
Advertise on podcast: The Hurdle Rate Podcast
Rating
4.6from
This podcast has
78 episodes
Language
EnglishPublisher
thehurdleratepodExplicit
No
Date created
2025/04/02
Latest episode
2026/10/20
Average duration
55 min.
Release period
8 days
Description
Join Matt, Ben, Jeff, and Tim for an entertaining and informative weekly podcast cutting through conventional wisdom on Bitcoin, investing, and macroeconomics. Every Wednesday, this forward-thinking team delivers unique perspectives and innovative insights that challenge mainstream financial narratives, empowering listeners to make more independent decisions for their corporate or personal financial lives. Is Bitcoin your hurdle rate? New episodes every Wednesday!
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Check latest episodes from The Hurdle Rate Podcast podcast
Bitcoin Fell, We Grew 6x | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 78
2026/10/20
In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down the $700 million SATS IPO, Strive’s first year as a public company, and growing from 5,886 to 36,818 Bitcoin through a bear market. They also discuss why SATS is a 15% fixed rate preferred junior to SATA, how the amplification engine was built, and what TradFi investors asked during a high yield selloff. The episode closes on the digital credit bubble and why Strive’s 18-month dividend reserve is stronger than it looks.
Here’s the latest with Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, Ben Werkman, Joe Burnett, and Adam Livingston.
Follow us on X: https://x.com/HurdleRatePod
All episodes now live: https://tnorth.com/shows/hurdle-rate/
Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:54 - Strive’s First Year
06:58 - 6x the Bitcoin in a Bear Market
14:40 - The Amplification Engine
22:18 - The Dream Bear Market
25:22 - Why SATS Is 15% Fixed
34:32 - Designing SATS
42:27 - Treasury Breakeven ARR
46:40 - The Digital Credit Bubble
55:54 - Pricing Through a High Yield Selloff
01:01:13 - What’s Your LTV?
01:06:30 - The 18-Month Dividend Reserve
True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).*
Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
Bitcoin Is Cheap. Amplify Now. | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 77
2026/10/06
In this week's Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down Strive's latest 2,000 Bitcoin purchase, a Q3 that delivered a 99% total return, and the new $500 million SATA repurchase facility. They also discuss the goal of pushing amplification above 60% while Bitcoin is under $100K, why the market is too focused on the downside, and why US capital markets are the major leagues. The episode closes with a recap of the Bitcoin Treasuries Conference and why Luke Gromen's "paper gold" comparison doesn't fit digital credit.
Here's the latest with Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, Adam Livingston, and Tim Kotzman.
Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:42 - Strive's Q3: 99% Total Return
07:56 - The $500M SATA Repurchase Facility
09:47 - Targeting 60% Amplification
11:23 - Managing Downside Risk
19:02 - Stop Fearing the Downside
25:43 - Think Bigger
32:58 - Why US Capital Markets Win
40:26 - Bitcoin Treasuries Conference Recap
47:11 - Bitcoiners vs. TradFi
53:47 - Luke Gromen's Digital Credit Confusion
True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).*
Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
All In On Bitcoin | The Hurdle Rate Podcast LIVE | Ep. 76
2026/09/29
The Hurdle Rate goes LIVE at the Bitcoin Treasuries Conference in New York, back where the Strive and Semler deal started a year ago. The panel looks back on that deal, which brought the two companies' roughly 6,000 and 5,000 Bitcoin together, and explains why getting bigger was what made SATA possible. Matt explains the game theory behind SATA's daily dividend now that Strategy is following suit, and why the two companies are playing different games. The panel also covers why Strive is aiming for total returns rather than Sharpe ratio, Matt's call for $500K Bitcoin by 2030, and what comes next for Bitcoin balance sheet companies.
Here's the latest with Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, Ben Werkman, and Joe Burnett.
Follow us on X: https://x.com/HurdleRatePod
All episodes now live: https://tnorth.com/shows/hurdle-rate/
Timestamps:
00:00 - One Year Since Semler
05:25 - The Game Theory of Daily Dividends
12:18 - Strategy Follows Suit
16:28 - Why Amplification Matters
23:43 - The Future of Bitcoin Balance Sheets
True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).*
Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
Growing Trust Grows Liquidity | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 75
2026/09/22
In this week's Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down Strive's latest 1,355 Bitcoin purchase, Bitcoin's breakout, and why short-term traders may miss the move. They also discuss how digital credit could reshape the next bull market, why liquidity is the clearest measure of trust, and what Michael Saylor and Warren Buffett teach about building balance-sheet companies. The episode closes on the affordability crisis and why Bitcoin may be the new American dream.
Here's the latest with Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, Ben Werkman, and Tim Kotzman.
Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:40 - Strive's Balance Sheet Growth
06:13 - Bitcoin's Breakout
08:23 - Warrants and Short-Term Trading
13:38 - Zoom Out and Stay in the Game
21:31 - Digital Credit Changes the Bull Run
23:09 - SATA Volume and 75 Dividends
26:00 - Liquidity Is Trust
32:03 - Why Digital Credit Isn't for Everyone
37:20 - Building Strategy's Liquidity Engine
41:49 - Lessons From Saylor and Buffett
50:04 - The Return of Balance Sheet Companies
51:45 - Affordability and Bitcoin
True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).*
Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
Podcasters Per Share | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 74
2026/09/15
This week on The Hurdle Rate: Adam Livingston joins Strive as VP of Investments, Strategy buys back $139 million of STRC with stretch back near 99, and Strive adds 469 Bitcoin at an average cost of $77,954 while hitting an all-time high market cap of $2.75 billion. Jeff makes the case that trust is the real infrastructure of capital markets, and why Bitcoin makes that trust legible. We get into the Clarity Act, AI doomerism, and why the crew thinks the frontier labs are using fear to build a moat ahead of their IPOs. Matt takes macro with the 10-year touching 5%, what a short-term Bitcoin flush would actually look like, and why it would be the dream setup. We close with a capital markets recap and Strive's one-year anniversary.
Here's the latest with Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, Ben Werkman, Adam Livingston, and Tim Kotzman.
Follow us on X: https://x.com/HurdleRatePod
All episodes now live: https://tnorth.com/shows/hurdle-rate/
Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:17 - Adam Livingston Joins Strive
08:52 - Trust as Capital Markets Infrastructure
19:48 - The Amplified Bitcoin Story and SATA
22:44 - Building Through the Bear Market
24:54 - An Outsider's View of Strive
28:35 - The Clarity Act and Regulatory Trust
36:23 - AI Doomerism and the Messy Middle
45:03 - Don't Let the Ladder Get Pulled Up
51:28 - Macro: The 10-Year Touches 5%
55:27 - What a Bitcoin Flush Would Look Like
1:01:46 - Capital Markets Recap
True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).*
Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
The Billion Dollar Wall | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 73
2026/09/08
In this week's Hurdle Rate, the crew discusses SATA hitting $999 million outstanding, Strategy doubling its STRC repurchase facility to $2 billion, and Strive adding another 1,000+ Bitcoin. Ben breaks down the art and science of running the desk and why amplification stays on. Matt makes the case that we've never seen a bull market with a perpetual preferred model in place. We also get into executive comp and shareholder alignment, and close on macro: what happens if the 10-year breaks 7%.
Here's the latest with Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, Ben Werkman, and Tim Kotzman.
Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:20 - SATA Nears $1 Billion
07:10 - Strive's Flywheel and Amplification
09:34 - Strategy's Push to Get STRC Back to 100
12:12 - The Art and Science of Capital Markets
15:33 - The First Bull Market With Perpetual Preferreds
17:44 - ASST Volume Up 9.7x in Three Weeks
20:00 - Competition and the Digital Gold Rush
26:55 - What Saylor Is Really Like
30:01 - Executive Comp and Shareholder Alignment
48:21 - Macro: What If the 10-Year Hits 7%?
59:22 - Private Credit Risk in Insurance
True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).*
Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
Building on Digital Credit | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 72
2026/09/01
In this week's Hurdle Rate, the crew unpacks a market that has come roaring back to life, from Strategy returning as a Bitcoin buyer at 0% net leverage to Strive growing its stack 14.4% in two weeks to 23,156 Bitcoin. Jeff brings back lessons from Bitcoin Asia, where investors are building structured finance on top of Bitcoin and digital credit faster than the US, and we dig into why STRC hasn't snapped back to par, how amplification and liquidity have to be earned rather than dialed in, and why Strategy's balance sheet may be the most misunderstood credit story in the market. We then take on MSCI's proposed exclusion of digital asset treasury companies and why it would effectively make index providers investment advisers, before closing on macro: fiscal dominance, why long-end yields go higher whether the Fed hikes or cuts, and why this is a backdrop Bitcoin has never seen.
Here's the latest with Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, Ben Werkman, and Tim Kotzman.
Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:29 - Lessons from Bitcoin Asia
15:37 - Strive Grows to 23,156 Bitcoin
17:44 - Strategy Returns as a Buyer
19:22 - Why STRC Hasn't Hit Par
23:28 - Strategy's Zero Net Leverage
33:41 - The MSCI Fight
47:07 - Macro: Jackson Hole and Yields
53:29 - A Backdrop Bitcoin Has Never Seen
59:44 - The Natural Rate on Long Bonds
True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).*
Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
Liquidity Is The Moat | Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 71
2026/08/25
Digital Credit Is The Product | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 70
2026/08/18
In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew reacts to Strategy’s latest investor Q&A and breaks down why the company is prioritizing STRC, building cash reserves, and treating Bitcoin as flexible capital. We dig into why Bitcoin has held firm despite Strategy selling, the Coldcard self-custody exploit, and broader market stress, and what that resilience could signal about the bear market. The conversation then turns to NVIDIA’s massive structured-finance deal, how the company is lending its balance sheet and creditworthiness to accelerate OpenAI’s infrastructure buildout, and what it reveals about the growing convergence of AI, credit, and capital markets. We close with OranjeBTC’s DIGY11 ETF and the expansion of Bitcoin-backed digital credit into Brazil.
Here's the latest with Tim Kotzman, Matt Cole, Joe Burnett, and Ben Werkman.
0:00 - Welcome Back to The Hurdle Rate
2:26 - Strategy Q&A: Bitcoin and Digital Credit
11:27 - Bitcoin Treasury Companies Face a Stress Test
13:15 - Is Michael Saylor Buying High and Selling Low?
17:00 - MSCI and Bitcoin Treasury Companies
20:08 - Understanding Amplified Bitcoin Volatility
30:45 - The Macro Backdrop and Bitcoin’s Next Move
35:44 - NVIDIA’s Massive OpenAI Financing Deal
53:11 - OranjeBTC’s DIGY11 ETF
Follow us on X: https://x.com/HurdleRatePod
All episodes now live: https://tnorth.com/shows/hurdle-rate/
True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [http://www.sec.gov).*
Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
What's New With Strive? | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 69
2026/08/10
In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down Strive’s Q2 results, including a 23.9% Bitcoin yield and how the company’s incentive structure supports its broader Bitcoin treasury strategy. We then turn to Strive’s refreshed website and redesigned Bitcoin Dashboard, exploring how the new tools improve transparency, make key treasury metrics easier to understand, and give investors a clearer view of the company’s performance.
Here's the latest with Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, Ben Werkman, and Joe Burnett.
Timestamps:
00:00 Welcome Back to The Hurdle Rate
00:47 Strive’s Q2 Results
05:52 The Redesigned Strive Website
10:56 Treasury Dashboard Walkthrough
50:11 Closing Thoughts
True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [http://www.sec.gov).*
Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
Look For The Helpers | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 68
2026/08/04
In this week's Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down the Coldcard self custody exploit and how the Bitcoin community responded to it, before turning to what the event revealed about how few people understood the cryptography they were relying on. We dig into the yen hitting its weakest level in forty years and what a fragile treasury market means for everyone holding dollars, Strategy's
decision to sell Bitcoin and build a cash reserve, and the game theory behind buybacks. We close with a deeper look at the traditional capital that is starting to fill gaps this market used to fill on its own.
Here's the latest with Tim Kotzman, Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, and Ben Werkman.
Timestamps
00:00 - Welcome To The Hurdle Rate
02:03 - The Weekend That Tested Self Custody
03:34 - Look For The Helpers
07:48 - Why A White Hat Could Not Have Saved This
13:11 - A Humbling Event For The Whole Market
17:09 - What People Did Not Understand About Cryptography
20:58 - Bitcoin Recovers From The Drop
23:24 - The Yen At Forty Year Lows
28:38 - Who Actually Buys Treasuries Now
33:48 - Fragile Markets And What Props Them Up
36:42 - Strategy Sells Bitcoin And Builds Reserves
41:33 - The Game Theory Of Buybacks
42:37 - Traditional Capital Fills The Gap
46:38 - What The Clarity Act Would Open Up
Follow us on X: https://x.com/HurdleRatePod
All episodes now live: https://tnorth.com/shows/hurdle-rate/
We’re Playing For Trillions | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 67
2026/07/31
Episode 67: We’re Playing For Trillions
In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down Strategy’s Q2 2026 earnings call and its focus on returning STRC to par while building a trillion-dollar digital credit market. We explore why liquidity, simplicity, and preserving Bitcoin’s upside remain central to the strategy, along with the risks of borrowing against Bitcoin or using derivatives for short-term cash flow. Matt and Ben share lessons from meeting investors in Hong Kong, while Jeff explains how Strive is working to differentiate itself within the insurance industry. We close with a discussion on bringing Bitcoin to traditional institutions and the Federal Reserve’s shift away from heavy forward guidance.
Here’s the latest with Tim Kotzman, Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, and Ben Werkman.
Timestamps:
00:00 - Welcome to The Hurdle Rate
01:30 - Why Digital Credit Is a Trillion-Dollar Opportunity
03:00 - Consolidating Liquidity Around STRC
07:30 - Building an Ecosystem Around Digital Credit
10:30 - Reading the Market and Maintaining the 12% Dividend
13:30 - STRC, Short Interest, and Minimizing Volatility
16:30 - The Risks of Borrowing and Derivative Strategies
22:30 - MSTR’s Long-Term Leverage and Holding Period
24:00 - Bringing Digital Credit to Hong Kong Investors
30:00 - Why Strive Rejects the “DAT” Label
33:00 - Strive’s Balance Sheet Growth Despite Bitcoin’s Decline
34:30 - Bringing Bitcoin to Wall Street
42:00 - Fed Policy and Kevin Warsh’s Communication Strategy
45:00 - Closing Thoughts
Follow us on X: https://x.com/HurdleRatePod
All episodes now live: https://tnorth.com/shows/hurdle-rate/
Disclaimer: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. We are not financial advisors, and you should consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. All investments involve risks, and you are responsible for your own decisions.
True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).*
Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
Episode 66: Social Investing
2026/07/21
In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down the slow summer market and strategy's focus on building up its balance sheet to improve credit quality. We explore how Strategy and Strive are navigating macro uncertainty, steadying operations, and executing consistent Bitcoin buys through the summer doldrums. We also dig into the derivatives market, short interest dynamics for ASST and SATA, and how lending out shares ultimately impacts corporate dividend payments and tax treatment. We close with a broader discussion on structured finance, the emergence of AI agents in retail investing, and the long-term potential of building durable digital credit structures to onboard massive institutional capital into the Bitcoin era.
Here’s the latest with Tim Kotzman, Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, and Ben Werkman.
Timestamps:
00:00 – Welcome Back to the Hurdle Rate
11:09 – Trading Volumes: MSTR vs. IBIT
12:33 – Analysis of Short Interest & Derivatives Markets
16:04 – Tax Treatments for Lending Shares & Manufactured Dividends
20:10 – Short Squeezes & Conserved Energy in Equities
28:49 – Robinhood Retail AI Trading Agents
30:00 – Deconstructing Chamath’s Crypto Tweet
31:59 – Unlocking Institutional & Corporate Demand for Bitcoin
32:52 – Private Credit Markets, Structured Finance & Insurers
51:50 – Step Function Improvements in Leverage Solutions
56:28 – Battle Testing Management Teams & Risk-First Approaches
Follow us on X: https://x.com/HurdleRatePod
All episodes now live: https://tnorth.com/shows/hurdle-rate/
Disclaimer: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. We are not financial advisors, and you should consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. All investments involve risks, and you are responsible for your own decisions.
True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).*
Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
Episode 65: Shifting Institutional
2026/07/14
Shifting Institutional | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 65
In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew opens with updates from Strategy, Strive, and the digital credit market before recapping the major developments from Q2. We cover Strategy’s growing cash reserve, market feedback, and the evolution of Bitcoin-backed credit. We also explore institutional adoption, structured products, AI, intellectual property, and the limits of government intervention in the debt crisis. We close it off with thoughts on outdated financial systems and Bitcoin’s expanding role in traditional capital markets. Here’s the latest with Tim Kotzman, Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, and Ben Werkman.
Time Stamps:
0:00 Welcome to The Hurdle Rate
5:19 Digital Credit During Quiet Markets
8:01 Strategy Rebuilds Its Cash Reserve
11:51 Market Uncertainty And Bullish Catalysts
17:21 STRC And Convertible Debt
19:37 AI, The Fed, And Protecting IP
24:14 The U.S. Debt Crisis
31:39 Bitcoin-Backed Institutional Credit
35:30 Building Structured Bitcoin Products
43:12 Growing Institutional Bitcoin Interest
48:02 Stablecoins And Outdated Settlements
53:05 Bitcoin Stewardship And Constructive Engagement
58:29 Closing Thoughts
Follow us on X: https://x.com/HurdleRatePod
All episodes now live: https://tnorth.com/shows/hurdle-rate/
Disclaimer: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. We are not financial advisors, and you should consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. All investments involve risks, and you are responsible for your own decisions. True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).* Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
Episode 64: Building The Track Record
2026/07/07
Episode 64: Building The Track Record
In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down Strategy’s sale of Bitcoin to fund dividend payments and why the market’s reaction may signal growing confidence in Bitcoin as a liquid capital asset. We explore how Strategy and Strive are using balance sheet management, digital credit, and capital markets access to keep their models moving through volatility. We also dig into SATA’s short interest, the idea of a “controlled burn,” and how Strive is thinking about protecting shareholders while allowing the market to function. We close with a broader discussion on patience, positioning, and building durable structures in the Bitcoin capital markets era.
Here's the latest with Tim Kotzman, Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, and Ben Werkman.
Time Stamps:
00:00 Welcome to the Hurdle Rate
03:20 Why Selling Bitcoin Helps STRC Confidence
05:37 Matt Cole on Strategy’s Long-Term Move
09:05 Bitcoin Absorbs the Sale
13:53 Bitcoin Liquidity Compared to Real Estate
17:29 Why the Model Still Works Without Capital Markets
19:03 Bitcoin CAGR + Balance Sheet Strength
23:14 Strive’s Dividend Math Compared to Strategy
27:40 SATA Short Interest + “Controlled Burn”
34:20 Jeff Explains Controlled Burns and Wildfire Incentives
41:56 Why Strive May Let SATA Trade Freely
44:05 Patience, Positioning, and Market Discipline
45:07 Closing Thoughts
Podcast reviews
Read The Hurdle Rate Podcast podcast reviews
January2017 2026/07/15
Matt and Jeff - why I listen
Matt and Jeff provide fantastic information. That’s why I listen. Skip the rest.
Sambodia2 2025/07/12
Must Listen
If you want to invest in bitcoin treasury companies or MSTR.
Hawk:1 2025/06/22
Great listen!
Great conversation with really bright guys and moves along quickly!
jstanksb 2025/04/08
We’re going to the future, get in
Let’s gooo! These guys are the best. Pioneers. Love to see my generation taking the reins.
je crowe 2025/04/07
Insightful
Enjoyed the first couple. Keep it up.
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