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The Weekly Fix

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This podcast has
153 episodes
Language
English
Date created
2023/07/11
Latest episode
2026/11/10
Average duration
6 min.
Release period
8 days

Description

Today’s markets move fast. To keep you up to speed each week, Andrzej Skiba, CFA, Head of BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income at RBC Global Asset Management, and members of his investment team will deliver forward looking market commentary and insights into what’s driving fixed income markets over the coming week.

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AI's next bottleneck is in Texas
2026/11/10
What if the midterm result that matters most for AI infrastructure isn't in Congress at all? Andrzej Skiba, Head of U.S. Fixed Income on the BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team, breaks down the implications for markets. 📊 The Texas governor race outcome carries major implications for AI data center development 💡 Slower permitting creates clear winners and losers across the entire compute supply chain ⚠️ Careful credit selection is paramount in the current environment The midterm results shifted the political balance in Washington, but the real story for fixed income markets lies in a single state race that few saw coming. The downstream effects on data center permitting touch hyperscalers, neoclouds, and chip manufacturers in very different ways.
The Fed just rewrote its own playbook
2026/11/03
What happens when the Federal Reserve rewrites its own playbook? @Laurie Mount, Portfolio Manager on the BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team, breaks down what the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting means for anyone managing short-term cash. 🏦 The Federal Reserve is reshaping its meeting schedule, changing the rhythm of rate decisions 💡 Positioning and flexibility take on added importance in a higher-for-longer environment ⚠️ Geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation add complexity to the current landscape With so many moving parts, cash managers need to stay nimble as the backdrop evolves.
The disappearing first-time homebuyer
2026/10/27
What happens when an entire generation gets priced out of homeownership? Eric Hathaway, Portfolio Manager on the BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team, breaks down the structural shifts reshaping the U.S. housing market. 📊 First-time homebuyers are vanishing from the market at an unprecedented pace, with the median buyer age climbing dramatically ⚠️ Rising mortgage costs continue to push homeownership further out of reach for prospective buyers 💡 Embedded prepayment risk in agency mortgages makes directionality the real challenge for investors The housing market is sending signals that matter across the fixed income landscape, and these structural shifts deserve attention from anyone navigating today's environment.
The AI fixed income selloff nobody saw coming
2026/10/20
Is AI a trap for bond investors - or a buying opportunity in disguise? Andrzej Skiba, Head of U.S. Fixed Income on the BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team, breaks down what's happening in AI-related fixed income and why it matters. Heavy issuance and leveraged investor capitulation have reshaped sentiment across AI-related creditThe supply-demand imbalance has created a buyer's market for new deals coming to marketPosition sizing and patience are key when navigating this volatile space With market sentiment toward AI credit at its worst, the dislocation is reshaping how active investors approach the space.
Competition for capital is back
2026/10/13
What if the real opportunity in fixed income isn't just higher yields, it's who holds the leverage? Anne Greenwood, Institutional Portfolio Manager on the BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team, breaks down why growing global demand for capital is shifting power toward bondholders. Governments, companies, and AI infrastructure are all competing for the same capitalWhen financing needs outpace investor appetite, borrowers offer greater compensation to attract itA wide spread alone doesn't make a bond a good investment—disciplined credit selection matters Anne explains why selectivity on issuer, structure, and price matters more than ever when competition for capital is growing.
When rising yields stop being credit's friend
2026/10/06
What happens when the technical that usually supports credit starts working against it? Ben Romeo, Senior Trader on the BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team, unpacks the shift. Rate volatility and inflation concerns are reshaping the buyer baseIssuers are pulling back from the long end, redirecting demand to the secondary marketWider concessions on new issues are giving investors more attractive entry levelsFrench sovereign risk has spilled from Europe into US credit It's a setup worth paying attention to, and one where fundamentals still hold up.
Rising yields just rewrote the bond playbook
2026/09/29
What if rising bond yields are actually an opportunity in disguise? Neil Sun, Portfolio Manager on the BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team breaks down what's driving the rate move and how investors should position. Higher starting yields provide a stronger income foundationThe investment case doesn't require a sharp fall in interest ratesOpportunities are uneven across the bond market The recent rise in bond yields has reshaped the income landscape for fixed income investors. Robust growth, higher energy prices, and uncertainty in the Middle East have all contributed to the shift in rates.
When yield isn't enough
2026/09/22
A Federal Reserve hike lifts yields, but attractive income alone does not mean investors are being paid for the credit risk they take. Higher yields strengthen the foundation for income, but an attractive yield alone doesn't mean you're being paid for credit risk—both must be assessed together.Curve positioning matters: short-term yields may rise with policy rates, while persistent deficits and capital competition could keep long-term borrowing costs elevated even after the Fed eases.Financial strength is a competitive moat—companies with durable cash flows and manageable debt can keep investing when weaker competitors face financing constraints.
Inflation corners the Fed
2026/09/15
Stubborn inflation has the Fed cornered while AI's biggest leaders call to slow down, two forces reshaping the outlook investors face right now. August inflation ran hot, pushing the market to price a roughly 90% chance of a September rate hike.The Trump administration's push for rate cuts leaves Fed Chair Warsh caught between stubborn inflation and political pressure to ease policy.Leaders of the three largest AI companies jointly called to slow development, warning AI is advancing faster than humans can monitor or control it.
The Fed's no-win moment
2026/09/01
What happens when the Fed runs out of good options? That's the question hanging over markets after a hawkish Jackson Hole. This week, Tim Leary, Senior Portfolio Manager on the BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team, unpacks what Chair Warsh's stance means for rates and risk. AI adoption and capex spend remain key drivers of US growthHigher-for-longer rates shape the market backdropTim explores the credit landscape heading into September From US-Canada trade tensions to escalating geopolitical risk, Tim walks through the forces that defined the week and what they mean for credit.
The Treasury's yield problem it can't buy its way out of
2026/08/25
Can the Treasury buy its way out of a yield problem? Andrzej Skiba, Head of U.S. Fixed Income on the BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team, breaks down what's really driving long Treasury yields—and why short-term fixes fall short. Treasury buybacks briefly eased long yields before markets grew skepticalThe credible solution is deficit reduction, but political appetite for spending cuts looks limited Treasury and Fed policy are pulling in opposite directions, putting the Fed in a tricky spot With Labor Day approaching, investors are sifting through incoming economic data and policy statements for direction.
Where did all the junk go?
2026/08/18
Where did the riskiest borrowers in credit actually go? Anne Greenwood, Institutional Portfolio Manager on the BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team, unpacks how credit risk is migrating—and why the high yield label no longer tells the whole story. The high yield market has grown higher in quality, yet risk hasn't disappeared—it's moved. Much of it has migrated into leveraged loans and private credit over the past decade.The AI and data center buildout is bringing stronger balance sheets and new backstops into parts of high yield. When the market beneath the index changes, the index alone is no longer enough.
When a falling unemployment rate is bad news
2026/08/11
What happens when the unemployment rate falls even as jobs disappear? Mindy Gudmundson, Institutional Portfolio Manager on RBC GAM’s BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team, unpacks a week of mixed market signals and what they reveal about the labor market beneath the headlines. Job losses concentrated in consumer-facing sectors hint at a cooling labor marketA falling unemployment rate reflects workers leaving the workforce, not underlying strengthThe Fed's new chair is letting data, not commentary, steer policy It's a week where the numbers told two very different stories, and the gap between them is where the real insight lives.
When the bond market does the Fed's job
2026/08/04
What happens when a divided Fed meets a bond market that's doing its own thing? Laurie Mount, Portfolio Manager with RBC BlueBay's US Fixed Income team, breaks down the latest Federal Open Market Committee decision and what it means for your cash strategy. A split committee with growing dissent among voting membersThe long end of the Treasury curve is telling a very different storyWhy staying liquid matters more than ever right now With conflicting signals from the Fed and geopolitical tensions adding pressure, staying nimble has become the defining move for cash investors today.
The AI build quietly rewriting credit markets
2026/07/28
What happens when the race to build AI infrastructure meets the realities of credit markets? Andrzej Skiba, Head of BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income at RBC GAM, breaks it down in this week's episode. The AI buildout is reshaping how credit markets work.Debt issuance is climbing as companies finance the expansion.In-depth credit underwriting is what separates the strongest opportunities from the rest. When capital needs surge and equity issuance doesn't keep pace, debt markets carry the load-and that's exactly what's playing out right now. It's a moment that rewards careful, selective thinking.

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