
Advertise on podcast: The Transfer Flow Podcast
Rating
4.8from
This podcast has
240 episodes
Language
EnglishPublisher
Theodore KnutsonExplicit
No
Date created
2024/07/11
Latest episode
2026/10/19
Average duration
52 min.
Release period
4 days
Description
Transfer and team analysis, plus interviews with some of the best in the football business.
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Check latest episodes from The Transfer Flow Podcast podcast
The Premier League Table is LYING
2026/10/19
Patrick and Ted go through the Premier League weekend and ask which teams should be worried, and where the table is hiding what the numbers say.
They cover Newcastle, Crystal Palace, Arsenal, Man City, Liverpool, Man United and Chelsea, plus Brighton's numbers and the inside cross trend Ted is seeing in the weekly roundup.
Subscribe to the Transfer Flow newsletter and Variance Betting, and catch more on Patreon.
Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
00:37 – Weekend reaction: what's changed after six games?
02:06 – Who should be worried? Newcastle's table position vs the numbers
07:11 – Crystal Palace's rough weekend, and Brighton's numbers
12:02 – Nottingham Forest's defence
13:24 – Arsenal scrape past Forest
18:07 – Man City: 21 points from 7 games, and the defence
21:34 – Liverpool: the defence, Isak and the shot quality
25:16 – The inside cross: a growing way of creating chances
31:32 – More Liverpool: the attacking signs
33:04 – Man United: winless in the league, 7 points vs Brighton's 16
37:35 – Chelsea beat Everton, but how much can we read into it?
40:20 – Fulham, and how little we know about these teams yet
42:06 – Midweek Champions League preview
43:14 – Which Witch?
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Madrid Escape, City Get Exposed, and Barcelona Look Special
2026/10/15
Real Madrid were 3-1 down in the 83rd minute and won 4-3 on three corners in seven minutes. Nobody should be convinced.
Patrick is joined by Neel Shelat to break down a chaotic UEFA Champions League week: Real Madrid’s escape against Roma, PSG exposing Man City’s pressing, Man United’s loss to Atletico Madrid, Barcelona’s attack led by Lamine Yamal, and Viking’s 3-3 draw with Bayern Munich.
Over on Patreon, we look at the surprising teams near the top of the Premier League: Brentford, Brighton and Everton.
Check out Which Witch? on Kickstarter!: https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/curiouslynxgames/which-witch
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Timestamps:
0:00 – Intro
0:50 – Real Madrid vs Roma: A Comeback That Hides Problems
5:49 – Real Madrid’s Left Flank Bias
14:32 – PSG vs Man City: Can City Press?
26:07 – Atletico Madrid vs Man United
32:10 – Barcelona, Lamine Yamal and Pedri
39:02 – Viking vs Bayern Munich
#championsleague #ucl #realmadrid #manchestercity #mancity #barca #barcelona #barcelonafc #manchesterunited #manunited #psg #premierleague #football #soccer #footballpodcast #foryou #fyp
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Carrick Is Taking Manchester United Backwards + Man City Beat Liverpool, But Did Anything Matter?
2026/10/12
Manchester City beat Liverpool, but did anything about it matter? Patrick and Neel review the weekend in the Premier League and La Liga.
They start with City’s win at Anfield, Haaland’s new Abu Dhabi house and the siege mentality around the club, then ask whether Liverpool’s midfield balance and Florian Wirtz’s role are fixable.
Then they turn to Manchester United’s draw with Spurs. Why do Carrick’s United keep falling for the same pressing trap, and can they create anything against a low block? Plus: whether De Zerbi’s patterns are anywhere to be seen, Mourinho’s struggling Real Madrid, and Chelsea and Fulham.
Wirtz Article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-florian-wirtz-dilemma
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Timestamps
00:00 – Intro
00:29 – Welcome and Weekend Overview
01:20 – Man City vs Liverpool Reaction
01:26 – Haaland’s New Abu Dhabi House
04:35 – Did Anything Matter? City Fans and the Siege Mentality
12:26 – Liverpool After the Red Card
17:29 – Is Wirtz the Problem?
23:02 – Man United vs Spurs
24:28 – Carrick’s United and the Pressing Trap
30:36 – Spurs’ Attacking Problem
32:31 – At Least Amorim Had a Plan
34:06 – Is Carrick’s Stock Falling?
35:32 – De Zerbi’s Spurs: Where Are the Patterns?
40:12 – Real Madrid vs Villarreal
41:30 – Vinicius and the Hair Pull
43:38 – Why Mourinho’s Real Madrid Don’t Work
48:55 – Freedom vs Structure: PSG and Man City
51:54 – Chelsea, Bournemouth and Fulham
58:13 – Outro
#manchesterunited #premierleague #manchestercity #mancity #liverpool #manunited #manutd #epl #chelsea #realmadrid #bournemouth #vinicius #football #footballpodcast #soccer #foryou #fyp
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Cristiano Ronaldo HAS to Be Done With Portugal After This
2026/10/08
Cristiano Ronaldo walked out of Portugal camp after being an unused sub against Norway, and Portugal won all their games under Jorge Jesus anyway. Patrick and Neel break down the Ronaldo fallout, first looks at France under Zidane and Germany under Klopp, and the chaos of AFCON qualifying, where Ghana and Nigeria are in serious trouble.
In this episode:
· Portugal's four wins under Jorge Jesus and what the numbers say
· Ronaldo's walkout, his statement and whether he can be reintegrated
· Zidane's France: a slow start, the Belgium comeback and a more aggressive approach
· Klopp's Germany: two near-separate squads and over 40 players used
· AFCON 2027 qualifying: the CAF format, Nigeria, Ghana and the host nations
Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
00:33 – Welcome and what's coming up
01:04 – Newsletter plug
03:00 – Portugal on the pitch under Jorge Jesus
03:36 – Jesus's career and tactical approach
06:02 – Why the Ronaldo clash was always on the cards
10:29 – The walkout and Ronaldo's statement
13:01 – Can Ronaldo be reintegrated?
17:27 – France under Zidane
29:35 – Germany under Klopp
32:59 – AFCON qualifying
33:53 – The CAF format explained
34:53 – Nigeria's struggles
40:46 – Host nations and stadium concerns
#ronaldo #cr7 #portugal #football #soccer #footballpodcast #soccerpodcast #zidane #france #germany #klopp #podcast #foryou #fyp
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Why the Premier League HAS Kick Out Man City
2026/10/05
Ted is back from holiday to give his full take on the Manchester City charges: what punishment actually makes sense, whether titles can be undone, and why the appeal's central defense doesn't hold up. They also run the fantasy logistics of an actual City squad auction.
Then they turn to the Premier League as it resumes: hot seats for Pierre Sage and Roberto De Zerbi, Crystal Palace's ugly underlying numbers, Florian Wirtz's rocky start at Liverpool, what Alonso is building at Chelsea, and growing noise around Michael Carrick's job. They close with the players they're most excited about: Alexander Isak, Charalampos Kostoulas, and Brighton's latest veteran reclamation project.
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Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
01:44 – The crime wasn't spending money, it was how they fought the charges
10:12 – The philosophy of punishment: can any of this actually be undone?
17:25 – Ted's case for expelling City from the Premier League and EFL entirely
20:29 – The fantasy auction: redistributing City's squad across Europe
28:38 – Appeal update, and why the Abu Dhabi funding defense doesn't hold up
32:21 – What they actually think will happen next
34:51 – Moving on to the Premier League proper
35:16 – Hot seats: Pierre Sage and Roberto De Zerbi under pressure
37:06 – Crystal Palace's ugly underlying numbers and shrinking margin for error
41:06 – Florian Wirtz, his struggles at Liverpool, and the Naby Keita comparison
44:50 – Chelsea: what is Alonso actually trying to build?
45:27 – Michael Carrick, Man United, and the Antonio Conte speculation
48:32 – Aston Villa's alarming numbers across the board
51:06 – Breakout watch: Alexander Isak, Kostoulas, and Brighton's "rejuvenation machine"
#mancity #premierleague #manchestercity #epl #114 #haaland #efl #pepguardiola #mcfc #football #footballplayer #soccer #soccerpodcast #footballanalysis #podcast #fyp #foryou
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Roma, Dortmund and Lazio: Contenders or Pretenders?
2026/10/01
Are Borussia Dortmund, Roma and Lazio genuine contenders or early season pretenders? Patrick and Hayden dig into the numbers behind three overlooked sides making noise around Europe.
Dortmund are top of the Bundesliga with four wins from four, but do they have the quality to challenge Bayern? Roma lead Serie A with the best goal difference after five games, so what are they doing differently, and where could they strengthen to catch Inter? And Lazio have started well on the pitch under Gattuso while their fans boycott home games, so how much of that start is sustainable?
Over on Patreon this week: top wingers who haven't hit their level yet. Sign up for a bonus episode every week plus behind the scenes footage.
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Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
03:14 – Lazio: Gattuso, the Fan Boycott and a Hot Start
05:12 – Lazio's Summer Window and Overperformance
07:09 – Can Lazio's High Press Last?
15:46 – Dortmund: Top of the Bundesliga
19:00 – Dortmund vs Bayern: What the Numbers Say
25:11 – Dortmund's Ceiling Raisers and Young Players
26:34 – Roma: Top of Serie A
29:04 – Roma: The Most Legit Title Contender
38:13 – Roma's Champions League Test
42:25 – Outro
#football #bundesliga #seriea #lazio #roma #dortmund #borussiadortmund #soccer #footballanalysis #footballpodcast #soccerpodcast
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Man City Reportedly Guilty on 114 Charges: What Should Happen Next?
2026/09/28
Man City have reportedly been found guilty on 114 of 115 charges. The verdict hasn't been officially announced, but the reports point to a punishment that could reshape the Premier League. Patrick and Neel break down what comes next.
In this episode:
· What the charges cover and why the obstruction charges may be the hardest to deny
· How the case compares with Everton, Chelsea, Derby, Calciopoli and a Belarusian title scandal
· Why City can't go to CAS, and how the appeal timeline works
· Points deductions, fines, compensation claims and what the hosts think should happen
· How the UAE and UK politics could complicate the punishment
· Why the "red cartel" defense doesn't hold up
Then we turn to PSG, sixth in Ligue 1 after a slow start. Is it the usual early-season wobble or something more serious? We look at the pressing problems, the transfer window and what the numbers say.
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Timestamps
00:00 – Intro
01:41 – Man City Reportedly Found Guilty: The Charges Explained
03:12 – Where Do We Start? Points, Fines and the Title Question
05:33 – Precedents: Everton, Derby and Calciopoli
08:06 – Chelsea Self-Reported, City Didn't
11:05 – Staggered Points Deductions: The Belarus Example
15:05 – Relegation Clauses and Selling Assets
17:48 – The Lawyers Behind the Case
19:07 – Appeals, Panels and the Timeline
20:58 – The UAE, the UK Government and Scorched Earth
24:01 – What Should Happen to Man City?
30:35 – The "Red Cartel" Defence
34:24 – City Players Under Scrutiny and a Haaland Joke
35:32 – Mancini, Guardiola's Brother and Other Red Flags
37:13 – PSG: Why Are They Sixth in Ligue 1?
38:09 – PSG's Defensive and Pressing Problems
39:46 – PSG's Transfer Window
42:07 – Ferran Torres and the Attacking Revamp
44:27 – Is PSG's Slow Start a Real Problem?
48:53 – What's Next: Roma and India vs Brazil
49:36 – Outro
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The Biggest Surprises of the Premier League (So Far)
2026/09/24
The international break has given us just enough games to start drawing real conclusions. Patrick and Hayden dig into the Premier League's biggest early surprises: Liverpool's Isak-dependent attack and Iraola's low-block problem, Newcastle's teething issues as they try to build a possession identity under Jaissle, and Brian Brobbey's remarkable start at Sunderland, including his hat-trick against Manchester City.
Plus, on Patreon this week: Chelsea's strange approach under Alonso, Aston Villa's early struggles, and another big Premier League striker.
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0:00 – Intro
1:06 – Liverpool: Isak Carrying the Goals, Can They Break Down Low Blocks?
18:21 – Newcastle: Growing Pains Under a New Possession Identity
29:41 – Brian Brobbey: Sunderland's Breakout Striker
38:28 – Patreon Preview (Chelsea, Aston Villa) + International Break Chat
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Did Brighton's Press Finally Crack Arsenal's Defense?
2026/09/21
Man City stay perfect with a 5-3 win over Sunderland, but they conceded 3.6 xG, their worst defensive game in over a decade. We break down whether Maresca's expansive approach is a fixable balance issue or a real problem. Arsenal get thumped 3-0 at Brighton, and we dig into whether the press actually cracked their defense or exposed something else. Real Madrid lose the Madrid derby to Atletico, and Mourinho's project looks shakier than ever. Plus Leeds and Brentford quick hits, Chelsea's midfield mess, and our verdict on Tottenham vs Man United: who should actually be more worried?
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Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
00:29 – Welcome and banter
01:34 – Man City survive Sunderland 5-3, but the numbers are ugly
12:03 – Arsenal thumped 3-0 at Brighton
24:30 – Real Madrid lose the Madrid derby to Atletico
34:57 – Leeds and Brentford quick hits
36:33 – Chelsea's midfield problem
41:07 – Tottenham or Man United: who should panic more?
49:47 – Outro
#premierleague #arsenal #manchestercity #manchesterunited #tottenham #realmadrid #atleticomadrid #chelsea #football #soccer #fyp #foryou #footballpodcast #soccerpodcast #podcast
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Episode 220 - The 6 Best Transfers You Missed This Summer
2026/09/17
The best transfers you haven't heard about from the summer. Patrick and Neel each bring three under the radar signings, from young wingers hoping to break into the Bundesliga to a PSG cast off who could be one of the best value moves of the window.
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Timestamps:
00:00 – Introduction
01:53 – Leo Sauer to Stuttgart
09:00 – Afonso Moreira to Bayer Leverkusen
16:43 – Rocco Reitz to RB Leipzig
23:08 – Lee Kang-in to Atletico Madrid
29:47 – Franjo Ivanovic to Lens
36:09 – Troy Parrott to Real Betis
40:09 – Neel's Writing and Upcoming Transfer Grades
42:13 – Outro
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Man United Are Exactly What We Thought They Were
2026/09/14
Manchester United had a two-man advantage for 70 minutes against Manchester City and still couldn't find a way through. Patrick and Ted break down why United's attacking patterns keep failing them, dig into Ted's set piece, transition, and open play framework, and cover Tottenham's scoreless start, Arsenal surviving a scare against Sunderland, Hull's surprising form, Villa's midfield problems, and whether Liverpool should sell Florian Wirtz back to Bayern Munich.
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Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
00:24 – Manchester Derby: Man United waste a man advantage
04:25 – Ted's set piece, transition, open play framework
08:05 – PGMOL's refereeing problems
09:17 – Tottenham still haven't scored a goal
14:29 – Hull's surprising early form
19:37 – Arsenal survive a scare against Sunderland
26:34 – Aston Villa's midfield crisis
32:10 – Should Liverpool sell Florian Wirtz?
34:38 – Bournemouth, Brighton, and fun fixtures ahead
38:44 – Betting update and sign-off
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Champions League Takeaways: Arsenal Have a Gyökeres Problem
2026/09/10
The Champions League is back. Patrick and Hayden break down the opening round of the league phase.
Real Madrid beat Inter Milan 2-1, but the performance raises real questions about their defensive cohesion in transition, especially in wide areas. Arsenal cruise past Napoli on over 4 xG, though Viktor Gyokeres' fit up front is still an open question. Liverpool see off a well-organised Atletico Madrid side that caused real problems in behind their back line.
Plus: Aston Villa's promising first half against Club Brugge, Manchester City's Erling Haaland problem, and rampant starts from Barcelona and PSG.
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Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
00:26 – Real Madrid vs Inter Milan
04:08 – Real Madrid's Wide Defending Problems
14:42 – Arsenal vs Napoli
23:59 – The Gyokeres Question
28:31 – Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid
31:31 – Van Dijk's Decline
37:34 – Quick Hits: Aston Villa, Man City, Barcelona, PSG, Bayern
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These 4 Teams Are the Only REAL Champions League Contenders
2026/09/07
The Champions League is back and the new format has thrown up total chaos, meaning almost anyone can go through. Patrick and Ted break down where the early betting value is, why Man United might have landed the toughest league phase schedule in the competition, and why Como are the most fun longshot in Europe. Then it's onto the Premier League weekend: Arsenal ground down Chelsea without ever looking rattled, Spurs were boring in the best possible way against Forest, and Manchester United's identity questions are back.
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00:00 – Intro00:50 – Champions League preview 01:41 – League phase format and last season's Premier League dominance02:44 – Pot four chaos: Saba, Slovan Bratislava, and Como05:55 – Marquee fixtures: Barcelona vs PSG and Arsenal vs Bayern09:24 – Man United's brutal Champions League and Premier League double schedule10:20 – Premier League power check: Liverpool's depth problem12:14 – Man City's tough schedule and possession issues14:45 – The Italian question: Inter, Napoli, and Roma16:2800:00 – Intro00:50 – Champions League preview kicks off01:41 – New league phase format and last season's Premier League dominance03:09 – Pot four chaos: Saba, Slovan Bratislava, and Como05:55 – Marquee fixtures: Barcelona vs PSG and Arsenal vs Bayern09:24 – Man United's brutal Champions League and Premier League double schedule10:20 – Premier League power check: Liverpool's depth problem12:14 – Man City's tough schedule and possession issues14:27 – The Italian question: Inter, Napoli, and Roma16:28 – The hardest and easiest league phase schedules18:09 – Early season betting strategy and where the value is20:07 – Why Fulham's betting lines have flipped24:39 – Switching to the Premier League weekend24:46 – Arsenal grind past Chelsea's early lead: Havertz's masterclass and Solis's breakout35:39 – Spurs' newfound defensive solidity vs Nottingham Forest38:09 – Manchester United's identity crisis and the Michael Carrick question42:18 – Weekend rundown: Fulham, Man City, Brighton vs Leeds, and Liverpool44:31 – Fulham's chaotic, fun new identity46:18 – Crystal Palace and the Adam Wharton puzzle47:45 – Wrap up and what's coming this week
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Winners And Losers Of The Summer Transfer Window
2026/09/02
Patrick and Ted wrap up the entire summer transfer window, going club by club through who actually improved their squad, who overpaid, and who's already in trouble two games into the season.
Chelsea spent over 400 million and still turned a profit, while Spurs spent a fortune on players Ted and Patrick mostly like and still can't win a game. Man City loaded up on midfielders, Liverpool came away with real gaps after missing on several targets including a late run at Cody Gakpo, and Arsenal ended the window looking like the team nobody actually caught. They also work through the promoted clubs, the windows that missed completely, and the few teams who found real value shopping outside the usual markets.
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Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro: Wrapping Up The Summer Window
00:50 – The Chelsea Briefing And The Collapsed Enzo Deal
04:42 – Did Anyone Actually Catch Arsenal
07:45 – Man City's Big Spending On Midfielders
17:01 – Liverpool's Missed Targets And The Gakpo Interest
26:03 – Chelsea's Profitable, Well Run Window
36:18 – Tottenham's Baffling Overpays
45:40 – Newcastle's New Era Under Jaslee
47:53 – Aston Villa's Surprisingly Solid Turnaround
50:02 – Bournemouth's Quiet Quality Window
51:40 – Promoted Clubs: Ipswich, Coventry, And Hull
56:24 – The Worst Windows: Juventus, Brighton, Fulham, Everton
59:18 – Who Found The Value: Forest, Barcelona, And Arsenal's Solis Deal
1:05:10 – Outro And The Variance Betting Wait List
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What It ACTUALLY Takes for Promoted Sides to Stay in the EPL (Ft. Ali from NTT20)
2026/08/26
What does it actually take for a promoted team to survive in the Premier League? Ali Maxwell of the Not the Top 20 podcast joins the show for a special crossover episode looking at the entire English football pyramid, not just the top of it. From the "pepification" of the Championship to why defense wins promotion out of League Two, Ali and HVB trace how teams build themselves up the divisions, then ask what it takes for Coventry, Ipswich and Hull to actually stick around at the top.
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Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
00:24 – Welcome Ali
01:06 – The "pepification" of the Championship
06:45 – Are Championship playmakers undervalued?
08:14 – Physicality and recruitment trade-offs in the EFL
12:34 – How analytics have trickled down the pyramid
13:40 – Championship vs. League Two: a different sport
16:02 – Why defense wins promotion in League Two
22:16 – The jump from League Two to League One
23:16 – Birmingham, Ipswich and building for League One
24:38 – Cardiff, Lincoln City and League One's ceiling
29:14 – Coventry, Ipswich, Hull: the long road to the Premier League
30:49 – Why every promoted team runs the same transfer playbook
32:15 – Ranking Coventry, Ipswich and Hull's survival chances
37:49 – Frank Lampard's tactical evolution at Coventry
40:21 – Why the existing Premier League teams matter most
42:18 – The financial gap and football's "two jumps"
45:11 – Manager continuity: the blueprint for staying up
48:04 – Closing thoughts
#premierleague #epl #efl #eflchampionship #coventry #ipswichtown #pepguardiola #foryou #soccer #football #fyp #footballpodcast #podcast
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Podcast reviews
Read The Transfer Flow Podcast podcast reviews
Ghasenecz 2025/10/11
If you love the Prem, this pod is for you
It’s a very Prem focused pod without a lot of understanding of other leagues throughout Europe and the world.
NiviCompleo 2025/07/30
Top transfer podcast
Really enjoy the podcast, just a minor feedback item: the mic audio for Neel and Hayden is noticeably quieter than Patrick & Ted’s, so I have to keep ...
Jesse85B 2024/10/31
More PVS please
Love the pod, always loved Patrick’s takes sprinkled with his cynical humor. Ted is clearly intelligent but gets distracted easily lol more please!
Ant1787 2024/07/29
Wow
This is an incredible insight to the inner workings of data in sports and how transfers work. Super interesting!
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