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In this episode of The DeFi Report, Mike and Ryan break down what Trump’s pick for Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh, could mean for crypto, and why a real regime shift might be back on the table. They unpack Warsh’s record as a Fed governor, his critique of QE and the swollen balance sheet, and the big question markets are not pricing: is the Fed Put still alive? Mike explains why he still views crypto as in a bear market, the onchain and cycle metrics he needs to see before going risk-on, and how a Nasdaq rollover tied to an AI unwind could drive the next leg lower. They close with fair value targets, downside scenarios, and what would finally flip Mike into buy mode. ----📣THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/ https://thedefireport.io/ https://x.com/the_defi_report https://x.com/JustDeauIt ---- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 2:15 The Bloodbath in Crypto Prices 2:52 Analyzing the New Fed Chair 7:21 Warsh's Views on Inflation 10:19 Trump & Warsh's Alignment 12:55 The Fed Put: A New Perspective 18:05 Constraints on Warsh's Policies 20:59 The Uncertainty of the Fed's Influence 21:50 Crypto's Bear Market Outlook 23:32 Metrics for Bitcoin's Recovery 25:27 Long-Term Holders' Market Behavior 27:13 The State of Bitcoin Miners 29:35 NASDAQ & Tech Sector Trends 32:54 The AI Bubble and Its Implications 35:35 The Potential for Market Unwind 39:39 ISM Data and Economic Signals 40:45 Mike's Risk-On Strategy Insights 42:41 Closing & Disclaimers ---- Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

In this episode of The DeFi Report, Mike and Ryan break down why Bitcoin is underperforming gold, what the BTC/Gold ratio is signaling about the next bottom, and why this setup may be more bullish than it looks. They unpack China’s role in driving the gold trade, why Bitcoin still behaves like a risk-on asset, and how investor “envy” distorts cycle perception. Mike lays out realistic downside scenarios, key support levels to watch, and the onchain signals he needs to see before deploying capital. ----📣THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://www.youtube.com/@thedefireport https://thedefireport.io/ https://x.com/the_defi_report https://x.com/JustDeauIt ---- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 2:08 Bitcoin vs. Gold Ratio Analysis 8:19 Understanding Gold's Outperformance 13:12 China's Impact on Gold Demand 14:27 Bitcoin's Future as a Reserve Asset 16:27 Potential Bottom for Bitcoin Ratio 20:25 Market Sentiment & Investor Behavior 26:35 Onchain Metrics and Market Conditions 33:41 The Future of Real World Assets in Crypto 34:59 Closing & Disclaimers ---- Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

In this episode of The DeFi Report, Mike and Ryan lay out Mike’s full portfolio construction framework for a crypto bear market. We walk through how he sizes Bitcoin as the anchor, how core and high-beta assets fit into the cycle, and why price matters more than narratives right now. Mike also shares fair value targets across nearly 30 assets, explains why most investors rush entries too early, and what signals he’s waiting for before going risk-on again. ----📣THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/ https://thedefireport.io/ https://x.com/the_defi_report https://x.com/JustDeauIt ---- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 1:50 Market Overview & Conditions 4:03 Constructing a Portfolio 7:00 Importance of Bitcoin 10:41 Core Assets Explained 13:26 Long-Term Holds Strategy 14:06 Risk-On Assets Discussion 17:36 Price Targets for Each Sleeve 20:54 Core Asset Candidates 29:13 Long-Term Holds & Watchlist 33:13 Meme Coins and Market Cycles 36:41 Analyzing the Watchlist 40:30 Closing & Disclaimers ---- Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

Bitcoin is pushing toward $100K, but is the move real or just a positioning unwind? Mike and Ryan break down the CPI surprise, real rates and breakevens, why global liquidity still looks like it’s rolling over, and what the onchain data says about true demand, from ETF flows to long term holder selling, open interest, and funding. Mike explains what would convince him this rally can reclaim $100K as support, and why he’s still staying patient and largely in cash. ----📣THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/ https://thedefireport.io/ https://x.com/the_defi_report https://x.com/JustDeauIt ---- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 0:14 Next Stop: $100K Bitcoin? 1:10 Positive Price Action 4:54 Powell's Prosecution & Market Impact 6:08 Bitcoin's Moment? 9:14 Understanding Real Rates & CPI 12:19 Global Liquidity & Bitcoin 17:57 Onchain Data Insights 21:47 Market Demand Signals 26:14 Anticipating Market Reactions 32:15 Upcoming Assets on the Watchlist 35:44 Closing ---- Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

📣THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/ https://thedefireport.io/ https://x.com/the_defi_report https://x.com/JustDeauIt ---- Today on The DeFi Report, we’re mapping the 2026 setup: shifting fiscal flows, tighter liquidity, and why rate cuts are not automatically bullish for crypto. Mike stays risk off (80 percent cash) while he watches for the signals that would force a pivot, falling real yields, a dovish Fed, and Bitcoin reclaiming key levels. We also break down where we are in the market cycle, why a counter rally could be a trap, and what Mike’s $65K fair value target implies for positioning this year. ---- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 1:10 Setup for 2026 5:54 Macro & Liquidity Setup 8:46 2022 Comparison  11:40 U.S. Liquidity Cycle Insights 13:20 Bitcoin & Interest Rates 16:34 Labor Market Insights 18:49 Real Estate Trends 21:04 Midterm Year Implications 23:30 Asset Allocation Cycle 26:18 Crypto Cycle Analysis 29:38 Transition Phase in Crypto 34:23 Geopolitical X Factor 37:12 Closing & Disclaimers ---- Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

The Fed cut rates and announced $40B/month in T bill purchases. Is that the signal to buy back into crypto? Mike says no. In this episode, we explain why “QE light” is not real easing, the key indicators Mike needs before flipping risk on, and what Bitcoin’s onchain market structure suggests about where this cycle could go next. ---- 📣THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/ https://thedefireport.io/ https://x.com/the_defi_report https://x.com/JustDeauIt ---- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Introduction to the DeFi Report 2:28 Current Market Positioning 9:25 Federal Reserve's Actions Explained 13:13 Economic Conditions & Predictions 18:35 Big Picture of Economic Strategy 23:17 Analyzing Bitcoin's Market Structure 29:57 Closing & Future Outlook ---- Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.