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Thursday, November 5: The Vice President says the reason Republicans lost is the war, and Rush and Reagan put that claim to the test. The morning after Democrats won both the Senate and the House, the hosts grade their own signed picks in public. The ledger: Democrats flipped seven Senate seats and nearly thirty House districts, and neither host nailed the scale. Ohio went to Acton over Ramaswamy by about eight points, and the hosts set rules for partial and full credit. The blame fight: Vance points the finger at the war. Trump admits it angered voters but says he would do it again. The data: CNBC and NBC polls back Vance in part, but gas prices, inflation and immigration muddy the picture. The parody: A mock committee finds no one responsible. The motives: Is Vance giving an honest diagnosis or positioning for 2028? Whose post-mortem was more honest, Rush's or Reagan's? Cast your vote and tell us where you land. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

On Tuesday, November 3, the hosts put their own Election Day picks on trial, and gut and math both face the same scoring rules. Rush Lindell and Reagan sign the ledger on the record: right or wrong, winner and party, no hedging, no partial credit. They start with the ballot (435 House seats, 35 Senate seats, 36 governor races), then work through the races that will test them. Ohio: Ramaswamy vs. Acton gets a polling check, and Rush argues fundamentals over polls while Reagan pushes back. Texas and the Senate toss-ups bring Reagan's math against Rush's gut, with each naming what would prove them wrong. The 57 million early-vote figure gets audited, and the hosts find the tracker numbers are unofficial and turnout is not a result. Then come the pollsters they doubted, the House call, and a few jabs at election-night coverage. The verdict: gut is faster and braver, math is easier to correct, and nothing is scored until the count. Who wins your vote, gut or math? Cast your ballot in the listener vote and tell us why. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

On Thursday, October 29, Rush and Reagan put their midterm picks in ink, and they agree on only two Senate races. Reagan brings the math, Rush brings the gut, and every call goes on the record before Tuesday with no edits afterward. The baseline. Kalshi prices Democrats at about 64 percent to win Senate control. That is market pricing, not a poll or a forecast. The Senate map. Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Alaska and Kansas each get a pick and a one-sentence reason. Rush refuses to hedge, and Reagan admits Maine is her shakiest call. The hype. A parody Early Vote Hype Desk takes on early-ballot spin, while Reagan points out that Tuesday brings its own electorate. Ohio governor. Ramaswamy versus Acton sets fundamentals against a polling average. Whose map looks smarter? Listen, make your call, and cast your vote. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

Tuesday, October 27: the Fed is expected to hold rates Wednesday, but the real fight is whether Chairman Kevin Warsh hints at another hike. Rush Lindell and Reagan run the scorecard on a decision that reaches your mortgage, your 401(k) and your gas bill, just days before the midterms. Here is what they take on. First, the grade: does Rush deserve credit for calling the hold, or was it an easy pick? Second, the pain: September inflation hit 3.7%, and affordability is driving the vote. Third, the blame: the war, the Fed, or both. Fourth, December: is a hike prudent, or a betrayal of patience? Along the way, a clearly labeled fictional press conference where the chairman answers nothing. Thursday's GDP and PCE data arrive after the decision, and both hosts name the numbers that would flip their argument. Who won the scorecard? Cast your vote and tell us where you land. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

Thursday, October 22: The Fed is poised to sit on its hands days before the midterms, and every economist in the Reuters poll expects a December hike anyway. Rush and Reagan start by grading their own misses. They called a September cut, and the Fed hiked to 3.75-4%. Then they dig in. The data. September payrolls came in at 29,000 against an 84,000 forecast. Unemployment is 4.2%, wage growth is the slowest since May 2021, and gas is back at $4. GDP and PCE land next Thursday, Oct. 29. Warsh. Is his no-guidance style discipline or a communications problem? The hosts disagree, and CME FedWatch puts the odds of a hold at 72%. The committee. Williams, Jefferson and Bowman want more data, Kashkari wants another hike, and Goldman's Hatzius expects a pause followed by a December move. The verdict. They grade each other's December calls, and one host wins by a hair. A look at the Senate and House ratings follows. Does a silent Fed build credibility or just confuse people? Tell us which side you're on. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

On Tuesday, October 20, the ballots are in, and Rush Lindell and Reagan fight over whether early voting is a warning for Republicans or just people voting early. Real votes replace polls, and the hosts end by grading each other's reads. Here is what they dig into: Iowa: Day-one numbers show Democrats ahead, but a thin first day and a 23-point headline gap leave plenty to argue about. North Carolina and Georgia: North Carolina is well ahead of the last midterm, and Georgia passed 940,000 in-person ballots in week one. The volume is real. The party breakdown is missing. Texas: Dallas beat its 2024 day one, but one day in three counties can't speak for a whole state. The turn: Fewer Democratic mail requests and faster returns, per an NBC News analysis, make enthusiasm much harder to read for both sides. Who made the better case? Listen, pick your winner, and tell us where you landed. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

Thursday, October 15: Inflation just hit 3.7 percent, and the fight is over whether to blame Trump's war or Warsh's Fed. Rush Lindell and Reagan go through the scorecard and disagree about who owns the pain at the pump and the kitchen table. The number. September consumer prices beat the 3.6 percent forecast, and gasoline jumped 9.1 percent on the month. The war. The June ceasefire collapsed over Hormuz, and the hosts test the link from the strait to your gas tank. The votes. The Senate defeated the Iran withdrawal resolution on Sept. 24 while four Republicans crossed over, just weeks before the midterms. The Fed. The Oct. 28 meeting lands six days before Election Day, and neither a hike nor a hold comes cheap. Both hosts hand out final grades, and they are not close. Do you agree with them? Tell us where you land. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

On Tuesday, October 13, the House map is the story: is Cook Political Report spotting a real Democratic wave, or are the pundits just stampeding together? Rush Lindell and Reagan dig into Cook's October 9 update, which moved eighteen races and now projects a Democratic gain of nine to nineteen seats, or 224 to 234 in the chamber. Herd or math? Rush says raters copy each other. Reagan says the numbers and voter unhappiness do the work. The districts. They walk through the Iowa rematch, Pennsylvania, Michigan-10 and Virginia. The money. Republicans lead on cash, $89 million to $76 million, and on ad spending, yet Cook says it has not moved the needle so far. Jeffries. Is his claim that Democrats are on the verge of taking back control posturing, or does the range back him up? Then each host picks the five seats that decide the House, and both grade their lists a B-plus. You decide who wins. Tell us which five seats you would pick. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

On Thursday, October 8, Rush Lindell and Reagan tackle the question rattling Washington: do more than 700,000 early ballots across 30 states signal real trouble for Republicans, or just a skewed sample? They open with the headline numbers and what a pile that size can and can't tell you. Then they go state by state on Democratic ballot-request shares in Iowa, Pennsylvania, Maine and North Carolina, which are up from 2024. Here's the catch: in most of those states they're still below 2022, and a request is not a returned vote. Rush makes his case that early voters skew older and that Republicans often wait for Election Day. Reagan counters with months of summer polling showing a Democratic motivation edge, plus faster voting in Harris-backing areas of Virginia. Nevada and Michigan are too thin to call, since Michigan's 201,909 absentee returns come with no party breakdown. The verdict is a soft signal, not a wave, and the real test is whether later numbers keep leaning the same way. The hosts grade each other and land on a 7-7 tie. Who do you think won? Tell us what you're seeing in your state. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

On Tuesday, October 6, Rush Lindell and Reagan take on Pete Hegseth's plan to cut one in five generals and admirals, and ask whether it is a long-overdue shake-up or a purge. First, what Hegseth actually announced at Quantico, how the 20% breaks down, and why the Jan. 1 deadline for roughly 170 slots matters. Then, why Republican senators say they were blindsided and what they want in notice and transparency. Then, a parody, a Lear Capital sponsor read, and the competing price tags on the Iran war. Finally, why some Republicans are now campaigning against that war, what the $67B supplemental request means, and how the midterm damage scores out. Rush says accountability beats hurt feelings. Reagan can back a smaller brass, but not one nobody has explained. Both say to watch the list: who went, why, and whether the rules were applied evenly. Who's right? Weigh in, and tune in for the next episode. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

Thursday, October 1: Two dates three days apart, Friday's jobs report and Monday's Supreme Court opening, are fighting for control of the November conversation. Rush Lindell and Reagan grade their own Fed calls first. Rush earns a D-plus and Reagan a B for the right call with the wrong reasoning. Then they lay out what to expect from the September payroll number, with forecasts running from about 50,000 to 90,000 jobs and unemployment near 4.1%. The Oct. 27-28 FOMC meeting comes next, with futures pricing roughly a one-in-three chance of a hike. Reagan makes her case with a receipt: inflation at 3.4%, gasoline up more than 27% on the year, and a pump price near $4.30. Rush answers with the court docket, including climate liability, voting rules, and jury size. Then they swap sides and argue each other's case, with parody closing ads included. The verdict: the wallet is felt first, the courts get fought over longer, and the two dates are really one story. Who do you think moves voters more, the pump or the robes? Tell us, and be ready for Friday's number. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

This beat no longer re-quotes Rush's prior 'Texas stays red' line or re-stages the Cook Political Report toss-up move as fresh news — it briefly nods to the cold open's admission and treats the toss-up rating as already-established fact before moving to the early-voting deadline (October 19) and teasing three separate polls without naming them yet. The toss-up reclassification and the GOP-favored self-quote are now fully spent; the next beat must name and detail Marist, TPOR, and Big Data Poll rather than re-establishing the toss-up premise. In this episode, we cover Grading Ourselves: We Called This Wrong, Three Polls, One Story: Talarico Overtakes Paxton, Beyond the Toplines: Independents and the Generic Ballot, and more. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

New Hampshire just blew up the Senate map on Thursday, September 24 — Cook Political Report yanked Sununu-Pappas from Lean Democratic to Toss Up, and Rush Lindell and Reagan aren't letting that slide. This episode is the full seven-seat scorecard the show has been promising for weeks, ranking every race that decides whether Republicans keep their 53-47 majority. Rush and Reagan grade Alaska and Iowa first, then move into Ohio and the Paxton-Cornyn mixup in Texas before landing on that New Hampshire bombshell. Michigan and Maine get graded as quieter Democratic-leaning risks, and the hosts lock a final ranked order from safest to most vulnerable. The episode closes with dueling predictions: Rush bets New Hampshire flips first, Reagan bets Michigan. Both picks are on the record now — tune in next episode to see who's right, and let us know which seat you think flips first. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

Tuesday, September 22: Nate Silver just called the political forecasting industry asleep at the wheel — and Rush Lindell and Reagan put his brand-new FLIPR model on trial to see if he's right. This episode breaks down whether Silver's Senate and House projections actually hold up against the old guard, or if it's just a louder spreadsheet. Topics covered include the FLIPR model's Senate numbers versus prediction markets and Cook Political Report's toss-up list; the historical midterm precedent Silver leans on to argue for a Democratic wave; a head-to-head of three competing House forecasts and why they diverge so sharply; and the pivotal Cook downgrade on New Hampshire that undercuts Silver's 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell

Thursday, September 17: Rush and Reagan finally admit it on air — the Fed just hiked rates instead of delivering the cut they called for months, and Trump is not happy about it. The vote landed 12-0 for a quarter-point hike to 3.75-4%, the first increase since 2023, with 16 of 18 officials signaling more hikes ahead. This episode breaks down where the prediction went wrong, why Trump's trade-threat pressure campaign on the Fed didn't force the cave everyone expected, and what his real-time fury at Fed chair Warsh actually reveals about his leverage. Rush and Reagan also translate the decision into real numbers: mortgage rates near 7.37%, rising car prices, and what compounding credit card debt means heading into the holidays. They close by connecting the vote to the midterm mailers already hitting mailboxes, spun in opposite directions depending on who's sending them. No hedging, no spin — just the call, the miss, and the fallout. Tell us how you think households respond, and catch tomorrow's episode for what's next. 📣 We Want to Hear from You! - 📝 Submit a question Links Claim my Silver Offer https://go.heymato.com/rushlindell