/status/2010813886052581538 'AGI' Claims: https://x.com/deepfates/status/2004994698335879383 Douglas Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TOsNrV3bXtQ&t=2313s Job Stats: https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Evidence-of-an-AI-driven-shakeup-of-job-markets-is-patchy.pdf Amodei Prediction: https://fortune.com/2025/05/28/anthropic-ceo-warning-ai-job-loss/ GenAI Traffic: https://x.com/demishassabis/status/2009075877347512545 Illusion of Insight: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.00514 Entropy Exploration: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2506.14758 ProRL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2505.24864 Genesis Mission: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/11/launching-the-genesis-mission/ https://deepmind.google/blog/how-were-supporting-better-tropical-cyclone-prediction-with-ai/ Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

It’s probably not possible to satisfactorily condense a 12 month’s worth of weird progress in AI, as well as predictions for the year to come, into one video. But I’m gonna try anyway because it has been a very strange time. http://matsprogram.org/s26-aie My new app! https://lmcouncil.ai Patreon Interview: https://www.patreon.com/posts/robot-in-your-27-146376094 Chapters: 00:00 - Introduction 00:34 - Reasoning Models … and limits 02:54 - A playable world 03:36 - Realism 03:50 - AI Slop gone mainstream 05:03 - DolphinGemma 05:39 - Public Mood 07:34 - AI Enlisted 08:30 - GPT-5 11:05 - Open Weight not out 13:00 - METR Breakout 17:30 - VASA-1 18:28 - Lateral Productivity 20:15 - 1 or 1000 benchmarks needed? 24:54 - Continual Learning + Altman on Superintelligence 28:08 - Automated Information Discovery ft AlphaEvolve Hassabis on Generality: https://x.com/demishassabis/status/2003097405026193809 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PqVbypvxDto Gemini 3: https://storage.googleapis.com/gweb-uniblog-publish-prod/original_images/gemini_3_table_final_HLE_Tools_on.gif Reasoning Trade-offs: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.13837 DolphinGemma: https://blog.google/technology/ai/dolphingemma/?s=09 Genie 3: https://deepmind.google/blog/genie-3-a-new-frontier-for-world-models/ METR Time Horizon: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499 https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/ Flaws: https://x.com/ShashwatGoel7/status/2002369517499105443 https://shash42.substack.com/p/how-to-game-the-metr-plot https://x.com/METR_Evals/status/2002203627377574113 GPT-5 - Altman phd in everything: https://edition.cnn.com/2025/08/14/business/chatgpt-rollout-problems https://simple-bench.com/ AI Slop: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_3vxoJDD9k https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/dec/16/boost-for-artists-in-ai-copyright-battle-as-only-3-per-cent-back-uk-active-opt-out-plan Survey: https://x.com/SearchlightInst/status/2001057144842387920/photo/1 Nvidia Nemotron: https://x.com/percyliang/status/2000608134205985169 OpenAI Compute Flywheel: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2001363007209914399/photo/1 Altman Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2P27Ef-LLuQ AI in Govt: https://x.com/jdcmedlock/status/1939814516503847259 Benchmark Gaming: https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/07/meta-exec-denies-the-company-artificially-boosted-llama-4s-benchmark-scores/ AlphaEvolve: https://deepmind.google/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/ https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/DeepMind.com/Blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/AlphaEvolve.pdf?utm_source=deepmind.google&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=gdm&utm_content= Continual Learning: https://abehrouz.github.io/files/NL.pdf Job Risk: https://archive.ph/20250708204527/https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic GPT4o: https://x.com/AISafetyMemes/status/1916889492172013989 Vasa-1: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/project/vasa-1/ Three Views: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/K2D45BNxnZjdpSX2j/ai-timelines Turing Test: https://x.com/tunguz/status/1907185471211422147 Karpathy Year in Review: https://karpathy.bearblog.dev/year-in-review-2025/ LLM Brainrot: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.13928 Lateral Productivity: https://www.aisi.gov.uk/frontier-ai-trends-report Emotional Quotient: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.08394 Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/ AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

The condensed highlights of hours of AI lab leader interviews, model releases, Gemini 3 Flash insights (plus it’s hidden flaw), Hassabis’ ‘proto-AGI’ and much more… https://matsprogram.org/apply?utm_source=ai-explained&utm_medium=youtube&utm_campaign=s26   Also, do check out my new app: https://lmcouncil.ai Chapters:  00:00 - Introduction 00:50 - Results 02:44 - But… the Flaw 04:49 - So Benchmarks are fake? No 07:37 - Spatial Reasoning + Hassabis 10:06 - Proto-AGI 12:07 - Minimal AGI 15:07 - Compute Slowdown 17:56 - New Data Paradigm Gemini 3 Flash: https://deepmind.google/models/gemini/flash/ Hassabis Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PqVbypvxDto Legg Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3u_FAv33G0 Pre-training Lead Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cNGDAqFXvew Altman Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2P27Ef-LLuQ Brockman Video: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2001336514786017417 Post-Training Reveal: https://x.com/OfficialLoganK/status/2001742530472534442 Hallucinations Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d04913be-3f6f-4d2b-b283-ff432ef4aaa5/why-language-models-hallucinate.pdf Patreon Hallucinations Vid: https://www.patreon.com/posts/blockers-to-and-139264812 AA-Omniscience Benchmark: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscience https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.13029 lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks  https://simple-bench.com/ https://x.com/scaling01/status/1999620587744813205 5.2 Codex Drop: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/ac7c37ae-7f4c-4442-b741-2eabdeaf77e0/oai_5_2_Codex.pdf OpenAI Compute Trend: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-350-billion-computing-cost-problem?rc=sy0ihq Cramer Tweet/Response: https://x.com/BorisMPower/status/2001440650210976018 OpenAI Valuation: ​​https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-discussed-raising-tens-billions-valuation-around-750-billion?rc=sy0ihq Indian Data: https://www.reuters.com/world/india/with-freebies-openai-google-vie-indian-users-training-data-2025-12-17/ TheInformation Data: https://x.com/theinformation/status/2001421225751351778 Genie 3: https://deepmind.google/blog/genie-3-a-new-frontier-for-world-models/ Sima 2: https://deepmind.google/blog/sima-2-an-agent-that-plays-reasons-and-learns-with-you-in-virtual-3d-worlds/ Veo 3.1: https://deepmind.google/blog/sima-2-an-agent-that-plays-reasons-and-learns-with-you-in-virtual-3d-worlds/ METR: https://metr.org/blohttps://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/ AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Full GPT-5.2 breakdown - did OpenAI reclaim the crown? A story of tokens, time and cost, plus 9 details you wouldn’t get just from reading the headlines. https://www.youtube.com/@eightythousandhours AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained https://lmcouncil.ai Chapters: 00:00 - Introduction 00:55 - Better than Human @ Professional Tasks? 04:42 - Test time Compute 07:05 - Benchmark Selection 09:32 - Simple Results + council comparison 13:01 - Long Context 13:52 - Self-Improvement 15:00 - 10 Years + New Models Release Page: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-2/ GPT 5.2 Benchmark Comparison: https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1pka1y9/gpt52_all_20_benchmarks_rankings_and_pricing/ https://storage.googleapis.com/gweb-uniblog-publish-prod/original_images/gemini_3_table_final_HLE_Tools_on.gif https://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks Charxiv: https://charxiv.github.io/#leaderboard GDPval: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.04374 My vid: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oK5LxMaROSA Kilpatrick: https://x.com/OfficialLoganK/status/1999270402712023158/photo/1 Noam Brown: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1999189845164667132 New Model in New Year: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-developing-garlic-model-counter-googles-recent-gains?rc=sy0ihq 10 Years of OpenAI: https://openai.com/index/ten-years/ GPQA: https://x.com/idavidrein/status/1841265634170278063 ARC-AGI 1-2: https://arcprize.org/arc-agi/2/ Sunday Robotics: https://x.com/tonyzzhao/status/1991204839578300813 Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ https://lmcouncil.ai

With headlines of an imminent job apocalypse, code red for ChatGPT and recursive self-improvement, at the same time as Anthropic's CEO yesterday saying we know how to scale to AGI, and Gemini 3 DeepThink out today, it is easy to get lost among the narratives and counter-narratives. So here are both, plus the facts behind them, for you to decide. https://epoch.ai/data/data-centers Epoch AI is the sponsor of today’s video, and my views, and those expressed in this video, do not necessarily reflect Epoch AI’s views in any way. Chapters:  00:00 - Introduction 00:42 - Job Apocalypse? 01:45 - Scaling to AGI 04:15 - Recursive Self-Improvement Needed, or Not 09:57 - OpenAI Code Red vs Gemini 3 DeepThink vs Claude Opus 4.5 13:27 - DeepSeek Speciale vs Mistral Large v3 16:45 - Claude Soul Document https://lmcouncil.ai/ AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Guardian Interview: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/ng-interactive/2025/dec/02/jared-kaplan-artificial-intelligence-train-itself MIT Study on Jobs/Tasks: https://iceberg.mit.edu/report.pdf vs https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/26/mit-study-finds-ai-can-already-replace-11point7percent-of-us-workforce.html Amodei on Scaling: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FEj7wAjwQIk Claude Soul Document: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vpNG99GhbBoLov9og/claude-4-5-opus-soul-document Capabilities Original Stance: https://www.anthropic.com/news/core-views-on-ai-safety Ilya Interview: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/ilya-sutskever-2 Ricursive Intelligence: https://x.com/RicursiveAI/status/1995932204703346946 Economist Worker Usage of GenAI: https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2025/11/26/investors-expect-ai-use-to-soar-thats-not-happening#selection-1409.94-1413.42 Mistral v3 Large: https://docs.mistral.ai/models/mistral-large-3-25-12 Compute Slowdown Paper: https://joel-becker.com/images/publications/forecasting_time_horizon_under_compute_slowdown.pdf https://x.com/joel_bkr/status/1993023436541903155 METR Chart: https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/ https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-350-billion-computing-cost-problem?rc=sy0ihq OpenAI Code Red: https://www.anthropic.com/news/core-views-on-ai-safety Rocket Company: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/sam-altman-rocket-elon-musk-spacex-b2878351.html DeepSeek Paper: https://arxiv.org/html/2512.02556v1 DeepSeek Crowdstrike CCP: https://www.crowdstrike.com/en-us/blog/crowdstrike-researchers-identify-hidden-vulnerabilities-ai-coded-software/ https://simple-bench.com/ Patreon Post: https://www.patreon.com/c/aiexplained/posts Robot: https://x.com/jloganolson/status/1985850115379351799

Gemini 3 Pro is out, and records fell like snowflakes in Svalbard.  No long description, chapters or links today, huge technical difficulties, including with audio, so just want to publish asap. https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained https://lmcouncil.ai AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

A lot just got released in the last 36 hours, and it will all affect hundreds of millions of people. 10 details you would miss if you just read the headlines, from GPT 5.1 regressions, to how Claude hacked Govt Agencies, to SIMA 2, and Musical Turing Tests. https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained Chapters: 00:00 - Introduction 00:56 - GPT 5.1 Smarter? 01:47 - Some Regressions 03:22 - Sycophancy? 05:22 - Claude Auto-Hacking  06:16 - Jailbreaking through Granularity 08:22 - This Will be Re-used 09:30 - Hallucinating Hacker 09:57 - Surprisingly Neutral Tone 12:18 - SIMA 2 14:10 - Alpha Parallels 17:24 - AI Music GPT 5.1 Announcement: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1/ System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/4173ec8d-1229-47db-96de-06d87147e07e/5_1_system_card.pdf Benchmarks: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1-for-developers/ Simple Bench: https://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks Auto-Hacking: https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/1989033793190277618 https://www.anthropic.com/news/disrupting-AI-espionage Report: https://assets.anthropic.com/m/ec212e6566a0d47/original/Disrupting-the-first-reported-AI-orchestrated-cyber-espionage-campaign.pdf Sima 2 Announcement: https://deepmind.google/blog/sima-2-an-agent-that-plays-reasons-and-learns-with-you-in-virtual-3d-worlds/ https://x.com/amoufarek/status/1988986075331858693 Scepticism: https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/11/13/1127921/google-deepmind-is-using-gemini-to-train-agents-inside-goat-simulator-3/ Voyager: https://voyager.minedojo.org/ Reuters Music: https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/are-you-listening-bots-survey-shows-ai-music-is-virtually-undetectable-2025-11-12/

Don’t let headlines about bubbles distract you from the real avenues of progress being explored in AI every week, including what had been thought to be a long-term blocker - continual learning (learning on the fly).  https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained This, plus models introspecting (hesitate before you berate), Nano Banana 2 possibly spotted, Chinese imagen and more. AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Chapters: 00:00 - Introduction 01:26 - Continual Learning (Nested Learning / HOPE) 07:00 - Introspection 10:54 - Image-Gen Progress Nested Learning Post: https://research.google/blog/introducing-nested-learning-a-new-ml-paradigm-for-continual-learning/ Nested Learning Paper: https://abehrouz.github.io/files/NL.pdf Original Titans Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2501.00663 Siri News: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-05/apple-plans-to-use-1-2-trillion-parameter-google-gemini-model-to-power-new-siri Introspection: https://www.anthropic.com/research/introspection Full Paper: https://transformer-circuits.pub/2025/introspection/index.html#mechanisms Earlier Work: https://www.anthropic.com/research/mapping-mind-language-model https://transformer-circuits.pub/2024/scaling-monosemanticity/index.html Release Post: https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/1983584136972677319 https://lmcouncil.ai  Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Sora 2 - the start of the infinite slop-feed or a key step to a generalist agent? Better than VEO 3 or over-hyped? I bring out 6 details you may have missed, contrast the announcement to Periodic Labs and even squeeze in some Claude Sonnet 4.5 analysis. Maybe I should make my videos longer… https://80000hours.org/aiexplained AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Chapters: 00:00 - Introduction 00:40 - Two models? 01:15 - Rollout Details 01:43 - Versus Sora 1 / Veo 3 04:30 - Sora App / Social Media 06:40 - Masterplan 09:30 - Generalist Agent? Periodic Labs 12:05 - Claude Sonnet 4.5 13:42 - Future Outlook Announcement: https://openai.com/index/sora-2/ Launch Video: https://www.youtube.com/live/gzneGhpXwjU System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/50d5973c-c4ff-4c2d-986f-c72b5d0ff069/sora_2_system_card.pdf Sam Altman Blog Post on Sora App: https://blog.samaltman.com/sora-2 Most Intelligent Claim: https://x.com/willdepue/status/1973089331284681110 GTA: https://x.com/AndrewCurran_/status/1973298436536766666 Meta Vibes: https://x.com/alexandr_wang/status/1971295156411433228?s=46 Altman on Regulations: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5jjk4CDnj9tA7ugxr/openai-email-archives-from-musk-v-altman OpenAI Profit: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-first-half-results-4-3-billion-sales-2-5-billion-cash-burn?rc=sy0ihq Periodic Labs: https://periodic.com/ https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/technology/ai-meta-google-openai-periodic.html https://x.com/LiamFedus/status/1973055380193431965 https://baincapitalventures.com/insight/we-must-know-we-will-know/?s=09 Sonnet 4.5: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5 https://simple-bench.com/ Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

An OpenAI report released in the last 24 hours is the best look we have as to whether 2025 AI can automate your job. I’ll go through 4 unexpected findings, from which model is best at what, to practical tips and massive caveats. Plus UFC robots, radiologist essay, don’t trust videos and the blockers to the singularity.  Gray Swan: https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained GDPval: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d5eb7428-c4e9-4a33-bd86-86dd4bcf12ce/GDPval.pdf [GDP Impact: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=331&eid=211 Task List: https://www.onetonline.org/link/summary/11-9141.00 Summer Tweet: https://x.com/LHSummers/status/1971252567981146347 Emad: https://x.com/EMostaque/status/1971254153067593739 Robots: https://x.com/cixliv/status/1967663286679478759 Unitree G1: https://x.com/UnitreeRobotics/status/1970039940022239491 Don’t Trust Video: https://x.com/AISafetyMemes/status/1970453369446871420 AGI Tweet: https://x.com/hyhieu226/status/1968378785709133915 Blockers to the Singularity: https://www.patreon.com/posts/blockers-to-and-139264812 Framework: https://gemini.google.com/share/f4b9c85a6ae9 METR Study (Dev Slowdown): https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-os-dev-study/ Karpathy Tweet: https://x.com/karpathy/status/1971220449515516391 Radiology Essay: https://worksinprogress.co/issue/the-algorithm-will-see-you-now/ Chapters: 00:00 - Introduction 00:55 - OpenAI Report Summary 02:40 - Tipping Point Speed-up 04:11 - Better than Industry Experts? 06:33 - Big Caveat 11:10 - Karpathy and the Radiologist Analogy 13:30 - Outro

Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, announced a set of new ‘protections’ and ‘privileges’ for ChatGPT users, requiring a significant amount of trust from users. From predicting your age based on your chat to calling law enforcement if you are at risk of harm, to allowing non-minors to flirt. But amidst all of these announcements, there are interview snippets you may have missed, as Altman dramatically revises his predictions of AI impact on jobs. Plus a Hassbis backtrack to boot. https://80000hours.org/aiexplained Calling the Cops: https://openai.com/index/teen-safety-freedom-and-privacy/ Age Prediction: https://openai.com/index/building-towards-age-prediction/ Not Everyone Will Agree: https://x.com/sama/status/1967955739911364693?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet Theory 1: NYT Lawsuit: https://openai.com/index/response-to-nyt-data-demands/ Theory 2: FTC Investigation into AI Companions: https://x.com/AndrewCurran_/status/1966167585994764743 YT Does the Same: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/youtube-ai-powered-technology-teen-users/ Carlsen Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5KmpT-BoVf4 vs Senate Testimony (70% Jobs): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5CWVP8-XVjQ Hallucinations Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d04913be-3f6f-4d2b-b283-ff432ef4aaa5/why-language-models-hallucinate.pdf Hassbis Quote 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=toShbNUGAyo vs Quote 2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kr3Sh2PKA8Y

Wait, why did Sam Altman say AI was in a bubble? Or did he? Is it? 8 points for you to consider, before we all get distracted by Nano Banana. Chapters: 00:00 - Introduction 01:14 - Sam Altman Clarification 02:30 - Media Calls a Bubble (for the tenth time) 03:40 - MIT and McKinsey Analysed 08:21 - Incremental Progress Deceptive 12:07 - Reasoning Breakthroughs 15:31 - CEOs might not know their products 17:25 - But did stocks go down? 17:31 - Media is Contradictory of course https://donate.redcross.org.uk/appeal/gaza-crisis-appeal Bubble about to burst: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/08/20/ai-report-triggering-panic-and-fear-on-wall-street/ Nano Banana: https://blog.google/products/gemini/updated-image-editing-model/ https://ai.studio/banana McKinsey Report: https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/seizing-the-agentic-ai-advantage#/ https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/the-state-of-ai#/ Revenue: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/mckinsey-consulting-firms-ai-strategy-89fbf1be MIT Report: https://mlq.ai/media/quarterly_decks/v0.1_State_of_AI_in_Business_2025_Report.pdf Safe Superintelligence: https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/12/openai-co-founder-ilya-sutskevers-safe-superintelligence-reportedly-valued-at-32b/ Thinking Machines Lab: https://techcrunch.com/2025/07/15/mira-muratis-thinking-machines-lab-is-worth-12b-in-seed-round/ WSJ Prediction 2024: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/the-ai-revolution-is-already-losing-steam-a93478b1 WP Prediction 2023: https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/08/05/ai-hype-bubble-chatgpt/ Companies are Pouring Billions into AI: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/13/business/ai-business-payoff-lags.html Consumer Surplus: https://www.wsj.com/opinion/ais-overlooked-97-billion-contribution-to-the-economy-users-service-da6e8f55 Figure AI robot: https://x.com/adcock_brett/status/1958193476639826383 GDP Bet: https://x.com/adamdangelo/status/1627726566259318784?lang=en Genie 3 Immersion: https://x.com/holynski_/status/1953879983535141043 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1953861448431718662 htttps://simple-bench.com MMMU: https://mmmu-benchmark.github.io/#leaderboard  Prophet Arena: https://www.prophetarena.co/leaderboard NYT Jobs: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/opinion/ai-job-loss-deindustrialization.html Dawn of Reasoning?: https://openreview.net/pdf?id=FkKBxp0FhR vs :https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.04121 ARC-AGI: https://arcprize.org/arc-agi/1/ https://x.com/fchollet/status/1870169764762710376?lang=en-GB Turing Test: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.23674 Mathematics of Starvation: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jul/31/the-mathematics-of-starvation-how-israel-caused-a-famine-in-gaza https://donate.redcross.org.uk/appeal/gaza-crisis-appeal https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-os-dev-study/ METR Interview: https://www.patreon.com/c/aiexplained/posts AlphaEvolve: https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/ Paper: https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/DeepMind.com/Blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/AlphaEvolve.pdf Amodei: https://kantrowitz.medium.com/the-making-of-anthropic-ceo-dario-amodei-449777529dd6 https://www.theloganbartlettshow.com/archive/ep-82-dario-amodeis-ai-predictions-through-2030#:~:text=DARIO%3A%20I%20think%20our%20concern,being%20responsible%20to%20accelerate%20things Unreleased OpenAI: https://x.com/alexwei_/status/1954966393419599962 VLMs Tricked: https://x.com/an_vo12/status/1943715159559545186 AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

GPT-5 will change how hundreds of millions of people use AI. Yes, you might have to forgive the chart crimes, the underwhelming livestream and Altman hype… But it’s a good model. I have read the 50 page system card in full, have the benchmark scores, coding tests, and things you might have missed. https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained Announcement: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5/ System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/8124a3ce-ab78-4f06-96eb-49ea29ffb52f/gpt5-system-card-aug7.pdf Extra Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/be60c07b-6bc2-4f54-bcee-4141e1d6c69a/gpt-5-safe_completions.pdf Altman tweet: https://x.com/sama/status/1953551377873117369 Livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Uu_VJeVVfo METR Report: https://metr.github.io/autonomy-evals-guide/gpt-5-report/ ARC-AGI-2: https://x.com/fchollet/status/1953511631054680085 Claude Opus 4.1: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-1 MMMU: https://mmmu-benchmark.github.io/ Cursor Praise: https://x.com/ryolu_/status/1953531724895596669