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Inflation outpaces wage growth, Democrats signal opposition to Trump's judicial nominees, reports of pneumonic plague emerge from Siberia, and Republicans increase spending in red states amid concerns about Senate control. Inflation and consumer debt Consumers continue spending even as inflation outpaces wage growth. Rising credit card debt and a climbing 10-year Treasury yield raise concerns about household finances and borrowing costs. Democrats and Trump's judicial nominees Democrats are signaling they would refuse to confirm Trump's judicial nominees if they regain the Senate during his final two years, preserving vacancies for a potential Democratic president after 2028. Pneumonic plague reports from Siberia Reports describe a pneumonic plague case associated with a biological research lab in Siberia, with the initially infected person reported dead and 200 people in quarantine. An antibiotic treatment also appears to be available. Republicans defend red states Trump and JD Vance are campaigning in Republican states as the GOP redirects resources to defend Senate control. Republican strategists privately warn of potential losses. Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

The G7 plans to release 100 million barrels of diesel and crude as oil prices decline. Weak U.S. hiring, an update on Tennessee death row inmate Christa Pike, and Republican campaign spending shifts round out the October 2 news. G7 Oil Release and Iran Export Blockade The planned release aims to stabilize prices, with Brent crude briefly falling below $100 before moving back above that level. The United States has blocked an arrangement to move Iranian oil through Iraq to Pakistan. Reports of military skirmishes inside Iran continue as its economy deteriorates. U.S. Adds 29,000 Jobs as Wages Lag Inflation Unemployment has edged up to 4.2%, with companies holding back on hiring. Inflation has risen four-tenths of a point while wages have risen one-tenth. Economists point to uncertainty over the president's changing tariffs as one reason companies are struggling to budget for wages. Christa Pike Unconscious After Execution Attempt Pike remains unconscious and on a ventilator after Tennessee's lethal injection attempt. Her lawyers describe what happened as torture. Pike and her boyfriend tortured and murdered a 19-year-old woman. GOP Redirects Campaign Spending to Kansas Republicans are increasing support for Roger Marshall in Kansas while cutting spending in North Carolina and most major funding in Georgia. Ossoff continues to lead Collins in Georgia polling. Additional spending for Paxton in Texas and a new advertising commitment from Bottoms in Georgia also feature in the campaign picture.   Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

Rising mortgage rates, a U.S. military buildup in the Middle East, a ruling on presidential removal authority, and a reported failed Tennessee execution lead the October 1 news. Mortgage Rates and Bond Yields Rise Rising mortgage rates and the 10-year bond yield are adding to borrowing costs. Tariffs on materials and restrictions on building compound the pressure on homeownership. U.S. Sends More Troops to the Middle East A third aircraft carrier and 10,000 additional U.S. troops are headed to the Middle East as Trump weighs options on Iran. Reports of growing violence inside Iran raise the possibility that the deployment could address spillover from internal instability rather than signal further strikes. Seattle Judge Blocks U.S. Attorney Removal An Obama-appointed district judge in Seattle has barred the president and attorney general from removing a court-appointed U.S. attorney. The ruling puts presidential removal authority and the separation of powers at the center of the dispute. Christa Pike Execution Reportedly Fails Tennessee death row inmate Christa Pike reportedly remains alive with brain damage after two lethal injections failed to execute her. Pike and her boyfriend tortured and murdered a 19-year-old woman.   Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

Flydubai Hijacking Ends With Emergency Landing A Dubai-to-Israel flight made an emergency landing in Saudi Arabia after the co-pilot attacked the captain and sent the plane into a 14,000-foot dive. A passenger intervened, and two passengers who were pilots helped land the aircraft. Whether the attack was intended to crash the plane or strike a target in Israel remains unresolved. Middle East Oil Flows Return to Prewar Levels Oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and pipeline capacity in Saudi Arabia and the UAE have brought total flows back to prewar levels. Prices remain elevated in part because of fears that Iran could attack ships, oil facilities or pipelines. Boeing Fighter Jet Plans Draw Scrutiny Boeing's military aircraft plans face questions about its ability to deliver as the company delays the 737 MAX 10 and deals with software problems affecting existing 737 aircraft. The focus on Boeing also raises questions about competition with Lockheed. Supreme Court Temporarily Allows Third-Country Deportations The Supreme Court has suspended lower court orders blocking deportations to countries other than an immigrant's home nation. The temporary action allows deportations to proceed while the case awaits consideration, giving the Trump administration a win. Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

Military leadership cuts, Canada trade tensions, Auburn athletic trade secrets allegations, and proposed student loan restrictions lead September 29's four things to know. Hegseth orders further military cuts The defense secretary seeks 20% fewer generals and admirals at the top of the officer corps. Republicans who spoke with Erick Erickson question his political future and criticize his relationships on Capitol Hill. Navarro escalates tensions with Canada Peter Navarro tells Canadian trade representatives and lobbyists to leave the United States as the trade dispute continues. Canadian lumber and power supplies remain significant concerns for American states. Former Auburn employee faces trade secrets allegations A former Auburn University employee now working at Tennessee has turned himself in on an arrest warrant. He is accused of attempting to sell Auburn athletic trade secrets to rivals ahead of this weekend's Auburn-Tennessee game. Education Department plans student loan restrictions The department plans to reduce and ultimately eliminate loans for programs that do not provide a financial return on the college investment, putting graduates' earnings and loan repayment at the center of the debate. Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

UK Terror Suspects Released on Bail Five British terror suspects have been released on bail while the United States and United Kingdom investigate whether Iran was behind an alleged plot near a military installation housing a US bomber facility. British authorities say no conclusions can yet be drawn. Saudi Oil Pipeline Reopens Ahead of Schedule Saudi Arabia has reopened its pipeline to the Red Sea earlier than planned, with West Texas crude below $100 a barrel and Brent still above $100. Refinery problems and exports ahead of a possible US diesel export ban remain factors in fuel prices. Trump Announces $15 Billion Iowa Steel Plant A planned Mesabi Metallics steel plant in Iowa would open in 2030 and create an estimated 1,750 full-time jobs, according to the White House. The proposed $15 billion facility would be the largest steel plant in US history, though questions remain about whether the project will materialize. FBI Breach Exposes Employee and Family Information A breach involving current and former FBI employees exposed more personal information than initially disclosed, including information about their families. The FBI is increasing employee protection globally while investigators work to determine how the breach happened and who was responsible.

1. 10-year yield reaches a 19-year high. Persistent inflation concerns and expectations of a possible Fed rate increase are putting borrowing costs in focus. Higher yields point to more expensive mortgages, car loans, and credit card debt, while potentially increasing returns on CDs and savings accounts. 2. China farm purchases fall short. Unfulfilled Chinese agricultural purchases and declining exports are straining U.S. farmers, with farm bankruptcies highlighted in Georgia. Another taxpayer-funded farmer bailout is under discussion as Republicans approach the midterms. 3. Zelensky warns of a cold winter at war. Ukraine's president tells the United Nations that Russia must also face the consequences of a harsh winter if the war continues. Forecasts of severe cold in Central and Eastern Europe add to concerns as Zelensky seeks peace while rejecting surrender. 4. White House press ban faces a court challenge. CNN, MS NOW, and Politico are seeking restored White House access. Shared press-pool costs and the administration's ability to exclude particular outlets are central issues in the episode's account of the dispute. Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

1. Trump warns Iran at the United Nations.-  President Donald Trump raises the prospect of further military action against Iran while discussing the possibility of a negotiated agreement. His speech also addresses U.S. influence in the Western Hemisphere. 2. A diesel export ban draws debate. - Calls to restrict fuel exports put diesel costs and global energy supplies in focus. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum has said export restrictions would be unlikely to lower consumer energy prices.  3. Immigration remarks enter the Arkansas Senate contest. - Democratic candidate Hallie Shoffner's comments about undocumented farmworkers draw criticism from Republican Sen. Tom Cotton's campaign. The dispute centers on farm labor and immigration enforcement. 4. Vance announces planned ACA enrollment removals. - The administration plans to remove hundreds of thousands of Affordable Care Act enrollments, citing alleged fraud. Vice President JD Vance says the action would save $2.2 billion.  Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

Oil prices fall as markets watch Iran diplomacy.- Stocks rise as oil retreats on hopes for progress in Middle East negotiations. Diesel costs and the debate over energy exports are also among the episode's topics. AI infrastructure spending raises questions about returns. - The data center build-out prompts discussion of profitability, financing, and comparisons with the dot-com era. The episode considers whether infrastructure can have lasting value even when the companies building it face financial pressure.  Republicans hold a campaign cash advantage. - House Republicans' campaign committee has built a substantial financial advantage over its Democratic counterpart. Advertising spending and the role of outside groups are key topics ahead of the midterms. Jared Golden endorses Mike Lawler. -  Retiring Democratic Rep. Jared Golden of Maine backs Republican Rep. Mike Lawler for reelection in New York, crossing party lines in a competitive House race. Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

1. F-35 parts reportedly diverted to Hong Kong A shipment returning from Australia to the United States reportedly ended up in Hong Kong, prompting congressional scrutiny and concerns about sensitive stealth technology. Chinese possession of the technology has not been established.  2. Questions surround military death reporting during the Iran war The Washington Post reports a gap between internal and public fatality counts. The transcript's quoted report distinguishes deaths during the hostilities from deaths directly caused by the conflict.  3. Russian drone strike hits railway near visiting Western officials Ukraine's railway operator reported a strike shortly after a diplomatic train departed. Former CIA director David Petraeus was aboard another train at the station. 4. Minnesota Senate race draws attention in midterm polling RealClearPolling rates the contest between Republican Michele Tafoya and Democrat Peggy Flanagan a toss-up. The episode also considers uncertainty surrounding polling and voter sentiment. Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

Susie Wiles Announces She Is Cancer-Free — White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles shared that she is cancer-free following treatment at the Mayo Clinic. She says she remains on the job advancing the president's America First agenda. The Fed Raises Interest Rates in a Unanimous Vote — The Federal Reserve raised interest rates a quarter point in a unanimous decision, with Chairman Kevin Warsh joining the vote. The Fed also signaled that at least one more rate hike is likely before the end of the year. Oil Returns Through the Strait of Hormuz as Saudi Tensions Grow — The Trump administration says oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz has recovered to at least 90 percent of pre-war levels, with the Saudi pipeline set to reopen rapidly. The spillover from the war with Iran continues to destabilize Saudi Arabia and the wider region. Spider-Man Brand New Day Becomes the Biggest Movie Ever — Spider-Man Brand New Day has passed Star Wars The Force Awakens to become the highest grossing film in raw dollars, though Gone with the Wind still leads when adjusted for inflation. Erickson calls the Tom Holland film a fun and kid-friendly watch. Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

Russian terrorism and assassination plot allegations lead the afternoon headlines, followed by an arrest over threats against Ben Shapiro, an alleged ISIS-inspired attack plan in Pennsylvania, and the GOP convention's television ratings. Russian plot allegations: The DOJ announces an unsealed indictment alleging multiple Russian citizens worked with Russian intelligence on terrorism and assassination plots, including a plan targeting an unnamed Russian dissident in Washington, D.C. Threats against Ben Shapiro: A Kansas man is arrested over alleged antisemitic threats to kill Ben Shapiro, including posts referencing Yom Kippur. Pennsylvania ISIS-related arrest: Federal authorities charge Jonathan Hunter Kramer in a firearms case involving alleged preparations for an ISIS-inspired attack. Investigators seized a semiautomatic rifle and ammunition. GOP convention versus the NFL: Trump's Wednesday convention speech drew about 3 million viewers, compared with more than 25 million for that night's NFL game. The Republican event also generated fundraising and footage for campaign ads. Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

1. Trump and the AI regulation fight. Trump's opposition to AI guardrails puts regulatory capture and competition with China at the center of the debate. The case against tighter controls rests on concerns that major companies could shape rules to protect their own interests. 2. Treasury yields and federal spending. The 10-year Treasury's move to 5%, as cited in the episode, raises questions about borrowing costs and fiscal discipline. Trump's proposed $5,000 payments face scrutiny alongside spending decisions by both parties. 3. China's AI dilemma. A warning attributed to China's top spy chief highlights concerns about AI's potential to destabilize one-party rule. The discussion connects those fears with information control and a reported disruption involving WeChat. 4. Russia targets Ukrainian rail routes. Attacks on trains serving Ukraine raise concerns about travel and Western support. Ukraine's expanding long-range weapons production adds another dimension to the war, alongside the argument that Russia's tactics reflect growing pressure.   Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

1. Saudi Oil Pipeline Attack Raises Red Sea Concerns    A reported projectile attack has shut down a Saudi oil pipeline, with Houthi involvement suspected but not confirmed. The disruption adds to concerns about Red Sea shipping, Iranian escalation and pressure on U.S. missile supplies. 2. Inflation and a Possible Federal Reserve Rate Hike    Inflation continues to pressure household budgets as wages struggle to keep pace. Energy prices and tariffs remain central concerns ahead of the Federal Reserve's next meeting, with a possible interest rate increase adding uncertainty for borrowers and financial markets. 3. Reflecting Pool Contractor Acknowledges Repair Failures    The contractor responsible for work on Washington's Reflecting Pool has acknowledged repair problems behind damage to the liner. The development undercuts earlier vandalism claims as crews face additional work to address the pool's problems. 4. America Marks 25 Years Since September 11    The 25th anniversary of the September 11 attacks brings remembrance of the lives lost and the sacrifices made that day. Amid renewed threats and economic uncertainty, the anniversary also offers a moment for reflection, faith and prayer for the country and its leaders. Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.

The Bond Market Warns Washington Treasury yields are rising as investors question whether America's fiscal future is secure. Higher yields could lead to higher mortgage rates, credit card rates, auto loans, and borrowing costs for the federal government. Inflation and a Possible Federal Reserve Rate Hike Diesel and energy prices are putting additional pressure on the economy. With employment still strong and inflation above the Federal Reserve's target, markets are increasingly expecting interest rates to rise. Iran Rebuilds Its Ballistic Missile Program Intelligence reportedly shows that Iran has access to materials needed to resume production of ballistic missiles. The development comes amid growing concerns about Iranian aggression against American forces in the Middle East. Houthis Seize a Strategic Red Sea Port Iran-backed Houthi forces have reportedly captured the Yemeni port city of Mokha, increasing their control over a critical shipping route. The development could threaten global trade, shipping, and oil prices. Despite the troubling economic and national security news, there is still reason for hope. All things work for the good of those called according to God's purposes. Text ERICK to 33-777 for "Show Notes" and to stay updated on all things Erick Erickson. www.erickerickson.com https://www.youtube.com/@ewerickson  https://rumble.com/ewerickson  Stay grounded, stay informed, and keep the faith.