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At the intersection of weather forecasting, technology, and the unknowable. A scattered mix of academic papers, good books, philosophy, and the human relationship with weather. Hosted by Marshall, Marta, and Alden.

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Check latest episodes from weathering podcast

Zero-shot forecasting and the nature of time

2026/02/04

In this episode, we're covering two papers on zero-shot forecasting: NXAI's TiRex and Amazon's Chronos-2. You may be asking… Is it pronounced tee·rɛks? Is it tye·rɛks? Is it a titan? God of time? Is a...

A taxonomy of bias: sensemaking, heretical physics, and the Tom Hanks/Bill Murray multiverse

2025/11/25

Bias has a pretty well-known definition in the world of AI/ML programming. But today’s paper asks us to expand that definition and consider how cultural, organizational, and human forces can intersect...

Determinism is dead, chaos reigns, and the night is long

2025/09/22

While staring into uncertainty might sound abyssal and frightening, ensemble models have proven (to us, at least) that this isn’t the case. In today’s episode, we’re exploring two papers with...

NeuralGCM and the Hybrid Approach

2025/07/28

Machine learning dominates the conversation, but what will happen to the centuries-old physical equations that built our understanding of the atmosphere? How are the two approaches at odds? How might...

End-to-end data-driven weather prediction

2025/06/30

Where does the end begin? Where does the end end? And what the HELL is happening in the middle? These are some of the questions we tackle in this episode as we explore Aardvark Weather, an end-to-end...

The limits of predictability

2025/06/12

How far into the future can we actually predict the weather? Typically, this question is rhetorical, a slight (or smite⚡) against meteorologists everywhere after someone’s wedding gets rained out. But...