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This week we explain why strategic forecasting is a top business exposure for 2027: companies need to connect geopolitical trends to long-range goals, rather than react to every headline. They discuss how to filter signals, recognize when events are not relevant, improve analysis, and use forecasting methods to guide decisions on risks and opportunities.

In this episode, Ross Hill and Dr. Trestan Wheat explore the evolving landscape of geopolitical risks, narrative warfare, and the importance of advanced intelligence analysis for corporations navigating complex global environments.

Part II of our Top Ten Geopolitical Risks for Businesses in 2027 explores the evolving landscape of geopolitics, technology, and supply chains, emphasizing AI's role in power dynamics and infrastructure competition. Reports referenced in this episode: 2027.insightforward.co.uk AI is creating a new balance of power https://insightforward.substack.com/p/ai-is-creating-a-new-balance-of-power?r=5lx1dg Who sets the speed of AI https://insightforward.substack.com/p/who-sets-the-speed-of-ai?r=5lx1dg

Part one of this year's Top Ten Geopolitical Risks for Business in 2027. We explore the evolving landscape of geopolitics and its integration into business strategy. Ross Hill and Dr. Treston Wheat discuss how companies must adapt to geopolitical exposures, the importance of geostrategy, and the systemic nature of current global risks. Read the report here: Top Ten Geopolitical Risks for Business in 2027 | Insight Forward

This episode explores the evolving dynamics of US-China relations, the concept of Thucydides Trap, and the potential flashpoints for conflict such as Taiwan. We analyze historical analogies, strategic differences, and the future of global power competition. Key topics Thucydides Trap and its relevance to US-China relationsHistorical analogies of great power conflictsChina's strategy for avoiding conflict and seeking primacyThe significance of Taiwan in US-China tensionsThe impact of demographic and economic factors on China's military capabilitiesChina's approach to multilateral institutions and international normsThe role of middle powers and regional actors in the emerging multipolar worldPotential indicators of conflict escalation or de-escalation

In this episode, Ross Hill and Dr. Treston Wheat analyze the upcoming US-China summit, exploring the shifting landscape of global power, legitimacy in international order, and the strategic moves of middle powers amid rising multipolarity. The topic of this week's episode is covered in more depth in our Strategic Memo from 17 September 2026 - read it for free here https://insightforward.substack.com/p/strategic-memo-06e?r=5lx1dg

In this episode, Ross Hill and Dr. Treston Wheat explore the future of conservative and populist ideologies across Europe and America, analyzing recent elections, political shifts, and the impact of populist storytelling on policy and public perception.

In this episode, Ross Hill and Dr. Treston Wheat analyze the current state of the United States' geopolitical and economic landscape, focusing on debt, trade wars, and long-term risks for businesses. They explore how US policies and global shifts impact international relations and business strategies.

In this episode, Ross Hill and Dr. Treston Wheat explore the evolving role of AI as a threat actor, the importance of storytelling in scenario planning, and the need for adaptive governance in AI development. They discuss how fictional intelligence (FICINT) can help us understand and prepare for potential AI-driven security threats.Read the related FICINT report here https://insightforward.substack.com/p/strategic-memo-15b?r=5lx1dg&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

In this episode, Ross Hill and Dr. Treston Wheat explore the evolving landscape of geopolitics, the impact of AI, and how corporations are becoming key geopolitical actors. They discuss frameworks for analysis, the challenges of modern geopolitics, and the need for adaptive strategies in a complex world.

In this episode, Ross Hill and Dr. Treston Wheat explore the complex interplay between AI, geopolitics, and multipolarity. They discuss how AI is transforming global power structures, supply chains, and strategic infrastructure, emphasizing the importance of understanding this co-evolution for businesses and policymakers.

In this episode, Ross Hill and Dr. Treston Wheat explore the complex ethical landscape of private security and intelligence. They discuss the importance of establishing industry-wide standards, legal considerations, and the impact of personal beliefs on security practices.

In this episode, Ross Hill and Dr. Treston Wheat explore the importance of foundational thinking, diverse sources of information, and metacognition in intelligence analysis and geopolitics. They discuss how personal frameworks influence understanding and decision-making in complex environments.

In this episode, we explore the future of intelligence analysis, security leadership, and the impact of AI on the industry. We discuss evolving skills, the importance of classical education, and how organizations can adapt to technological changes.

summary In this episode, we explore the nuanced differences between geopolitical exposure and risk, emphasizing how organizations can better understand and leverage these concepts for strategic advantage. We discuss frameworks, industry gaps, and practical examples to improve geopolitical analysis for business decision-making. Read the full whitepaper here https://insightforward.substack.com/p/exposure-is-not-risk?r=5lx1dg