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NAB Morning Call

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Rating
★★★★★
4.8
from
8 reviews
This podcast has
1663 episodes
Language
English
Publisher
Phil Dobbie
Explicit
No
Date created
2016/08/29
Latest episode
2026/10/02
Average duration
19 min.
Release period
2 days

Description

Start your day with the NAB Morning Call for the latest overnight key economic and market information straight from our team of expert market economists and strategists. This includes perspective on overnight news and market price action and the forces shaping movements in Australian and global markets in the days ahead. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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Weekend Edition: A Brighter Take On AI
2026/10/02
Friday 25th September 2026 Please note this communication is not a research report and has not been prepared by NAB Research analysts. Read the full disclaimer here. As artificial intelligence rapidly transforms from a speculative tech trend into the primary driver of global market returns, how are institutional investors actually positioning their capital for the road ahead? This Phil Dobbie sits down with Damien Webb, Chief Investment Officer for Brighter Super, fresh off an insightful trip to Silicon Valley meeting with frontier AI labs, quantum computing founders, and top academic minds. Damien shares why his boots-on-the-ground experience left him overwhelmingly optimistic about the tech supercycle—and why superannuation funds can't afford to sit on the sidelines. From the soaring commodity demand for copper and energy infrastructure to revolutionary medical breakthroughs in GLP-1 drugs and cancer treatments, how do institutional investors balance high-valuation risks against transformative upside? Is the ongoing surge in global bond yields the ultimate reality check for tech balance sheets? Tune in for a fascinating dive into portfolio construction, private equity opportunities, and what riding in an autonomous Waymo car reveals about our economic future! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
"Sacré-Cœur!
2026/10/01
Friday 2nd October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB France's escalating budget woes and fiscal watchdog criticism have sent sovereign bond markets into a tizzy, causing French-German yield spreads to widen sharply. On today's edition of the NAB Morning Call, Phil Dobbie and NAB's Ken Crompton break down these mixed global signals—from France's budget strain to rising US manufacturing prices and mortgage rates hitting 7.28%. Despite lower US Treasury yields following a brief flight to quality, the US dollar remains firm while crude oil rebounds above $102. The pair also examine Australia’s Financial Stability Review, falling job vacancies, and what today's key US Non-Farm Payrolls report means for upcoming Fed rate expectations. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
It's All About Inflation
2026/09/30
Thursday 1st October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Global financial markets are navigating a sharp divergence between the US and Europe, driven entirely by conflicting inflation trends. On today’s edition of the NAB Morning Call, Phil Dobbie speaks with NAB’s Skye Masters to unpack why resilient US economic data, cooler-than-expected Core PCE prints, and upward GDP revisions are supporting Wall Street, even as 10-year Treasury yields push toward 5.30%. In contrast, hot European inflation prints across Germany and France are weighing on sentiment and lifting ECB rate hike expectations. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar has slipped below 69.5 US cents following softer-than-forecast domestic inflation data, which has led markets to tone down expectations for back-to-back RBA rate hikes. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
RBA back on the narrow path
2026/09/29
Wednesday 30th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s unanimous decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.60%, market attention has shifted to Governor Michele Bullock’s post-meeting press conference. NAB's Taylor Nugent says her commentary hinted that the RBA may be returning to its "narrow path" balancing inflation control against labour market conditions, softening some of the hawkish expectations for follow-up hikes. Meanwhile, global bond yields continue their upward trend, pushing 30-year US Treasuries to multi-decade highs, as markets digest a softer US JOLTS job openings report, declining US consumer confidence, and European inflation updates. Looking ahead, today brings Australia's August CPI data alongside the US PCE inflation report and Chinese PMI reads. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Rates, bonds and oil – how high can they go
2026/09/28
Tuesday 29th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB As crude oil holds above $105 a barrel and US 10-year Treasury yields surge to 5.24%, markets are grappling with how much further central banks can push policy rates to restrain persistent inflation. On today’s podcast Phil talks with NAB Chief Economist Sally Auld ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate decision. Sally notes that while US growth resilience and structural Capex demand are driving global yields higher, Australia’s cooling PMIs and softening business survey data suggest the RBA is operating in a vastly different cyclical environment than its peers. The pair also examine Nvidia’s historic $150 billion share buyback, the US-China tariff cuts and key global data reads including US JOLTS and Canadian GDP. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Another open and shut case
2026/09/27
Monday 28th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Donald Trunp has knocked back Iran’s proposal that could have seen the Strait of Hormuz reopen within seven-days. Instead, the US President believes economic sanctions will ultimately have the desired outcome. So, does that mean oil prices will bounce higher this morning? NAB’s Ray Attrill says the volatility will continue, but news this morning suggesting talks are ongoing might temper any negative sentiment. It’s a busy week ahead with the RBA decision tomorrow, CPI middle of the week and payrolls data for the US. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Weekend edition: Living beyond the goats cheese curtain
2026/09/25
Friday 25th September 2026 Please note this communication is not a research report and has not been prepared by NAB Research analysts. Read the full disclaimer here. The hipsters live inside the goat’s cheese curtain before they start a family and move to the burbs in search of their quarter acre block. That’s the traditional pattern of life in Australia, but demographer Bernard Salt, from the Demographics Group, says major changes are afoot. Fertility rates of younger people are falling faster than expected, and people are living longer than forecast. It’s not an Australia-only phenomenon of course, but it brings forward the peak-human horizon. This week Bernard joins Phil to discuss how the changes are good news for Australia, but only if we have a plan. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The V Word
2026/09/24
Friday 25th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB The "V" word is firmly back on the agenda as geopolitical friction, soaring energy prices, and relentless sovereign yield pressures inject fresh ‘volatility’ across global markets. This morning Phil and NAB’s Taylor Nugent break down the forces driving crude oil back over $106 a barrel as Red Sea insurance premiums soar and Middle East tensions escalate. Meanwhile, sovereign bond markets continue their dramatic bear steepening amid a persistent chorus of hawkish Fed commentary and lukewarm Treasury buyback demand. Closer to home, Australian unemployment has jumped to 4.6% despite solid headline jobs growth, while NAB’s Q3 Business Survey reveals tightening margins and deteriorating trading conditions. After the announcement of a trade truce extension, will the Trump-Xi meeting today offer further geopolitical relief? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
PMIs push bond yields higher, AUD a victim
2026/09/23
Thursday 24th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB The US dollar and global bond yields have risen sharply. NAB’s Ray Attrill says a bit part of this was stronger than expected PMIs, particularly for the US. It shows demand isn’t falling, whilst oil supplies remain a concern. So much of a concern that the US is limiting diesel exports to shore-up its domestic supplies. The US is attempting to bring down longer dated yields with a $6 billion buyback today. Phil asks, if it didn’t work last time, what will be different now? Australian labour market data is out later today, but the path for the RBA already seems to be set. And President Xi sets foot in the US today; an extension to the moratorium on tariffs is the best that can be hoped for. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Trump talks oil down
2026/09/22
Wednesday 23rd September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Oil is now trading below $100 after President Trump says talk have gone well with Iran during the UN General Assembly in New York, with more talks scheduled I’n the near future’. NAB’s Ken Crompton says news of the east-west Saudi pipeline reopening has also helped. Markets have ignored the more extreme language of ‘annihilating’ the Republic if talks don’t go well. And what of Michelle Bullock’s fireside chat? ‘Well, it’s inflation that’s on fire,’ says Ken on today’s podcast. Meanwhile, the focus today will be on the UN General Assembly and the PMIs for Europe and the US. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Momentarily below 100
2026/09/21
Tuesday 22nd September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer  Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Oil ticked below $99 momentarily overnight. NAB’s Skye Masters says reports of more traffic through the Strait have helped, along with a comment from the US president that he wlll ‘probably’ talk with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian at the UN Assembly this week/ But oil doesn’t want to stay below 100. Falling oil prices have helped bring down European bond yields. In a quiet session data wise there’s been much focus on comments from Chicago Fed chair Austan Goolsbee who suggested that growth might take a hit in the fight to control inflation. Expect Michelle Bullockto deliver similar messaging today in her fireside chat at the CEDA event at the Fullerton hotel in Sydney this lunchtime. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Markets not convinced by BoJ hike
2026/09/20
Monday 21st September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer  Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Even though the Bank of Japan lifted rates, as widely anticipated, the Yen lost ground on Friday. NAB’s Sally Auld says the 7-2 vote split was responsible for the caution, particularly as the two dissenters were recent government appointees. There’s also speculation of currency intervention, although Sally questions the logic of that right now. Instability in European politics has seen swift movement in bond yields. Over the weekend the Greenland deal and Ukraine’s largest attack on Moscow so far have been the major Europe-centric headlines. There’s also discussion of Friday’s senate hearing where Michelle Bullock announced they have stepped off the narrow path balancing inflation and jobs. She made it clear, inflation is the main concern right now. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Weekend Edition: Red, Blue, or Deadlock? Michael Townsend on implications of the US midterms
2026/09/18
Friday 18th September 2026 Please note this communication is not a research report and has not been prepared by NAB Research analysts. Read the full disclaimer here. With the US midterm elections looming and the threat of Republican losses hanging over Capitol Hill, how much should investors actually care about a potential shift in congressional power? This weekend on the NAB Morning Call, Phil speaks with Michael Townsend, Managing Director of Legislative and Regulatory Affairs at Charles Schwab and host of the Washington Wise podcast, to break down the realistic market fallout of an impending balance-of-power shakeup. Michael explains why history points to Democrats likely flipping the House while the Senate hangs on a knife-edge, but cautions against overestimating the political noise: historically, Wall Street doesn't care who wins—it simply rallies once the uncertainty is over and gridlock prevents policy overreach. With stubborn inflation, Middle East supply shocks keeping gas prices high, Fed rate hikes, and corporate debt from the AI boom dominating the landscape, does the battle for Capitol Hill even matter to the bottom line, or has the market already learned to shrug off Washington's daily drama? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Bouncing back
2026/09/17
Friday 18th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer  Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Markets have shrugged off their early response to the hawkish press conference from Kevin Warsh yesterday. NAB’s Ken Crompton says the unwound started soon after the initial response, with bond yields falling and shares recovering. Both have been helped by a further reduction in oil prices, on hopes of resumed Saudi supply through their east-west pipeline. Ken and Phil also talk about the Bank of England yesterday and the assumption that the Bank of Japan will lift rates today. But what if they don’t? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Fed all in agreement on hike, more to come
2026/09/16
Thursday 17th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer  Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB A unanimous decision from the Fed to lift rates and, a s NAB’s Ray Attrilll explains, at least  one more rate hike seems likely this year. The market response was fairly muted initially after the short statement talked about how the resilience in the economy was adding to the supply-side inflation worries, but it was Kevin Warsh’s press conference that drew the biggest response. So what did he say? Meanwhile the Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates on hold despite rising inflation numbers yesterday. How long can they hod that stance? It’s a similar question for the RBNZ, particularly if there is clear growth in today’s GDP numbers.  Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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4.8 out of 5
8 reviews
★★★★★
Nonickname673738348 2023/11/23
Top notch for morning catch up
Very well done. Thanks Phil
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