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European bourses opened stronger, but sentiment has dipped off best levels; US equity futures are modestly firmer, with mild outperformance is seen in the NQ.DXY is flat, Antipodeans benefit from a rebound in metals prices with outperformance in the Aussie after the RBA hiked rates by 25bps (as expected), whilst the SoMP noted that underlying inflation is higher than expected.Fixed income on the backfoot with supply in focus in a shutdown-thinned US docket.Crude prices initially lower but now flat; India to stop importing Russian oil as part of the trade deal with the US. Metals rebound with spot gold returning above USD 4900/oz.Looking ahead, highlights include US RCM/TIPP (Feb), New Zealand Unemployment (Q4), Australian S&P PMIs Final (Jan), Speakers including Fed’s Bowman, Barkin & ECB's Lagarde.December JOLTS has been postponed, on account of the US government shutdown. Earnings from AMD, Supermicro, Amgen, Amcor, PayPal, PepsiCo, Pfizer, Merck.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly higher with several bourses firmly recovering from the prior day's sell-off, as the region took impetus from the positive handover from Wall Street.US President Trump announced that India will stop buying Russian oil, while the US will be lowering tariffs on India to 18% from 25%.RBA hiked the Cash Rate by 25bps as expected in a unanimous decision, marking the first hike in over two years; RBA's SoMP noted that underlying inflation is higher than expected and GDP growth has continued to pick up.US BLS will not release the January jobs report on Friday due to the partial US Government shutdown, while December JOLTS (due 3rd Feb) has also been postponed.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.4% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.0% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include Turkish Inflation (Jan), French Prelim. CPI (Jan), RCM/TIPP (Feb), New Zealand Unemployment (Q4), Australian S&P PMIs Final (Jan), Speakers including Fed’s Bowman, Barkin & ECB's Lagarde, Supply from UK & Germany, Earnings from AMD, Supermicro, Amgen, Amcor, PayPal, PepsiCo, Pfizer, Merck & Publicis.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses opened lower but now display a mixed picture; US equity futures are entirely in the red with the NQ leading losses, focus on NVIDIA/Oracle.DXY is flat, Aussie initially underperformed as metals got hit but now CHF lags as the risk-tone improves. JPY digests Takaichi comments and new polling which places LDP in a strong position.Fixed initially bid given the risk tone, but pulling back as sentiment turns mixed in Europe.Precious metals hit in a continuation of Friday’s losses; WTI dips below USD 62/bbl as US-Iran tensions ease, with talks in Turkey this week looming.Looking ahead, highlights include US Final Manufacturing PMIs (Jan), ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jan), Speakers including BoE’s Breeden & Fed’s Bostic, Treasury Refunding Announcement, Earnings from Palantir & NXP Semiconductors.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks pressured with several bearish factors weighing, incl. the partial US shutdown, weak Chinese PMIs & NVIDIA's OpenAI investment stalling.DXY rangebound, EUR firmer but below 1.19. USD/JPY initially benefited from Takaichi's remarks, though subsequent clarification unwound this.Fixed benchmarks mixed, JGBs benefit from the latest election polling.Crude benchmarks hit alongside APAC stocks, OPEC+ maintained the pause as expected. Spot gold continued to falter, base peers hit by the Chinese data.Bitcoin hit a trough just below USD 75k before finding a floor.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Final Manufacturing PMIs (Jan), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jan), Speakers including BoE’s Breeden & Fed’s Bostic, Treasury Refunding Announcement, Earnings from Palantir & NXP Semiconductors.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump says he will announce his Fed pick on Friday. Reports suggest the administration is leaning towards Warsh.DXY bid, USTs lower with the yield curve steeper and US equity futures down (ES -0.8%) amid the Warsh speculation.XAU lost the USD 5k/oz handle and XAG below USD 100/oz in a pullback from recent highs and amid USD strength.Crude curtailed by the USD, and as Trump plans to meet with Iranian officialsAUD hit on metal action, JPY digests Tokyo CPI, EUR unaffected by German state CPIs and EZ GDPLooking ahead, highlights include German HICP (Jan), Canadian GDP (Dec), US PPI (Dec), Speakers including Fed's Musalem, Bowman, Miran, Waller. President Trump's Fed Chair announcement.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump says he will announce his Fed pick on Friday. Reports suggest the administration is leaning towards Warsh.DXY gained amid the Warsh speculation, to the detriment of G10 peers. USTs under pressure following this.Apple shares ended the extended US session flat, having initially risen after profit and revenue beat, driven by exceptionally strong iPhone demand.European futures point to a firmer open, US futures hit by the potential Warsh appointment.Crude benchmarks gave back some of Thursday's strength, precious metals were also on the backfoot.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish/German/Italian GDP Flash (Q4), German Import Prices (Dec), Unemployment (Jan), Prelim. HICP (Jan), Spanish Prelim. CPI (Jan), EZ GDP Flash Prelim. (Q4), Canadian GDP (Dec), US PPI (Dec), Speakers including Fed's Musalem, Bowman, Miran & Riksbank's Jansson. Earnings from SoFi, American Express, Verizon, Chevron, Exxon & Colgate.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Senate Majority Leader Thune sees a possibility to avoid a shutdown by week’s end after Senate Minority Leader Schumer laid out Democrats' demands on ICE, CNN reported.European bourses are broadly firmer though DAX 40 has been pressured by losses in SAP, after disappointing cloud backlogs.In the pre-market: Microsoft (-6.4%, strong results, though AI spending and disappointing cloud growth weigh), Meta (+7.5%, posts record sales), and Tesla (+2%, annual revenue falls for the first time, but aims to pivot further to AI).AUD outpaces on gold and copper; G10s flat/firmer vs USD.US yields remain bid post-FOMC, supply in focus for the near-termSpot XAU nears USD 5600/oz while copper prices surge beyond USD 14k/t on greater AI demand; Crude climbs to new four-month highs as Trump reportedly considers a new strike on Iran.Looking ahead, US Jobless Claims, Chicago Fed Labour Market Indicators (Jan), Japanese Industrial Production (Dec), Retail Sales (Dec) & Tokyo Core CPI (Jan), SARB Policy Announcement. Speakers include ECB's Cipollone. Supply from the US.Earnings from Apple, SanDisk, Visa, Western Digital, Mastercard, Caterpillar, Nasdaq, Blackstone, Lockheed Martin.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly subdued, with sentiment in the region clouded following a lack of fireworks at the FOMC; mega-cap US earnings saw Meta (META) rise 6.6%, Microsoft (MSFT) slip 6%, while Tesla (TSLA) rose 1.9%.FOMC kept rates unchanged at 3.50-3.75%, as expected, with the vote split at 10-2 (Miran and Waller called for a 25bps rate cut).Fed Chair Powell said rates are in a plausible range of neutral and at the higher end of the range of neutral.US Senate Majority Leader Thune sees a possibility to avoid a shutdown by week’s end after Senate Minority Leader Schumer laid out Democrats' demands on ICE, CNN reported.Iranian Supreme Leader’s adviser totally dismissed the notion of "a limited strike" and said, "Any military action from the US, from any origin, at any level, will be considered the start of war".Looking ahead, include Swedish GDP (Dec), Spanish Retail Sales (Dec), EZ M3 (Dec), US Jobless Claims, Chicago Fed Labour Market Indicators (Jan), Japanese Industrial Production (Dec), Retail Sales (Dec) & Tokyo Core CPI (Jan), Riksbank Policy Announcement, CBRT Minutes (Jan), SARB Policy Announcement. Speakers include Norges Bank's Bech-Moen, Riksbank's Thedeen, and ECB's Cipollone. Supply from Italy & the US.Earnings from Apple, SanDisk, Visa, Western Digital, Mastercard, Caterpillar, Nasdaq, Blackstone, Lockheed Martin, and H&MRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are broadly lower; LVMH (-8%) sinks post-earnings, whilst ASML (+4.9%) gains after the company beat across its headline metrics, provided a rosy outlook, and announced a EUR 12bln share buyback.NQ boosted by ASML & SK Hynix earnings, as well as reports that China is said to have approved the first batch of NVIDIA's (+1.7%) H200 AI chips for import.DXY attempts a recovery to the detriment of G10s; AUD among the better performers post-CPI.USTs slightly softer pre-Fed, Bunds little moved on a robust auction, JGBs bid overnight.Crude benchmarks reverse earlier gains; Spot XAU extends above USD 5,300/oz; Copper regains USD 13k/t.Looking ahead, highlights include Fed Policy Announcement, BoC Policy Announcement, BCB Policy Announcement. Speakers include ECB's Schnabel, BoC's Macklem, Fed Chair Powell. Supply from the US. Earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, Lam, ServiceNow, IBM, Starbucks & AS.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed with an early positive bias seen following the mostly constructive handover from Wall Street, although some cautiousness began to seep through ahead of looming key risk events.China is said to have approved the first batch of NVIDIA's (NVDA) H200 AI chips for import, with sources noting that China has granted approval for the import of several hundred thousand H200 AI chips, later reported to be over 400,000.ANZ shifted its RBA call, in which it now sees a 25bps hike at next week's RBA meeting following the mostly hotter Australian CPI report overnight. European equity futures indicate a firmer cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 +0.6% following earnings from ASML. Euro Stoxx 50 cash finished with gains of 0.6% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include New Zealand Trade (Dec), Fed Policy Announcement, BoC Policy Announcement, BCB Policy Announcement. Speakers include ECB's Elderson & Schnabel, BoC's Macklem, Fed Chair Powell. Supply from Germany & US. Earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, Lam, ServiceNow, IBM, GE Vernova, AT&T, Starbucks, VF Corp, Danaher & AS.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump's announced he is to raise tariffs on South Korean autos, lumber, pharma, and all other reciprocal tariffs to 25% from 15% due to Korea not yet enacting the trade deal.USD/JPY fell sharply below 154.00 without a clear catalyst, in a move similar to Friday’s post-Ueda drop, DXY is slightly lower.European and US equity futures are broadly in the green; a slew of US earnings are on the docket.Fixed benchmarks hold a bearish bias, Bunds little moved to a robust auction.Crude prices slightly firmer, whilst Nat Gas prices remain elevated; precious metals rebound following Monday's selloff.Looking ahead, US Richmond Fed (Jan), Consumer Confidence (Jan), ADP Employment Change Weekly, NBH Policy Announcement. Speakers include ECB President Lagarde & ECBʼs Nagel, US President Trump. Supply from the US. Earnings from Texas Instruments, Boeing, General Motors, RTX, American Airlines, Logitech & LVMH.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly higher following on from the rebound on Wall Street, but with some of the gains capped ahead of key events and big tech earnings stateside.KOSPI sold off at the open following US President Trump's announcement to raise tariffs on South Korean autos, lumber, pharma, and all other reciprocal tariffs to 25% from 15% due to its legislature not yet enacting the US-Korea trade deal.Spot gold rebounded from the prior session's trough with a brief pullback cushioned after finding support around the USD 5,000/oz level.US aircraft carrier and warships reached the Middle East, according to the Washington Post, while it was also reported that a US official said Washington is "open for business" if Iran wishes to contact them.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.4% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.2% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include US Richmond Fed (Jan), Consumer Confidence (Jan), ADP Employment Change Weekly, NBH Policy Announcement. Speakers include ECB President Lagarde & ECB’s Nagel, US President Trump. Supply from UK, Italy, Germany and US. Earnings from Texas Instruments, UnitedHealth, Boeing, UPS, General Motors, RTX, American Airlines, Logitech & LVMH.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Senate Minority Leader Schumer threatened a partial government shutdown over DHS funding following the fatal shooting of a Minneapolis man by a Border Patrol agent on Saturday.European bourses are mostly on the backfoot; US equity futures are incrementally lower.JPY surges on double intervention risks, and after PM Takaichi warned that the government is ready to take action against speculative moves; DXY pressured.Global fixed income firmer as trade tensions rise, Gilts lead after Burnham was blocked, USTs count down to supply.Precious metals continue to trade at record levels with spot XAU extending beyond USD 5,000/oz; Crude prices trade rangebound as Nat Gas futures surge due to the Arctic storm.Looking ahead, highlights include US Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct/Nov), Durable Goods (Nov), Atlanta Fed GDP, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly subdued amid Japanese intervention concerns and US President Trump's latest tariff threat against Canada; Trump threatened 100% tariffs on Canada if it makes a trade deal with China.Japanese PM Takaichi warned that the government is ready to take action against speculative moves amid a weakening currency and surge in bond yields, according to Bloomberg.Spot gold climbed to a fresh record high after breaching the USD 5,000/oz level for the first time in history, amid a weaker dollar and a rally in silver, which briefly topped USD 109/oz.US Senate Minority Leader Schumer threatened a partial government shutdown over DHS funding following the fatal shooting of a Minneapolis man by a Border Patrol agent on Saturday.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.1% after the cash market finished with losses of 0.1% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo (Jan), US Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct/Nov), Durable Goods (Nov), Atlanta Fed GDP, Supply from EU & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

BoJ maintained its short-term interest rate at 0.75%, as expected, with an 8-1 vote split as Takata voted for a 25bp hike.BoJ Outlook Report revised its 2025 and 2026 GDP forecast higher, while shifting its 2027 forecast lower; 2026 inflation was revised higher to 1.9% (prev. 1.8%).USD/JPY saw two-way action on the announcement, gained during Ueda’s presser before tumbling on potential MoF activity.European bourses and US equity futures are trading lower; NQ -0.4%.USTs & Bunds near-enough flat, Gilts led before turning around, JGBs lag.Commodities count down to the trilateral summit, XAU made another ATH overnight, but now off best levels.Looking ahead, Global Flash PMIs (Jan), Canadian Retail Sales (Nov), US UoM Consumer Expectations Final (Jan), Tri-lateral meeting between the US, Ukraine and Russia.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk