
Advertise on podcast: Other People's Money with Max Wiethe
Rating
4.8from
This podcast has
82 episodes
Language
EnglishPublisher
Max WietheExplicit
No
Date created
2024/10/28
Latest episode
2026/10/14
Average duration
63 min.
Release period
8 days
Description
A finance podcast about investing, markets, and the big things that are affecting my, your, and other people's money. New episodes weekly with top fund managers, analysts, and business leaders. Follow us on: Max's Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe OPM on Twitter: https://x.com/opmpod Watch OPM and our Partner Show Monetary Matters on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCeyqw1Ns_cnhSJh5XvXPWgw
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Check latest episodes from Other People's Money with Max Wiethe podcast
The AI Bubble Will Pop from Equity Supply Says This $80 Billion Asset Manager | Ben Inker | GMO
2026/10/14
This episode is brought to you by Sarmaya Partners. Learn more about Sarmaya’s LENS ETF, their full data and comparison, including performance here: https://sarmayaetf.com/
Ben Inker, Co-Head of Asset Allocation at GMO, joins Other People’s Money to discuss why the IPOs and subsequent shareholder unlocks of SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI will bring an unprecedented amount of equity issuance and pop the AI bobble. Inker explains how this mechanism was responsible for popping tech bubbles in 2000 and 2021 and the mathematical relationship between below average equity returns and equity supply. He also outlines how this equity supply in conjunction with a slowdown in the AI buildout from realizations of an AI overbuild could send the stock market down as much as 50% with even greater pain for the most AI linked companies.
Read GMO’s Q3 2026 Quarterly Letter: https://www.gmo.com/globalassets/articles/quarterly-letter/2026/gmo-quarterly-letter_3q-2026.pdf
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Important Information
The Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses must be considered carefully before investing. This and other important information are contained in the prospectus, which may be obtained by following the links Prospectus and Summary Prospectus or by calling +1.215.330.4476. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing.
There is no assurance that the fund will achieve its investment objective. The Fund may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should continue to review their investment objectives and risk tolerance periodically.
An investment in the Fund involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Exchange traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETF’s net asset value (NAV), and are not individually redeemable directly with the ETF. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns.
ETFs are subject to specific risks, depending on the nature of the underlying strategy of the Fund, which should be considered carefully when making investment decisions. For a complete description of the Fund’s principal investment risks, please refer to the prospectus at https://sarmayaetf.com
Metals and Mining Companies Risk. Metals and mining companies can be significantly affected by events relating to international political and economic developments, energy conservation, the success of exploration projects, commodity prices, tax and other government regulations. Investments in metals and mining companies may be speculative and may be subject to greater price volatility than investments in other types of companies.
Management Risk. The Fund is actively managed and may not meet its investment objective based on the Adviser’s, Sub-Adviser’s, or portfolio manager’s success or failure to implement investment strategies for the Fund.
Shares of the Fund Are Not FDIC Insured, May Lose Value, and Have No Bank Guarantee.
The Fund is distributed by PINE Distributors LLC. The Fund’s investment adviser is Empowered Funds, LLC, which is doing business as ETF Architect. Sarmaya Partners LLC serves as the Sub-Advisor to the Fund. PINE Distributors LLC is not affiliated with ETF Architect or Sarmaya Partners LLC.
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:10 AI Bubble Setup
06:12 Equity Supply Matters More
10:44 IPO Wave Math
15:32 Sarmaya LENS ETF
16:59 Dotcom Fiber Parallel
20:32 Finding Non-AI Bets
24:06 Passive Flows and Liquidity
29:40 Credit Risks and Spillovers
37:51 Can Government Backstop AI?
41:48 Credit Stress Check
45:36 Energy Portfolio Benefits
48:13 Value Versus Growth Spreads
50:10 Ex-US AI Winners
54:34 Big Tech Commoditizes Compute
57:00 What If Mega Caps Go Sideways?
01:01:53 Memory: Cyclical Peak Earnings Trap
01:05:09 The Major Crash Scenario
01:10:44 Conclusion
Top Performing Value Investor Explains Why the Market Isn’t Overvalued and Hasn’t Hit the Blowoff Top Phase | Charles Lemonides | ValueWorks LLC
2026/10/12
This episode is brought to you by Sarmaya Partners. Learn more about Sarmaya’s LENS ETF, their full data and comparison, including performance here: https://sarmayaetf.com/
Charles Lemonides, CIO and founder of ValueWorks LLC, joins Other People’s Money to discuss why the 18-year bull market still has room to run. Lemonides argues that we have not yet reached the explosive "liftoff" phase typical of late-stage bull markets and explains why the biggest gains often come right before the turn. He shares his strategy for finding "growth in value's clothing," highlighting high-upside opportunities in semiconductors, rideshare, delivery, and offshore energy. Plus, he breaks down where he sees extreme overvaluation in the market and breaks down his most compelling short positions.
Learn more about ValueWorks: https://www.valueworksllc.com/
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X https://x.com/opmpod
Important Information
The Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses must be considered carefully before investing. This and other important information are contained in the prospectus, which may be obtained by following the links Prospectus and Summary Prospectus or by calling +1.215.330.4476. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing.
There is no assurance that the fund will achieve its investment objective. The Fund may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should continue to review their investment objectives and risk tolerance periodically.
An investment in the Fund involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Exchange traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETF’s net asset value (NAV), and are not individually redeemable directly with the ETF. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns.
ETFs are subject to specific risks, depending on the nature of the underlying strategy of the Fund, which should be considered carefully when making investment decisions. For a complete description of the Fund’s principal investment risks, please refer to the prospectus at https://sarmayaetf.com/
Metals and Mining Companies Risk. Metals and mining companies can be significantly affected by events relating to international political and economic developments, energy conservation, the success of exploration projects, commodity prices, tax and other government regulations. Investments in metals and mining companies may be speculative and may be subject to greater price volatility than investments in other types of companies.
Management Risk. The Fund is actively managed and may not meet its investment objective based on the Adviser’s, Sub-Adviser’s, or portfolio manager’s success or failure to implement investment strategies for the Fund.
Shares of the Fund Are Not FDIC Insured, May Lose Value, and Have No Bank Guarantee.
The Fund is distributed by PINE Distributors LLC. The Fund’s investment adviser is Empowered Funds, LLC, which is doing business as ETF Architect. Sarmaya Partners LLC serves as the Sub-Advisor to the Fund. PINE Distributors LLC is not affiliated with ETF Architect or Sarmaya Partners LLC.
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:00 Are We in a Bubble?
04:14 Rates Growth and Bonds
07:04 Value Investing Reframed
09:37 Micron Peak Earnings Debate
11:20 Intel Foundry
15:24 Sarmaya LENS ETF
16:52 Sizing Themes and Diversifying
18:41 Undervalued Challengers: Lyft & Instacart
29:10 Energy Sector Setup
35:40 Portfolio Construction & Shorts
37:47 Shorting Texas Pacific Land Trust
41:24 Royalty Trusts and Mesabi
47:16 Retail Shorts: Casey’s & Grocers
52:43 AI Industrials, Quantum, & Aerospace
55:37 Offshore Wind and Conclusion
The Private Credit Boom is Over: Redemption Requests Exceed Liquidity | James Elbaor | Marlton LLC
2026/09/27
James Elbaor, Founder and Portfolio Manager at Marlton LLC joins OPM to discuss why the private credit boom is officially over. Elbaor explains how artificial intelligence is threatening the SaaS businesses that make up over half a trillion dollars of private credit exposure, while also detailing how liquidity gates are currently trapping investors in massive interval funds like BCRED. The discussion concludes by exploring lucrative upcoming merger opportunities in the public BDC space and analyzing why asset managers utilizing permanent capital vehicles are being rewarded with premium market multiples.
Try model portfolios available on Plutus and get a 45-day fee waiver when you signup with code OPM45: https://runplutus.com/mm-opm/login
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JFMW Partners LLC (“Promoter”) is providing this endorsement of, and information related to, the advisory services offered by Namsoft Advisors LLC ("Namsoft"). Promoter is not a current client or investor in any Namsoft advisory account or private fund. Promoter receives cash compensation from Namsoft in the form of a flat referral fee of $750 for each client that engages Namsoft as a result of Promoter's promotional activities. Because Promoter is compensated for this endorsement, a material conflict of interest exists, as Promoter has a financial incentive to promote Namsoft's services to you. This endorsement is delivered as part of a podcast or other audio program produced by Promoter and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation that any particular advisory arrangement is suitable for you.
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:42 Private Credit Redemptions Continue
07:03 IPO Window Shuts & Credit Fund M&A
15:28 AI Threat to SaaS Borrowers
16:51 Sponsor Message Plutus
18:17 Private Credit vs Private Equity
24:25 Systemic Risk and Wrappers
29:15 Public vs Private BDC Gap
34:46 Why Interval Funds List
39:44 Alt Managers Valuation Reset
43:33 Permanent Capital Explained
50:17 Hedge Funds vs Private Equity
54:41 Pershing Square Liquidity
01:04:17 Conclusion
Energy Shock and Rate Hikes Could Cause a 2022 Style Bear Market | Eric Wallerstein | Clocktower Group
2026/09/23
Eric Wallerstein, Chief Macro Strategist at Clocktower Group, joins OPM to discuss why he sees substantial risk that the Fed is making a policy mistake by hiking into a supply shock that could cause a 2022 style bear market. He also explores the global coordination of rate hikes and why he believes the participation of lower growth economies like Canada indicate that this is a reaction to higher energy prices and not a substantially higher global neutral rate.
Try model portfolios available on Plutus and get a 45-day fee waiver when you signup with code OPM45: https://runplutus.com/mm-opm/login
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JFMW Partners LLC (“Promoter”) is providing this endorsement of, and information related to, the advisory services offered by Namsoft Advisors LLC ("Namsoft"). Promoter is not a current client or investor in any Namsoft advisory account or private fund. Promoter receives cash compensation from Namsoft in the form of a flat referral fee of $750 for each client that engages Namsoft as a result of Promoter's promotional activities. Because Promoter is compensated for this endorsement, a material conflict of interest exists, as Promoter has a financial incentive to promote Namsoft's services to you. This endorsement is delivered as part of a podcast or other audio program produced by Promoter and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation that any particular advisory arrangement is suitable for you.
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:56 Fed Hike and Higher for Longer
02:30 Oil Driving Global Yields
05:58 Canada and Global Neutral Rate
07:14 Energy Crisis and Degrowth Risks
08:44 Politicized Fed and Credibility
11:50 Neutral Rate and AI CapEx Boom
14:47 Inflation Outlook and Policy Mistakes
17:20 Plutus Sponsor Break
18:46 Key Data to Watch: Bank Lending
20:07 Doves vs Hawks and Fiscal Drag
23:30 2022 Style Bear Market Setup
25:56 What Could Invalidate the Thesis?
26:41 BOJ Hike and Yen Intervention
31:20 Korea Silicon Boom
35:43 Europe Under Pressure
39:25 Middle East Outlook
43:06 Midterm Issues: AI vs. Gas Prices
48:34 China Oil Strategy
52:10 Big Calls Wrap
Outlook on 5 Key Commodities: Metals Bull Market is Just Getting Started (Gold, Copper, & Uranium) | Jérémie Boyer | Aurelion
2026/09/20
Try model portfolios available on Plutus and get a 45-day fee waiver when you signup with code OPM45: https://runplutus.com/mm-opm/login
Jérémie Boyer, co-founder of Aurelion Research, joins OPM to give his outlook for 5 key commodities. He explains why after avoiding earlier downside volatility in gold he just got the buy signal he’s been waiting for, and why the longer-term AI driven bull thesis on copper is very real and happening now. He also gives his outlook for uranium, fertilizer, and oil and discusses how he and his partner turn commodity views into a portfolio of equities that is up over 100% since inception a little over 1-year ago.
Aurelion Research: https://aurelionresearch.com/
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JFMW Partners LLC (“Promoter”) is providing this endorsement of, and information related to, the advisory services offered by Namsoft Advisors LLC ("Namsoft"). Promoter is not a current client or investor in any Namsoft advisory account or private fund. Promoter receives cash compensation from Namsoft in the form of a flat referral fee of $750 for each client that engages Namsoft as a result of Promoter's promotional activities. Because Promoter is compensated for this endorsement, a material conflict of interest exists, as Promoter has a financial incentive to promote Namsoft's services to you. This endorsement is delivered as part of a podcast or other audio program produced by Promoter and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation that any particular advisory arrangement is suitable for you.
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
02:16 Why Gold Could Hit 5K
05:45 Geopolitics Over Rates
09:24 Portfolio Positioning
12:28 Managing Miner Cycles
16:26 Plutus
18:26 Bearish Oil & Fertilizer
20:28 Oil Thesis & China Inventories
33:23 Royalties as Exposure
36:07 Valuing Royalty Companies
42:48 Why Uranium Now
46:10 Uranium Contracts & Supply
51:10 Energy Security and Nuclear Buildout
54:31 Copper Bull Case in AI Era
01:00:05 Picking Copper Stocks
01:06:43 Five Commodities Recap
01:11:26 Closing and Where to Follow
Hunting for Value in Mining Stocks Amid Soaring Metals Prices | Freddy Brick | Muddy Waters Capital
2026/09/13
Precious metal and base metal prices have soared as have many mining stocks, but despite this, Freddy Brick, partner at Muddy Waters Capital says that the industry feels closer to left for dead than euphoric. He explains why that setup and the consistency of the mispricing in the sector brought them to launch a fund with the help of mining expert Darren McLean allowing them to take concentrated investments in the assets they think the market is overlooking while running lower net exposure. He also discusses how they think about hedging in the sector, why they take a bottom-up approach to portfolio construction, and how they approach short and long activism in the sector.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:28 Approach to Portfolio Construction
07:56 Fraud Report Origin
09:35 Block Models Explained
15:27 Why Juniors Are Distressed
21:19 Finding Mispriced Projects
25:12 Venture Like Investing
28:25 Promoters and Capital Raising
33:43 Sentiment and Cycles
38:28 M&A Wave Ahead
43:27 Trading Vol and Hedging
46:57 Long Activism Approach
50:23 Scaling the Strategy
55:10 When Alpha Shows Up
The Certainty Premium: What’s Driving the Tech Sector Divergence? | Jeff Keller
2026/08/31
Max Wiethe sits down with Capelight Partners founder Jeff Keller to dissect the massive Q3 technology sector divergence and the rapidly shifting landscape of AI investments. Keller breaks down why the market is rewarding near-term certainty in the tech sector and why he doesn’t like the "blow-off top" comparison between AI and the ARK implosion of 2021. He also gives his outlook for usage-based software vs. application software and explains the east coast vs west coast divide in assessing hyperscaler capex.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:13 Tech Sector Divergence
05:23 Cyber Infra Valuation Risks
08:09 Why Themes Beat Stock Picking
12:01 Valuation and Forecast Limits
17:35 Retail Crowding Warning
20:15 2021Parallels
23:33 Rising Rates and Funding the AI Buildout
27:28 Mag Seven Return Profile Shift
29:43 CapEx is Existential
35:17 Meta Breakdown
39:38 Investor Positioning Themes
41:34 Long Biased Long Short
43:55 What Would Break AI?
46:26 AI Echo Chamber Risk
49:06 Factor Awareness Extremes
51:55 Deleveraging July Playbook
56:58 Year End Watchlist
58:58 Anthropic IPO and SpaceX Effect
01:01:06 Conclusion
Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren Pies
2026/08/25
Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/globalmacro
In this episode of "Other People's Money," host Max Wiethe welcomes back Warren Pies, co-founder of 3Fourteen Research, to unpack why macro risks are suddenly taking control of the stock market. Pies explains his tactical decision to downgrade stocks and commodities to neutral, shifting capital into cash as the market enters a historically weak seasonal window between August 15th and October 15th. The conversation dives deep into the Federal Reserve's true reaction function, the mispriced odds of a September rate hike, and the hidden political pressures driving the committee's choices. Furthermore, they discuss the critical data behind the AI build-out, including H200 GPU availability and the potential impact of major lab IPOs like Anthropic on the broader software sector.
Save $500/year on Caliban AI from 3Fourteen Research: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/monetary-matters
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:21 Why Macro Takes Over
03:19 Earnings Season Structure
05:43 Upcoming Macro Catalysts
08:24 Fed Hike Odds Mispriced
10:37 Political Pressure on Fed
15:29 Sponsor Break HFGM
17:45 Coin Flip Meeting Dynamics
19:42 Rates Curve and Term Premium
24:54 How to Position in September
26:53 Tech Breadth and AI Cracks
30:17 Lab ARR Reality Check
34:40 Tech Leadership Needed
38:17 Data Center ROI Debate
40:36 Election and Policy Risk
43:44 AI Issuance Scapegoats
47:35 Energy as Diversifier
51:48 Anthropic IPO Impact
55:01 Software Versus Semis
58:28 Pair Trades and Correlations
01:01:19 Fade Macro Risk Playbook
01:02:55 Conclusion
Is Private Equity Broken? Why the Buyside’s Problems Are Making 2026 “The Year of the Banker” | High Yield Harry
2026/08/24
In this episode of Other People's Money, host Max Wiethe sits down with High Yield Harry to examine the major trends in Wall Street compensation and careers, and why 2026 may be the year of the investment banker. Harry shares data from Buy Side Hub to detail buy-side compensation trends, career mobility bottlenecks, and why private equity professionals are resorting to non-recourse loans while waiting on delayed exits. The conversation breaks down the real threat of AI automation on financial modeling and grunt work, emphasizing why finance professionals must develop real-economy operating skills to survive. They also address the surge in private credit redemptions, retail investor panic, and whether buying small businesses is replacing the traditional mega-fund career path.
Check out Buyside Hub: https://www.buysidehub.com
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:45 Year of the Banker
03:38 Private Credit Redemptions
07:04 Retail Flows and Gating
10:18 Comp Trends and Hiring
13:17 Career Pyramid Reality
15:13 AI Reshapes Analyst Work
17:16 Big Firms vs Small Shops
20:27 Operators and Real Economy
23:56 Agents and Human Edge
26:39 Who Gets Displaced?
31:46 Rates and Longer Holds
37:42 Software Credit Time Bomb
41:16 Choosing Your Career Track
47:22 Top Jobs and Trading
51:56 Closing Takeaways
54:03 Banking Cycles and Layoffs
57:03 Conclusion
Ex-Goya COO on the $1.4 Trillion Family Business Opportunity in Three Consumer Sectors | Andy Unanue
2026/08/13
Andy Unanue, Founder and Managing Partner of AUA Private Equity Partners and former COO of Goya Foods breaks down the trillion-dollar opportunity in US food, beverage, and pet wellness family businesses. Andy shares how his experience in a family-run business shaped his firm's strategy of partnering with lower-middle-market, family-run companies across those sectors and explains how AUA unlocks 15% to 30% operational efficiencies. The discussion dives into major consumer trends, including the humanization of pets, the rise of ethnic food markets, and the impact of GLP-1 drugs on snacking habits. Finally, Andy offers actionable advice on navigating generational wealth transfers, building positive workplace cultures, and transitioning family enterprises for long-term success.
Learn more about AUA Private Equity Partners: https://auaequity.com
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:51 Goya Roots to PE
02:48 Market Size Focus
04:21 Operational Playbook
07:26 Exit Paths for Families
09:34 PE Exits and Buyers
13:18 Leaving Upside for the Next Buyer
16:17 Macro Trends Tailwinds
21:22 Beverage Bets and Risk
28:29 Authenticity Wins Consumers
31:41 Marketing and Internet Shift
36:10 Deal Sourcing and Moats
39:08 Co-Manufacturing Advantage
41:14 Regional Brands and Add Ons
44:56 Manufacturing Renaissance
53:34 Wealth Transfer and Family Offices
58:58 AUA Future and Wrap Up
Luke Gromen: Yield Curve Control is the Only Way to Stop a Global Bond Crisis
2026/07/28
Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://Fundrise.com/mm
Luke Gromen, founder of Forest for the Trees, sites down with Max Wiethe to dissect the escalating crisis in the global bond market. Gromen argues that off-balance sheet liabilities, such as baby boomer retirements and surging veterans' benefits, are colliding with massive defense spending to force a dangerous inflationary spiral. He unpacks how "defense stimmies" from nations like Japan and Germany are turning historical creditors into aggressive bond sellers, putting immense pressure on yields. Throughout the conversation, Gromen also issues a stark warning about the AI tech bubble, the incoming policies of new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, and why China's massive gold accumulation is a major red flag for the US dollar.
Read The Forest for the Trees: https://fftt-llc.com
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:52 Bond Selloff Explained
04:54 Debt Spiral Mechanics
08:22 Global Defense Stimulus
09:58 Real Yields Reality Check
13:20 Fed Chair Fantasy
15:34 Sponsor Break Fundrise
16:57 AI Trade Meets China
20:52 Labor Data Warning
23:02 AI Backstop Coming
26:28 No Long Bond Floor
30:44 Gold Revaluation Debate
35:27 China Gold Buying Surge
36:31 Oil Reserves And Leverage
39:19 Pain Contest with The West
43:22 Inequality and Instability
47:18 Dollar Down Yield Trap
50:03 Buy the Dip
52:12 Gold Targets and Gradualism
54:50 Bitcoin Lags Tech Risk
58:47 Warsh Fed No Good Options
01:02:55 What Breaks First?
01:05:33 Bonds Are the Biggest Bubble
Interest Rates to 10%: Why the Treasury Market is the Real Speculative Bubble (Not AI) | Russell Clark
2026/07/22
Learn more about Teucrium’s Soybean ETF (SOYB) here: https://teucrium.com/soyb
Free E-book from Teucrium: https://insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs
In this episode of Other People's Money, Max Wiethe sits down with hedge fund manager Russell Clark to discuss why he believes the U.S. Treasury market is a much larger and more dangerous speculative bubble than AI. Clark details his macroeconomic outlook, arguing that a shifting political landscape focused on 7% wage growth and lower living costs will eventually push the 10-year Treasury yield up to an astonishing 10%. To stabilize affordability for younger generations, he predicts real estate will remain flat nominally while heavily declining in real terms. Clark also breaks down the massive capital expenditures in AI, viewing them as defensive strategies by legacy tech giants to protect their moats rather than mere speculation. Finally, Clark also warns about sectors reliant on low rates and the severe illiquidity and mispriced risks currently lurking within the private credit and private equity markets.
Read Russell’s Substack: https://www.russell-clark.com
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SOYB Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/soyb
Investing in SOYB involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodity investments are subject to significant volatility.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Teucrium Soybean Fund before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information about the Fund.
This material must be proceeded or accompanied by the prospectus. The prospectus is available atteucrium.com/soyb.
Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC.
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:38 Why Treasuries Look Risky
04:33 Foreign Reserves Shift from Gold to Bonds
08:59 Politics Turns Inflationary
14:12 Japan Leads
16:09 Wage Inflation Drives Yields
20:37 Sponsor Break SOYB
21:58 High Real Rates New Normal
26:14 Trading Long View vs Noise
29:09 Housing Tug of War
34:02 Politics Converge Anyway
36:03 Chips Are New Oil
38:38 Is AI a Bubble?
44:12 AI and Wage Politics
50:37 Strategic AI Spending
54:17 Leverage Unwind Risks
59:29 Private Credit Red Flags
01:04:13 Wrap Up and Links
Turbocharged Trend Following: Why Capturing the Market’s Biggest Trends Means Embracing High Volatility | Moritz Seibert & Moritz Heiden | Takahe Capital
2026/07/16
Moritz Seibert and Moritz Heiden of Takahe Capital dive deep into the mechanics of high-octane trend-following strategies and unpack why they target 25-30% annualized volatility, bucking the institutional trend of lower volatility to capture massive outlier trades like the recent cocoa and gold runs. They explore the heated debate between dynamic position sizing and classic approaches, revealing why letting winners run is crucial for massive returns. The conversation also touches on the emerging world of perpetual futures on decentralized platforms and why keeping trading models simple often beats complex fundamental analysis.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:14 Do You Need Big Trends
03:21 Smooth vs Choppy Trends
05:00 Oil Curve Positioning
07:43 Model Design Not Discretion
09:24 Why Trend Funds Differ
16:02 Classic Trend Playbooks
19:04 Sizing Beats Entry
25:01 Perpetual Futures Reality
32:41 High Octane Philosophy
35:22 Letting Winners Get Huge
39:04 Why Trends End Late
41:55 Price Only vs Fundamentals
46:28 What’s Trending Now
49:57 Spreads Underperforming
52:37 When Signals Die
57:49 Simple Robust Parameters
01:00:59 Design Without Optimization
01:05:43 Diversification and Investors
01:09:32 Uniqueness and Market Mix
01:14:21 Who Buys High Vol
01:15:54 Conclusion
Breaking Down the Multi-Manager Playbook: How This $19B CIO Thinks About Alpha | Sean McGould | The Lighthouse Group
2026/07/07
Sean McGould, CEO and CIO of $19 billion hedge fund manager The Lighthouse Group, joins OPM to discuss navigating today's bull market by targeting diverse sources of global alpha. The conversation focuses on Japan as a new source of alpha, spurred by the country's historic corporate governance reforms, the unwinding of cross-shareholdings, and the new NISA guidelines driving unprecedented retail investment. Additionally, McGould breaks down how the AI capital expenditure arms race is shaping global equity issuance and explains why the multi-manager "pod shop" model is the true modern successor to Wall Street's legacy proprietary trading desks.
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X https://x.com/opmpod
Timestamps:
00:00 Japan Market Shift
01:29 Lighthouse Group
04:53 Why Hedge in Bull Runs?
10:43 Equity Issuance Signals
13:33 Capex Versus Meme Raises
16:27 AI Inside Lighthouse
18:20 Specialists vs. Generalists
19:42 AI Fuels Asia Outperformance
21:18 Japan Reforms and Nikkei
24:43 Korea Value Up Program
27:44 Fixing Incentive Imbalances
32:34 Sector Pair Trades Explained
33:56 Factor Neutrality Pitfalls
34:44 AI and Narrative Factors
41:54 Why Liquidity Means Capacity
44:34 Hidden Alpha in Regulation
50:30 Hedging Regulatory Unknowns
53:50 Peak Pod Shop Debate
57:40 Diversification and Market Liquidity
Top IPO Scholar on Unprecedented IPO Wave & Why IPOs Underperform the Market | Jay Ritter
2026/06/30
Leading IPO researcher Jay Ritter, widely known as "Mr. IPO" and the director of the IPO Initiative at the University of Florida's Warrington College of Business breaks down the historic 2026 public market landscape. Ritter analyzes the unprecedented potential for a wave of mega-IPOs from tech giants like SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic. He dives into the realities of staggering price-to-sales ratios, warning that while AI offers immense technological promise, eye-watering trillion-dollar valuations leave very little room for error. Ritter also cuts through the hype surrounding retail access to venture capital and private equity, explaining why extra layers of middlemen, "volatility washing," and an evaporating illiquidity premium mean average investors aren't actually missing out on a free lunch.
Professor Ritter’s IPO Data: https://site.warrington.ufl.edu/ritter/ipo-data/
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Follow Other People’s Money on:
Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M
Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi
YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR
X https://x.com/opmpod
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:58 Meet Mr IPO
01:40 2026 is Unprecedented
02:52 Do IPOs Signal Tops
04:27 How IPO Pricing Works
05:57 SpaceX Valuation Risks
09:26 TAM Hype and Cursor
13:27 2026 Versus Past Waves
16:17 Must Own AI Exposure
19:46 Regulation and Unintended Effects
27:29 Geopolitics and Dual Use
29:10 Will IPO Volume Boom?
32:40 VC/PE = No Free Lunch
35:36 Retail Access Fee Stacking
39:14 Volatility Washing and Perps
49:09 Sentiment and Final Takeaways
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