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AI is moving fast, but its macro impact is still unfolding. Julia Hermann and Michael LoGalbo are joined by Steve Friedman, Senior Macroeconomist at MacKay Shields, to explore how competing AI-led forces across productivity, labor markets, and policy may shape inflation and investment outcomes. 

Markets have been moving quickly. In this week’s Market Matters, Julia Hermann and Sarah Hirsch break down how Iran, inflation, and private credit are driving the macro narrative, and what that means for growth, policy, and portfolios.   

Geopolitical tensions are moving into the core macro outlook, with energy markets, inflation, and policy all increasingly interconnected. Tune in as Julia Hermann and Michael LoGalbo break down how their base case has evolved and what it means for portfolios. 

Geopolitical risk is moving from the background to the foreground for investors. In this episode, Julia Hermann and Michael LoGalbo explore how great power politics is changing the global economic order –and why this shift, seen in Iran and beyond, is becoming more important for markets, policy, and portfolio construction. 

Markets have remained relatively calm, but the U.S. conflict with Iran has raised the stakes for the global economy. In this episode, Lauren Goodwin and Michael LoGalbo break down what disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could mean for the U.S. economy, monetary policy, global markets, and investors. 

Markets have broadened so far in 2026, but broader doesn’t necessarily mean better. In the latest episode of Market Matters, Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann unpack why broader market performance may not be sustainable if market leadership turns away from profitability leaders.

The year has started with a tug-of-war between resilient growth and rising policy risk, and the path forward for markets will likely continue to be punctuated by event risk. In this Macro Pulse update, Julia Hermann and Michael LoGalbo discuss how geopolitical regime change, AI concentration, and supportive U.S. policy are shaping the base case.

There’s no place like home, but for many Americans, homeownership feels further out of reach than ever. In this episode of Market Matters, Julia Hermann and Sarah Hirsch unpack why affordability feels so strained, how decades of housing policy shaped today’s system, and which proposals could move the needle from here. 

Markets are moving fast in 2026, and investor sentiment is shifting with them. In this episode of Market Matters, Julia Hermann and Sarah Hirsch share insights from their recent travels, highlighting how rising volatility, geopolitical headlines, and the next phase of AI are shaping investor thinking. They also discuss what this means for diversification and portfolio positioning.

Private markets are entering 2026 with renewed momentum. Lauren Goodwin and Sarah Hirsch preview the 2026 Global Private Markets Outlook, sharing their outlook across private markets asset classes and highlighting where investors may find resilience and long-term value. 

In this episode of Market Matters, Lauren Goodwin and Michael LoGalbo explore four black swan scenarios from the 2026 Swan Lake report, including disruptions to U.S. public economic data, a potential U.S. state split, political upheaval in Eastern Europe, and a rethink of Asia’s “dollar recycling”. 

Headline economic data can look steady, even when real strain exists beneath the surface. On Market Matters, Julia Hermann and Michael LoGalbo break down the K-shaped economy, examining who is driving U.S. growth, how wealth effects are shaping consumption, and why market moves themselves have become a key transmission mechanism for economic strength or weakness.

Why does Federal Reserve independence matter, and how would markets respond if it weakened? On Market Matters, Julia Hermann and Sarah Hirsch break down the Fed’s mandate, its structure, and the early market signals investors would likely see if independence risks grow.

After a week of conversations with our U.S. wealth teams, a few themes stood out as especially “sticky” for 2026. Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann discuss how they’re thinking about AI as a megatrend, what potential challenges to Fed independence could mean for markets, and why developed ex-U.S. equities are becoming a more compelling diversifier.

With nearly $8 trillion sitting in money market funds, investors face a familiar challenge: how to deploy capital when entry points feel scarce. Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann share their latest thinking on deploying new funds in 2026, highlighting marginal shifts in allocation views across small caps, ex-U.S. equities, private markets, and income-oriented credit, all through the lens of diversification and quality.