Advertise on podcast: The Risk Takers Podcast

IN THIS EPISODE WE ARE JOINED BY ESTEEMED GAMBLING TWITTER POSTER AND ORIGINATOR MR PEANUTBETTOR. LISTEN TO HEAR MANY SMART THINGS AND SOME FUNNY JOKES. 0:00 Intro 10:15 Trading at Deck Prism 27:00 Originating 57:00 Prediction Markets 1:18:00 Listener Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

A heated debate broke out on Twitter between sharp bettors. On one end Establish the Run, a well respected business that sells information to bettors. On the other - sharp sports bettors who either use or have to deal with that information in their market. This debate highlights the fundamental issues that come with selling good information in sports betting, and more broadly the best way to monetize sharp information (JUST BET IT BRO v. Selling) 0:00 Intro 2:15 ETR & The Challenge of Sharp Touting 43:45 News 1:00:15 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

This week we interview long-time professional gambler Adam aka BeagleBets (https://x.com/thebeaglebets). Adam quickly rose to the top of the Heads Up SNG ladder, playing $5k buy-ins before dropping out of college to pursue poker full time. From there his career spanned many eras, which got him to where he is today: betting NBA Player Props and betting live sports. Adam is a very kind to share an honest account of the ups and downs of life as a professional bettor, along with advice to those who want to do this full-time but maintain a family and personal life. So much fun to record this one. 0:00 Intro 2:30 Start with advantage play 5:00 Full-time poker 13:15 Adding sports when poker got tougher 22:30 Building sims & scaling sports betting 30:15 Manually betting NBA player props 50:30 Transition to live betting 1:04:20 How to have a long betting career 1:21:40 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

In this episode the boys talk about how to go about selecting props & derivatives markets to focus on and how to get started w/ modeling these. The Pick6 past-post scandal takes up a good chunk of the news and the Q&A is very meaty! 0:00 How to Pick Props to Bet 27:00 DK Pick6 Past-post 45:45 Other News 1:01:45 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

You may know him from Bet The Process. You may know him as Dogname atop the Kalshi leaderboard. You may know him as the best golf bettor (RIP GP) around... Rufus Peabody joins the show this week to talk about his betting philosophy and his recent adventure into prediction markets. He's been winning at sports betting since 2008, and is still at the very top of the betting ecosystem today. Must listen! 0:00 Intro 2:00 Starting in Betting 17:00 Going out on Own 23:00 Getting Started w/ Golf 28:30 Exploring New Sports 43:00 What is Rufus' edge? 1:101:15 Prediction Markets 1:32:55 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

We cap off the year with a fun episode where SP and GP recap their 2025 betting year before setting some 2026 goals. The episode ends with 2026 industry predictions and some sappy feelings. 0:00 Intro 6:00 2025 Recap 22:10 2026 "Ins & Outs" 1:07:30 2026 Predictions Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

We did it. We bagged another big guest's first ever podcast appearance. You may know Louie from Twitter (https://x.com/LMastro99) - but if you don't, he has had great success on both sides of the counter as a sportsbook trader and NBA originator. He started at FanDuel before being one of the first people to join NoVig and growing their trading team w/ former guest BigBuckHunter. 0:00 1:30 Getting started with FanDuel 22:30 Leaving FD for NoVig 30:50 Internal Market Making 46:45 Modeling Philosophy 1:13:00 The 3 P's Of Betting 1:17:00 Tout Thoughts 1:32:20 Biggest Exchange Money Makers 1:41:00 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Today we rip a hot takes episode and talk about how Kalshi has just invented the Parlay. Tons of great questions at the end - thanks for all those who asked a question! 0:00 Intro 2:20 Hot Takes 35:00 News 58:30 Questions Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

This could be consider our first full Prediction Market focused guest. CSP Trading was an early MM on prediction markets before we had even heard of them. He walks us through the history of PMs through his experience trading on them and growing with the space to where they are now. 0:00 Getting Started in PMs 13:24 Early Prediction Market War Stories 37:45 Insider Trading in PMs 45:00 Getting Into Sports 56:30 Market Making Strategies 1:33:00 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

SP and GP talk about times being manual has made them more money than being automated and have a huge post-mortem on the old version of Pick6 where they both lay out most of their strategies. News is crazy as always - Poly US coming, Kalshi & Robinhood breakup, Prime plays it straight w/ winning bettors. Then a big Q&A! 0:00 Intro 1:15 Why Being Manual is Sometimes Better Than Being Automated 22:20 Pick6 Tell-All 44:00 News 1:23:15 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Huge day - we get Pads (https://x.com/padadiso) to come on his first podcast ever! Pads is one of the most successful bettors of the post-PASPA era, making most of his money live betting on sportsbooks and now exchanges.  He talks live betting, joining discords, doing terrible things to Fliff and why it's almost impossible to replicate his edge. Thank you to Pads for coming on and thank you all for your questions! 0:00 Intro to Advantage Play 9:10 Joining Discords, Buying Tools and Content 15:15 Crushing Live Betting 44:00 Joining BookieBeats 53:30 Prediction Market Taking isn't Dead 1:16:15 Going Public on Twitter 1:21:00 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Today we share the biggest lessons we have learned from posting liquidity on exchanges and taking bets. GP has some more empathy for sportsbooks in some spots and none in others while SP is shocked with how few people have an opinion in today's sharp betting ecosystem. 0:00 Things We Learned Posting Liquidity 39:10 DK/FD Go for it on PMs 50:00 Kalshi on PrizePicks & other news 1:08:00 Listener Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

AP of 50+ years, host of Gambling with an Edge and author of Gambling Wizards - Richard Munchkin (https://x.com/RWM21) joins the show. From his start as an AP in old Las Vegas to the end where he shares the most...interesting(?) Bayesian update, this episode is a ride. Richard's story telling is unmatched in the industry - and he has a career of professional gambling to draw content from. We talk about his early days, and what he's doing now with regards to sports betting and other casino games. Can't miss episode! 0:00 Intro 2:45 How Richard Started w/ AP play 12:00 Lost Skill of Being Willing to Battle 22:00 Best Disguise Stories 28:15 Networking & Working w/ Teams 33:15 Traveling the World as an AP 46:45 Getting the Money Out is King 56:30 How to Scout Games 1:18:00 Why Richard Does Content 1:39:00 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

We talk about why good gamblers bet too little in big spots, plus Polymarket coming to the US with low fees & why GP is on an anti-courtsiding tirade. We also give our take on why dating sites are like betting markets - and how to avoid adverse selection there. 0:00 Intro 1:15 Sizing Up 32:00 News/Scandals/Fees 1:00:45 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Today we are joined by Isaac (https://x.com/Ias0801) to talk about his path to pro betting right out of college. He shares stories about how he cracked the madden sim betting market during covid, texted correlated parlays to his bookie (that got accepted) and his work now in the MLB and CBB. Enjoy! 0:00 Intro/ Early Advantage Play 8:00 Finding a Holy Grail Spot to Start Sports Betting 21:45 How to Start Betting your Own Numbers 38:20 Specializing in MLB & CBB 57:00 Decision to Go Pro (telling your parents) 1:05:30 Networking is Like Betting 1:12:45 Future Plans & Prediction Markets 1:21:00 Q&A and Final Thoughts Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013